Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

DbPhoenix

Trading the SLA/AMT Intraday

Recommended Posts

hi, DB and all the experts here

 

I followed DB 3 foresight chart, and I read the PDF, but still have no idea how to trade the 3 charts

 

could any experts here show to how to read and how to those 3 charts on a live trade, for example, DB post 3 charts on ET. any illustration?

 

thanks

 

What was the range before the open this morning?

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Another range.

 

Where are you going to enter?

 

Where are you going to exit?

 

If you don't know or you're afraid to take the trades, you shouldn't trade today.

 

See Appendix E and Appendix F.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

thanks DB

 

price is approaching bottom ( 4337 area)

 

I am going to short pullback after breakout to downside

 

but i hesitate to buy at 4337 area, ( should I ? )

 

If you don't know ahead of time, then you shouldn't trade at all and instead test this tactic with 100 ranges. If the odds turn out to be favorable, then trade it. If they don't, don't.

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If anyone is interested, here's how the SLA/AMT rules applied today's action:

 

 

upload_2015-4-7_18-35-45-png.151110

 

Note: You can't do this unless you're in front of your computer and paying attention.

 

You can't do it at work.

 

You can't do it at school.

 

You can't do it while writing your novel.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not sure if anyone else has this issue but it says I don't have permission to view whatever it is you posted????

 

That's a new one.

 

I wonder how much longer TL has?

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

hi, DB, where is content of this post? i am confused

 

If anyone is interested, here's how the SLA/AMT rules applied today's action:

 

 

upload_2015-4-7_18-35-45-png.151110

 

Note: You can't do this unless you're in front of your computer and paying attention.

 

You can't do it at work.

 

You can't do it at school.

 

You can't do it while writing your novel.

 

The content is in the chart. You have a range, you buy the breakout. If price re-enters the range, you short the reversal. If it breaks out again, you buy the breakout again. The rules for drawing the SLs and DLs are in the pdf.

 

If you're reluctant to take any of these trades, then you probably aren't preparing thoroughly enough and don't know what to do once the session begins. That's something you'll have to work on.

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think I understand the concept. Here are some of the trades I saw today in real time. Please let me know if i'm on the right track.

 

Saw this other Long after the Supply Line Break and Retest. It was good til the top of the range there.

 

Yes and no. More yes than no. Trading ranges means trading reversals, and one can't trade reversals until the limits of the range have been established. If the range is exited before these limits are established, then there's no trade. Which is why I avoid trading ranges. If nothing else, that provides a break as everything ranges for at least a little while, sooner or later.

 

Therefore, the only trades you have that are in keeping with the SLA are the long off the retracement after the break of the supply line and the short off the retracement after the break of the demand line. Whether or not you stay in the latter depends in part on your risk tolerance and in part on your faith in AMT.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=39610&stc=1&d=1430864037

 

All of which is moot, of course, if you had entered far earlier when price dropped out of the opening range at 0945. Then you wouldn't have to fool with any of this.

 

I went ahead and annotated this opening because it was and is interesting and is typical of the kind of real-time confusion that can assault the SLAer if he isn't completely confident in what he's doing.

 

You start with the range, which is usual though not every session begins with one. But every one of these entries gets stopped out. According to the SLA, you ought to stop after one, but people keep going.

 

Then the demand line is broken but there's no retracement on the way down. So no entry. Then you have what appears to be a double bottom, so you go long off that. This earns a few points, but the price goes nowhere and forms what appears to be a lower high. By the time the LH is confirmed, you're stopped out again.

 

If one can keep himself from becoming annoyed, and this is far from easy, the next trade, the first short, can work if one can hold onto it and not exit the trade when the next plus one bar heads all the way up to 57. But, if he can't, and tries re-entry on the next short off the retracement, he finally gets the payoff.

attachment.php?attachmentid=39611&stc=1&d=1430866469

 

All of this seems like a monumental PITA, but if one includes the context, it becomes far simpler. You'll noticed that there is an overnight range, not posted, from 64 to 70 that begins at 0630 and isn't broken until 0830. Knowing that that range is there would most likely prevent the SLAer from any of those longs as he'd be more likely to wait for the "extreme". When he sees price fail at 64, he'd be likely to short the break of the demand line at 61 or 60. This avoids the whole shorting mess described above. Result? One trade, short, at 61 or 60.

2015-05-05_1017.png.04d000f7d8a483542141dd66648b11aa.png

SLA-1.png.9412c206b2fc85b43b419aa30355388d.png

Image2.png.4860a10b3b73eba6a04d5ef0773f66f3.png

Image3.png.7872126ce1e58a09a89314645f2c1250.png

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thanks for the feedback DB. The second red arrow is a short on a re trace after the break of the first range box you have drawn. The last red arrow was a short on a re trace after the break of the second range box you have drawn. Were those valid if viewed in that way?

Thanks again

 

Yes, but the longer you wait, the more likely you are to get stopped out.

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi DB, where did everyone go? It's been dead across the usual forums.

 

I hope you're doing well.

 

Schaefer

 

BMT. No trolls. Self-moderating threads. Motivated people (at least so far as the SLA is concerned). Granted there are only 2-3 people maintaining journals, but there hasn't been a single harassing post to me or to anyone associated with me. Why I wasted so much time at ET is a mystery to me.

 

I have only one thread at BMT. You won't have any trouble finding me.

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Thx for reminding us... I don't bang that drum often enough anymore Another part for consideration is who that money initially went to...
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.