Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Does anyone here play the Bollinger band Squeeze? If so, have you tried using it in conjunction with more basic break out of congestion patterns like 1-2-3, Double Top/Bottom and head & Shoulder patterns?

 

 

Could you give us a chart. I myself have never been a big user of BB. Would help me understand. Maybe I call a "squeeze" something else.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If you look how the outer bands come in close together, and then open up, That is a classic Bollinger band squeeze, and a confirmation.

 

So, do you know if price will break to the upside or downside. S&R? or, which side of the middle line price is on ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
So, do you know if price will break to the upside or downside. S&R? or, which side of the middle line price is on ?

 

Nope. You pretty much have to wait till it starts making the move, and then jump on. Ride it out till the pattern begins to dissolve, and get out. It does allow you to see the move in it's early phases though; and you can see where the real (and often moving) support and resistance is. So you have a better gauge on when to exit the trade.

 

You have to enter, and exit by hand though. Since everything is in a constant state of flux, you can't preplace orders, including Stoploss orders (I still place what I call emergency stops well outside of the trade in case I have a stroke, or heart attack or am prevented from a manual exit some how).

 

The way I play the game, is more like surfing than how most people look at trading. The fact that I cannot use any predetermined parameters, and basically surf the trade as it is in play, is why I can't use the method to trade customer accounts.

 

DISCLAIMER:

THE PRECEDING POST IS STRICTLY HYPOTHETICAL IN NATURE, FOR THE PURPOSES OF EDUCATION AND DISCUSSION *ONLY*

 

THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITIES CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE THAT IS OFTEN ATTAINABLE IN COMMODITY TRADING CAN WORK FOR YOU, AS WELL AS AGAINST YOU.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Squeeze Equation:

Bollinger Band®width = (Top Bollinger Band® (20 periods))-Bottom Bollinger Band® (20 periods)/ Simple Moving Average Close (20 periods)

 

I actually use the 18 bar SMA for mine. Seems to be more reliable, due to the fact that he 18 day moving average is more widely used.

 

I feel it is like trading a market. You always pick the month with the highest OI and Volume, because the signals are the most accurate due to the traffic trading that contract.

 

The more people trading off of a signal, the more accurate an entry based off of it will be.

 

 

DISCLAIMER:

THE PRECEDING POST IS STRICTLY HYPOTHETICAL IN NATURE, FOR THE PURPOSES OF EDUCATION AND DISCUSSION *ONLY*. IT IS NOT DESIGNED TO PROVIDE ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVICE.

 

THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS ON COMMODITIES CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. THEY MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE THAT IS OFTEN ATTAINABLE IN COMMODITY TRADING CAN WORK FOR YOU, AS WELL AS AGAINST YOU.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I like the BB Squeeze trade.

 

The way I look at is is to simply measure expansion/contraction volatility cycles. Catching the end of a contraction cycle can be very profitable because when a new expansion cycle begins big profits can potentially made quickly. Nothing works all the time of course, so always use your risk and money management rules.

 

I personally use a momentum indicator on a higher time frame to help me determine the direction of the expansion move.

 

Having said that, it works good for the initial move, but I've seen often where the volatility move will begin in one direction and then turn, and the major move will occur in the other direction!

 

Having traded for many years, and seeing this many times, I just trade bar-by-bar, watch for this in case it occurs, and will do a stop-and-reverse if needed.

 

Suggestion - don't know which charting software you're using, but Bollinger Band Squeezes are so well-known that you may want to search for a free custom indicator that colors that Bollinger Bands when the mathematical requirements for the Squeeze are met. People often post such free indicators on forums (maybe even this one).

 

Wishing you happy trades!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I agree with all of you. I especially like the surfer analogy. You wait for the big wave and either have the adrenalin ride of your life, or get pounded into the sand with the crash. I have collected about 800 books about the markets, and just last week I slogged through about 50 of them, reading up on just the "Squeeze".

Next to my favorite, a long narrow trading range, the squeeze, although riskier, gets my attention. If I saw one right now, I might use these rules:

1. No touching until the breakout.

2. No purchase or sale without a solid escape plan, i.e. get out immediately during the run back through the trading range.

3. Go through my books again, reading up on the best way to use a trailing stop loss.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 31st March 2025.   Trump Confirms Tariffs on All Countries, Sending Stocks Lower.   The NASDAQ continues to trade lower due to the US confirming the latest tariffs will be on all countries. In addition to this, bearish volatility also is largely due to the higher inflation data from Friday. The NASDAQ declines to its lowest price since September 11th 2024. Core PCE Price Index - Inflation Increases Again! The PCE Price Index read 2.5% aligning with expert forecasts not triggering any alarm bells. However, the Core PCE Price Index rose from 0.3% to 0.4% MoM and from 2.7% to 2.8% YoY, signalling growing inflationary pressure. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. The NASDAQ fell 2.60% due to the higher inflation reading which is known to pressure the stock market due to pressure on consumer demand and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently commented that tariffs could drive up inflation, though the long-term impact remains uncertain. She told journalists that a short-term spike is the most probable outcome but believes the current pause in monetary policy adjustments is appropriate given the prevailing uncertainties. Although, certain investment banks such as JP Morgan actually believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates. This is due to expectations that the economy will struggle under the new trade policy. For example, JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts but will quickly cut towards the end of 2025. Market Risk Appetite Takes a Hit! A big factor for the day is the drop in the risk appetite of investors. This can be seen from the VIX which is up almost 6%, Gold which is trading 1.30% higher and the Japanese Yen which is the day’s best performing currency. Most safe haven assets, bar the US Dollar, increase in value. It is also worth noting that all indices are decreasing in value during this morning's Asian session with the Nikkei225 and NASDAQ witnessing the strongest decline. Previously the stock market rose in value as investors heard rumours that tariffs would only be on certain countries. This bullish swing occurred between March 14th and 25th. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump indicated that the upcoming tariffs would apply to all countries, not just those with the largest trade imbalances with the US. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ continues to obtain indications that sellers control the price action. The price opens on a bearish price gap measuring 0.30% and trades below all Moving Averages on all timeframes. The NASDAQ also trades below the VWAP and almost 100% of the most influential components (stocks) are declining in value.     The next significant support level is at $18,313, and the resistance level stands at $20,367.95. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ falls to its lowest since September 2024 as the US confirms tariffs on all countries, adding to inflation concerns. Core PCE inflation rises to 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY, increasing the likelihood of prolonged high interest rates. Investor risk appetite drops as VIX jumps 6%, gold gains 1.3%, and safe-haven assets outperform. NASDAQ shows strong bearish momentum, trading below key technical levels with support at $18,313 and resistance at $20,367.95. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • PM Philip Morris stock, top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?PM
    • EXC Exelon stock, nice range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?EXC
    • UTZ Utz Brands stock, watch for a bottom breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?UTZ
    • FL Foot Locker stock, nice breakdown follow through at https://stockconsultant.com/?FL
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.