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AbeSmith

What's a good place to put 10K for 10 months?

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Hello. Does anyone have recommendations about a good investment for 10k for about 10 months? I'm interested in mostly low risk. But would also be interested to entertain some medium risk investments.

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Hey Abe. I was kidding...I'm not licensed to handle other people's money. If you're looking for a place to make 10% on 10k in 10 months...I assume you mean 10% a month...you'll be paying a nice chunk in management fees I'm sure. Are you talking about 10% growth per month? Or annual? Oh...an please, don't buy crude or china. Those things are parabolic and this is exactly when smart money is selling the stuff off to people who want to get in on the action.

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Hey Abe. I was kidding...I'm not licensed to handle other people's money. If you're looking for a place to make 10% on 10k in 10 months...I assume you mean 10% a month...you'll be paying a nice chunk in management fees I'm sure. Are you talking about 10% growth per month? Or annual? Oh...an please, don't buy crude or china. Those things are parabolic and this is exactly when smart money is selling the stuff off to people who want to get in on the action.

 

Thanks Tin. I know you were kidding. I'm talking about 10% anual. So 1k on the 10k investment minimum. Thanks for the heads up about crude and FXI.

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Oh...looking to make a grand on 10k in a lower risk environment wouldn't be too tough to do over a 10 month period, really. ThinkOrSwim should be able to lend a hand with their autotrading service.

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Find a financial adviser who can direct you to a number of lower risk managed funds such as domestic or international fixed income products (not the best option imho cause they barely manage to beat the cash rate), property funds, or small company funds.

 

In this 10% pa return is that in pure capital growth or income or both?

 

You'll find that most managed funds pay out income distributions quarterly so that will be factored into the return. Mind you just like a stock dividend the unit price of the fund you are buying will fall with an income distrubution therefore it's highly important you include any income as part of your overall return. It shouldn't be too hard to get a 10% return or more even after fees on most retail fund platforms that offer a wide range of investment options.

 

Talk to a financial adviser and they'll sort you out.

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Find a financial adviser who can direct you to a number of lower risk managed funds such as domestic or international fixed income products (not the best option imho cause they barely manage to beat the cash rate), property funds, or small company funds.

 

In this 10% pa return is that in pure capital growth or income or both?

 

You'll find that most managed funds pay out income distributions quarterly so that will be factored into the return. Mind you just like a stock dividend the unit price of the fund you are buying will fall with an income distrubution therefore it's highly important you include any income as part of your overall return. It shouldn't be too hard to get a 10% return or more even after fees on most retail fund platforms that offer a wide range of investment options.

 

Talk to a financial adviser and they'll sort you out.

 

Thanks Nick. I don't think I can afford a financial adviser. But thanks for the info. By managed funds do you mean mutual funds? Because I hear they are not very good and don't beat the S&P.

 

I'm also interested in an index or commodity. Index might be a bit risky given the economic turmoils. I witnessed the China move and now I see the FXI has come down dramatically. Not sure how correlated it is with China. It seems to me the Chinese are seeing the impact of worsening US economy. But if things turn around the Chinese economy will have the better return. So I was intrigued by the FXI and though it might be a good thing to buy and hold on to in the long turn, not necessarily right now but perhaps after a day's rallie and with stops a bit below the point where it rallied from. Though I don't know anything about the Chinese market and why it is doing what it is doing. In other words, is it something else that caused the FXI to drop so much other than drop in US?

 

And then I also hear about gold and oil which might be a good buy on a dip. These are the markets that intrigue me the most right now. But I'm a beginner so I was wondering what others might think about it. I was also interested to see if it might be better to put the money in a CD or something low risk, but the returns are not much.

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Oh...looking to make a grand on 10k in a lower risk environment wouldn't be too tough to do over a 10 month period, really. ThinkOrSwim should be able to lend a hand with their autotrading service.

 

Tin, read my post to Nick above about FXI and commodities. Would be interested to hear your take on those, or other swing to long term trades that you might do.

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Thanks Nick. I don't think I can afford a financial adviser. But thanks for the info. By managed funds do you mean mutual funds? Because I hear they are not very good and don't beat the S&P.

 

I'm also interested in an index or commodity. Index might be a bit risky given the economic turmoils. I witnessed the China move and now I see the FXI has come down dramatically. Not sure how correlated it is with China. It seems to me the Chinese are seeing the impact of worsening US economy. But if things turn around the Chinese economy will have the better return. So I was intrigued by the FXI and though it might be a good thing to buy and hold on to in the long turn, not necessarily right now but perhaps after a day's rallie and with stops a bit below the point where it rallied from. Though I don't know anything about the Chinese market and why it is doing what it is doing. In other words, is it something else that caused the FXI to drop so much other than drop in US?

