Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

walterw

Walter`s First Forex Research (various ideas)

Recommended Posts

Hey walter,Sunday night i was in the middle of a reply,but was logged off and unable to get back on until today. But replying to what you wrote sunday I agree with you 100% just because a range is broken does not mean that momentum is there(that was my reasoning for going the oppisite way) to show me there was some type of momentum there. But think of it this way if I only take my trades at the same time every day only based of a color of 1 candle with an ok RR and I come out positive at the end of my 6 month experiment.Wouldnt you think that I would have something to build on.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hey walter,Sunday night i was in the middle of a reply,but was logged off and unable to get back on until today. But replying to what you wrote sunday I agree with you 100% just because a range is broken does not mean that momentum is there(that was my reasoning for going the oppisite way) to show me there was some type of momentum there. But think of it this way if I only take my trades at the same time every day only based of a color of 1 candle with an ok RR and I come out positive at the end of my 6 month experiment.Wouldnt you think that I would have something to build on.

 

 

Yes Don, I think you can build something on that, but there is a great level of chance here... and its not 100% technicall to relly so much on that unique candle (second one ) wich is a very small portion of information to predict what the market can do from there on...

 

What I find very powerful information is that FHR range... where from there a very interesting strategy could be build up taking into acct a more complex and reliable amount of information...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Basicly I had been doing my thinking arround this idea...

 

1rst FHR

 

2nd Break of FHR

 

3rd Pullback

 

4th continuation entry..

 

5th some good runner exit...

 

something to develop really... cheers Walter.

5aa70de3648f3_rangebreak2.thumb.png.d808b141f1bdbc23d01796617749c687.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So it would be best to wait on continuation entry off of this picture,Do you think maybe take the range into consideration also.

 

 

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1900&stc=1&d=1182869435

gbpusd.thumb.gif.3a707a0c01e9dbb6600bc4b4a6db4c07.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ok this would be today... notice the two false breakouts we had and market just didnt take off... came right bakc inside the range... now when he breaks again (3rd break) and has a hard time to get back in we can start thinking that probably this time its momentum turn, wich in fact happened... here is where a pullback and continuation pattern makes a nice decent timing... on a clear concept of momentum vs cycle.... Would this idea make sense ? cheers Walter.

5aa70de3790fc_rangebreak26-6.thumb.png.40e8b1094c8d98ec467c5c14fcf8cc36.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yes, it can be developed and timing here should be one of the keys, having very tight stops and nice runners...

 

Have you noticed icons lately ? I attach some.. this ones are done with a 250 and 25 hulls on 1 min gbp/usd... cheers Walter.

icons.thumb.png.f1eee10d7ad99e77b030fcb0616f43fc.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Was auctually watching it on the pound with original settings,would wait for the next pullback to the large hull with sig from cci. Have you looked into nina indiacator anymore?

 

 

 

 

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1905&stc=1&d=1182873258

gbpusd.thumb.gif.70e78c706a7859a7bbd90aa7c9f2b954.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I see Don you also have some kind of flip there...

 

About nina, I am looking to develop something from 5 min... and very specific timing in 1 min...

 

At this point I am also looking for a lazy M in 5 min with an icon timing in 1 min... (show you soon ) I think its cool...

 

LOTS of ideas my friend... soon will start selecting the best... but I think this brain storm its good, helps refresh all technicall concepts from all standpoints... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Sounds good walter!

 

wow Don, you are premium now ¡¡ you deserve it man...

 

So far this evening I had been looking all ideas been presented at this point and the one I am getting to like more is the FHR Break trade... so would be nice to work seriously on that... (maybe I will open a new thread on it so we can get specific there).... about nina... the fixed look back version really is making my pc go nuts... even I got some good ram here... so we will see...

 

Now this FHR break has a tremendous technicall logic behind and is the change from cycle to momentum... based on a powerfull piece of information wich is the previous hour to London open... thanks Don for sharing your methods and making posible this research evolution... So maybe we can take that direction... please tell me wich other idea exposed here could be treated with more especification... also if there would be some other ideas to keep adding, should we do it here... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I go away for a few days to study for my semester exams and there are 383 unread posts! You guys are making it hard to keep up! Type slower hehe. Walter with your CCI indicator on top of the rest of the stuff going on don't your eyes get tired watching all that? May seem like a weird question but I'm actually serious, I've found that a lot of those charts seem to make my eyes hurt the more I look at them.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I go away for a few days to study for my semester exams and there are 383 unread posts! You guys are making it hard to keep up! Type slower hehe. Walter with your CCI indicator on top of the rest of the stuff going on don't your eyes get tired watching all that? May seem like a weird question but I'm actually serious, I've found that a lot of those charts seem to make my eyes hurt the more I look at them.

 

jejejej... :) yes Nick, at the begining it may be dificult to read, once you get used and see how it outperforms so many other indicators you get to like it... thought the indicator doesnt mean anything... its the concepts behind what really matter...

 

Now dont get waco here, we are just thinking... jejejeje... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Ok walter finally made it back,havnt been able to log in all day,until now.

 

 

How are you Don ¡... I couldnt enter either this morning... got some chart here on FHR... a momentum that did not develop, but notice the cycle trades with the FHR levels....(blue arrows)... some interesting idea there to exploit a cycle day on our favor... Would you like if I open a new thread specialized on FHR ?... cheers Walter.

5aa70de42a421_fhr1.thumb.png.01985a48ef1a017e1f53591bade43380.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So what does the CCI indicator actually measure? It seems like a momentum type of indicator not to dissimilar to the RSI or Chaikin Money Flow but I may be wrong cause i've never actually used it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest cooter

Mean deviation of the Typical Price (H+L+C/3) in relation to a Simple Moving Average, multiplied by a constant (0.015).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
So what does the CCI indicator actually measure? It seems like a momentum type of indicator not to dissimilar to the RSI or Chaikin Money Flow but I may be wrong cause i've never actually used it.

