Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

AbeSmith

Hello fellow "Traitors"

Recommended Posts

If you live in the West Coast it's not so bad since London opens around midnight, if you can spare 1-2 hours after that, this where most of the moves and volume take place. East Coast, it's no question the hours are hideous if you're working fulltime during the day. But if you swing trade them, there's no sense in sitting in and watch it tick, place your orders and you're done. Trends are seen more than eminis imo.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just to give you an idea, take a look at this chart. It's been going since last night. Globex don't trend like this, everything dies at globex except in times of crisis. it's almost 500 pips already in a nice trend. Doesn't happen alot but trends tend to be smoother.

GBPJPY-TREND.gif.82ede3aad7fdec2bde60b775d79c118b.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I traded 6E in the past, very little volume. It may moved like EURUSD but the volume is a concern. EC is not but it's too big for what Abe is looking for (12.5$/tick). With FX, you can go at micro-lot ($10K) with a cent per tick. I think anyone can trade this lots as a substitute to paper trading. We're talking super peanuts here, can't get that with e-minis. I think anyone can afford trading with so little risk involved to test out the market.

 

Anyway, wish you luck with your research Abe.

 

If you live in the West Coast it's not so bad since London opens around midnight, if you can spare 1-2 hours after that, this where most of the moves and volume take place. East Coast, it's no question the hours are hideous if you're working fulltime during the day. But if you swing trade them, there's no sense in sitting in and watch it tick, place your orders and you're done. Trends are seen more than eminis imo.

 

Just to give you an idea, take a look at this chart. It's been going since last night. Globex don't trend like this, everything dies at globex except in times of crisis. it's almost 500 pips already in a nice trend. Doesn't happen alot but trends tend to be smoother.

 

Thanks Torero. Good to know.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 hour currency markets is a red herring. There are only certain times a day that a small trader should be trading. Assume you trade a currency against the U.S. dollar. This is of course the main way currencies are traded. In fact, if you trade two currencies where one is not the dollar, it is called a CROSS rate. Think the dollar is important. Well if it is, then times when the U.S. treasury market is open and the U.S. stock market (NYSE) are open must be too. Right away you can see that trading the GBP/USD pair after 1700 (5pm est.) starts to make less sense.

 

Now you need to add in the type of brokerage firm you are trading with. Even though your firm may "sell" the point of the 24 hr market, many of their clients may trade during more traditional trading hours. Since your trade is either matched against another client or the broker themselves this matters. The fewer people trading on your brokers platform (no centralized exchange) the worse the fills, and the less trending the moves tend to be. Speaking of trends, the high propensity for currencies to trend is their greatest asset for traders.

 

The other thing that is sort of misleading is the no commission hype. Yes there is a cost to trading and it is called the spread. Some futures brokers charge less than $10.00 a round turn. In the forex you are doing good at 2 pip spread: 2*$10.00= $20.00 (euro).

 

If you want to trade forex:

 

1. Think about a broker that not taking the otherside of the trade.

 

2. Think about the time you will be trading.** The best time starts at 0200 hrs EST. (which is the London open) and goes to 1200 Est. Unless it is a Fed Day, and then the market can be active until after 1500 (fed announcement at 1400).

 

3. If you live in the Western part of the U.S. these are less than ideal hours for many. Especially those with families. Then again, it might be worse if you live on the East Coast. But either way, don't think you can come home from a 9-5 and trade after dinner and before Lost starts.

 

4. Currencies trend. Certainly some try and scalp but a more trend catching approach works better.

 

5. No centralized exchange. Thus it is hard to the most important data: Volume. The fact that volume is so hard to get in this market, should tell you of its importance: the big boys don't want poeple knowing what they are doing. And with volume, it can be seen. (some brokers offer tick volume and it can be used. Esingal does offer volume based on a certain number of banks. But if you use many broker provided platforms you will not get volume.)