 

And then I also hear about gold and oil which might be a good buy on a dip. These are the markets that intrigue me the most right now. But I'm a beginner so I was wondering what others might think about it. I was also interested to see if it might be better to put the money in a CD or something low risk, but the returns are not much.

 

I would point your activities towards China. The China bull market is in the early stages, it's going to be a long game. Be prepared for big swings though if you are diving in the oil sector, and use good risk management or the gaps in the daily movements will scare you at first.

 

I personally wouldn't go long on the oil sector stocks right now, it's feeling a bit exhausted (this is what I trade every day for position trades). Feel free to PM me if you have any basic questions.

 

The stock markets tough right now in my opinon. I've just been waiting for the very bearish days and have been short selling alot, and not doing any oil futures trading this month. Once we clear $100.00 per barrel, if we can close above it, then next target $110.00 and im back in the game. But until then, there is some psychological barrier to $100.00...even though it's silly and it's just a number, i'll wait to see what happens. Everyone's fixated on it.

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Abe,

10% return in 10 months is doable, but not easy, especially if you just park it into some funds/stocks. A managed program could work, but fees could be an issue as well.

 

My suggestion is to either do it yourself and keep your expenses very low or settle for less. I'm guessing your experience in Oil and/or China is limited, if any at all. That's a recipe for disaster. Just b/c you want to pop that $10k does not mean you should just throw it somewhere you know little about.

 

You have learned quite a bit trading the YM, so start there. Maybe not just your trading, but something else... I don't know what that something else is, but stick with what you know. You know how the YM moves. You know the margins, risks, etc. You've seen there's plenty of movements lately, so that $1k return could be had in days/weeks. As much as I do not want to say it, a signal calling service could do it. I have ZERO to recommend, but if you find a hot trader right now, you could get that $1k in no time. Just don't get greedy if you do. I am not condoning using a trading service, so please no one mis interrupt that.

 

For illustration sake:

  • $10k could get $500 margins = 20 contracts to trade.

  • Since I don't care for the YM, we will assume the ES is being traded.

  • Goal is $1000 return = 20 ES pts.

  • Need 20 ES pts on ONE contract OR ONE point on 20 contracts.

  • So, there you go - ONE ES pt trading 20 contracts will get you the $1000 return.

  • Doesn't get any easier than that.
    :roll eyes:

 

 

 

Keep in mind that this is a :cool: idea or a :ciao: idea.

 

My point is that the return needed/wanted is very attainable but risk is needed in order to do this.

 

THE ILLUSTRATION ABOVE IS JUST THAT - AN ILLUSTRATION.

BY NO MEANS AM I RECOMMENDING ANYONE DO THIS, INCL ABE.

THIS IS MORE OF A GAMBLE THAN ANYTHING ELSE.

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Thanks Nick. I don't think I can afford a financial adviser. But thanks for the info. By managed funds do you mean mutual funds? Because I hear they are not very good and don't beat the S&P.

 

I'm also interested in an index or commodity. Index might be a bit risky given the economic turmoils. I witnessed the China move and now I see the FXI has come down dramatically. Not sure how correlated it is with China. It seems to me the Chinese are seeing the impact of worsening US economy. But if things turn around the Chinese economy will have the better return. So I was intrigued by the FXI and though it might be a good thing to buy and hold on to in the long turn, not necessarily right now but perhaps after a day's rallie and with stops a bit below the point where it rallied from. Though I don't know anything about the Chinese market and why it is doing what it is doing. In other words, is it something else that caused the FXI to drop so much other than drop in US?

 

And then I also hear about gold and oil which might be a good buy on a dip. These are the markets that intrigue me the most right now. But I'm a beginner so I was wondering what others might think about it. I was also interested to see if it might be better to put the money in a CD or something low risk, but the returns are not much.

 

Abe managed funds are an Australian term for what I guess you would call a mutual fund i.e: you buy units in a fund which then uses your capital to trade and you receive returns via imcome distributions as well as capital appreciation in the unit price.

 

There are many diverse types of funds that can be invested into including geared funds which as the name implies also borrows money to fund investments therefore increasing returns (please note however that gearing whilst being able to increase returns can also increase losses like any leveraged product).

 

If you want exposure to the Chinese sector or commodities then there are plenty of funds available that have weightings in these sectors. The advantage of a fund though is that you get extra diversification to additional sectors that you would find hard to do yourself with only 10k to play with.

