Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Ammeo

Is This A New Bull Market Or Are We Reaching A Top

By Ammeo, in Market News & Analysis

Is This A New Bull Market Or Are We Reaching A Top  

9 members have voted

  1. 1. Is This A New Bull Market Or Are We Reaching A Top

    • Yes
      2
    • No
      2
    • Not Sure
      5

Recommended Posts

Ammeo    10

Ammeo
Posted

Some Analysts are predicting 2014 may see a big fall in the market.

Personally i think its way too early as the market seems at a well adjusted price.

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

johnw    10

johnw
Posted

I can think of 85B reasons every month why this current bull market will continue.

 

Take any of these away and the world will change.

 

S&P has grown 12% this year and GDP is supposedly up 1.7%

 

At 85B per month, this life support package is just over 1T per year.

Place this over a 15T economy and it simply means that life support of 6.7%

yields growth of 1.7%

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

MightyMouse    12

MightyMouse
Posted
I can think of 85B reasons every month why this current bull market will continue.

 

Take any of these away and the world will change.

 

S&P has grown 12% this year and GDP is supposedly up 1.7%

 

At 85B per month, this life support package is just over 1T per year.

Place this over a 15T economy and it simply means that life support of 6.7%

yields growth of 1.7%

 

The change will change the near linear ascent of the S&P. It will create some big zig zags for us to take advantage of until they re-engage in QE again. I think it will continue higher, but it will go higher with a lot more volatility than we have been accustomed to experiencing.

 

We have to learn to accept that QE is here to stay indefinitely. It is a new arrow in the fed quiver.

 

We'll be in a low interest rate environment for a long, long time, provided we do not experience supply shocks the way we did in the 70's.

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

zdo    20

zdo
Posted
...a well adjusted price.

 

???

 

imo, the dow needs to cross 24,000 (that's ~ 8600 points higher than the cash is now) to even be remotely approaching Bull...

ie if you're not first seriously questioning any nominal chart you look at, you're under the influence of neptune, the god of delusion... ;)

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

mickeybh    10

mickeybh
Posted

I hope MightMouse is right as I'm long UVXY and SDS..... LOL Not hurt too bad.... YET, just been a drag on overall profits. Flat all my stocks and playing the VIX, short S&P and Natgas, trying to figure out when to re-enter TBT took it from 60 to 75ish, now will it fall back into the high 60s for re-entry. Thinking of selling the Dec 70 puts and see.

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

mickeybh    10

mickeybh
Posted
Just an an alternative,left field view,through the mandelbrot door.Maybe a temp top pattern..

 

We shall see won't we. Everybody is long. The commentators, analysts the barber, the cab driver, the friends at work. We know what's happened in the past. Some of the naysayers are sayin we are seeing classic distribution up here. I hope they are right. A 10% pullback would be very nice. TBT is where I think we can make some bucks. I'm hoping for the yield (10 yr) to pull back to 2 or so, then long TBT again. In fact as I said thinking of selling the Dec 70 puts maybe 68, will be glad to own it at that price. Nat gas (UNG) I'm in halfway here will keep buying slow, as we'll see the low 20s (maybe more) again this winter. I'm afraid of all my favorite stocks just nose bleeding highs here. I think after we pull back and start moving again, I like Apple, and I'm pissed I never touched facebook. Don't understand Netflix, I will keep buying puts because one of these days that one is gonna crash. Too much right has to happen and if they think they will own that space well I think some other players may have something to say about that. Gold miners ahh dont know. Housing over for now. That's about what I play. Over and out and happy trading.

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

Ammeo    10

Ammeo
Posted
Looking weaker.1685/1700 key levels

 

2014 may be an year when we may see a halt to this bullish market, personally im seeing 2014 as an year of consolidation for markets but dont expect any crash.

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

Ammeo    10

Ammeo
Posted
Bear market begins within first quarter of 2014.Typically,the dip buyers will keep buying the dips until they accept the bull is over....

 

There are for sure going to be corrections and what not but all will be buying opportunities. Tapering is priced in, the economy is working, now its time to focus on, really focus, on earnings and jobs growth. Corporate balance sheets are in the best condition they have been in for years, maybe decades. Once the money starts flowing again profits will soar. Best case scenario....it could all go to hell real quick too..

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

tradingwizzard    10

tradingwizzard
Posted
Just an an alternative,left field view,through the mandelbrot door.Maybe a temp top pattern..

