Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TacTrader

Moving Averages Again...

Recommended Posts

Thought about reopening one of the older MA threads but maybe a new one will draw the MA traders out of the shadows for some good conversation.

 

I am tooling around with an 8 period weighted MA on a 2 min YM chart. I am also employing a 50 and 200 WMA for visual support and resistance. The setup is simple: When price is above the 8MA enter short on a close below the MA, opposite for long trades. The close above/below is the confirmation to enter so simply trading through it does not count. This generates alot of trades through the day so I would like to find something to knock down the frequency a bit...maybe going to a 5 minute, but it is not as visual for me. Plus I am more comfortable with the quicker in/out as my tolerance and personal preference does not bode well for longer term stuff.

 

As far as exits go I place a 10 point stop and get out half at 11 points profit then keep the other half on for a bigger move. I am also considering a time stop (5 min) along with the initial 10 point as it seems that if the price doesn't move right away it will usually consolidate and the chance to stop me out at -10 rises considerably.

 

I don't have backtesting ability as I use OEC Trader for my charting but in sim mode it seems to work well. I am comfortable with MA's which is why I am looking at them and I have a KISS (keep it super simple) mentality since I am no rocket scientist ;)

 

So what are your thoughts? Am I being too simple? Too tight a stop? Anyone using something similar? Hopefully some good conversation on a simple strategy will follow....

 

Stephen

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you want to lower the amount of trades you may want to consider looking at a longer timeframe then the one your signals trading off. Try to determine what the direction of the market on the bigger scale is before you decide to take a trade. This will help you to avoid "fighting" the longer term trends and therefore putting probability in your favor of the longer term move on the second half of your position.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

there's also the 9/30 method or 5-13-62 methods. I'm not promoting this site and I'm not a member but there's video that explains the 9/30 method perfectly. shows where to place stops and everything. http://www.efuturevision.com there's a great free video explaining the method perfectly also http://www.ebookspdf.com/business/74/rob-booker-51362-forex-strategy/ It's system that buys/sells on pullbacks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
IMHO, this system will not be profitable. MAs do not work fine for opening signals. You probably should add an oscillator to the system.

This is my expectation, too, based upon experience. Naturally, my lack of success in this regard does not preclude better fortune for your system. I agree with pluto7up, though, that additional filters might be needed.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • CVNA Carvana stock, nice top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?CVNA
    • GDRX GoodRx stock, good day, watch for a bottom range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?GDRX
    • Date: 14th February 2025.   Can The NASDAQ Maintain Momentum at Key Resistance Level?     The price of the NASDAQ throughout the week rose more than 3.00% to bring the price back up to the instrument’s resistance level. However, while taking into consideration higher inflation, tariffs and the resistance level, could the index maintain momentum?   US Inflation Rises For a 4th Consecutive Month The US Consumer Price Index, or inflation, rose for a 4th consecutive month taking the rate even further away from the Federal Reserve’s target. Analysts were expecting the US inflation rate to remain unchanged at 2.9%. However, consumer inflation rose to 3.00%, the highest since July 2024, while Producer inflation rose to 3.5%. Higher inflation traditionally triggers lower sentiment towards the stock market as investors' risk appetite falls and they prefer the US Dollar. However, on this occasion bullish volatility rose. For this reason, some traders may be considering if the price is overbought in the short term.   Addressing these statistics, US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that the Fed has yet to achieve its goal of curbing inflation, adding further hawkish signals regarding the monetary policy. Other members of the FOMC also share this view. Today, Raphael Bostic, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, stated that the Fed is unlikely to implement interest rate cuts in the near future. This is due to ongoing economic uncertainty following the introduction of trade tariffs on imported goods and other policies from the Republican-led White House.   Most of the Federal Open Market Committee emphasizes additional time is needed to fully assess the situation. According to the Chicago Exchange FedWatch Tool, interest rate cuts may not start until September 2025.   What’s Driving The NASDAQ Higher? Earnings data this week has continued to support the NASDAQ. Early this morning Airbnb made public their quarterly earnings report whereby they beat both earnings per share and revenue expectations. The Earnings Per Share read 25% higher than expectations and Revenue was more than 2% higher. As a result, the stock rose more than 14%. Another company this week that made public positive earnings data is Cisco which rose by more than 2% on Thursday. Another positive factor continues to be the positive employment data. Even though the positive employment data can push back interest rate cuts, the stability in the short term continues to serve the interests of higher consumer demand. The US Unemployment Rate fell to 4.00% the lowest in 8 months. Lastly, investors are also increasing their exposure to the index due to sellers not being able to maintain control or momentum. Some economists also increase their confidence in economic growth if Trump can obtain a positive outcome from the Ukraine-Russia negotiations.   However, during Friday’s pre-US session trading, 80% of the most influential stocks are witnessing a decline. The NASDAQ itself is trading more or less unchanged. Therefore, the question again arises as to whether the NASDAQ can maintain momentum above this area.   NASDAQ - News and Technical analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ is largely witnessing mainly bullish indications on the 2-hour chart. However, the main concern for traders is the resistance level at $21,960. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price is mainly experiencing bearish signals as the price moves below the 200-period simple moving average.   The VIX, which is largely used as a risk indicator, is currently trading 0.75% higher which indicates a lower risk appetite. In addition to this, bond yields trade 6 points higher. If both the VIX and Bond yields rise further, further pressure may be witnessed for index traders.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • LUNR Intuitive Machines stock watch, attempting to move higher off 18.64 support, target 26 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?LUNR
    • CNXC Concentrix stock watch, pullback to 47.16 triple support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?CNXC
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.