 

Eg: A fund that is a China capital growth fund will not be invested 100% in Chinese stocks. Part of the risk will be hedged by investing in US stocks, Japanese stocks, and some in Cash.

 

In terms of getting a financial adviser I don't know how the system works over there in the US but here you can often pay for the advice through your product and not from your own pocket. Say a standard commission rate is 4.5% (you can always get a discount if you're smart, the planner will want your ongoing business and trail commissions more than a few extra hundred bucks up front commission) then on a 10k investment you will have only 9550 going into the markets. You don't pay anything extra from you're pocket. If you find a planner who knows what he is doing he can tailor your investment to suit your needs. If a 10% return over 10 months is what you're after he should choose a fund that has a relatively high income return rate with a capital growth rate that at least meets its benchmark index return. That shouldn't be to hard to do.

 

Conversely if you have the time you can do the research yourself to find the right fund/s that meets your needs and invest directly and save yourself the commissions but that could be costly in terms of time better spend trading! Also if you have limited experience in these fields and not much knowledge of international economics then it may be best to stay clear of these things.

 

Take you're time and make an informed decision.

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Indices are lower risk than commodities I think. Again, if you talk with thinkorswim about their autotrade service, they put your money into trades where direction DOES NOT MATTER. Your trades can make money if price goes up, if price goes down, or if price stays put. Really, check them out.

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Again, if you talk with thinkorswim about their autotrade service, they put your money into trades where direction DOES NOT MATTER.
No disrespect to TG, but from personal experience I would be careful with TOS (Thinkorswim). They are a brokerage that can autotrade based on signals from about 50 newsletters, not all of them reputable. There is no good, easy and independent way to find out which newsletter is profitable. Their autotrade system is also buggy and hard to use when I tried it last year. Some trades which I decided to exit manually was not exited completely in autotrading, so that I ended up net short or net long on what I thought was a flat position.

 

I suspect they also have a conflict of interest with most newsletters in that they may provide lower cost or free trades and other benefits to the principals of such newsletter. In return, perhaps some newsletters tend to have a lot of autotrade signals and generate autotrading commissions for TOS.

 

They also use a simulated stop in their platform, as many brokerages do, so that on rare occasions you get stopped out when the exchange data do not support that stop out. To top it off, they also got my W9 TIN number wrong, so now I have to file another.

 

I am no longer with TOS. Good luck with your endeavor.

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Sorry you had such an experience with them. I've never had anything but amazing experiences, as have 99% of all people I've spoken with.

 

And, per ToS's site, the customer chooses with service they want to have the calls traded from. ToS doesn't make that choice for the customer.

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I would point your activities towards China. The China bull market is in the early stages, it's going to be a long game. Be prepared for big swings though if you are diving in the oil sector, and use good risk management or the gaps in the daily movements will scare you at first.

 

I personally wouldn't go long on the oil sector stocks right now, it's feeling a bit exhausted (this is what I trade every day for position trades). Feel free to PM me if you have any basic questions.

 

The stock markets tough right now in my opinon. I've just been waiting for the very bearish days and have been short selling alot, and not doing any oil futures trading this month. Once we clear $100.00 per barrel, if we can close above it, then next target $110.00 and im back in the game. But until then, there is some psychological barrier to $100.00...even though it's silly and it's just a number, i'll wait to see what happens. Everyone's fixated on it.

 

Thanks Bear. I agree with you. China has a long way to go and it would be a good idea for a long term investment. Oil is interesting to watch but I don't have any experience in it so I will probably stay away from it. And like you said, stocks are tough right now because the market is weak so I'm staying way from them for the moment.

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Abe,

10% return in 10 months is doable, but not easy, especially if you just park it into some funds/stocks. A managed program could work, but fees could be an issue as well.

 

My suggestion is to either do it yourself and keep your expenses very low or settle for less. I'm guessing your experience in Oil and/or China is limited, if any at all. That's a recipe for disaster. Just b/c you want to pop that $10k does not mean you should just throw it somewhere you know little about.

 

You have learned quite a bit trading the YM, so start there. Maybe not just your trading, but something else... I don't know what that something else is, but stick with what you know. You know how the YM moves. You know the margins, risks, etc. You've seen there's plenty of movements lately, so that $1k return could be had in days/weeks. As much as I do not want to say it, a signal calling service could do it. I have ZERO to recommend, but if you find a hot trader right now, you could get that $1k in no time. Just don't get greedy if you do. I am not condoning using a trading service, so please no one mis interrupt that.

