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Guest cooter

10 Pips a Day to Wealth - guaranteed

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Guest cooter

In the VSA thread, PivotProfiler wrote the compelling post, which I've snipped here, as I didn't want to clutter that thread with my musings:

 

 

First:

 

This is not a picture of the futures, but the spot.

 

Second:

1pip = 10 dollars

 

10=100

5*10=500 (5 contracts)

10*10=1000 (10 contracts)

 

You want more money, trade more contracts. I am not calling you a losing trader, but that is a losing trader's mentality. A trader could be set for life if he could make 10 pips (net) a day every day. Not all trades need to be 150 pips. Greed may be good but it gets traders into trouble.

 

 

 

Substitute ticks for pips, and say, the ER2 Russell e-mini for your favorite spot forex, and it becomes apparent that this is potentially doable for any futures trader.

 

My simple question is... if netting 10 pips or ticks a day is all it takes to achieve immortality (or at least everlasting wealth), why is it so many traders are having issues doing so? Any thoughts?

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Guest cooter

If you quit trading when you are +10 or greater, then you wouldn't have that problem.

 

It's been argued elsewhere about the merits and pitfalls of taking everyone of your setups when you see them during the trading day.

 

Is that what you mean about consistency?

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I think I can answer your question. For most people, myself included, it is easier to be methodical and disciplined when trading a contract size you are comfortable with. I trade ER2 exclusively for a living and my scale in/out size is 2-8 contracts, never trade less than 2, never more than 8. My account size has grown significantly since I began and I know I should "step it up" so to speak. Problem is, I have become comfortable with the risk I take and "stepping up" that risk would make me more emotional than I care to be. Something I need to work on for sure.

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Great topic...

 

I've gone back and forth over the years of taking 2 ES pts and walking away vs. taking everything on the day and my conclusion was that you need to take all your setups as some days are +10 pts and some are +1. This is what I found for my trading. Some days are a gift from the trading gods and other days they are punishing me is what it feels like. On the 'gift' days, I have to take the gifts all day, every day.

 

For example, this morning thus far has been blah on the ES. Just not a ton of movement right now so my short at 8:10am EST hit one profit target and the remaining contracts were trailed out. Nothing exciting. Meanwhile Wed was a day that just kept on giving. And giving. Now if I had stopped at +2 on Wed, I would have literally left a few thousand dollars on the table. And today I am waiting patiently to try to make a few bucks. See the difference? Stopping at 2 just capped my upside and made days like today much more important, which is completely backwards in my opinion. I don't need chop days to become important and weigh heavy in my outcomes. I need days like Wed to be the most important!

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There is some truth to this money management method but it will only work if you truly accept it as a key method to riches from trading.

 

I did exactly that when I made $10k trading 1 lot of SP, my exit plan was screwy, in fact did not have one back then, but the profit targets were from 2 ticks ($50)to 40 ticks($1000), 100% discretionary.

 

Believe me, I practically shot from the hip back in those days.

 

Trading more lots comes with time and the stomach to take those loses and wins when the occur. I remember reading an article from Stocks and Commodities and it illustrated just that, when you first start out, you can only stomach small loses, but as you gain more experience, your ability to take large loses increase. Only you know just how much pain you can take, not basing it off your strategy and its winning probabilities because in my opinion, if you have a 80% winning strategy, it only takes that 1 time when you take a big hit to totally lose confidence in it. Had that lose been kept small, well you get the idea.

 

I SHOULD HAVE READ THE WHOLE INITIAL POST!!!

 

Why do traders have a hard time walking away after they make their targets and points?

 

What else are they gonna do for the rest of the day???

 

Heck people think to be a trader, one must always trade or be on the look out for a trade. People may be trading for the sake of trading and not about the money, but then they say to themselves, that contradicts what traders do, its not about the money. Heck it took me a long time to get over that. It is about the money, you need to have a total lack of disregard when you lose, but keep it when you gain it. Still a total contradiction if you ask me and makes no sense.

 

There are many reasons in my mind why people cannot follow that, win or lose, call it a day mentality. Some people just like the action. Some what to make a point to themselves and to others that they know what the heck they are doing.

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I think I can answer your question. For most people, myself included, it is easier to be methodical and disciplined when trading a contract size you are comfortable with. I trade ER2 exclusively for a living and my scale in/out size is 2-8 contracts, never trade less than 2, never more than 8. My account size has grown significantly since I began and I know I should "step it up" so to speak. Problem is, I have become comfortable with the risk I take and "stepping up" that risk would make me more emotional than I care to be. Something I need to work on for sure.

