Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

notouch

Classic topping pattern on ES

Recommended Posts

On the daily ES chart we have a double top and a shooting star candlestick on high volume. This is a classic exhaustion spike pattern. If you look at the SP500 cash charts it's a classic shooting star candlestick. This all points to a pullback or at least consolidation in the days ahead.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1503&stc=1&d=1179262076

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1504&stc=1&d=1179262076

5aa70dd76374b_ES06-0727_02_2007-15_05_2007(Daily)shootingstar.jpg.0d61cc07d13ddc77dcfa3d67fff417c3.jpg

5aa70dd76871c_SP50023_04_2007-15_05_2007(Daily)shootingstar.thumb.jpg.380f99b2f9723f5e3a84c0af3b8e654b.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

notouch,

 

in my opinion this shotting star is not going to work as it uses to cause of the next things that I attach in the chart. please I would like to study my chart and tell me if you see different points. It would be very useful for me.

 

thanks

MX

5aa70dd774b8a_SPDAILY.thumb.png.2f3ceb251d299ab99237fda3bf03a349.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

High volume on a shooting star suggests trend reversal, not continuation. It shows there was a transfer of stocks from strong holders to weak holders. Anyone who follows VSA can see the bearish implications of that. Like I said though, I wouldn't short this market. It might just be a little pullback before another leg up.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Nice charts notouch. As a candle trader myself (although I don't use daily charts) there could be a very aggressive short based on your shooting star with high volume. Obviously this would be an aggressive counter-trend trade, but there is a potential setup there for sure. I prefer to see some more bearish conviction before taking a short into that uptrend, but for those willing to be aggressive, I could see a short entry with a stop above the double top.

 

I guess I don't have the stomach or nerve to be shorting into this uptrend until there's some more bearish conviction. Of course, if the short works, getting in now is ideal, but I would not be willing to short just yet based purely on the candle pattern and volume.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
notouch,

 

in my opinion this shotting star is not going to work as it uses to cause of the next things that I attach in the chart. please I would like to study my chart and tell me if you see different points. It would be very useful for me.

 

thanks

MX

 

MX : On the cyan count of your chart dont you have the completion of a 5th wave ? meaning we could call a correction ?... and we have both analisis notouch (candle and volume ) and wave counts in allignment ?...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In The Last Chart Cause Of I Have A Lot Of Information Inside I Draw The Last Wave Wrongly (the Light Blue One). Based On My Wave Counting Analysis The Correction Of The Past Wave 1 Has Finished (green Wave 2) And A 3rd Wave Is Beggening (green Wave 3).

 

A Shooting Star Seems To Be Formed But I Dont See It As Strict Shooting Star Pattern. For That Reason, This Shooting Star, In My Opinion, Could Be A False Bearish Signal (see The Charts)

5aa70dd78719a_ELLIOTT5.thumb.png.4bb01979d1a84f95dd88caec8a3afb41.png

5aa70dd79081a_shootingstar.thumb.png.818c3a0b7410cee94a9988d1bcdbf581.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's not necessary to look for a "strict" shooting star. That's just nit-picking. In any case, the one that really matters is the cash SP500 which is a strict shooting star. The 0930-1615 ES chart also finished down on the day. What really matters is what price action is telling us, i.e. a lot of new longs entered the market and drove the price up but strong selling drove the price down again.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Walter The First Chart Of The Past Post Wasnt The One I Wanted To Show You

 

ok I see... now , is it my impression or the second "green" wave its to small ? shouldnt at least have a .38% retracement to be considered a wave ? what metrics do you use to determine a wave ? thanks Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

hi walter,

 

first, sorry for not to answer you earlier but, today it has been a very intensive day and possibly clarifying to know exactly where we are in the markets and what can come next. I have been all day studying the charts and I couldnt replay you so.

 

I have made a new chart for you recounting the elliott waves for the ES. I know that counting elliott can be very confusing if you dont have practice with it. to count waves can seem simple but, believe me, it is really complicated and you have to take in account a lot of things like subways, significative highs and bottoms, retracements, alternation rules, volume bars, fibo levels and so on. and, aswell in different time frames to be sure that coincedes in all of them.

