Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Today was a great day for trading the breakout and buying it back off support at the bottom of newly forming 4hr trend channel. If it breaks up above 1.4150 I would start looking for a place to get short on a retest of the the highs or at one of the fibo retracement levels on the attached chart. If I were to get long I would prefer waiting for price to return back to the 1.4050 area as most breakouts are false breakouts. At least on the first attempts. Look for a pullback to buy into if you see a place to get long. From a long term trading perspective, I'm still bearish and will look to short rallies. Expect a lot of volatility and two way trading opportunities until we get a break lower. Remember that it's Friday so don't over extend yourself. Trade light so you can relax over the weekend. There will always be another trade. Just have a little patience.

euro4h.jpg.dc51f73acaf88a647460c926a02b2976.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The eur/usd came down into the buy zone and made a low of 1.4014 this week before rebounding up to 1.4169. Hopefully, you were able to spot this setup from my previous post on Friday. I would start looking to sell around 1.4170-1.4200.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The previous sell at the 1.4170 area worked out nicely. Support entered the market around 1.4125 where it consolidated most of the day and then rallied higher during the London session. I am now looking to short once again around the 1.4200-1.4250 Value Levels.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The previous sell setup around the 1.4200-1.4250 worked out well for about 50-80 pips depending on the entry. There were a few opportunities at shorting in that area. Since Friday, price has been consolidating at support, 1.4150, which was a great place to add to your longs. That won’t be the focus of this post since I didn’t get a message sent out about that setup. I am now looking to short between the 1.4250-1.4300 area. Adjust stops on any longs you’re holding and let them work. The funny thing about trends is that they are persistent and take awhile to turn around. Nevertheless, there are many great counter-trend opportunities if you know what to look for. Just don’t hold on to them as long as you would a trend trade.

euro4hs.jpg.5ecafbd8543c42829393226512858491.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The euro rally has continued nicely. I would keep looking to buy dips for the time being, possibly around 1.4250. I'll confirm that Value Level when price is near it. In the meantime, if you want a countertrend trade, look to sell the euro between 1.4370-1.4400.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The quick post feature has been freezing up on me and I just noticed my message from Friday wasn't posted. Here it is.

 

10-26-07

The euro has been stagnant into the close as traders take off for the weekend. The cable had a similar setup as the euro and fell off about 100 pips. I am still expecting a correction on the euro so keep looking to sell into this rally. Especially, if it shoots up to 1.4450. Don’t get suckered into that move and get caught buying a top. Wait for a correction to get positioned. Have a great weekend!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not much has happened today in the way of new setup. Overnight the euro popped up briefly to 1.4437, just shy of 1.4450 that I mentioned on Friday before trickling back down to 1.4376 where it found support. I would still hold the longs from below since volatility increases at new highs/lows. At the same time, I’m looking for a new short entry during the next trading sessions when trading activity increases. My initial target Value Levels to short are: 1.4450-1.4500. I’ll revise the numbers if this changes during the next trading sessions.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  FXTrader said:
The quick post feature has been freezing up on me and I just noticed my message from Friday wasn't posted. Here it is.

 

Hi FXTrader, thanks for your posts, that happens to me sometimes as well. I simply switch to advanced editor and then the posts seem to go through.

Coincidence or solution? Dunno but works for me.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  Sparrow said:
Hi FXTrader, thanks for your posts, that happens to me sometimes as well. I simply switch to advanced editor and then the posts seem to go through.

Coincidence or solution? Dunno but works for me.

 

Ya, I ended up using the advanced editor this last time and it went through fine.

 

Btw, the euro has dropped back down near previous support in the 1.4380 area. Watch this area closely into the London session. There may a place to get long again down there that could drive price up into the sell zone I mentioned earlier. Stay tuned...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The euro made its way back to 1.4430 where it died down. The market appears to be waiting for the flurry of data coming out during the London and US session on Wednesday. I prefer waiting for the market to show a little more life before entering. Keep holding the longs from below in case we get a break higher.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The short setup from Friday played out for about 50-70 pips depending on how the trade was managed. Since then price has rallied higher. This is exactly why I’ve been saying to hold onto the longs while we take some countertrend trades. Talk about little extra icing on the cake! I am looking to short the euro between 1.4660-1.4700.

5aa70e1cade44_Euro11-06-07.jpg.7d867a83da7db2d37fe545de4d39b832.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Where do you see first line (potential) supports hitting on your sell reccomm's FXT?

 

4670-90?...4620?....harder back to 4570 initial?

 

Just trying to get a handle on your geography, timezone.

 

Good thread.

 

gl & gt.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You join the (Mid-East & Asian) bargain hunters down at your .4780 top line support earlier hotshots?

 

They sure don't want to let this rag go huh!

 

Nice bounce & kick off the well lit s&r zones on EU/YEN. That's the sweetheart (+ Geppy) to be on this week.

 

'Gun em & run em' Annie Oakley - just don't let Krantzy loose, he'll want to marry em :o :helloooo:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  milliard said:
You join the (Mid-East & Asian) bargain hunters down at your .4780 top line support earlier hotshots?

 

'Gun em & run em' Annie Oakley - just don't let Krantzy loose, he'll want to marry em :o :helloooo:

 

Naaahh, quiet day really.

 

No more Euro purchases today here. Just lightened up into Frankfurt & left the stops loose. Happy to watch it loll around up here.

 

Yeah, another fine 162.5 to 160.5 ladder run. Wasn’t on it unfortunately, but agree, those 2 pairs off their respective levels, are home runs this week. Nice fast money in the bank.

 

Art won’t hold anything beginning with a Y since 111.50. BoJ officials are hitting the mic (again) & beginning to jawbone in droves this week as Yen pops thru 110.

 

They’re ok as intraday bets, but he’ll let the bravehearts hold the size at these levels.

 

Reckon they’ll try spook some of these lazy, nervy European longs into the w/end maybe? A long overdue shakeout?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hard to say. Volumes are light to the tune of 40% stepping into NY today. No doubt they'll be a few 'whack jobs' attempting to mug the liquidity while every other sane citizen is stuffing turkey into their gobs.

 

I don't ( & doubt you do either) give a whole sack of s*** whether it tanks or pumps. It'll get re-calibrated when we get back to the monitors next week.

 

If it pumps we'll be sinking bigger bottles of Dom P for coffee breaks .....if it tanks, just blame Krantz :o

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Some of the pairs look very interesting for hold over the weekend but not sure with the light volume for today and tomorrow if it's advisable. I'm going to try with a small position and wider stop to be sure I won't get stopped out. Any observations on this one?

 

USDJPY-CONFIRMING-BREAKDOWN.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Thx for reminding us... I don't bang that drum often enough anymore Another part for consideration is who that money initially went to...
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.