 

2-8 lots eh?

 

heck try 2-9, just add that 1 lot to your max, but it may mess with your exit ratios. :p

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What stops would you use in your quest for 10 points a day? If a 10 point stop then what happens when you lose 3 and are -30 for the day? You now need +40 to pull it back. 2 more losses and you've wiped out a week's profits.

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Guest cooter
What stops would you use in your quest for 10 points a day? If a 10 point stop then what happens when you lose 3 and are -30 for the day? You now need +40 to pull it back. 2 more losses and you've wiped out a week's profits.

 

Stops are a fact of life for traders. If you get stopped out 3 times in a row in a day (or series of trades), you need to step back, stop trading, and evaluate your trading plan and setup.

 

That means checking to make sure your entries and exits were valid and per your plan - assuming the setup works and has a reasonable positive expectancy for you.

 

The one thing you don't want to do is "chasing your own tail", trying to make up lost profits by recklessly overtrading.

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What stops would you use in your quest for 10 points a day? If a 10 point stop then what happens when you lose 3 and are -30 for the day? You now need +40 to pull it back. 2 more losses and you've wiped out a week's profits.

 

I couldn't agree more.

 

Limiting your upside and knowing stops are going to happen is a recipe for an uphill battle in my opinion.

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Guest cooter

Heck people think to be a trader, one must always trade or be on the look out for a trade. People may be trading for the sake of trading and not about the money, but then they say to themselves, that contradicts what traders do, its not about the money. Heck it took me a long time to get over that. It is about the money, you need to have a total lack of disregard when you lose, but keep it when you gain it. Still a total contradiction if you ask me and makes no sense.

 

There are many reasons in my mind why people cannot follow that, win or lose, call it a day mentality. Some people just like the action. Some what to make a point to themselves and to others that they know what the heck they are doing.

 

It's all about the money, unless you're a compulsive gambler. In which case, you'll just keep trading regardless of the outcome - good or bad.

 

No limits, no morals, total financial anarchy! Well...not really. Quit while you're ahead or behind, and come back for another day - would that be the best way of summarizing what you are saying?

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You have got to be able to have +20 and +30 days if you are going to try to make +10 every day. No one ... Nobody ... Nada ... makes their goal Every Single Day

... 3 Stops and you're out for the day.

 

... If you get up +10 or +20 then keep trading until you get stopped -then quit.

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I think there is another problem, it's the mental exhaustion and stability. No one consistently stay in one emotional or mental state of well-being everyday for next 10 years, no one. So making a 10 tick a day every requires perfectionism. Plus, when you're down (stopped out) a few times, you're more unstable because you need to "make up" or "catch up", usually that the mental thought will start eating you up.

 

As for exhaustion, not everyone can go at it 6-7hr a day trading everyday. Heck, after 3 hrs or 6 trades, I'm exhausted. As the day or trade numbers wear on, I start to get sloppy, start giving back. This is mental exhaustion. Of course, anyone can train themselves to endure longer hours to stay mental focused throughout the day, productivity may wind down eventually.

 

I disagree with the upside limit, it's pretty much "limit your profits and let your losses run" philsophy. The only way I counter that is my stops have be 1/2 the size of the upside limit or even lower.

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The only way I counter that is my stops have be 1/2 the size of the upside limit or even lower.

 

So you have very TIGHT stops then. Am I to infer that you get stopped out more often than not, unless your entries are very precise and correct?

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I think this is all related to how one individual thinks. Each person has a level that he is most comfortable with.

 

I once read a article saids that for Donald Trump to think he is a millionaire is an insult to him,(he have to be an billionaire), but for a lot of people being a millionaire is a big achievment.

 

This same point of view can apply to traders, what level is comfortable each traders is not going to be the same.

 

If you are getting to a level that you are not comfortable with, guess what. One will do thing that bring him back to that comfortable level.

 

So my view is that, so many traders are having problem to achieve that 10 ticks or pips per day is because their subconcisous mind is not comfortable for him to be that way.

 

This is why it is so many traders have to do adjust thier attitude to be able to step up to the next level.

 

maybe one would want to exam upon himself to see if that is the issue.

 

weiwei

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Guest cooter

Yes, there are some traders who scalp for ticks, others who trade for points. It all depends on your frame of mind.

 

As I've said elsewhere, the reason why Tiger Woods almost never misses the cut (at one point his streak was 108 in a row) is because, unlike most other golfers, he truly doesn't play to make the cut, he plays to WIN.

