Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Soultrader

Prime Minister Abe Resigns (Japan)

Recommended Posts

Article is located here: http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/09/12/abe.resign/index.html

 

One of the problems with the stagnation of the Japanese markets is due to constant policital uncertainty. Prime minister Abe's resignation will add further pressure on the markets.

 

Upon his announcement the Nikkei made a monster rally. :shrug: Lifting on enormous momentum. This was the first over reaction. The second wave of reaction pounded the Nikkei to new lows where it stabilized for the rest of the day. I found this quite interesting.

 

It will be interesting to see what sort of effect it will have on the US markets. There is a possibility that foreign money will be withdrawn from the Japanese markets, hence could add fuel to other markets including the US.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yes there is going to be uncertainty at a time that is not good for the markets globally.

 

Modern Japanese polititians face some impossible challenges.

One of them is how to go down in the history books as something other than a failure. After WW2 Japan adopted a "25 year plan" for industrialization.

It was the greatest economic success of the last century. In cars and in electronics Japan showed the rest of the world how to do it better.

 

It was a unique plan, a partnership between government and industry to work together with a business plan. Every other country staggered along with no plan and got what it deserved, just as Japan got what it deserved.

 

Japanese polititians and industry leaders stand in the shadows of visionary giants, in comparison they must see themselves as lacking.

 

But it could be worse, try being a polititian in Russia. Do you see something like a 25 year plan in action there, or something more like a road to nowhere?

 

For better or worse, Japan also showed the rest of the world how to follow its example. China and India now work towards industrialization but in bringing themselves out of the third world, they risk bringing the first world downwards for the first time in history.

 

This generation of Americans is the first to have a lower standard of living than their parents. Japan and the rest of the developed world face that future too.

 

If you go back further in history, the rise of the Greek then Roman cultures was followed by a collapse into the Dark Ages and then came the renaissance from which the modern world regrew.

 

Has the first world reached its peak and from here on, is there a slide until some culture comes up with an answer, a new 25 year plan?

I see no great vision on the horizon.

 

Where are the likes of the great American leaders now?

Why does the world face decay for lack of a vision?

Why have we had 30 years of braindead clueless polititians?

Are we about to get what we deserve, the reward for being a TV junkie couch potato, brain dead and going nowhere, a B grade movie for a future?

 

Or maybe I should have just said yes, the markets seem to be waiting to see which way to jump next. We live in interesting times.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Very interesting thoughts PYenner. I recently also had a similar conversation with a trading buddy about how Japan may be in the direction of being eliminated as a first world country. I can not vision this country blooming in the future.

 

Our markets are below what was the high over a decade ago. We are smack in a middle of a market crisis. Subprime issues is just a small crack in an already broken down market.

 

However, I like to see things positively. Even in the worst and chaotic times for the market there is always an opportunity for traders somewhere.

 

Its interesting to see how the US is flipping out when suddently China's military starts to get big or how Russia tested the world’s most powerful non-nuclear air-delivered bomb. Or blaming Iran for its lack of progress in Iraq. (or maybe its just Bush) Definitely fear amongst the leading nations of our time. And whats funny is how the media tries to have people forget about all the market chaos, Iraq, political issues, etc... by hyping out how fat Britney Spears was on her comeback. That article was actually the most popular on CNN when it first came out. Unbelievable.

 

I also find it amusing how Prime Minsiter Abe checked himself into a hospital and will remain their for the next few days due to a physical problem. So much BS and just running away from his problems as a failed prime minister. It just shows how weak and irresponsible our Japanese leader really was.

 

We indeed live in some interesting times.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Abe didn't last too long in the job didn't he, only less then a year after Koizumi? I'm not sure if he came to APEC here in Australia.

 

What we need in many countries is a group of leaders with real vision. The best we could do here in Australia was the "Work choices" legislation which effectively sent our work place relations system back to the late 1700's!

 

I don't think we will really see any dramatic shift in political strategy and policy untill people in my generation become old enough to get into seats of power. The old Baby Boomers are still in power and they don't want to give up. These people are still ruling states based upon the old realist ideals of the all powerfull state in a very cold war mind set...its us versus the rest!

 

P

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Was Abe expected to last long? I don't know much about Japan's politics, but when he came to power, I was concern that he favored military buildup. It is interesting, at that time, my wife (Japanese) told me not to worry about Abe, because he is just temporary there, to fill the gap until election and will not last long. She is not too interested in politics, so that information must have been "known fact".

 

Re world vision, there is one and it is not pretty... listen to this presentation and some of the recent changes in labor law, security, etc will be seen in the different light...

Naomi Klein - The Shock Doctrine 6 part presentation..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
What we need in many countries is a group of leaders with real vision. The best we could do here in Australia was the "Work choices" legislation which effectively sent our work place relations system back to the late 1700's!

 

I don't think we will really see any dramatic shift in political strategy and policy untill people in my generation become old enough to get into seats of power. The old Baby Boomers are still in power and they don't want to give up. These people are still ruling states based upon the old realist ideals of the all powerfull state in a very cold war mind set...its us versus the rest!

 

P

Hi Nick

Yeah this Kiwi thought many times about flying the Tasman.

Then I read in the paper that the Aus government is talking about going down the same destructive road NZ just went down. Can't win. May still quit this country yet.

 

I am a baby boomer, I used to think my generation would make a difference but what we got was 30 years of vultures in commerce and twisted individuals in politics. They were not like us, they were damaged goods, wierdos mostly. Few of them were what I would call healthy people.

