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By HFblogNews · Posted
Date: 6th March 2025. The Euro is on The Rise But Is the Currency Overbought? The Euro rose more than 4% over four days making it the currency’s best performance since COVID lockdowns. The upward price movement is primarily driven by the European bond market which saw its worst day since the 1990s. However, investors are now evaluating whether the Euro is overbought. Why Is the Euro Increasing in Value? The Euro's rise is driven by the EU's new ‘re-arm’ plans, announced by the European Commission President. This is in response to the US suspending military aid to Ukraine. Analysts believe increased military spending will strengthen the Euro in the short term, but its impact may fade, especially if the Ukraine-Russia conflict ends. The US is looking to achieve this by halting aid and no longer sharing military intelligence. In addition, the German Bond fell and witnessed their worst day in almost 30 years. As a result the higher bond yields also continue to support the Euro. Currently, the Euro Index is trading 0.09% higher and is only witnessing a decline against the Japanese Yen. However, the price movement of the Euro will also depend on the European Central Bank and potential Trump Tariffs. Economists remain convinced that Trump's tariff threats are serious and will be imposed on the EU. Just last week, he announced that Washington will impose 25% tariffs on Europe-made ‘cars and all other things’. On April 2nd, Washington plans to introduce another round of ‘reciprocal’ tariffs, adding to those already in effect. Germany remains particularly vulnerable, as a large portion of its industry relies on exports to the US. This can potentially have a negative effect on the Euro and the European stock market. Is the European Central Bank a Risk for the Euro? The European Central Bank is due to announce its rate decision this afternoon and conduct a press conference thereafter. The ECB may potentially aim to calm the market after German Bonds took a hit. If the ECB remains dovish and also reassures the market of the Eurozone’s fiscal and monetary policy, the Euro can retrace in the short term. Analysts currently advise today’s ECB meeting will most likely be the most interesting in years and the most unpredictable. Markets are expecting a rate of 2.65% from the ECB. Analysts at Morgan Stanley believe the ECB will maintain its "dovish" stance in March and April to support the economy, especially as inflation slowed to 2.4% in February from 2.5% the previous month, nearing the 2.0% target. If the ECB advice rates are likely to continue falling in 2025, the Euro will struggle to maintain bullish momentum. EURUSD - Technical Analysis and Indicators The EURUSD is still witnessing indications of bullish price movement on the 2-hour chart and fundamentals also support the upward price movement. However, simultaneously, the price is obtaining indications the currency is overbought in the short to medium term. The EURUSD is trading above the overbought level on the RSI and is obtaining a divergence signal on most timeframes. Therefore, the possibility of the price being overbought and retracing remains, but the price action will depend on the ECB. Until the ECB’s rate decision and press conference, the average price at 1.08000 will be key as it has been so far today. Key Takeaway Points: The Euro surged over 4% in four days, its best performance since COVID lockdowns, driven by European bond market turmoil. The EU’s ‘re-arm’ plans and rising German bond yields boost the Euro, but US tariffs and ECB decisions may impact its trend. The ECB’s upcoming rate decision and monetary policy stance could shape short-term price movements, with a dovish approach expected. Despite strong fundamentals, RSI overbought levels and divergence signals suggest a possible retracement, depending on the ECB. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
By Stocks4life · Posted
PDYN Palladyne AI stock, great day off the gap support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?PDYN -
By Stocks4life · Posted
MRNA Moderna stock, nice day with a rally off the lower 30.6 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?MRNA -
By HFblogNews · Posted
Date: 03rd March 2025. The NASDAQ and Global Stocks Rebound On Tariff Optimism. Stocks rebound during yesterday’s US session after the US Commerce Chief advises there is room for discussions with tariffs. The NASDAQ initially fell to the lowest price since before the US elections, but quickly rebounded and rose 3.25%. On Wednesday, all stocks are rising in value including in the US, Europe and Asia. NASDAQ Rebounds on Optimism Over Tariff Talks The price of the NASDAQ rose in value as investors took the lower price as an opportunity to buy the discount. The US Commerce Chief said that even though the US will not remove tariffs on Mexico and Canada, they are looking to negotiate and meet them ‘in the middle’. As a result, investors quickly reentered the stock market, particularly the NASDAQ. The NASDAQ previously fell almost 10% from its recent high due to the potential negative effect of tariffs. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced retaliatory tariffs on US products worth 155 billion CAD ($107 billion), set to take full effect at the end of the month. Meanwhile, China imposed 10–15% tariffs on various US agricultural goods, including soybeans, corn, dairy, and beef. Experts warn these trade barriers could accelerate inflation. However, the effect on the stock market in the long-term will depend on if the US will negotiate a ‘[middle ground’. Additionally, the GDPNow model from the Atlanta Fed revised U.S. GDP projections down to -2.8% from the previous -1.5%, increasing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s next move, whether to maintain high rates to curb inflation or lower borrowing costs to support the economy. The NASDAQ may positively react if the Federal Reserve considers earlier and more frequent rate cuts. The NASDAQ and The Global Stock Market The performance of the NASDAQ depends on if the US can work out a deal with Mexico and Canada. However, the performance of the global stock market indicates that sentiment is improving after the dip. All global indices including the DAX, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei225 and Hang Seng are trading higher today. Additionally US Bond Yields continue to indicate the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least on 2 occasions. The VIX, which is used as a risk indicator, is trading more than 3.00% lower which is known to be positive for the NASDAQ. This can also be seen in the price movement of the NASDAQ’s most influential stocks which are on the rise in the market pre-open trading hours. Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon and NVIDIA are all trading higher during Wednesday’s Asian and European Session. NVIDIA is witnessing the strongest increase rising 1.70%. Whereas, on Tuesday, only 46% of the most influential stocks saw an increase in value. NASDAQ Technical Analysis Although the NASDAQ and global stocks have shown positive movement in recent hours, they are still in a retracement phase. Based on the medium-term average price and oscillators, the price maintains a bearish bias. Therefore, at first any bearish signals will mainly target the $20,728.00 price which is in line with the trend-line and resistance level. Whereas, if momentum is lost and falls below $20,424.32, sell signals may again materialize. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ Rebounds: The NASDAQ surged 3.25% after the US Commerce Chief suggested room for tariff discussions, with investors buying at a discounted price. Tariff Impact: Canada imposed $107 billion in retaliatory tariffs on US goods, while China introduced 10-15% tariffs on US agricultural products, raising inflation concerns. Global Markets Up: Global indices, including the DAX, Nikkei, and Hang Seng, are rising, indicating improving market sentiment after recent declines. Fed Uncertainty & Rate Cuts: The US GDPNow model lowered GDP projections to -2.8%, increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in the near future. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
By Stocks4life · Posted
NFLX Netflix stock watch, attempting to move higher off the 977 double support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?NFLX
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