 

A subtle, yet powerful difference in attitude and approach wouldn't you say?

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I disagree with the upside limit, it's pretty much "limit your profits and let your losses run" philsophy.

 

When I said you are limiting your upside, that's what I meant - your profits (upside) are limited and your stops could run for awhile... That's bad odds even for a simple guy like me to figure out! ;)

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Let me add my 2 cents here : one thing is the RRR on a trade, wich means that the trade has more potencial reward vs potencial risk... that has to be embeded on your technical aproach, whatever maybe... now if a trader on a portion of the day with x amount of trades has met his daily target... and ... the rest of the day for him is sinonimous of allien territory then he should be asuming that HIS session is over.... this happens for people who principally do scalping.... the scalper universe is very little, a complete session is an ocean for him... so he prefers to scalp at the lake of the first hour where he knows what fish there are there.... he is not interested to go for great sharks in the ocean where maybe he will end killed....

 

So this aspect of quiting trading after certain time of the day and making good profits on your land its really a matter for scalpers.... it by no means compromises his RRR vision... your trades MUST have a godd RRR embeded on the technical aproach.... thats basically how it works... at least for me cheers Walter.

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So far my only Daytrade type setup I am willing to trade on the rest of the session its the super coil break trade, havent been trading it for a while , maybe I will start considering it... today there was a sweet super coil break... will make a thread on that... cheers Walter.

 

and yes that kind of trade... let the wins make run.... :):cool::o:);):rolleyes::) nice new smilies ¡¡¡ how about this one chatterbox jejeje

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So you have very TIGHT stops then. Am I to infer that you get stopped out more often than not, unless your entries are very precise and correct?

 

I have 4 setups, 3 of them have stops that are between1 to 2 points (ER2 speaking), while one i only need 1/2 point to know if the trade works or not and go the other way. I don't get stopped often on this one because it has 2 possibility (2 trades), one up or one down. If market gives me neither, I pass. So I hit 50-50, I still come out ahead due to higher RR. Plus this one come at most once everyday or every other day. The 1/2 point setup has a between 1-2 point target (sometimes higher like today) while the others with larger stops have a larger target as well. The RR is about 2.5:1 if not higher. The 1/2 pt stop setup has larger RR.

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What i read at the beginning of the post when that little formula was put up was that a trader should aim for a reasonable point target (+10) and trade more contracts to make the $ profit.

 

For me this sounds like a recipe for suicide! An inexperienced trader which runs a 10 point stop loss (very popular) to aim for a 10 point gain is running a 1:1 RR. A noobie trader will have very few defined setups as well and will be just trading on a whim, so they are most likely going to blow up an account really fast by trading more contracts. If you're chasing only +10 you'd use a

-5 stop and spend more time getting your entry technique right so that you have over 50% chance of making your 10 so you can in the long run make your profits.

 

I read a post in another thread where someone said that you should only add in 1 extra contract for every minimum account size balance that you add to your own. I.E: if you have 5k trade 1 contract, then at 10k trade 2 contracts, at 15k trade 3 contracts etc... I like this idea very much, because by the time you build up 5k from trading only 1 contract at a time (if your taking 10 every day with no losses at all then this would take you almost 6 months on the YM), you'll learn how to identify your setups over time and develop your system.

 

Rushing in with the express idea of making fast bucks is a recipe for disaster.

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Guest cooter

Blowfish,

 

Does your ego think that you are better than the markets, or that the markets "owe" you more $$$, so you trade more or overcapitalize your next trades?

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Blowfish,

 

Does your ego think that you are better than the markets, or that the markets "owe" you more $$$, so you trade more or overcapitalize your next trades?

 

Its a couple of things I guess. Its looking for some sort of affirmation/validation through the markets. The old adage 'would you rather be right or rich'. Obviously (or maybe not) I would rather be 'rich'. The ego of course would rather be right and screw the making money. For me this manifests itself through closing trades too early perhaps before the 10 ticks/pips! This allows the ego to be 'right' but certainly adversely affects the bottom line.

 

I am lucky enough to have retired from my previous profession enjoying some moderate success. I think I am looking for some sort of 'validation' through the markets to replace what I got there. Ironically one of the reasons I was paid so well was that I was not fearful of making decisions they would all be right at the time and if later proved wrong they would be reversed re-worked replaced whatever it took. A fine ethos for trading. I knew I was damn good and I just did it. The ironic part is I find it much much harder to do this trading! Of course I know to be 'right' all I need to do is stick with the plan and that it is nothing to do with any particular trades outcome.