 

hi Mits.....long time no see.....anyways, my experience with fractals is not that positive as one might think.....so a proper understanding of the concept would most likely be usefull then just labeling from 1-8 blue and 1-8 red........visuals always help, but anyways...

 

to answer this thread, and I will start one in the days to come, this is AS BULLISH AS IT GETS......to quote the famous movie with Jack Nicholson..........yes, this is a bull market, but I don't think it began now.....we're just in the middle (early beginings) of it

Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
Go To Topic Listing

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • HFblogNews
      HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

      By HFblogNews · Posted

      Date: 21st February 2025.   European PMI Disappoint, Weighing on Euro Before German Elections   The Euro is the first currency to witness the volatility on this month’s PMI reports. The French, German and British PMI data have resulted in the Euro being the worst-performing currency of the European Session so far. However, will the Euro continue to decline throughout the day? European Purchasing Managers’ Indexes The French Purchasing Managers Index was the first European index to be made public. The release resulted in the Euro instantly declining 0.24%. The main concern from the French data was the Services PMI which fell from 48.2 to 44.5. Previously the market was expecting the data to remain more or less unchanged. The weak data triggered the decline which came to a halt after Germany’s PMI was released.     The German Manufacturing PMI read 0.5 points higher than previous expectations and the Services PMI was 0.2 points lower. The data from Germany was a relief for Euro investors and the price rose 0.12% higher. However, traders should note that the price of the EURUSD continues to remain 0.20% lower than yesterday’s close. The price of the EURUSD will now depend on the PMI data from the US. The value of the US Dollar will depend on its PMI release this afternoon and the Consumer Sentiment Index. Analysts expect both the US Services and Manufacturing PMI data to remain above the 50.00 level in the expansion zone. German Elections 2 Days Away Germany is set to hold a general election this Sunday, February 23rd, following the collapse of the coalition of social democrats, liberals, and greens. Given the country's highly proportional electoral system, German polls provide a strong indication of potential government formations post-election. The main concern for Germany is the AFD party who are Far-Right Nationalists. Currently, ahead in the polls are CDU (centre-right), and AFD (far right), followed by the SPD (centre-left). Traders should note that the results of the elections are likely to trigger strong volatility on Monday, but also influence volatility today. Economists may become further concerned if the far-right gains power for the first time due to uncertainty. If the government, similar to France, is unable to form a coalition, this would also be a concern for the Eurozone. Furthermore, the Euro this week is also under pressure from comments from members of the European Central Bank. ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said to journalists that officials need not slow interest rate cuts, as January's 2.5% inflation is still expected to reach the 2.0% target this year. He also advised the European economy is weaker than previously expected. EURUSD - Technical Analysis and Indicators The EURUSD is trading above the 75-bar Exponential Moving Average and 100-bar Simple Moving Average on the 2-hour chart. However, the price is moving away from the key resistance level at 1.05058 indicating the price is losing momentum. The short-term volatility is indicating the price is retracing downwards. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price is trading below the 200-bar SMA and is also forming clear lower lows and highs. Simultaneously, the US Dollar Index is trading above the 200-bar SMA on the 5-minute chart confirming no current conflicts. Currently, the US Dollar is the best-performing currency of the day attempting to regain losses from the past 2 weeks. Watch today’s Live Analysis Session for more signals as they develop!   Key Takeaway Points: Weak French Services PMI triggered an initial Euro decline, but German PMI provide a slight relief. However, EURUSD remains lower than yesterday’s close. The Euro’s direction now depends on the US PMI reports, with analysts expecting US data to stay in expansion territory. Sunday's German election could drive volatility, especially if the far-right AFD gains power or if coalition formation proves difficult. ECB official Fabio Panetta suggested no need to slow rate cuts, citing weaker-than-expected economic performance and expected inflation decline. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Stocks4life
      Breakout and Swing Stock Ideas

      By Stocks4life · Posted

      BE Bloom Energy stock, watch for a range breakout, target 34 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?BE
    • Stocks4life
      Breakout and Swing Stock Ideas

      By Stocks4life · Posted

      APLD Applied Digital stock. nice rally, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?APLD
    • Stocks4life
      Breakout and Swing Stock Ideas

      By Stocks4life · Posted

      UAL United Airlines stock, watch for a narrow range breakout, target 122 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?UAL
    • Stocks4life
      Breakout and Swing Stock Ideas

      By Stocks4life · Posted

      WBD Warner Bros Discovery stock, watch for a range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?WBD
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.

  I accept