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FXTechstrategyT

Daily Technical Strategy On Currencies & Commodities

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AUDUSD Weakens On Further Pullback Threats. 

AUDUSD weakens on further pullback threats as it saw price extension during early trading on Tuesday. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.7200 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7250 level and then the 0.7300 level. A violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7350 level. Support resides at the 0.7100 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7050 level. Below here will set the stage for a run at the 0.7000 level with a cut through here targeting further downside pressure towards the 0.6950 level. On the whole, AUDUSD faces further downside threats.

AUDUSDDaily-2.png

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USDJPY Eyes The 109.88 Resistance Zone And Beyond

USDJPY eyes the 109.88 resistance zone beyond as it looks to resume its upside pressure. On the upside, resistance comes in at 110.00 level. A turn above here will turn attention to the 110.50 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 111.00 level if the earlier resistance is invalidated out. The next resistance resides at the 111.50. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the downside, support comes in at the 109.50 level where a break will target the 109.00 level. Below that level will turn focus to the 108.50 level and then lower the 108.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further upside pressure on corrective recovery.

 

USDJPYDaily-1.png

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GOLD Continues To Trade Below Key Resistance At 1,298.55

GOLD continues to trade below key resistance at 1,298.55 as it remains in consolidation mode. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,280.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,270.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,260.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,250.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,290.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,298.55 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,310.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,320.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further higher on correction but with caution.

XAUUSDDaily-3.png

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USDCHF Remains Vulnerable Below Key Resistance At 1.0007 Zone

USDCHF remains vulnerable below key resistance at 1.0007 zone. Resistance stands at the 1.0050 level as the next upside target. A break of here will clear the way for more gain towards the 1.0100 level. Above here, resistance comes in at the 1.0150 level and then the 1.0200 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting more weakness. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9900 level. A turn below there will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9850 level. And then the 0.9800 level. All in all, USDCHF faces further downside pressure on price pullback.

 

USDCHFDaily.png

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EURGBP Faces Price Recovery Extension Towards 0.8724 Zone

EURGBP faces price recovery extension towards 0.8724 zone. On the downside, support stands at the 0.8650 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8600 level. A break below here will aim at the 0.8550 level. Conversely, resistance lies at the 0.8850 level. A violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8900 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.8950 level followed by the 0.9000 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside pressure. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the upside on further corrective upside pressure
 

EURGBPDaily.png

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EURUSD Targets Further Upside Pressure On Price Extension

EURUSD targets further upside pressure on price extension as it retains its upside pressure. Support comes in at the 1.1450 where a violation will aim at the 1.1400 level. A break below here will target the 1.1350 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1300. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1550 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1600 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1650 level where a violation will expose the 1.1700 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further upside pressure.
 

EURUSDDaily-4.png

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USDCHF Eyeing Further Upside Pressure Despite Price Hesitation

USDCHF eyes further upside pressure despite price consolidation on Friday. Resistance comes in at the 1.0000 level. A break of here will clear the way for more gain towards the 1.0050 level. Above here, resistance lies at the 1.0100 level and then the 1.0150 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting more strength. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9900 level. A turn below there will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9850 level. And then the 0.9800 level. All in all, USDCHF faces further upside pressure on price recovery

USDCHFWeekly.png

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EURUSD Pulls Back Ahead Of Key Resistance

EURUSD pulls back ahead of key resistance at 1.1569 level with risk of more weakness. Support comes in at the 1.1400 where a violation will aim at the 1.1350 level. A break below here will target the 1.1300 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1250. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1500 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1550 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1600 level where a violation will expose the 1.1650 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further upside pressure but with caution pf pullback.
 

EURUSDWeekly.png

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USDJPY Looks To Extend Gain Above Key Resistance

USDJPY looks to extend gain above key resistance located at 109.99 zone and beyond. On the upside, resistance comes in at 110.50 level. Above here will turn attention to the 111.00 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 111.50 level if the earlier resistance is taken out. A break of here will open the door for more gain towards the 112.00. On the downside, support comes in at the 109.50 level where a break will target the 109.00 level. Below that level will turn focus to the 108.50 level and then lower towards the 108.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further upside pressure.

USDJPYDaily.png

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GBPJPY Tumbles Lower On Price Reversal

GBPJPY tumbles lower on price reversal with further weakness expected in the days ahead. On the downside, support comes in at the 142.00 level where a violation will aim at the 141.50 level. A break below here will target the 141.00 level followed by the 140.50 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance is seen at the 142.50 level followed by the 143.00 level. A cut through that level will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 143.50 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 144.00 level. All in all, GBPJPY faces further downside pressure on price sell off.
 