 

For illustration sake:

  • $10k could get $500 margins = 20 contracts to trade.

  • Since I don't care for the YM, we will assume the ES is being traded.

  • Goal is $1000 return = 20 ES pts.

  • Need 20 ES pts on ONE contract OR ONE point on 20 contracts.

  • So, there you go - ONE ES pt trading 20 contracts will get you the $1000 return.

  • Doesn't get any easier than that.
    :roll eyes:

 

 

 

Keep in mind that this is a :cool: idea or a :ciao: idea.

 

My point is that the return needed/wanted is very attainable but risk is needed in order to do this.

 

THE ILLUSTRATION ABOVE IS JUST THAT - AN ILLUSTRATION.

BY NO MEANS AM I RECOMMENDING ANYONE DO THIS, INCL ABE.

THIS IS MORE OF A GAMBLE THAN ANYTHING ELSE.

 

Thanks Brownsfan. You guess is right. I don't know much about China or Crude. But China would be easier to understand than Crude, since I've been following it for a few months, so China is in my radars but Crude is mostly something I'm interested in.

 

You have a very fascinating insight on trading the YM to make the money. I have learned alot since watching the YM every day for over 3months but I'm not profitable. But it is an interesting idea because the target can be reached in a few seconds. Though 10% is not a stopping number so if I continue to play the YM then statistically I'm destined to lose.

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Indices are lower risk than commodities I think. Again, if you talk with thinkorswim about their autotrade service, they put your money into trades where direction DOES NOT MATTER. Your trades can make money if price goes up, if price goes down, or if price stays put. Really, check them out.

 

Thanks Tin. Can you tell more about your experience with ThinkorSwim? Is options the way to go with them, b/c I don't know the first thing about options.

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No disrespect to TG, but from personal experience I would be careful with TOS (Thinkorswim). They are a brokerage that can autotrade based on signals from about 50 newsletters, not all of them reputable. There is no good, easy and independent way to find out which newsletter is profitable. Their autotrade system is also buggy and hard to use when I tried it last year. Some trades which I decided to exit manually was not exited completely in autotrading, so that I ended up net short or net long on what I thought was a flat position.

 

I suspect they also have a conflict of interest with most newsletters in that they may provide lower cost or free trades and other benefits to the principals of such newsletter. In return, perhaps some newsletters tend to have a lot of autotrade signals and generate autotrading commissions for TOS.

 

They also use a simulated stop in their platform, as many brokerages do, so that on rare occasions you get stopped out when the exchange data do not support that stop out. To top it off, they also got my W9 TIN number wrong, so now I have to file another.

 

I am no longer with TOS. Good luck with your endeavor.

 

Thanks for the input thrunner

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Options can be very difficult to grasp at first. I've been at it for over 2 years and still know there's TONS of stuff i don't know. I love learning though, and will always continue on with options. So...yes, it's difficult at first to grasp. That's why I say to look into an autotrade service. On their website is a list of services you can subscribe to and have ToS autotrade those recommendations for you if you choose. If you're looking for a way to gain 10% in 10 months on 10k...I don't know that the possibilities are limitless, ya know. It'll be tough, but plenty of people out there can do it and do make that. Just a matter of finding them. Talk with ToS and see what they have to say. Cant hurt just talking to them, right?

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their website is a list of services you can subscribe to and have ToS autotrade those recommendations for you if you choose

Thanks for the info TG, I was wondering if you could provide a list or even one newsletter or service, including the fees, that you have positive experience. The difficulty for the OP would certainly be choosing the right one and factor in the fees. For example, a newsletter could charge $1000 per year, so even with 10% return in a year, with newsletter fees and commissions, you may end up with zero gain or even losses for a 10K account.

The problem with TOS in my opinion is that they don't screen the list of services as far as I can see:

THINKORSWIM DOES NOT REVIEW TRADE ADVISORS EXPERIENCE, CREDENTIALS, PERFORMANCE OR ANY OTHER FACTORS RELATING TO THE TRADE ADVISORY SERVICES OR QUALIFICATIONS. THINKORSWIM DOES NOT RATE, RANK OR ENDORSE ANY OF THE TRADE ADVISORY SERVICES IN THE AUTOTRADE PROGRAM

 

There are other autotrading services that attempt to do some performance evaluation: eg., attaincapital or collective2

I am not going to link them because I am not really advocating either or any of these services. I am just trying to point out the pitfalls of autotrading. If the OP would like to know which TOS autotrade newsletter to avoid, please PM me.