 

I really have what I think is a good solid and more importantly realistic view of what the markets are and how they work. Intellectually I know there is no room for my ego.

 

Anyway that will do for now. I re-read Zen in the markets by Eddie Toppel recently. A great little book - he promotes the idea that most trading errors are due to ego and that to really experience real success and get in the 'flow' you must completely eliminate it from your trading. I don't share all his views but it was Eddie that first turned me on to the idea that the ego was at the root of many trading errors.

 

Cheers.

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In the VSA thread, PivotProfiler wrote the compelling post, which I've snipped here, as I didn't want to clutter that thread with my musings:

 

 

 

Substitute ticks for pips, and say, the ER2 Russell e-mini for your favorite spot forex, and it becomes apparent that this is potentially doable for any futures trader.

 

My simple question is... if netting 10 pips or ticks a day is all it takes to achieve immortality (or at least everlasting wealth), why is it so many traders are having issues doing so? Any thoughts?

 

What most newbies do not realize that trade does not consist of "take profit" only. I has a thing, called stop loss. What you gonna do when that highly-leveraged position of yours go against you?

 

No, you cannot make 10 pips a day consistently. And 10 pip target is ridiculous if you take into account that spreads are 2-4 pips, then the odds are heavily against you. And 10 pips is trading in the noise, totally unpredictable.