 

It leads... and it has the advantage that it doesnt make that much noise... if you combine it with sound concepts on the price pane you got a very nice timing tool...

 

 

I was ccier some years ago, the error on reliyng only on cci its that you loose the perspective on whats happening on the price pane... now when you invert the structure of your analisis and start the argument on the price pane and see that cci can be a very nice accesory for your timing then you get a nice set of tools working for you... A trader should NOT ignore whats happening on the price pane (bars) he must understand all the dynamics of S&R as other key levels as fibos an MP... thats where woodies error comes to promote only looking cci (no stinking bars)... its too risky not to know where you are on the chart... NOW cci its an excellent timing tool.... thats why I still use it... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ok some old idea here that can become expolsive ¡¡

 

I came to read today a thread here on TL done by feb2865 ( Raul ) who kindly shared a method also been tought at forexfactory, he gave a chat also on this forex strategy wich is interesting stuff indeed... I see it wasnt much followed here at TL afterwards and feb2865 has not been arround either.. but looking at it here and also at forexfactory I found some interesting things we could modify and capitalize...

 

Let me recap what this simple strategy is : the overall idea its to break yesterdays hig or low and play the breakout (period) for more information I would suggest reading this chat transcript http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f55/chat-script-from-nov-7-2006-a-746.html

 

Now I did this observation... High range days had relative 50/50 performance on this breaks, but low range days had explosive breaks ¡¡ almost all of them...

 

NOW and NOW chatterbox pay attention here... for my surprise looking at this daily charts at MT4 I find wonderfull very small range days that had wonderfull breaks... you know what... that was sundays first hours... that becomes a daily bar when monday starts... jejejeje... a very small short day actually, but creates a petit bar that when breaked WUALA ¡¡¡ works like a charm... also there is probably a financial market fenomena here as the week its starting and everything its fresh and this range break gets more attention from some key players...

 

NOW imagine trading a forex strategy only on modays, My Lord wouldnt that be amazing... ¡¡

 

I attach a Daily chart (walter with a daily chart ? :p jejeje ) the arrows are the sundays... look the at the breaks...

 

Also attach a 5 min chart with a daily range indicator where you can see a detailed break...

 

Some idea here my friends... we shall not stop until Tokio ¡¡¡ cheers Walter.

5aa70de4e3bed_tradingonmondayswalaa.thumb.png.5ca32517bda2dc968b1d32a08f5e8593.png

5aa70de4e8bac_5minsundaybreak1.thumb.png.8c51927c9bbfaa45f22bdb422e77683c.png

5aa70de4ed899_5minsundaybreak2.thumb.png.10126153c4710fcc0cf1b792257d361e.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Very nice!!

 

I will Party this weekend ¡¡¡¡ :beer::beer::beer: I think its the finding of my trading career I am exited man ¡¡¡ RRR on steroids...:D:D

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • UHS Universal Health Services stock, nice rally off the 197 support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?UHS
    • SGMO Sangamo Therapeutics stock, good start off 2 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?SGMO
    • AAPL Apple stock, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?AAPL    
    • Date: 26th November 2024. Trump’s tariff threats boosted Dollar; Peso, Loonie, Gold & Oil Lower. The Trump trade picked up steam as investors cheered his pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent. Beliefs he will be a steadying voice in the administration’s fiscal measures, while still following President-elect Trump’s tariff and tax commitments, underpinned. Asia & European Sessions:   Trump threatened on Monday to impose sweeping new tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico on his first day as US President to crack down on illegal immigration and drugs. He would impose a 25% tax on all products entering the country from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China as one of his first acts as president of the US. Bessent’s 3-3-3 plan aims to cut the deficit to 3% of GDP, boost growth to 3%, and increase oil production to 3 mln barrels. Treasury yields dove in a curve flattener, extending their drops through the session, on expectations inflation will decelerate. A strong 2-year auction also supported. The Dow led the charge, climbing 0.99% to 44,736, a new record peak as the rally broadens. The S&P500 climbed to 6020, a session peak, but finished with a 0.3% gain to 5987. The NASDAQ closed 0.27% higher. Today, stock markets in Europe are posting broad losses, with the DAX down -0.6%, the FTSE 100 0.4%, after a largely weaker close across Asia. ECB: Lane suggests ECB must be open-minded on speed of rate cuts. The ECB’s Chief Economist said in a speech on Monday evening that “remaining open-minded about the speed and scale of adjustments is in fact a valuable strategy across various environments, as different situations may necessitate distinct approaches.” This careful, step-by-step strategy enables us to observe the responses of the economy to our decisions and continuously refine our understanding of their impacts.” The comments leave the door open to a 50 bp move in December, but also tie in with our expectation that the central bank will deliver a 25 bp while tweaking the forward guidance and commit to additional moves. Financial Markets Performance: The USDIndex hit a session high of 107.50 and is currently lower at 106.85. Mexican peso and Canadian dollar slumped as the dollar is being viewed as a haven after the comments of President-elect Donald Trump on tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. USDCAD spiked to 1.4177 and USDMXN rallied to 20.74. Oil and Gold lost ground, in part on cooling geopolitical risks, and on Trump trades. Oil dropped -3.03% to $69.09 per barrel, in part on the Trump trade and on talk of a potential cease fire between Israel and Hezbollah. Similarly, gold fell -3.26% to $2605 per ounce. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, nice trend with a pull back to 8.79 support area, bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?RYAM
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.