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I'll gladly give one to avoid - BIGTRENDS.COM

 

No idea if they are on TOS or not, but they suck.

 

:did I say that?:

 

 

I'll have to write up a review sometime here to hopefully save a few souls from my mistakes.

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The Redoption one is a letter I get a daily recap of, and the trades that he talks about that he's stalking and then ones he gets stopped out of and all that...very nice trades. Any others I don't have experience with.

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Despite last week’s Core PCE Price Index rising to its highest level since February 2024, the US Dollar has been unable to see any significant rise in value. Due to the US Dollar and Gold's inverse correlation, the price of Gold is benefiting from the Dollar weakness. Investors worry that new trade barriers will prompt retaliatory measures from China, the Eurozone, and Japan, potentially escalating the conflict. Experts at The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. believe that such actions by the US administration will drive rising inflation and unemployment while effectively halting economic growth in the country. Can Gold Maintain Momentum? When it comes to technical analysis, the price of Gold is not trading at a price where oscillators are indicating the instrument is overbought. The Relative Strength Index currently trades at 68.88, outside of the overbought area, since Gold’s price fell 0.65% during this morning’s session. However, even with this decline, the price still remains 0.40% higher than the day’s open price. In terms of fundamental analysis, there continues to be plenty of factors indicating the price could continue to rise. However, the price movement of the week will also partially depend on the employment data from the US. The US is due to release the JOLTS Job Vacancies for February this afternoon, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change tomorrow, and the NFP Change and Unemployment Rate on Friday. If all data reads higher than expectations, investors may look to sell to lock in profits at the high price. Key Takeaway Points: Gold’s Rally Continues – Up 17% in 2025 as investors seek safety from inflation, recession fears, and trade tensions. Trade War Impact – New US tariffs and potential retaliation from China, the EU, and Japan drive uncertainty, boosting Gold demand. Weak US Dollar – The Dollar’s struggle supports Gold’s rise due to their inverse correlation. Gold’s Outlook – Uptrend may continue, but US jobs data could trigger profit-taking. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 31st March 2025.   Trump Confirms Tariffs on All Countries, Sending Stocks Lower.   The NASDAQ continues to trade lower due to the US confirming the latest tariffs will be on all countries. In addition to this, bearish volatility also is largely due to the higher inflation data from Friday. The NASDAQ declines to its lowest price since September 11th 2024. Core PCE Price Index - Inflation Increases Again! The PCE Price Index read 2.5% aligning with expert forecasts not triggering any alarm bells. However, the Core PCE Price Index rose from 0.3% to 0.4% MoM and from 2.7% to 2.8% YoY, signalling growing inflationary pressure. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. The NASDAQ fell 2.60% due to the higher inflation reading which is known to pressure the stock market due to pressure on consumer demand and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently commented that tariffs could drive up inflation, though the long-term impact remains uncertain. She told journalists that a short-term spike is the most probable outcome but believes the current pause in monetary policy adjustments is appropriate given the prevailing uncertainties. Although, certain investment banks such as JP Morgan actually believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates. This is due to expectations that the economy will struggle under the new trade policy. For example, JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts but will quickly cut towards the end of 2025. Market Risk Appetite Takes a Hit! A big factor for the day is the drop in the risk appetite of investors. This can be seen from the VIX which is up almost 6%, Gold which is trading 1.30% higher and the Japanese Yen which is the day’s best performing currency. Most safe haven assets, bar the US Dollar, increase in value. It is also worth noting that all indices are decreasing in value during this morning's Asian session with the Nikkei225 and NASDAQ witnessing the strongest decline. Previously the stock market rose in value as investors heard rumours that tariffs would only be on certain countries. This bullish swing occurred between March 14th and 25th. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump indicated that the upcoming tariffs would apply to all countries, not just those with the largest trade imbalances with the US. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ continues to obtain indications that sellers control the price action. The price opens on a bearish price gap measuring 0.30% and trades below all Moving Averages on all timeframes. The NASDAQ also trades below the VWAP and almost 100% of the most influential components (stocks) are declining in value.     The next significant support level is at $18,313, and the resistance level stands at $20,367.95. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ falls to its lowest since September 2024 as the US confirms tariffs on all countries, adding to inflation concerns. Core PCE inflation rises to 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY, increasing the likelihood of prolonged high interest rates. Investor risk appetite drops as VIX jumps 6%, gold gains 1.3%, and safe-haven assets outperform. NASDAQ shows strong bearish momentum, trading below key technical levels with support at $18,313 and resistance at $20,367.95. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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