Futures Journal Log

[Ronin 10]

12:20pm SOLD ZBH8 at 118-16

 

Trade Setup:

 

• Bearish reaction to "Helicopter Ben" speak
  
• 3min Time Frame, 9 ticks down, closed near the bottom
  
• RSI ( 5 ) = 79 on prev day
  
• Bullish Reaction in Equities
  

 

Target Filled: +22 Tics GAIN = $687.50

 

New Balance: $16,480.25 or 724% GAIN on Initial Starting Balance

 

Out Flat

[Ronin 10]

12:20pm SOLD ZBH8 at 118-16

 

Trade Setup:

 

• Bearish reaction to "Helicopter Ben" speak
  
• 3min Time Frame, 9 ticks down, closed near the bottom
  
• RSI ( 5 ) = 79 on prev day
  
• Bullish Reaction in Equities
  

 

Target Filled: +22 Tics GAIN = $687.50

 

New Balance: $16,480.25 or 724% GAIN on Initial Starting Balance

 

Out Flat

 

Here are the CLUES to the Bond Market reation to the FED Speak:

 

12:15 ET 10-Yr: unch..3.821%..

 

Stunted: "Bonds have been tucked into place as they await Bernanke & look out to the for sure 25 basis point cut, but temper expectations for 50 bps".

 

"Trade has backed off a heightened 80% for a 50bps go, now looking closer to 65%. The market is working a fairly tight range but :haha:they will be looking to break out to the upside, but the weight of the months longs pocketing profits will drag. "

 

"There has been stepped up talk of the Fed-head's talk lessening recession worries, but fact is, he will likely fall back on a "data dependant" course, leaving the market nothing to work with."

 

Meaning: SELL The Upside reaction and lookout below !

 

12:28 ET 10-Yr: Unch..3.821%..

 

"The prepared Bernanke comments appear to have been released early : as he doesn't step up to the crowd until 13 ET. The Fed chair notes that further policy easing may be necessary as the Fed responds to the economy. The December data (payroll, unemployment, ISM) were clearly disappointing as job deterioration raises the risk to consumer spending. That left more pronounced risks to the 2008 outlook which has worsened. Housing demand continues to worsened as the Fed continues to monitor inflation given price expectations. The note that the Fed feels at ease to ease the policy rates hardly leaves a clear message as to the size -- 25 bp or 50 bp "

 

In other words, was released early to catch as many unprepared Longs as possible and clean out the accumulated STOP Losses Orders below the Key Pivot Supports. I have seen this happened many times before with the Payrolls Report and the Fed Reports and Speaks Events.

 

Is like the Exchange never gives an explanation or excuse for the sloppy and gross inefficient released of the Market moving News Event while many thousands of real traders worldwide have their money on the market. Complete disregard for market participants and their lost funds ! And when you ask them directly, they behave like it was a big mistery, and they can't control it ! a display of complete arrogance and ignorance -( with millions of dollars of High Tech Equipment in their operations ).

Edited January 10, 2008 by Ronin

[Ronin 10]

Thursday,January 10 SELL Stop 118-12 Prev Low

 

ZBH8 SOLD 118-12 Market Closed: 117-14

STOP 119-07 Wed HIGH

 

SETUP:

 

• RSI ( 5 ) = 79 Wed, Jan 9
  
• 60min STO: Bearish Divergence
  

 

Target: 117-10 Thursday Low

 

Friday, Jan 11 - SHORT 118-12

 

Target Filled: +34 Tics GAIN = $1,062.50 Close Position, canceled STOP Loss

 

New Balance: $25,328.50 ( second account )

[Ronin 10]

Long 1412.50, Exit Target Filled 1420 GAIN + 7.5 Pts = $375

 

 

Open Position: Long 1410

 

Second Target Filled at 1423 for +13 Pts GAIN = $650 Total GAIN: $1,025 for 4 Hrs work = $256.25 per Hour

 

SETUP: See The Candlestick Corner All about candlesticks

 

