Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

firewalker

Trade Discussion and Analysis

Recommended Posts

I am having one of those days that, if this doesn't bounce, I am thinking off wondering off for a week and taking some time out.....

 

With the fake breaks, poxy drops and pitiful drivel in between, I am getting nowhere fast and for all the effort, its actually a waste of time so, unless we can break up from here, I am taking a break till we do find a bottom as this is boring the shit out of me tbh!

 

The crappy drops to each new support is fine and then I am giving back what I make on the crap in between. I can live with small moves but only coupled with large moves and whilst I agree, one should adapt as each moment in the markets are unique, I'm really not in the mood!

 

It's a cliché but it's true:

Flat is also a position!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I think part of my problem is I am a tad greedy.... If I was content with 30/40 pip trades twice a day I would be in heaven right now as that's easy atm but for me, anything less than a 500+ pip week was a waste of time.

 

I was used to decent weekly points to for some months. Then came summertime. I had to settle for less, much less and some weeks ended up negative for the first in a long long time! :\

 

So yes perhaps you're greedy combined with impatient.

If I read "can't wait to get this last 18% he needs" that would seem confirmed ...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

What's this, abuse wasp day! Get stung as a kid or something??!

 

You are right though I know, I should stop thinking of what I want, get in tune and become one with the market and take what it offers as it offers it, not try to force something out if it....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm not into patterns per se, but if you know what they represent it's interesting to see the market react.

 

Looks like price came back to the neckline of the head & shoulder formation and sold off strongly. The downmove that GBP/JPY is currently experiencing has a much steeper gradient than the move up that started in February 2008...

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=7705&stc=1&d=1220479821

gbpjpy_hs.thumb.gif.4810b4fddebcab34adc455566fde121c.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hindsight is easy to say ofcourse... but given the strength of the downmove plus not a single green candle to see...

 

Does anyone here live in Belgium that can go around and slap him?!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hindsight is easy to say ofcourse... but given the strength of the downmove plus not a single green candle to see...

 

Let us not forget that my longs over the last week were only for returns to S that became R in order to get a better price for the next drop.... I haven't been looking for or trying to call a bottom.... well, not till today anyhow!

Edited by wasp
sp.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Let us not forget my longs over the mast week were only for returns to S that became R to get a better price for the next drop.... I haven't been looking for or trying to call a bottom.... well, not till today anyhow!

 

I did read somewhere below your nick:

"is trying to pick a bottom" :hmmmm:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

But seriously....... I don't want much... Just S to return to R then maybe break and the next to become S and break up through both to a previous S turned R etc, so on and so forth.... All neatly packaged with trendlines to stop me taking reversals I shouldn't but not turning to quick so I miss out...

 

Just that, each for +100 a time and it can trend up, down or backwards for all I care as long as the above works!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
But seriously....... I don't want much... Just S to return to R then maybe break and the next to become S and break up through both to a previous S turned R etc, so on and so forth.... All neatly packaged with trendlines to stop me taking reversals I shouldn't but not turning to quick so I miss out...

 

Just that, each for +100 a time and it can trend up, down or backwards for all I care as long as the above works!

 

I think in a strong downtrend like this one S does not return to R because there is not enough demand. Most of the time if price can't get to the midpoint of a zone identified by a S and a R level, then you better run for the exit... imho...

 

of course one way to prevent taking reversal which don't run very far is to keep in those shorts longer and scale out... I know that's not your style but I don't see much other option!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
...... if price can't get to the midpoint of a zone identified by a S and a R level, then you better run for the exit...

 

I like this bit.... Just how, in RT, do you know its not getting to the other side, until of course, its returned to S?!!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
of course one way to prevent taking reversal which don't run very far is to keep in those shorts longer and scale out... I know that's not your style but I don't see much other option!

 

FX is a fickle beast and when this does turn, I will show you.... It will happen hard, fast and when you least expect it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I like this bit.... Just how, in RT, do you know its not getting to the other side, until of course, its returned to S?!!!

 

Well you gauge momentum... for instance if price makes higher highs and higher lows after bouncing off S you can stay in. But if it quickly fails to do so you run for the exit. Or if you see price bouncing, then stalling for a decent period of time and instead of continuing it's upward movement it falls back down, you exit. Several options available :) everything depends on how much you are willing to risk in order to gain something.