 

Thanks PivotProfiler. Good info.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm changin my avatar, again. This one might be bad luck since he picked the losing side. So my new avatar was going to be God. But I think some of you might be upset at God if you had misfortunes. So I will go back to my old avatar for now until I find something better.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • TMUS T-Mobile stock, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?TMUS
    • KULR KULR Technology stock watch, pullback to 1.25 triple support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?KULR
    • PM Philip Morris stock, nice bull flag breakout with volume +91% at https://stockconsultant.com/?PM
    • Date: 4th April 2025.   USDJPY Falls to 25-Week Low as Safe Havens Surge and Markets Eye NFP Data.   Safe haven currencies and the traditional alternative to the US Dollar continue to increase in value while the Dollar declines. Investors traditionally opt to invest in the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc at times of uncertainty and when they wish to avoid the Dollar. The Japanese Yen continues to be the best-performing currency of the week and of the day. Will this continue to be the case after today’s US employment figures?   USDJPY - NFP Data And Trade Negotiations The USDJPY is currently trading at a 25-week low and is witnessing one of its strongest declines this week. The exchange rate is no longer obtaining indications from the RSI that the price is oversold. The current bullish swing is obtaining indications of divergence as the price fails to form a higher high. Therefore, short-term momentum is in favour of the US Dollar, but there are still signs the Japanese Yen can regain momentum quickly.       USDJPY 1-Hour Chart     The price movement of the exchange rate in both the short and long term will depend on 3 factors. Today’s US employment data, next week’s inflation rate and most importantly the progress of negotiations between the US and trade partners. If today’s Unemployment Rate increases above 4.1%, the reading will be the highest seen so far in 2025. Currently, the market expects the Unemployment Rate to remain at 4.1% and the Non-Farm Payroll Change to add 137,000 jobs. The average NFP reading this year so far has been 194,000.   If data does not meet expectations, US investors may continue to increase exposure away from the Dollar and to other safe-haven assets. Previously investors were expecting only 2 rate cuts this year from the Federal Reserve, however, most investors now expect up to 4. If today’s employment data deteriorates, economists advise the Federal Reserve may opt to cut interest rates sooner.   Therefore, it is important to note that today’s NFP will influence the USDJPY to a large extent. Whereas in the longer-term, trade negotiations will steal the spotlight. If trade partners are able to negotiate the US Dollar can correct back upwards. Whereas, if other countries retaliate and do not negotiate the US Dollar will remain weak.   USDJPY - The Yen and the Bank of Japan The Japanese Yen is the best-performing currency in 2025 increasing by 6.70% so far. Risk indicators such as the VIX and High-Low Indexes continue to worsen which is positive for the JPY as a safe haven currency.   Yesterday Japan released March business activity data that came in weaker than expected: the Services PMI dropped from 53.7 to 50.0, while the Composite PMI fell from 52.0 to 48.9. The data is the lowest in two years. These figures could hinder further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. However, most economists still expect the Bank Of Japan to hike at least once more. It's also important to note, that even if the BOJ opts for a prolonged pause, a cut is not likely.   Additionally, a 24% tariff was imposed on Japanese exports to the US yesterday. Prime Minister Mr Ishiba expressed disappointment over Japan's failure to secure a tariff exemption and pledged support measures to help domestic industries manage the impact.   Key Takeaway Points: US Dollar Weakens, Safe Havens Rise: The Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc continue to gain as investors shift away from the US Dollar. USDJPY Under Pressure: USDJPY trades at a 25-week low, with short-term momentum favouring the Dollar but long-term trends pointing to potential Yen strength. NFP and Unemployment Crucial: Today’s Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment figures will heavily influence short-term USDJPY. On the other hand, trade negotiations will dictate longer-term trends. Japan Faces Mixed Signals: Despite weak PMI data and new US tariffs, the Japanese Yen remains strong. Economists expect at least one more rate hike from the Bank of Japan, but no cuts are in sight. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • YUM Yum Brands stock, nice breakout with volume +34.5%, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?YUM
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.