Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

walterw

The "Second Wave" Trade

Recommended Posts

Ok... I started this Forex research on june 18 with my first forex research thread, things evolved to the FHR trades and now I hope I can evolve to even better territories where I expect to see some of the topics already dealed being optimized here... I smell that this probably will be my final method for forex... I am going to call it the "Second Wave" trade... because I plan to trade the second wave or second attempt on a move...

 

It will have a nice combo of FHR + Icon trade, if it sounds unfamiliar this are the threads that deal with detail on the topics (I suggest reading to understand this thread better) http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f24/walter-s-first-forex-research-various-1916.html http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f24/the-fhr-trades-1976.html

 

There is no doubt that market moves in waves, from there on lots of analyst had developed methods based in waves, from elliot to some other derivated analisis of waves... I am no elliotician and dont pretend to be it, I like things more simple... I did present on the futures forum the "abc" trades http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f34/the-abc-trade-1940.html wich actually refer to this second wave price structure... it is a PRICE STRUCTURE that keeps happening over and over again... you will see it in any market any time frame... looks like a kindergarten chart...

attachment.php?attachmentid=2095&stc=1&d=1185686511

 

well that level of simplicity should any trader reach on his career... too complex setups will not necesarilly make you more profitable...

 

What does this graph means ? well basicly three things:

 

1) First Wave... the market shows a first intention... he may "probably" want to go there...

 

2) Pullback He has waves, cant go there on the first move... has to take a rest (but his original intentions are still there)

 

3) Second Wave... he resumes and continues with his intentions... and here is the habitat of our business... the second wave, his second attempt on his original intentions...

 

Now, its hard to see this some times... the very trained eye of an old seasoned trader may see it at a glance, but not the new trader or the left brained (me)... so here comes some tricks in order to be able to see this formations in an easier way...

 

CONTEXT... context can do that for as, and this context also can give us some edge if we understand some other crucial facts about the market.

 

Markets have centrifugal and centripetal action in relationship to key ranges areas be it from MP or S&R analisis x time range, etc.. centrifugal normally brings momentum, while centripetal refers to cycle... wich finally gives us two clear clasifications of the market... Trending or cycling...

attachment.php?attachmentid=2096&stc=1&d=1185687271

 

This is happening all the time... market is expanding to the outside or playing inside this ranges...

 

SO ¡¡ first we must then decide what range are we taking into acct... there are numerous ways of doing this, you can use MP valua areas, pivots, x time ranges... etc, but deciding normally for one to keep things simple... in this case I will be using the x time range, wich takes the low and the high of a given time and creates a range... so far I am using the range of the first 3 hours previous to London open (thanks to Don)... so there we have the range...

 

What can happen in relationship to this range ? well we can take off to the outside OR we can refresh to the inside...

 

So here comes the combination of this context Range/centrifugal/centripetal with my 2nd wave price structure they both will combine two series of very independent and powerfull concepts all together in one setup...

attachment.php?attachmentid=2099&stc=1&d=1185688659

 

 

So here things start to take more color... you can notice that we combine a very intersting series of concepts all sinergized for one clear purpose, make our way on a simple trade.

 

I will keep explaining on next post... cheers Walter.

5aa70de91ba89_2ndWave.thumb.png.dead52a705b9ae629fbf20d5afaa3226.png

5aa70de92124e_centrifugalcentripetal.thumb.png.1a16498a6b975123f85a159361acc51a.png

5aa70de926ed4_wavesinrange.thumb.png.8a022110ec97b1e52a0facd6e9e5bee0.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

OK... so far I had explained the overall concept of what I am trying to do here... Now I will try to explain how this trade setups...

 

So far we have two diferent setups situations here.. one is centrifugal and the other one is centripetal...

 

For now lets get strated with the centrifugal one...

 

What starts the setup ? well a break of the Range... this break will be considered the first wave... after that we expect the pullback and prepare to get in the second wave... so this would be the secuence :

 

 

1) Break of Range = First Wave

 

2) Pullback

 

3) continuation on the Second Wave...

 

 

On this graph you can see how this is formed :

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=2101&stc=1&d=1185733721

 

 

I still want to work with fixed targets, and I like the 10 pips target...

 

So we have a very simple setup here... lets asume this one could also work a 50/50... ( I think it may have a better than that performance )well it should still be profitable as the target has to be higher than the stop giving us a very nice RRR...

 

And here I attach a first real world example :

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=2102&stc=1&d=1185733959

 

there are a lot of details to add... I will keep posting... cheers Walter.

5aa70de935a4d_2ndwavecentrifugalsecuence.thumb.png.9f6719fc552daef3d22768a70249cd21.png

5aa70de93a889_secondwave1.thumb.png.f0f0af230b0cfb6cc8bbc50a53524f7c.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I believe looking for a 50% fib retracment is the most consistent way to play these setups. It's tempting to get in too early only to have the market retrace more and stop you out, or to wait to long and then chase. But consistently waiting for the 50% seems the ticket.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I believe looking for a 50% fib retracment is the most consistent way to play these setups. It's tempting to get in too early only to have the market retrace more and stop you out, or to wait to long and then chase. But consistently waiting for the 50% seems the ticket.