 

Another good thing about boomers getting to retirement age is that there should be a labour shortage and that should see wages and labour laws improving. But how you tax payers will fund our hospitals, rest homes and pensions hehe, thats going to be interesting. Maybe you should export your boomers to NZ...

 

I hope you do get some healthy people into power, coz I might come join you if that happens.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I recently also had a similar conversation with a trading buddy about how Japan may be in the direction of being eliminated as a first world country. I can not vision this country blooming in the future.

 

However, I like to see things positively. Even in the worst and chaotic times for the market there is always an opportunity for traders somewhere.

 

Yes there should be hope for traders.

 

We get nothing in our news about Asia.

I see the future of Japan and US as important, where they go the rest will follow.

 

Britain survived the collapse of its industry by turning to commerce and insurance but that does not seem like much of a solution for the rest of the first world. But once you take away manufacturing, thats about what you are left with.

 

It would be very bad for all of us if Japan slips out of first world any faster than the rest of us.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi Nick

Yeah this Kiwi thought many times about flying the Tasman.

Then I read in the paper that the Aus government is talking about going down the same destructive road NZ just went down. Can't win. May still quit this country yet.

 

I am a baby boomer, I used to think my generation would make a difference but what we got was 30 years of vultures in commerce and twisted individuals in politics. They were not like us, they were damaged goods, wierdos mostly. Few of them were what I would call healthy people.

 

Another good thing about boomers getting to retirement age is that there should be a labour shortage and that should see wages and labour laws improving. But how you tax payers will fund our hospitals, rest homes and pensions hehe, thats going to be interesting. Maybe you should export your boomers to NZ...

 

I hope you do get some healthy people into power, coz I might come join you if that happens.

 

In Australia about 14 years ago superannuation became compulsory as the Labor government at the time realised that the Baby Boomer generation will cause a huge strain on the tax funded pension system. Currently you must contribute 9% of your gross salary into superannuation every year. Despite 14 years of these contributions people still find themselves in a positon where they are still unable to be self funded retirees. I work in the financial planning industry so I've seen a lot of this. As the grey dollar becomes more and more important the strain on the Gen X and Y'ers will grow. Soon the i-pod generation will feel it as well when the Gen X'ers start to reach 55 years of age.

 

It will be interesting to see now what happens with the elections this year. John Howard still hasn't called them yet but he's just announced that should he be re-elected he will retire within a couple of years leaving the way open for our Treasurer, Peter Costello, to become our new PM. I hate both the major parties so I'm gonna donkey vote an independent!

 

The Asia/Pacific region is becoming the new major player in world politics and economics driven forward by Japan, China, South Korea, and Australia. Will be an interesting time in the next 20 years untill my generation is firmly entrenched in power ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 31st March 2025.   Trump Confirms Tariffs on All Countries, Sending Stocks Lower.   The NASDAQ continues to trade lower due to the US confirming the latest tariffs will be on all countries. In addition to this, bearish volatility also is largely due to the higher inflation data from Friday. The NASDAQ declines to its lowest price since September 11th 2024. Core PCE Price Index - Inflation Increases Again! The PCE Price Index read 2.5% aligning with expert forecasts not triggering any alarm bells. However, the Core PCE Price Index rose from 0.3% to 0.4% MoM and from 2.7% to 2.8% YoY, signalling growing inflationary pressure. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. The NASDAQ fell 2.60% due to the higher inflation reading which is known to pressure the stock market due to pressure on consumer demand and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently commented that tariffs could drive up inflation, though the long-term impact remains uncertain. She told journalists that a short-term spike is the most probable outcome but believes the current pause in monetary policy adjustments is appropriate given the prevailing uncertainties. Although, certain investment banks such as JP Morgan actually believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates. This is due to expectations that the economy will struggle under the new trade policy. For example, JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts but will quickly cut towards the end of 2025. Market Risk Appetite Takes a Hit! A big factor for the day is the drop in the risk appetite of investors. This can be seen from the VIX which is up almost 6%, Gold which is trading 1.30% higher and the Japanese Yen which is the day’s best performing currency. Most safe haven assets, bar the US Dollar, increase in value. It is also worth noting that all indices are decreasing in value during this morning's Asian session with the Nikkei225 and NASDAQ witnessing the strongest decline. Previously the stock market rose in value as investors heard rumours that tariffs would only be on certain countries. This bullish swing occurred between March 14th and 25th. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump indicated that the upcoming tariffs would apply to all countries, not just those with the largest trade imbalances with the US. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ continues to obtain indications that sellers control the price action. The price opens on a bearish price gap measuring 0.30% and trades below all Moving Averages on all timeframes. The NASDAQ also trades below the VWAP and almost 100% of the most influential components (stocks) are declining in value.     The next significant support level is at $18,313, and the resistance level stands at $20,367.95. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ falls to its lowest since September 2024 as the US confirms tariffs on all countries, adding to inflation concerns. Core PCE inflation rises to 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY, increasing the likelihood of prolonged high interest rates. Investor risk appetite drops as VIX jumps 6%, gold gains 1.3%, and safe-haven assets outperform. NASDAQ shows strong bearish momentum, trading below key technical levels with support at $18,313 and resistance at $20,367.95. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • PM Philip Morris stock, top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?PM
    • EXC Exelon stock, nice range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?EXC
    • UTZ Utz Brands stock, watch for a bottom breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?UTZ
    • FL Foot Locker stock, nice breakdown follow through at https://stockconsultant.com/?FL
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.