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    • A custom Semi-Log Scale Oscillator indicator is now available for MT5 on Metaquotes website and directly in the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/114705 This indicator is an anchored semi-logarithmic scale oscillator. A logarithmic scale is widely used by professional data scientists to more accurately map information collected throughout a timeframe, in the same way that MT5 maps out price data. In fact, the underlying logic of this indicator was freely obtained from an overseas biotech scientist. A log-log chart displays logarithmic values on both the x (horizontal) and y (vertical) axes, which generally produces a straight line that points up, down, or remains flat. A straight line is not very useful for trading markets because such a straight line is so smoothed that actual price values that appear over time are very far away from the line study. In contrast, a semi-log chart is only logged on one axis--generally, the y axis. Such a semi-log chart is well suited for trading markets because the time (x) axis is preserved in its original form while at the same time, providing a graduated y scale where the distance between price increments progressively increases as price rises higher (and decreases as price falls lower). This allows us to establish a zero level for a low price, clearly view trends on straighter angles, and clearly observe amplified price spikes at high prices. Accordingly, this indicator employs a semi-log scale on the y axis only. This indicator is anchored because it allows you to specify a start time for calculation of price bars. The settings are as follows: Year.Month.Day Hour:Minute - defaults to 1970.01.01 00:01 - if left on default setting, the indicator automatically detects the earliest price bar in chart history--even where the year 1970 is not in history. Notes appear in the indicator settings window. Size of first pip step to log - defaults to 135 - this default is suitable for higher timeframes such a MN1 (monthly), while 5 is suitable for lower timeframes such as M1 (minute). Ultimately, optimal settings will depend on the timeframe that you attach the indicator to, the level of price volatility within that timeframe, and start time that you choose. Remember... The semi-log formula calculates from low to high, so your start time must always be a major swing low. Again, notes appear in the indicator settings window. The standard (built-in) MT5 indicators that can be applied to the "Previous indicator's data" can be applied to this indicator. Indicator lines (indicator buffers) can be called with iCustom in Expert Advisors created by Expert Advisor builder software or custom coded Expert Advisors. The log scale Open, High, Low, and Close prices are buffers: No empty values; and No repainting.
    • A custom Gann Candles indicator is now available for MT5 on the Metaquotes website and directly in the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/126398 This Gann Candles indicator incorporates a series of W.D. Gann's strategies into a single trading indicator. Gann was a legendary trader who lived from 1878 to 1955. He started out as a cotton farmer and started trading at age 24 in 1902. His strategies included geometry, astronomy, astrology, times cycles, and ancient math. Although Gann wrote several books, none of them contain all of his strategies so it takes years of studying to learn them. He was also a devout scholar of the Bible and the ancient Greek and Egyptian cultures, and he was a 33rd degree Freemason of the Scottish Rite. In an effort to simplify what I believe are the best of Gann's strategies, I reduced them into one indicator that simply colors your preexisting price bars when those strategies are in-sync versus out-of-sync. This greatly reduces potential chart clutter. Also, I reduced the number of input settings down to only two: FastFilter, and SlowFilter Both FastFilter and SlowFilter must be set to 5 or more, as noted in the Inputs tab upon attaching the indicator to your chart. Gann Candles works on regular time-based charts (M5, M15, M20, etc.) and custom charts (Renko, range bars, etc.). The indicator does not repaint. When using the default settings, blue candles form bullish price patterns, gray candles form flat (sideways) price patterns, and white candles form bearish price patterns. The simplest way to trade Gann Candles is to buy at the close of a blue candle and exit at the close of a gray candle, and then sell at the close of a white candle and exit at the close of a gray candle.
    • A custom Anchored VWAP with Standard Deviation Bands indicator for MT5 is now available on the Metaquotes website and directly through the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/99389 The volume weighted average price indicator is a line study indicator that shows in the main chart window of MT5. The indicator monitors the typical price and then trading volume used to automatically push the indicator line toward heavily traded prices. These prices are where the most contracts (or lots) have been traded. Then those weighted prices are averaged over a look back period, and the indicator shows the line study at those pushed prices. The indicator in this post allows the trader to set the daily start time of that look back period. This indicator automatically shows 5 daily look back periods: the currently forming period, and the 4 previous days based on that same start time. For this reason, this indicator is intended for intraday trading only. The indicator automatically shows vertical daily start time separator lines for those days as well. Both typical prices and volumes are accumulated throughout the day, and processed throughout the day. Important update: v102 of this indicator allows you to anchor the start of the VWAP and bands to the most recent major high or low, even when that high or low appears in your chart several days ago. This is how institutional traders and liquidity providers often trade markets with the VWAP. This indicator also shows 6 standard deviation bands, similarly to the way that a Bollinger Bands indicator shows such bands. The trader is able to set 3 individual standard deviation multiplier values above the volume weighted average price line study, and 3 individual standard deviation multiplier values below the volume weighted average price line study. Higher multiplier values will generate rapidly expanding standard deviation bands because again, the indicator is cumulative. The following indicator parameters can be changed by the trader in the indicator Inputs tab: Volume Type [defaults to: Real volume] - Set to Tick volume for over-the-counter markets such as most forex markets. Real volume is an additional setting for centralized markets such as the United States Chicago Mercantile Exchange. VWAP Start Hour [defaults to: 07] - Set according to broker's or broker-dealer's MT5 server time in 24 hour format. For example, in the New York, United States time zone, 07 is approximately the London, United Kingdom business open hour. VWAP Start Minute [defaults to: 00] - Set according to broker's or broker-dealer's MT5 server time in 24 hour format. For example, 00 is on the hour with no delay of minutes within that hour. StdDev Multiplier 1 [defaults to: 1.618] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its nearest upper and lower bands. For example, 1.618 is a basic Fibonacci ratio. Some traders prefer 1.000 or 1.250 here. StdDev Multiplier 2 [defaults to: 3.236] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its middle upper and lower bands. For example, 3.236 is 1.618 (above) + 1.618. Some traders prefer 2.000 or 1.500 here. StdDev Multiplier 3 [defaults to: 4.854] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its furthest upper and lower bands. For example, 4.854 is 1.618 (above) + 3.236 (above). Some traders prefer 3.000 or 2.000 here. VWAP Color [defaults to: Aqua] - Set desired VWAP line study color. This color automatically sets the color of the start time separators as well. SD1 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of nearest upper and lower standard deviation lines. SD2 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of middle upper and lower standard deviation lines. SD3 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of furthest upper and lower standard deviation lines. Just to clarify, popular standard deviation bands settings are: 1.618, 3.236, and 4.854; or 1.000, 2.000, and 3.000; or 1.250, 1.500, and 2.000. Examples of usage *: In a ranging (sideways) market, enter a trade at the extremes of the standard deviation bands (SD3) and exit when price returns to the VWAP line study. Trade between SD1Pos and SD1 Neg, alternately buying and selling from one standard deviation line to the other. In a trending (rising or falling) market, enter a buy when a price bar opens above the VWAP line study, and exit at the nearest standard deviation band above (SD1Pos). Optionally, repeat the same trade but substitute SD1Pos for the VWAP, and SD2Pos for SD1. Reverse for sell; or Trade all lines (VWAP, SD1Pos, SD2Pos, and SD3Pos) in the same way. Again, reverse for sell. Indicator lines (indicator buffers) can be called with iCustom in Expert Advisors created by Expert Advisor builder software or custom coded Expert Advisors: No empty values; and No repainting.
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