 

the new chart is quite detailed and clear. hope you enjoy it. I attach too a DJ transport daily chart quite clarifying

5aa70dd811b20_GREENWAVE2.thumb.png.e22adc5fb705a58d79caed217892d852.png

5aa70dd81aaab_DJSHOOTING.thumb.png.f10a2f418bbcea6ea1b37e67735432a9.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Great analisis MX ¡¡ it really has a lot of clear evidence that we should break up uhhh ¡¡¡ that "shooting star" its really an inverted hammer, as you made prior correction on other post, to be a shooting star it should be higher than previous bar... so yes we will see what happens.... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here's what the Candlestick Man himself (Nison) says about shooting stars:

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1523&stc=1&d=1179363112

 

So it was a shooting star (but I agree not an ideal one, especially as it wasn't above the previous candlesticks) and we had a little bit of weakness in the morning but it just turned into another buy the dips scenario. The strong close puts the bulls back in charge.

nison.thumb.jpg.c5bb2da5625f850dc907b82aac37bf41.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Here's what the Candlestick Man himself (Nison) says about shooting stars:

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1523&stc=1&d=1179363112

 

So it was a shooting star (but I agree not an ideal one, especially as it wasn't above the previous candlesticks) and we had a little bit of weakness in the morning but it just turned into another buy the dips scenario. The strong close puts the bulls back in charge.

 

 

I dont think Nison is the last resource on candlesticks... but the name of this candle varies from shooting star to inverted hammer depending where its situated in comparison to previous bar... classical candle books teach this... the reversal "power" of a shooting star happens really when she is alone on the top...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I agree with you there walterw. I'm going to do some more research into candlesticks because unlike intraday trading where candlestick patterns are never perfect, on the daily charts candlestick patterns often are perfect. The last big correction was preceeded by the classic three mountain top pattern and the three black crows candlesticks. If this rally ends in a shooting star it will probably be a gap up to new highs then a massive rally to new highs then a decline back to the open.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 25th November 2024. New Secretary Cheers Markets; Trump Trade Eased. Asia & European Sessions:   Equities and Treasuries rise, as markets view Donald Trump’s choice of Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary as a stabilizing decision for the US economy and markets. Bessent: Head of macro hedge fund Key Square Group, supports Trump’s tax and tariff policies but gradually. He is expected to focus on economic and market stability rather than political gains. His nomination alleviates concerns over protectionist policies that could escalate inflation, trade tensions, and market volatility. Asian stocks rose, driven by gains in Japan, South Korea, and Australia. Chinese equities fail to follow regional trends, presenting investors’ continued disappointment by the lack of strong fiscal measures to boost the economy. The PBOC keeps policy loan rates unchanged after the September cut. US futures also see slight increases. 10-year Treasury yields fall by 5 basis points to 4.35%. Nvidia dropped 3.2%, affected by its high valuation and influence on broader market trends. Intuit fell 5.7% after a disappointing earnings forecast. Meta Platforms declined 0.7% following the Supreme Court’s decision to allow a class action lawsuit over the Cambridge Analytica scandal. Key events this week: Japan’s CPI, as the BOJ signals a possible policy change at December’s meeting. RBNZ expected to cut its key rate on Wednesday. CPI & GDP from Europe will be released. Traders will focus on the Fed’s November meeting minutes, along with consumer confidence and personal consumption expenditure data, to assess potential rate cuts next year. Financial Markets Performance: The US Dollar declines as US Treasuries climb. Bitcoin recovers from a weekend drop, hovering around 98,000, having more than doubled in value this year. Analysts suggest consolidation around the 100,000 level before any potential breakthrough. EURUSD recovers slightly to 1.0463 from 1.0320 lows. Oil prices drop after the largest weekly increase in nearly two months, with ongoing geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East. UKOIL fell below $75 a barrel, while USOILis at $70.35. Iran announced plans to boost its nuclear fuel-making capacity after being censured by the UN, increasing the potential for sanctions under Trump’s administration. Israel’s ambassador to the US indicated a potential cease-fire deal with Hezbollah, which could ease concerns about Middle Eastern oil production, a region supplying about a third of the world’s oil. Russia’s war in Ukraine escalated with longer-range missile use, raising concerns about potential disruptions to crude flows. Citigroup and JPMorgan predict that OPEC may delay a planned increase in production for the third time during their meeting this weekend. Gold falls to $2667.45 after its largest rise in 20 months last week.Swaps traders see a less-than-even chance the central bank will cut rates next month. Higher borrowing costs tend to weigh on gold, as it doesn’t pay interest. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • SNAP stock, big day off support at https://stockconsultant.com/?SNAP
    • SBUX Starbucks stock, nice breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?SBUX
    • INTC Intel stock settling at 24.25 double support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?INTC
    • CORZ Core Scientific stock, strong close, watch for a top of range breakout above 18.32 at https://stockconsultant.com/?CORZ
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.