 

Yes it could be used, but so far I am trying to keep it simple... it would really get more complicated to determine wich levels etc to use.. here cci can give a nice entry and go for a hit or a scratch... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
And the third video with a real world example.... cheers Walter.

 

Is this a shock wave file, walter? I can't get my computer to view it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Very nice walter, It seems simple but we will see!!:D Only kidding!

 

Nice info Walter. Thanks man.

 

Glad to hear that... there is much more to come... all interactions as usual are welcome... this is an open research and remember I am not teaching any proven or closed method "yet"... this are clean ideas... and they had been done thanks to the help of all your interactions my dear forum friends for wich I am so greatfull... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just to follow along with Walter and Don's great work, here's how the GBPUSD acted this morning.

 

Entry nice and swift, no heat taken really and in and out in 5-6 minutes, target hit.

 

Nice work, keep those videos coming

 

 

Cheers......Blu-Ray

2ndwave.thumb.png.c71cfb1559fb509521c3aa4172b1e55c.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Great Blu-Ray ¡¡ I see you are a fast learner ¡¡

 

System looks nice and I hope during this week I will be testing at least 1 year worth of data... results from that test will give more strength to this aproach... nice to have you aboard Blu-Ray, are does charts TS ? cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Walter

 

Yes, I'm using TS, it's good because I can just code a paintbar to visually see the zero line cross on the cci, but it does have the downsides, as I can't find the same cci as the one your using ( T3 smooth ).

 

Anyway, it's nice to be onboard:)

 

Blu-Ray

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Walter

 

Yes, I'm using TS, it's good because I can just code a paintbar to visually see the zero line cross on the cci, but it does have the downsides, as I can't find the same cci as the one your using ( T3 smooth ).

 

Anyway, it's nice to be onboard:)

 

Blu-Ray

 

Let me see if I can program one for you... give me some time... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 22nd November 2024.   BTC flirts with $100K, Stocks higher, Eurozone PMI signals recession risk.   Asia & European Sessions:   Geopolitical risks are back in the spotlight on fears of escalation in the Ukraine-Russia after Russia reportedly used a new ICBM to retaliate against Ukraine’s use of US and UK made missiles to attack inside Russia. The markets continue to assess the election results as President-elect Trump fills in his cabinet choices, with the key Treasury Secretary spot still open. The Fed’s rate path continues to be debated with a -25 bp December cut seen as 50-50. Earnings season is coming to an end after mixed reports, though AI remains a major driver. Profit taking and rebalancing into year-end are adding to gyrations too. Wall Street rallied, led by the Dow’s 1.06% broadbased pop. The S&P500 advanced 0.53% and the NASDAQ inched up 0.03%. Asian stocks rose after  Nvidia’s rally. Nikkei added 1% to 38,415.32 after the Tokyo inflation data slowed to 2.3% in October from 2.5% in the prior month, reaching its lowest level since January. The rally was also supported by chip-related stocks tracked Nvidia. Overnight-indexed swaps indicate that it’s certain the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut its policy rate by 50 basis points on Nov. 27, with a 22% chance of a 75 basis points reduction. European stocks futures climbed even though German Q3 GDP growth revised down to 0.1% q/q from the 0.2% q/q reported initially. Cryptocurrency market has gained approximately $1 trillion since Trump’s victory in the Nov. 5 election. Recent announcement for the SEC boosted cryptos. Chair Gary Gensler will step down on January 20, the day Trump is set to be inaugurated. Gensler has pushed for more protections for crypto investors. MicroStrategy Inc.’s plans to accelerate purchases of the token, and the debut of options on US Bitcoin ETFs also support this rally. Trump’s transition team has begun discussions on the possibility of creating a new White House position focused on digital asset policy.     Financial Markets Performance: The US Dollar recovered overnight and closed at 107.00. Bitcoin currently at 99,300,  flirting with a run toward the 100,000 level. The EURUSD drifts below 1.05, the GBPUSD dips to June’s bottom at 1.2570, while USDJPY rebounded to 154.94. The AUDNZD spiked to 2-year highs amid speculation the RBNZ will cut the official cash rate by more than 50 bps next week. Oil surged 2.12% to $70.46. Gold spiked to 2,697 after escalation alerts between Russia and Ukraine. Heightened geopolitical tensions drove investors toward safe-haven assets. Gold has surged by 30% this year. Haven demand balanced out the pressure from a strong USD following mixed US labor data. Silver rose 0.9% to 31.38, while palladium increased by 0.9% to 1,040.85 per ounce. Platinum remained unchanged. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • A few trending stocks at support BAM MNKD RBBN at https://stockconsultant.com/?MNKD
    • BMBL Bumble stock watch, pull back to 7.94 support area with high trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?BMBL
    • LUMN Lumen Technologies stock watch, pull back to 7.43 support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?LUMN
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.