 

But in a downtrend I think the odds that price goes from R to S are higher than the other way around. Just my 2c.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
FX is a fickle beast and when this does turn, I will show you.... It will happen hard, fast and when you least expect it.

 

Sure, but not until it reached some really decent support right?

Any reversal that occurs in mid-air has little chance of surviving very long imo.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Sure, but not until it reached some really decent support right?

Any reversal that occurs in mid-air has little chance of surviving very long imo.

 

I am about to go to bed but I shall post you 10 screen shots tomorrow!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Classic!

 

The reversal up happened not from support but from mid S/R after failing to drop once again....

 

What a poxy week so far far me! Only 240 pips and nearly over!

classic.thumb.gif.c3af9c09452908610f540bbddc3e3fcc.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This thread is to remove the risk/temptation to over trade through boredom...

 

It will be various charts from various markets for analysis (per Barjons WOT threads) so when you have itchy fingers, analyse and predict these instead!

 

Starting it off, we have 3 FX charts...

 

Firewalker believes reversals only happen at S/R whereas I know FX is a bitch and it can happen when you least expect it so, a simple 1=, 2=, 3= and answer stay in or reversal....

 

All can play and we'll jump around from FX to Indices to stocks etc, with volume and without..

1.thumb.gif.09ec6475ecce5ef37885a006d57729b7.gif

10.thumb.gif.a2a2d0f6302f92d9ab8d51cd8e9e3b40.gif

20.thumb.gif.cc723faaaa82441a36b37f64a861bbc1.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Classic!

 

The reversal up happened not from support but from mid S/R after failing to drop once again....

 

What a poxy week so far far me! Only 240 pips and nearly over!

 

Yep. But the 4-hour gave a good signal, which you appear to have rode higher.

 

EDIT: Or was it the trend lines that prompted you to go long?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 26th November 2024. Trump’s tariff threats boosted Dollar; Peso, Loonie, Gold & Oil Lower. The Trump trade picked up steam as investors cheered his pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent. Beliefs he will be a steadying voice in the administration’s fiscal measures, while still following President-elect Trump’s tariff and tax commitments, underpinned. Asia & European Sessions:   Trump threatened on Monday to impose sweeping new tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico on his first day as US President to crack down on illegal immigration and drugs. He would impose a 25% tax on all products entering the country from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China as one of his first acts as president of the US. Bessent’s 3-3-3 plan aims to cut the deficit to 3% of GDP, boost growth to 3%, and increase oil production to 3 mln barrels. Treasury yields dove in a curve flattener, extending their drops through the session, on expectations inflation will decelerate. A strong 2-year auction also supported. The Dow led the charge, climbing 0.99% to 44,736, a new record peak as the rally broadens. The S&P500 climbed to 6020, a session peak, but finished with a 0.3% gain to 5987. The NASDAQ closed 0.27% higher. Today, stock markets in Europe are posting broad losses, with the DAX down -0.6%, the FTSE 100 0.4%, after a largely weaker close across Asia. ECB: Lane suggests ECB must be open-minded on speed of rate cuts. The ECB’s Chief Economist said in a speech on Monday evening that “remaining open-minded about the speed and scale of adjustments is in fact a valuable strategy across various environments, as different situations may necessitate distinct approaches.” This careful, step-by-step strategy enables us to observe the responses of the economy to our decisions and continuously refine our understanding of their impacts.” The comments leave the door open to a 50 bp move in December, but also tie in with our expectation that the central bank will deliver a 25 bp while tweaking the forward guidance and commit to additional moves. Financial Markets Performance: The USDIndex hit a session high of 107.50 and is currently lower at 106.85. Mexican peso and Canadian dollar slumped as the dollar is being viewed as a haven after the comments of President-elect Donald Trump on tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. USDCAD spiked to 1.4177 and USDMXN rallied to 20.74. Oil and Gold lost ground, in part on cooling geopolitical risks, and on Trump trades. Oil dropped -3.03% to $69.09 per barrel, in part on the Trump trade and on talk of a potential cease fire between Israel and Hezbollah. Similarly, gold fell -3.26% to $2605 per ounce. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, nice trend with a pull back to 8.79 support area, bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?RYAM
    • LICY Li-Cycle stock watch, attempting to move higher off the 2.15 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?LICY
    • SGMO Sangamo Therapeutics stock watch, pull back to 2 support area with high trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?SGMO
    • YUMC Yum China stock watch, pull back to 47.4 support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?YUMC
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.