GBPJPYDaily.png

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EURUSD Bear Pressure Remains Intact

EURUSD bear pressure remains intact as it looks for price extension. Support stands at the 1.1350 where a break will aim at the 1.1300 level. A break below here will target the 1.1250 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1200. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1400 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1450 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1500 level where a violation will expose the 1.1550 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further downside pressure.
 

 

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GBPUSD Remains Vulnerable To The Downside On Bear Pressure

GBPUSD remains vulnerable to the downside as more weakness is expected in the days ahead.Support is seen at 1.2900 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2850 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.2800 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2750 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2700 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.3000 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.3050 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3100 level followed by the 1.3150 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further downside pressure on further weakness.

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GBPJPY Eyes Upside Pressure On Further Corrective Recovery

GBPJPY eyes upside pressure on further corrective recovery as it retain its bull pressure. On the downside, support comes in at the 142.50 level where a violation will aim at the 142.00 level. A break below here will target the 141.50 level followed by the 141.00 level. Conversely, resistance is seen at the 143.00 level followed by the 143.50 level. A cut through that level will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 144.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 144.50 level. All in all, GBPJPY looks to recover higher

 

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EURGBP Remains Weak And Vulnerable To The Downside

EURGBP remains weak and vulnerable to the downside as it looks for more decline. On the downside, support stands at the 0.8700 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8650 level. A break below here will aim at the 0.8600 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further decline. Conversely, resistance lies at the 0.8800 level. A violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8850 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.8900 level followed by the 0.8950 level. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the downside on further corrective pullback pressure
 

EURGBPDaily.png

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USDCHF Faces Further Weakness On Close Lower

USDCHF faces further weakness on close lower following its past week losses. Resistance comes in at the 1.0050 level. A break of here will clear the way for more gain towards the 1.0100 level. Above here, resistance lies at the 1.0150 level and then the 1.0250 level. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9950 level. A turn below there will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9900 level. And then the 0.9850 level. Its daily risk is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. All in all, USDCHF faces further downside pressure on price pullback threats.

USDCHFWeekly-1.png

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GOLD Rejects Higher Prices And Looks To Weaken.

GOLD rejects higher prices and looks to weaken further lower in the new week. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,320.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,310.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,300.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,290.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,340.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,350.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,360.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,380.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further higher
 

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USDCHF Backs Off Lower Prices With Eyes On 1.0024 Zone

USDCHF backs off lower prices with eyes on 1.0024 zone. Resistance stands at the 1.0050 level. A break of there will clear the way for a run at the 1.0100 level. Above here, resistance lies at the 1.0150 level and then the 1.0200 level. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9950 level. A turn below here will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9900 level. And then the 0.9850 level. Its daily risk is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. All in all, USDCHF faces further upside pressure following its price rejection the past week. 
 

USDCHFWeekly.png

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EURUSD Looks To Weaken Further Towards 1.1315/00 Zone

EURUSD looks to weaken further towards 1.1315/00 zone as it remains vulnerable. Support comes in at the 1.1300 where a violation will aim at the 1.1250 level. A break below here will target the 1.1200 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1150. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1400 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1450 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1500 level where a violation will expose the 1.1550 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further downside pressure.

 

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GBPUSD Faces Price Weakness With Eyes On 1.3108 Support Zone

GBPUSD faces price weakness with eyes on 1.3108 support zone.  This is coming on the back of a move lower the past week. Support stands at 1.3150 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3100 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.3050 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.3000 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2950 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.3250 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.3300 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3350 level followed by the 1.3400 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further downside pressure on more weakness.
 

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GOLD Retains Upside Pressure On Corrective Recovery

GOLD retains upside pressure on corrective recovery following its price halt on Friday. This development leaves GOLD targeting the 1,314.00 resistance zone in the days ahead. Further out, resistance resides at the 1,320.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,330.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,340.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,350.00 level. Its daily RSI is pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,290.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,280.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,270.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,260.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further higher in the days ahead.

 

XAUUSDDaily-1.png

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GOLD Threatening Further Upside Pressure Nearer Term

GOLD threatening further upside pressure nearer term as it closed higher the past week. The pair looks to move higher towards the 1,310.00 resistance zone in the new week. Further out, resistance resides at the 1,320.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,330.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,340.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,350.00 level. Its daily RSI is pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,290.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,280.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,270.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,260.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further higher in the days ahead.