Re: YM, ES and DJIA Analysis

 

New Balance: $17,505.25

 

Out Flat

Edited January 14, 2008 by Ronin

[Ronin 10]

Monday, January 14 GLOBEX :

 

BUY Stop 118-16 ZBH8 , Filled at 04:15am LONG 118-16

STOP Loss 118-02

 

SETUP:

 

• Daily NR 36 on Monday Jan 14
  
• RSI ( 5 ) = 65
  
• 30min Bullish Hammer
  

 

Tuesday, Jan 15:

 

2:50pm Target Filled: 119-17 , GAIN 33 Tics = $ 1,031.25

 

New Balance: $ 26,359.75

[Ronin 10]

Long 1412.50, Exit Target Filled 1420 GAIN + 7.5 Pts = $375

 

 

Open Position: Long 1410

 

Second Target Filled at 1423 for +13 Pts GAIN = $650 Total GAIN: $1,025 for 4 Hrs work = $256.25 per Hour

 

SETUP: See The Candlestick Corner All about candlesticks

 

Re: YM, ES and DJIA Analysis

 

New Balance: $17,505.25

 

Out Flat

 

 

ESH8 Open Position, Long 1410

 

STOP Loss canceled/ replace from 1373 To 1415

 

Monday Jan 14, 11:30pm GLOBEX

 

STOP Exit FILLED at 1415 for a GAIN of +5 pts = $250

 

New Balance: $17,755.25

[Ronin 10]

ZBH8 SELL STOP 118-27

STOP 118-29

 

SETUP:

 

RSI ( 5 ) = 60 Falling from 76

60min STO = 86 / 82

Bearish Reaction To FED Speak

 

STOP Loss Filled: LOSS = 2 Tics = $62.50

 

Market turns around due to EQUITIES and Flight To Quality.

 

 

ESH8 SELL STOP 1368.50 ( Prev Low )

 

SETUP:

 

Volume Osc. = - 40% Falling

RSI ( 2 ) = 26

FED Speak : Bearish Reaction

 

 

10:15am - Filled : SOLD 1368.50

STOP 1397.50 Prev High

 

Target : 1339.75 Filled On Closed GAIN + 28.75 Pts = $ 1, 437.50

 

New Balance: $18,942.75 - $62.50 Loss = $ 18,880.25

[iHeartMoney 10]

ronin, could you post some charts of your setups along with your trades?

[Ronin 10]

ronin, could you post some charts of your setups along with your trades?

 

This time Only, don't have the time during trading hours,

 

[Ronin 10]

BUY Stop 1332 ESH8 To be placed during GLOBEX on Monday night, January 21st,

 

Pre-Conditions: DAX and Other Asian and European Market Action.

 

 

SETUP:

• 60min MACD ( 5,8,1) Bullish Divergence
  
• RSI ( 2 ) = 3 , Extreme Low Level
  
• Volume Osc. = - 93% Extreme Low Historical Level
  
• High Accumulaton of Buying Volume
  
• VIX = 29.30 High and Bearish Doji
  

 

Will monitor position after filled to determine STOP Loss placement.

 

ZBH8 , 30 yr T-Bonds:

 

SELL Stop 119-13 for Monday Night, GLOBEX

 

SETUP:

 

NR4 and Inside Day Bearish Doji

RSI ( 5 ) = 63 and Falling Downcrossed

60 Min. STO : Bearish Downcross

Daily MACD Bearish Divergence

 

STOP Loss: 120-15

Edited January 19, 2008 by Ronin

[Ronin 10]

6:04am Long 1273

STOP 1272.50

 

STOP Filled : Loss - .50 = $25

 

06:57am Long 1256.50

STOP 1256

 

Here is what one Idiot posted in another Forum:

 

:haha:"I don't see how you can trade with stop losses from 0.50 points...you are not giving the trade any room at all? " " Is that how you always trade? "

 

"firewalker99"

trade2win-Forum

 

 

8:39am STOP Loss moved to: 1256.75

Edited January 22, 2008 by Ronin

[Ronin 10]

