Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Gamera

Testing Times.

Recommended Posts

Actions for the 18th.  Feeling pretty frustrated with myself, T1 was not as clear cut as I would have liked and the following highs ended with deep rets.  I thought price would grind higher, by T2 I thought the volume was spasmodic (volume spikes on up and down bars) and not really offering much information, I took the shorts but thought they were likely to fail.  Despite thinking price would go higher I could not see an entry that I thought would not be whipped by the PA.  I was out of position in what I saw as a grind higher that had a high risk of trashing any longs in PA that was a little indecisive in a volume environment that offered very little in the way of clues, trending chop.  I wanted to shut down before T2 but forced out trades trying to make something out of nothing.

I missed a long right off the open as I was ill prepared for it, if I had been long I would likely have bailed out, but, being better positioned would allow one to relax and let it run instead of trying to chase and getting stung.nq180920181min.thumb.png.3840a57a3f32b972c151d14fb993f9f4.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm going to start posting again but will take some time to try and fill in the blanks since my last post.

 

If it wasnt obvious from my last few posts I was in the process of blowing up, it was not something that spontaneously happened but was rather the culmination of a number of factors over a lengthy period of time that led me to think it wasn't possible for me to be profitable, at least not by how I was doing things.  I felt as if every trade I touched was going to fail and had developed a losers expectation, in tweaking the strat to avoid losses I had more losers which exacerbated the problem. 

I was increasingly unable to figure out what was going on, the charts looked like mince and I doubted what I was coming up with would stand any scrutiny in real time.  I was in a perpetual state of tilt and I was left feeling like I was being screwed around with over the last couple of months leading up to the pause in September, none of this was my fault of course, it was just the market playing its games.

The frustration of watching trades failing within seconds had led me to the conclusion that I needed a change of strategy, I started to play around with a few ideas but a nagging doubt remained.  What use is there having a strategy if I cant follow it consistently?  

I came across my copy off trading in the zone, which I haven't read in a while and by chapter 3 I was ready to hit myself over the head with it.  How the f*** did my attitude get so bent out of shape?  It was a slow erosion that took place over a prolonged time frame, probably started back in 2017 when my results were sucking a lot after having spent the latter half of '16 absent from the markets.  I was aware that I had issues gnawing away at the back of my mind but actively avoided dealing with them which led to me becoming increasingly frustrated as time wore on, I was to blame for all my failings and I needed to accept that "Taking responsibility is the cornerstone of a winning attitude". 

I started simming again in the last week of November and results have been better, I'm finding it easier to take trades without foaming at the mouth, its easier to hold them which is resulting in bigger gains and I am a little more patient with where I take the trades (I looked over my charts and I was taking trades all over the place and in particular places where PA was likely to chop), BUT, when I hit a patch where a handful of trades don't work out so well my attitude starts to waiver.  I seem to over trade and I also tighten up on my trades choking them out, this is a lack of resilience, I think I have to persevere with it to see if it can hold up because my results have been better than they have been in a long time.

I am thinking about switching to a 2 or 3 lot strategy as I find a 1 lot a little restrictive, I cant realise the full potential of a move as I have been targeting the first hurdle for an exit, it might be more productive to take one off early and leave the other to run.  With a range play in mind take one off at the MP and leave the other for the opposing extreme, just a thought for the time being.

Edited by Gamera

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Actions for the 14th.  Not the greatest result but its something, I move my stops positive when the trade moves far enough but have a tendency to get stung on it.  In my last post I was entertaining the idea of trading 2 lots as a lot of my trades meet that requirement now that I could target that initial move with one and let the other breath a little, one of the many things I'm trying to figure out.

nq140120191min.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Actions for the 22nd.  I seem to be on a bad run, I'm really struggling with the opening minutes of the trades I'm taking and then get sucked into a little over trading.nq220120191min.thumb.png.3c18c099c73c115fc32f2163a809172b.pngnq22012019notes.thumb.png.05189537ee27e8f151ec0a404a8ff953.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • CVNA Carvana stock, nice top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?CVNA
    • GDRX GoodRx stock, good day, watch for a bottom range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?GDRX
    • Date: 14th February 2025.   Can The NASDAQ Maintain Momentum at Key Resistance Level?     The price of the NASDAQ throughout the week rose more than 3.00% to bring the price back up to the instrument’s resistance level. However, while taking into consideration higher inflation, tariffs and the resistance level, could the index maintain momentum?   US Inflation Rises For a 4th Consecutive Month The US Consumer Price Index, or inflation, rose for a 4th consecutive month taking the rate even further away from the Federal Reserve’s target. Analysts were expecting the US inflation rate to remain unchanged at 2.9%. However, consumer inflation rose to 3.00%, the highest since July 2024, while Producer inflation rose to 3.5%. Higher inflation traditionally triggers lower sentiment towards the stock market as investors' risk appetite falls and they prefer the US Dollar. However, on this occasion bullish volatility rose. For this reason, some traders may be considering if the price is overbought in the short term.   Addressing these statistics, US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that the Fed has yet to achieve its goal of curbing inflation, adding further hawkish signals regarding the monetary policy. Other members of the FOMC also share this view. Today, Raphael Bostic, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, stated that the Fed is unlikely to implement interest rate cuts in the near future. This is due to ongoing economic uncertainty following the introduction of trade tariffs on imported goods and other policies from the Republican-led White House.   Most of the Federal Open Market Committee emphasizes additional time is needed to fully assess the situation. According to the Chicago Exchange FedWatch Tool, interest rate cuts may not start until September 2025.   What’s Driving The NASDAQ Higher? Earnings data this week has continued to support the NASDAQ. Early this morning Airbnb made public their quarterly earnings report whereby they beat both earnings per share and revenue expectations. The Earnings Per Share read 25% higher than expectations and Revenue was more than 2% higher. As a result, the stock rose more than 14%. Another company this week that made public positive earnings data is Cisco which rose by more than 2% on Thursday. Another positive factor continues to be the positive employment data. Even though the positive employment data can push back interest rate cuts, the stability in the short term continues to serve the interests of higher consumer demand. The US Unemployment Rate fell to 4.00% the lowest in 8 months. Lastly, investors are also increasing their exposure to the index due to sellers not being able to maintain control or momentum. Some economists also increase their confidence in economic growth if Trump can obtain a positive outcome from the Ukraine-Russia negotiations.   However, during Friday’s pre-US session trading, 80% of the most influential stocks are witnessing a decline. The NASDAQ itself is trading more or less unchanged. Therefore, the question again arises as to whether the NASDAQ can maintain momentum above this area.   NASDAQ - News and Technical analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ is largely witnessing mainly bullish indications on the 2-hour chart. However, the main concern for traders is the resistance level at $21,960. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price is mainly experiencing bearish signals as the price moves below the 200-period simple moving average.   The VIX, which is largely used as a risk indicator, is currently trading 0.75% higher which indicates a lower risk appetite. In addition to this, bond yields trade 6 points higher. If both the VIX and Bond yields rise further, further pressure may be witnessed for index traders.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • LUNR Intuitive Machines stock watch, attempting to move higher off 18.64 support, target 26 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?LUNR
    • CNXC Concentrix stock watch, pullback to 47.16 triple support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?CNXC
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.