XAUUSDDaily-2.png

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GBPUSD Risk Continues To Point Higher Despite Price Hesitation

GBPUSD risk continues to point higher despite price hesitation. Support stands at 1.3250 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3200 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.3150 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.3100 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.3050 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.3300 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.3350 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3400 level followed by the 1.3450 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further upside pressure on more strength.
 

GBPUSDDaily-1.png

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USDCAD Eyes More Upside Pressure On Corrective Recovery

USDCAD eyes more upside pressure on corrective recovery as it saw a rally on Thursday. Support comes in at the 1.3300 level where a break will aim at the 1.3250 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3200 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further weakness is triggered support comes in at the 1.3150 level. Conversely, resistance lies at the 1.3400 level where a violation will target the 1.3450 level. Further up, resistance resides at the 1.3500 level and then the 1.3550 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside pressure. All in all, USDCAD looks to strengthen further higher on more correction.

 

USDCADDaily-2.png

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USDJPY Halts Weakness With Eyes On More Recovery

USDJPY eyes more recovery following its price halt on Thursday. As long as it stays above the 110.35 support zone, more price strength is expected. On the upside, resistance comes in at 111.50 level. Above this level will turn attention to the 112.00 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 112.50 level. A cut through here will open the door for more gain towards the 113.00. On the downside, support comes in at the 110.50 level where a break will target the 110.00 level. Below that level will turn focus to the 109.50 level and then lower towards the 109.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further upside pressure on further recovery.

 

USDJPYDaily-2.png

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NZDUSD Loses Upside Momentum With Risk Seen Towards 0.6808

NZDUSD loses upside momentum with risk see towards 0.6808 in the new week. Resistance comes in at the 0.6900 level where a break will turn attention to the 0.6950 level. A break of here will have to happen to create scope for a move higher towards the 0.7000 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.7050 level. Support stands at the 0.6850 level. Further down, the 0.6800 level comes in as the next downside target and then the 0.6750 level. All in all, NZDUSD faces further downside pressure on price rejection.

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The worst performing sectors are the housing and banking sectors. However, investors should also note that the decline was partially due to a build-up of profits over the past months. As a result, investors could easily sell and reduce exposure to cash in profits and lower their risk appetite. Analysts note that despite the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, the Chairman provided a positive outlook. He highlighted optimism for the economy and the employment sector. Therefore, many analysts continue to believe that investors will buy the dip, even if it’s not imminent. A Hawkish Federal Reserve And Powell’s Guidance Even though traditional economics suggests a rate cut benefits the stock market, the market had already priced in the cut. As a result, the rate cut could no longer influence prices. Investors are now focusing on how the Federal Reserve plans to cut in 2025. This is what triggered the selloff and the decline. Investors were looking for indications of 3-4 rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025 and for the first cut to be in March. However, analysts advise that the forward guidance by the Chairman, Jerome Powell, clearly indicates 2 rate adjustments. In addition to this, analysts believe the Fed will now cut next in May 2025. The average expectation now is that the Federal Reserve will cut 0.25% on two occasions in 2025. The Fed also advised that it is too early to know the effect of tariffs and “when the path is uncertain, you go slower”. This added to the hawkish tone of the central bank. However, surveys indicate that 15% of analysts believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates at a faster pace. As a result, the US Dollar Index rose 1.25% and Bond Yields to a 7-month high. For investors, this makes other investment categories more attractive and stocks more expensive for foreign investors. However, the average decline the NASDAQ has seen before investors buy the dip is 13% ($19,320). This will also be a key level for investors if the NASDAQ continues to decline. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis Due to the bearish volatility, the price of the NASDAQ is trading below all major Moving Averages and Oscillators on the 2-Hour chart. After retracement the oscillators are no longer indicating an oversold price and continue to point to a bearish bias. Sell indications are likely to strengthen if the price declines below $21,222.60 in the short-term.       Key Takeaways: A hawkish Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% and indicates only 2 rate cuts in 2025! The stock market witnesses its worst day of 2024 due to the Fed’s hawkish forward guidance. Economists do not expect a rate cut before May 2025. Housing and bank stocks fell more than 4%. Investors are cashing in their gains and not looking to risk while the Fed is unlikely to cut again until May 2025. The US Dollar Index rises close to its highest level since November 2022. US Bond Yields also rise to their highest since May 2024. The NASDAQ’s average decline in 2024 before investors opt to purchase the dip is 13%. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. 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