Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

walterw

Is YM the next Russell ?

Recommended Posts

I dont know if Ym traders had noticed an incremented volatilty in this emini... (its moving like a bronco, similar to russell) could this be related to some traders migration from Russell to ym ? due to the changes russell has in front...

 

If some noticed this... please I would like to hear their comments... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't think it's at all related. It's the underlying stocks that really move these markets and we're just seeing volatility as the massive up move consolidates. We're seeing the same thing in ES and NQ.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I don't think it's at all related. It's the underlying stocks that really move these markets and we're just seeing volatility as the massive up move consolidates. We're seeing the same thing in ES and NQ.

 

 

Ok.. thats what I want to confirm, because I am following Ym at this time and I am not that familiar with it, thought I see great action going on here...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
It's more volatile than it's been for the past couple of months but less volatile than February/March. Just business as usual...

 

 

How about compared to 2006 ? do you see an overall higher volatilty ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I see volatility the same as 2006 - volatile during consolidation but then a slow steady grind higher. It might appear more volatile because a 1% daily range of 13500 is 135 while a 1% daily range of 12000 is only 120.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I see volatility the same as 2006 - volatile during consolidation but then a slow steady grind higher. It might appear more volatile because a 1% daily range of 13500 is 135 while a 1% daily range of 12000 is only 120.

 

Thats a good point... Do you think that during the transition of russell Ym could see more volume ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think the 2 contracts are too different. YM is large cap, Russell is small cap. YM is ECBOT, Russell was Globex. I think the Russell will be traded on both Globex and ICE for a while so there'll be plenty of time for traders to make the transition. If anything I think Russell traders will be looking at other Globex futures to trade.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest cooter

NO.

 

The EMD S&P MidCap400 is.

 

Point/tick values on the YM are too small to compare to the ER - or EMD, for that matter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
NO.

 

The EMD S&P MidCap400 is.

 

Point/tick values on the YM are too small to compare to the ER - or EMD, for that matter.

 

Hi cooter, I never really payed attention to this one, how is liquidity and range here ?...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest cooter
Hi cooter, I never really payed attention to this one, how is liquidity and range here ?...

 

Strictly a daytrading vehicle.

 

Good range, but slippage is a matter of concern, given that the volume is comparatively low, with spread up to 3 ticks wide - so approach with caution.

 

If you are comfortable with the ER2, then it might be worth looking at - otherwise, for most folks, wait unless the volume picks up (assuming a push by the CME is made to have it replace the Russell).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Strictly a daytrading vehicle.

 

Good range, but slippage is a matter of concern, given that the volume is comparatively low, with spread up to 3 ticks wide - so approach with caution.

 

If you are comfortable with the ER2, then it might be worth looking at - otherwise, for most folks, wait unless the volume picks up (assuming a push by the CME is made to have it replace the Russell).

 

 

I am looking a chart right now of it and its very similar to er... only still doesnt have much liquidity yet... will be interesting to see if rusell traders will migrate to this one as it so similar... thanks Cooter for this information wich is very usefull indeed... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 3rd April 2025.   Gold Prices Pull Back After Record High as Traders Eye Trump’s Tariffs.   Key Takeaways:   Gold prices retreated after hitting a record high of $3,167.57 per ounce due to profit-taking. President Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all US imports, escalating trade tensions. Gold remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Investors await US non-farm payroll data for further market direction. Fed rate cut bets and weaker US Treasury yields underpin gold’s bullish outlook. Gold Prices Retreat from Record Highs Amid Profit-Taking Gold prices saw a pullback on Thursday as traders opted to take profits following a historic surge. Spot gold declined 0.4% to $3,122.10 per ounce as of 0710 GMT, retreating from its fresh all-time high of $3,167.57. Meanwhile, US gold futures slipped 0.7% to $3,145.00 per ounce, reflecting broader market uncertainty over economic and geopolitical developments.   The recent rally was largely fueled by concerns over escalating trade tensions after President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping new import tariffs. The 10% baseline tariff on all goods entering the US further deepened the global trade conflict, intensifying investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, as traders locked in gains from the surge, prices saw a modest retracement.   Trump’s Tariffs and Their Market Implications On Wednesday, Trump introduced a sweeping tariff policy imposing a 10% baseline duty on all imports, with significantly higher tariffs on select nations. While this move was aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing, it sent shockwaves across global markets, fueling inflation concerns and heightening trade war fears.   Gold’s Role Amid Trade War Escalations Despite the widespread tariff measures, the White House clarified that reciprocal tariffs do not apply to gold, energy, and ‘certain minerals that are not available in the US’. This exemption suggests that central banks and institutional investors may continue favouring gold as a hedge against economic instability. One of the key factors supporting gold is the slowdown that these tariffs could cause in the US economy, which raises the likelihood of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Gold is currently in a pure momentum trade. Market participants are on the sidelines and until we see a significant shakeout, this momentum could persist.   Impact on the US Dollar and Bond Yields Gold prices typically move inversely to the US dollar, and the latest developments have pushed the dollar to its weakest level since October 2024. Market participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut, as the tariffs could weigh on economic growth.   Additionally, US Treasury yields have plummeted, reflecting growing recession fears. Lower bond yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it a more attractive investment.         Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Gold’s recent rally has pushed it into overbought territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70. This indicates a potential short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The immediate support level lies at $3,115, aligning with the Asian session low. A further decline could bring gold towards the $3,100 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong support zone. Below this, the $3,076–$3,057 region represents a critical weekly support range where buyers may re-enter the market. In the event of a more significant correction, $3,000 stands as a major psychological floor.   On the upside, gold faces immediate resistance at $3,149. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially leading to a retest of the record high at $3,167. If bullish momentum persists, the next target is the $3,200 psychological barrier, which could pave the way for further gains. Despite the recent pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, with dips likely to be viewed as buying opportunities.   Looking Ahead: Non-Farm Payrolls and Fed Policy Traders are closely monitoring Friday’s US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves. A weaker-than-expected jobs report may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut, further boosting gold prices.   Other key economic data releases, such as jobless claims and the ISM Services PMI, may also impact market sentiment in the short term. However, with rising geopolitical uncertainties, trade tensions, and a weakening US dollar, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains strong.   Conclusion: While short-term profit-taking may trigger minor corrections, gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish. As global trade tensions mount and the Federal Reserve leans toward a more accommodative stance, gold could see further gains in the months ahead.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Andria Pichidi HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • AMZN Amazon stock, nice buying at the 187.26 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMZN
    • DELL Dell Technologies stock, good day moving higher off the 90.99 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?DELL
    • MCK Mckesson stock, nice trend and continuation breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?MCK
    • lmfx just officially launched their own LMGX token, Im planning to grab a couple of hundred and maybe have the option to stake them. 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.