6:04am Long 1273

STOP 1272.50

 

STOP Filled : Loss - .50 = $25

 

06:57am Long 1256.50

STOP 1256

 

Here is what one Idiot posted in another Forum:

 

:haha:"I don't see how you can trade with stop losses from 0.50 points...you are not giving the trade any room at all? " " Is that how you always trade? "

 

"firewalker99"

trade2win-Forum

 

 

8:39am STOP Loss moved to: 1256.75

 

Open Position: Long 1256.50

Moved STOP To 1255.00

 

FED Lowered RATES more than expected and this market is going up at least 100 points, GUARANTEED.

[Ronin 10]

6:57am - GLOBEX Long 1256.50

 

Target Filled: GAIN + 40 Pts = $2,000 New Balance: $ 20,942.75

 

 

8:51am - Long 1258, Open Position

 

Target Filled at 1309 for +51 Pts GAIN = $2,550 New Balance: $23,492.75

 

Out FLAT

Edited January 22, 2008 by Ronin

[Ronin 10]

Total Trades Today: 5

 

Total Points GAIN : +12.5 Pts = $625

 

New Balance: $ 24,117.75 Initial Starting Bal: $2,000

 

1,106 % GAIN :applaud:

 

AS EXPECTED The Market retraced to only 5.75 Pts above Prev Day Low Today. My prediction was that it was going to come back down to test today's Low and it was off by only 5.75 Pts.

 

My second Prediction: The ES was going to Rally 100 Points from Yesterday's Low and it is going in that direction. DAMM I'm soooooo goooood !!! ( little humor there ). No comments are needed, thank you, But THAT IS A HELL OF AN ACCURATE PREDICTION JACK !

 

The Technical Analysis worked as expected.No recognition needed ( money talks and Childish Bullshit walks )

 

Missed many good trades today, but Net result is positive.

 

To be continued....

 

Long 1296 , Target Filled : 1302 GAIN + 6 Pts = $ 300 Total Points = +18.5

 

New Balance: $23,792.75 Yeeeessssss !!!!!!

Edited January 23, 2008 by Ronin

[Ronin 10]

Sofisticated High Net Worth Mature Audience, :o

 

( Ugly Front Row !)

 

Sofisticated High Net Worth-Mature Audience.bmp

Edited January 23, 2008 by Ronin

[trader273 10]

Haven't posted in a while, but is this done in a real money account?

[Ronin 10]

Haven't posted in a while, but is this done in a real money account?

 

Why do you need to know that? ( No Profile Uh ? )

[Ronin 10]

3:30pm Long 1331.50 Prev High : Second Account

 

SETUP:

 

• The 90-10 High Continuation Signal.
  
• RSI ( 2 ) = 68 from 1.3
  
• Volume Osc. = - 69% from -91%
  

[trader273 10]

Why do you need to know that? ( No Profile Uh ? )

 

I left for a while because the board was turning into nothing but vendors and people going back and forth. Seems to be better now. I've actually been a member longer than you, but that is neither here nor there.

 

But why are you getting so defensive:question: Since you took such a defensive stance it is pretty obvious that no real money is being made here. Does not take away from your calls though. It also seems that you do not like to put stops on your trade, unless it doesn't work out in your favor then it was a two or three tick stop. Just an observation. To add major credibility to what you are doing here just post your blotter and/or positions and this would be the best journal out there.

[Ronin 10]

I left for a while because the board was turning into nothing but vendors and people going back and forth. Seems to be better now. I've actually been a member longer than you, but that is neither here nor there.

 

But why are you getting so defensive:question: Since you took such a defensive stance it is pretty obvious that no real money is being made here. Does not take away from your calls though. It also seems that you do not like to put stops on your trade, unless it doesn't work out in your favor then it was a two or three tick stop. Just an observation. To add major credibility to what you are doing here just post your blotter and/or positions and this would be the best journal out there.

