Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

walterw

Walter`s First Forex Research (various ideas)

Recommended Posts

Ok walter,watching the usdjpy I finally felt it would be a good time to enter the trade (DEMO). stops would be in place at 123.70.See what happens!

 

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1811&stc=1&d=1182369756

usdjpy.thumb.gif.18689f2f12d677b3122a4c238a441864.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ok I guess this could be a good place to scale out half and let the other half run. And maybe move the rest of the position up to break even. Dont know we havent really discussed much on exits.(There is many posiblities)

 

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1812&stc=1&d=1182372782

usdjpy1.thumb.gif.e48e630456507ba9cbd5fbafb77877a4.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wow Don, very good stuff man ¡¡ I see you are really getting good on this, that doji on red big hull was superb ¡¡ keep up Don, we will make it to Tokio ¡¡ cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Whats the time frame on your short Hull Don? The price seems to obey the trend line very well bouncing off it But I'm curious as to why you would go short there. On that chart those 2 four hour trend lines are showing an upward pattern and both hulls look to be bullish especially the longer term Hull. Wouldnt you wait first to see how price behaves once it reaches the upper trend line?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi Don, would this be the setup ? cheers Walter.

 

Hey walter yea thats what i was thinking depending on the retest of the 4hour and 1 hour trend lines. Nick yea i was only speaking of RR on taking the trade,your right the hulls do not match on taking a short so i would wait till the hulls was in line for a better set up.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ok the hulls are starting to line up after some rejection to the trendlines.What i would like to see is more of a drop in price and retest of the large hull I believe that would be a good time to short.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1835&stc=1&d=1182436357

gbpusd.thumb.gif.dbda7b9bf18661be7e1bd760415ebe73.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Ok walter so far we have the New Breed Flip,The Icon,The Icon w/Trend line.So whats your thoughts so far anything with potential!

 

 

Yes Don I am about to post a new Idea here... the name could be : The "New Trend" trade... I will post in some minutes... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ok, so now let me present this new idea here... I know many people on this forum are not enthusiastic about indicators, and dont believe in indicatorism... well I dont believe also in indicators by them self as the concept of the trade and using a nice indicator to show that...

 

Now Indicators make me think of electricity... some 200 years ago people used oil lamps at night, today we have electricity and have light bulbs... Now both use "light".... but there is a clear diference on this light... so may happen with some distinguished indicators that bring the same light but in a diferent more easy brighter presentation...

 

I came across an indicator at the mt4 forex tsd forums, it was created by a lady called Nina, looks like she is from Spain... the use she gives to the indicator its very diferent to what I will present here... its a sort of step ma.. that works like an oscilator between the range of 0 to 1... now it has a very fancy signal line wich the crosses of that signal are marked with arrows... eventually if I get to program mt4 I will just take them off..(the arrows)...

 

My creativity was triggered here on one fact that Nina did not take much into acct.. and that is the middle line of the oscillator ( in this case 0.5) all oscillators have a center line (cci its 0 , stochs are 50 , etc ) this center level means a lot... Now on this simple and powerfull indicator, this 0.5 level really means a LOT... in terms of trend determination...

 

As I was looking at it... I found that the yellow line has a cool performance being above or below 0.5...

 

As I keep evolving on the observation I see that a fixed band could be added to make even more robust this trend definition, so I add a +-0.1 factor to this center line and I get this two lines 0.4 and 0.6... mmmmm

 

there is a clear reading now... we have an up and down being clearly given by this indicator wich has a great capacity of filtering noise and giving a very reliable trend definition... a new trend defintion has born the "New Trend" is here...

 

Now the Cool thing here is that we also get a very nice momentum reading indicator... as the "signal" nina created (white line) can show us in a very robust manner how far or near he is from the 0.4/0.6 band... and this indicator gets my 5 stars calification as I never got to see before such a nice performance in this two trend/momentum definitions...

 

Then this indicator starts to rock on some other aspects... like trailing the exits... he can literally keep you inside of very huge moves...

 

Dont get me wrong, perfection doesnt exist... but EDGE DOES... :p;):);)chatterbox;):)

 

So from here on we can speculate on a great range of alternatives on its aplication...

 

So far I have some ideas will add in next post... cheers Walter.

5aa70de1a1bbc_newtrend.thumb.gif.74e798e2813c01db16ea83108d172723.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Walter,I auctually did follow her thread for a little while but at that point in my trading it didnt last long:D But any way just wanted to make sure we are on the same page this is the indiacator i have.(Looks a little different than yours)

 

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1843&stc=1&d=1182444382

usdjpy.thumb.gif.b520326ed8cacd8bbebe314e9c6d90b8.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Walter,I auctually did follow her thread for a little while but at that point in my trading it didnt last long:D But any way just wanted to make sure we are on the same page this is the indiacator i have.(Looks a little different than yours)

 

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1843&stc=1&d=1182444382

 

Yes it is the same indicator, now her aproach doesnt take any edge from this indicator as I want to explain... there can be a real diferent reading of this indicator wich gives an enourmos edge... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ok, I did some modifications to the indicator, take off the arrows, added the 0.4 and 0.6 levels... its more clean now...

 

I attach a first idea of how I am looking at this indicator....

 

1rst Strong break.... takes me to level 1

 

2nd Pullback

 

3rd Entry with t3cci...

 

4th can trail the trade with white line and the 0.6 line too...

 

Just a very first Idea... there is much more to this... cheers Walter.

2.thumb.png.6692fd0a45b790ce93e6171ef16fe29d.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Notice the long term trend being clearly Up with the blue hull and new trend cant break below 0.4.... WHEN.... only WHEN new trend breaks 0.4 I will start to think maybe things will change direction... :eek:

5aa70de2214a1_5min2.thumb.png.68b102e2b0497da31ac4848d5eace912.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Walter this was my reply,But then i relized that something must be wrong with indacator. How can the 1 min never break below the.4 line but 5min did before the 1min. (I really like the concept with this indiacator):D

 

 

 

"Walter, looking at the gbpusd on one minute i posted some pictures. From the first time price stepped up from .6 June 15(1st picture) it never crossed back down below the .4 till June 21(2nd picture) and thats on 1 min chart!!

3rd picture I zoomed out to 15min not changing any of the vertical lines that i plotted on the 1min. Look at the move it would have caught!!!!!!!"

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1850&stc=1&d=1182560577

attachment.php?attachmentid=1851&stc=1&d=1182560577

attachment.php?attachmentid=1852&stc=1&d=1182560577

gbpusd.thumb.gif.1781f1dd84154d87521d9ef941ac1b89.gif

gbpusd1.thumb.gif.4c2141b884df2f9e5dc364baeab5c1b4.gif

gbpusd2.thumb.gif.6c1cd9e70d4bcae92a93712d87a47990.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Thx for reminding us... I don't bang that drum often enough anymore Another part for consideration is who that money initially went to...
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.