Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TacTrader

Moving Averages Again...

Recommended Posts

Thought about reopening one of the older MA threads but maybe a new one will draw the MA traders out of the shadows for some good conversation.

 

I am tooling around with an 8 period weighted MA on a 2 min YM chart. I am also employing a 50 and 200 WMA for visual support and resistance. The setup is simple: When price is above the 8MA enter short on a close below the MA, opposite for long trades. The close above/below is the confirmation to enter so simply trading through it does not count. This generates alot of trades through the day so I would like to find something to knock down the frequency a bit...maybe going to a 5 minute, but it is not as visual for me. Plus I am more comfortable with the quicker in/out as my tolerance and personal preference does not bode well for longer term stuff.

 

As far as exits go I place a 10 point stop and get out half at 11 points profit then keep the other half on for a bigger move. I am also considering a time stop (5 min) along with the initial 10 point as it seems that if the price doesn't move right away it will usually consolidate and the chance to stop me out at -10 rises considerably.

 

I don't have backtesting ability as I use OEC Trader for my charting but in sim mode it seems to work well. I am comfortable with MA's which is why I am looking at them and I have a KISS (keep it super simple) mentality since I am no rocket scientist ;)

 

So what are your thoughts? Am I being too simple? Too tight a stop? Anyone using something similar? Hopefully some good conversation on a simple strategy will follow....

 

Stephen

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you want to lower the amount of trades you may want to consider looking at a longer timeframe then the one your signals trading off. Try to determine what the direction of the market on the bigger scale is before you decide to take a trade. This will help you to avoid "fighting" the longer term trends and therefore putting probability in your favor of the longer term move on the second half of your position.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

there's also the 9/30 method or 5-13-62 methods. I'm not promoting this site and I'm not a member but there's video that explains the 9/30 method perfectly. shows where to place stops and everything. http://www.efuturevision.com there's a great free video explaining the method perfectly also http://www.ebookspdf.com/business/74/rob-booker-51362-forex-strategy/ It's system that buys/sells on pullbacks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
IMHO, this system will not be profitable. MAs do not work fine for opening signals. You probably should add an oscillator to the system.

This is my expectation, too, based upon experience. Naturally, my lack of success in this regard does not preclude better fortune for your system. I agree with pluto7up, though, that additional filters might be needed.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 22nd November 2024.   BTC flirts with $100K, Stocks higher, Eurozone PMI signals recession risk.   Asia & European Sessions:   Geopolitical risks are back in the spotlight on fears of escalation in the Ukraine-Russia after Russia reportedly used a new ICBM to retaliate against Ukraine’s use of US and UK made missiles to attack inside Russia. The markets continue to assess the election results as President-elect Trump fills in his cabinet choices, with the key Treasury Secretary spot still open. The Fed’s rate path continues to be debated with a -25 bp December cut seen as 50-50. Earnings season is coming to an end after mixed reports, though AI remains a major driver. Profit taking and rebalancing into year-end are adding to gyrations too. Wall Street rallied, led by the Dow’s 1.06% broadbased pop. The S&P500 advanced 0.53% and the NASDAQ inched up 0.03%. Asian stocks rose after  Nvidia’s rally. Nikkei added 1% to 38,415.32 after the Tokyo inflation data slowed to 2.3% in October from 2.5% in the prior month, reaching its lowest level since January. The rally was also supported by chip-related stocks tracked Nvidia. Overnight-indexed swaps indicate that it’s certain the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut its policy rate by 50 basis points on Nov. 27, with a 22% chance of a 75 basis points reduction. European stocks futures climbed even though German Q3 GDP growth revised down to 0.1% q/q from the 0.2% q/q reported initially. Cryptocurrency market has gained approximately $1 trillion since Trump’s victory in the Nov. 5 election. Recent announcement for the SEC boosted cryptos. Chair Gary Gensler will step down on January 20, the day Trump is set to be inaugurated. Gensler has pushed for more protections for crypto investors. MicroStrategy Inc.’s plans to accelerate purchases of the token, and the debut of options on US Bitcoin ETFs also support this rally. Trump’s transition team has begun discussions on the possibility of creating a new White House position focused on digital asset policy.     Financial Markets Performance: The US Dollar recovered overnight and closed at 107.00. Bitcoin currently at 99,300,  flirting with a run toward the 100,000 level. The EURUSD drifts below 1.05, the GBPUSD dips to June’s bottom at 1.2570, while USDJPY rebounded to 154.94. The AUDNZD spiked to 2-year highs amid speculation the RBNZ will cut the official cash rate by more than 50 bps next week. Oil surged 2.12% to $70.46. Gold spiked to 2,697 after escalation alerts between Russia and Ukraine. Heightened geopolitical tensions drove investors toward safe-haven assets. Gold has surged by 30% this year. Haven demand balanced out the pressure from a strong USD following mixed US labor data. Silver rose 0.9% to 31.38, while palladium increased by 0.9% to 1,040.85 per ounce. Platinum remained unchanged. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • A few trending stocks at support BAM MNKD RBBN at https://stockconsultant.com/?MNKD
    • BMBL Bumble stock watch, pull back to 7.94 support area with high trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?BMBL
    • LUMN Lumen Technologies stock watch, pull back to 7.43 support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?LUMN
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.