 

Are YOU a Real Trader?. NO Profile? If you are on a DISCREDIT MISSION , you are in the WRONG Journal, don't need UNPROVEN OPINIONS from unknown characters with no credentials , no profile or trading history.

This post conversation is over and out, DONE.

[brownsfan019 17]

Ronin - if you don't want others participating in your thread, please ask James to only allow you to see and post in the journal.

 

I've never seen someone so incredibly defensive when others ask questions.

 

The fact is that your journal is almost too good to be true and I'm sure you can understand any questions or speculation. And after you claimed your 100 profit target was hit twice, when I clearly showed that it hadn't, I would wonder as well if you actually trade these calls or if it's just here for amusement.

 

For example, on this long you did, there was no stop or profit set... I'm guessing we'll see an update that shows this trade made a ton of money, yet no one knows how the trade actually played out.

 

Again, if you do not want questions or comments, please talk to James about making this a view only thread or something. Maybe a blog is more appropriate for what you are doing so you can moderate all the comments.

[Ronin 10]

9:41am Long 1343.25 Separate Intraday Account

 

SETUP:

 

• DAX Price Action: Engulfing Pattern -1min
  
• NQ Price Action: 1min
  
• ES ,5min - BULLISH Hammer
  

 

Target Filled: 1352.50 GAIN + 9.25 Pts = $462.50

 

New Balance: $ 21,405.25

[Ronin 10]

3:30pm Long 1331.50 Prev High : Second Account

 

SETUP:

 

• The 90-10 High Continuation Signal.
  
• RSI ( 2 ) = 68 from 1.3
  
• Volume Osc. = - 69% from -91%
  

 

Target Filled: 1354.50 GAIN + 23 Pts = $1,150

 

NEW Balance: $ 27,509.75 SWING Trading Account

[Ronin 10]

#3 11:05AM Long 1339.25

Target 1342,25 Filled, GAIN + 3 Pts = $150

 

New Balance: $ 21,555.25

 

:haha:REAL TIME GENUINE TRADE ( Money TALKS and CHILDISH Non-Real Trader, NO HISTORY, NO CREDENTIALS, NO Profile, NO Transparency, NO MERIT, BULLSHIT ! WALKS ) ALWAYS HAS , ALWAYS WILL, Beyond Any Reasonable Doubt. Case Closed

 

Out Flat

Edited January 24, 2008 by Ronin

[trader273 10]

#3 11:05AM Long 1339.25

Target 1342,25 Filled, GAIN + 3 Pts = $150

 

New Balance: $ 21,555.25

 

:haha:REAL TIME GENUINE TRADE ( Money TALKS and CHILDISH Non-Real Trader, NO HISTORY, NO CREDENTIALS, NO Profile, NO Transparency, NO MERIT, BULLSHIT ! WALKS ) ALWAYS HAS , ALWAYS WILL, Beyond Any Reasonable Doubt. Case Closed

 

Out Flat

 

Post your statements. If you do that and it shows what you have here I, and everyone here will declare you the king of trading. I do not have anything to prove since I'm not boasting in a PUBLIC forum how good I am, you are. I highly doubt you will post anything. So c'mon post your statements, since you yourself said bullshit walks and money talks. So you have the bullshit down, now prove you are making the money you claim.

 

Also, about the profile. You have a quote in yours and that is it. I can put a quote in mine if that will make you feel better.

 

Oh, and try posting stops and profit targets when you place the trade. It is funny how a trade moves +5 you get the +5, but when it goes +30 you get +30, and the best part is the stop outs are 1-2 ticks. However, everything is done in hindsight, not in real time. Real easy to trade in hindsight. See I'll show you.

 

Long: 1335.75 (filled 10:25)

Out: 1352 (filled 11:50)

Profit: 16.25 pts or $812.5/contract :applaud::applaud::applaud::applaud::applaud:

 

Dont worry about the stop since it was not hit.

 

Oh, I'm not going to stop posting in this forum. If you dont want people in your journal then use Word and keep it to yourself. Otherwise I'll see you around :thumbs up: