Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

walterw

The M phenomena

Recommended Posts

Hello traders ¡¡ today has been a nice day to relax and enjoy this holiday, In relaxed fashion I become more contemplative and I use to make some reflexions on my trading career... its interesting that most people are thinking how to autoimpose their ideas autoconvincing themselves about some NEW MODERN trading concept...(including myself).... I found out that the best reflexion comes to remind yourself how did you make money consistently thru the years and remind yourself what technicall aspect gave you the edge in terms of dollars on your acct and not the hype sometimes we can have around very new and wow wow super modern original stuff.... it happens to me almost all the time... and probably I will need to make some decision, consagration event, maybe wear a ring to remind me or like kung fu take a hot iron on my skin, I dont know but as an indicator junki and addict I did not make a penny, BUT my KISS aproach I learned almost 7 years ago... that ALWAYS gave me money... jejejej thanks the Lord always I come to trade my original, and let me say maybe boring aproach.... but whats trading anyway ?... is it being original? new stuff that gets you exited ? always upgrading yourself and coming to the sad conclusion that you have more mambo jambo on your head ? WHATS TRADING ? its simply making money (period). its not being hyped, exited, auto impressed.... etc etc ... you trade to end each week with more dollars into your acct.... thats what trading its all about.... so coming back to my reflexion and making some balance, my old boring and simple no hype aproach has made me succesfull in this hard arena where very few succeed...

My old aproach is based on the M phenomena.... simple, markets have a cyclical nature and M (W ) are patterns that give you and amazing edge on timing your trades.... now some unexperienced trader may tell you the oposite and start showing you all the failed M`s.... well poor him... he is loosing a great oportunity to understand a great timing concept that MUST be considered on the context of a "market climate" wich can be divided into two big categories: Momentum Climate (trending) and Cyclical Climate (non trending) wich can be detected very easy with a simple perception of the market speed (maybe thats a tape reading concept) but I learned to see on very small tick charts.... now M`s are a high percentage "pattern" that work very well on the correct context.... let me make this simple : where do M`s dont work or have a very low chance of working, that is on a very high trending moves.... you dont wont to take m`s there.... now on a choppy day.... m`s are GREAT ¡ you can make your entire week objective on a choppy day just taking the m`s.... and let me tell you we statistically have more choppy days than trending days.. so that makes m`s even more reliabale as a pattern... you may ask What M`s.... well there are so many M`s and you may want to look for YOUR M`s.... you see the phenomena is universal, wich means that you can see it from a tick chart to a minute or daily, whatever.... they are there.... maybe on this thread we can share M`s from each and other traders perspectives.... the phenomena is there, it depends on you if you want to capitalize on it.... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Excelllent post though. But yea... paragraphs would help. :)

 

Walterw, with M's and W's do you have defined rules when the tests of the high/low fails by let's say over 10 ticks? Do you have specific rules for what defines a M or W?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sorry about the paragraphs.... it was holiday jejejej.... yes Soul, I do have a very nice set of rules, what happens is that this rules change depending on market conditions.... So determining market conditions starts the entire analisis... I have a second generation of rules also that will take continuations after a successfull M Pattern.... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

walter, I remember you did share with us a word doc with charts of your trading approach. Maybe you can repost them so people can see and use it to start sharing the setup.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • LZ LegalZoomcom stock, watch for a bull flag breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?LZ
    • XMTR Xometry stock, watch for a local breakout above 37.5, target 44 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?XMTR
    • INTC Intel stock, nice bounce off the lower 19.12 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?INTC
    • Date: 11th February 2025.   Market Update: Tariffs, Inflation, and Investor Sentiment Shape Global Markets.   Asian equities and US stock index futures experienced declines. At the same time, gold surged to a record high, reflecting investor caution following President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on US imports of steel and aluminium. Stock markets in Hong Kong and mainland China faced selling pressure, contributing to a regional downturn. Futures contracts for the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Euro Stoxx 50 also traded lower. Meanwhile, Japanese markets remained closed due to a public holiday. Gold, often seen as a safe-haven asset duringeconomic uncertainty, extended its rally for a third consecutive session, briefly surpassing $2,942 before paring some gains. The US dollar index maintained its Monday gains, signalling sustained strength amid market volatility. The precious metal has surged about 11% this year, setting successive records as Trump’s disruptive moves on trade and geopolitics reinforce its role as a store of value in uncertain times. US Steel and Metals Sector Reacts to Tariffs Shares of US Steel Corporation surged as much as 6% following Trump’s announcement, as domestic metals producers saw a boost from the prospect of increased business and stronger pricing power. Canada, Brazil, and Mexico, the top steel suppliers to the US, are expected to be significantly impacted by these trade restrictions. Trump stated that the new tariffs, effective in March, aim to revitalize domestic production and job growth. However, he also suggested the possibility of further tariff increases, adding to market uncertainty.     Investor Concerns Over Tariffs and Trade War Escalation Investors are grappling with the implications of Trump’s tariffs, particularly in distinguishing between policy announcements and concrete actions. The uncertainty surrounding additional levies and potential retaliatory measures has reignited fears of an intensifying global trade war. Tariffs on Chinese goods are already in effect, and concerns persist about further economic fallout. According to Christian Mueller-Glissmann, head of asset allocation research at Goldman Sachs, the key challenge in portfolio strategy now lies in identifying assets that can effectively hedge against tariff risks. Speaking to Bloomberg Television, he noted, “The big challenge is that this is going to be much more difficult from here because the tariffs are very specific.” Key Economic Data and Federal Reserve Testimony in Focus Beyond trade tensions, investors are closely watching this week’s critical economic reports and statements from Federal Reserve officials. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to testify before Congress, while fresh inflation data will provide further insight into price trends. According to the New York Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Expectations, inflation expectations for both the one-year and three-year outlooks remained steady at 3% in January. Short-term US inflation expectations have now risen above longer-term projections to their widest gap since 2023, signalling potential shifts in monetary policy. Inflation data, Powell’s congressional testimony, and tariffs are poised to drive the market today. A reprieve from negative surprises, such as the impact of DeepSeek, ongoing tariffs, and consumer sentiment concerns, could push S&P 500 to break out of its two-month consolidation.     Currency and Commodity Markets React The currency market also reflected shifting investor sentiment. The Japanese Yen remained largely unchanged. Meanwhile, the British Pound weakened after a report from the Financial Times cited Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann’s concerns that weakening demand is beginning to outweigh inflationary risks. Gold’s continued ascent has been accompanied by significant inflows into bullion-backed exchange-traded funds. Global holdings have risen in six of the past seven weeks, reaching their highest levels since November. Banks have forecast that gold could test the $3,000 mark, with Citigroup predicting it could hit that level within three months and J.P. Morgan Private Bank projecting a year-end target of $3,150. Market Resilience Amid Trade Uncertainty Despite ongoing tariff tensions, equities have demonstrated resilience, leading some analysts to caution that further trade escalations could trigger renewed market pullbacks. Strategists at Deutsche Bank AG, including Binky Chadha, suggested that historical patterns indicate sharp but short-lived equity selloffs during geopolitical events, with markets typically rebounding before any formal de-escalation occurs. They projected that, in such scenarios, equity markets could decline by 6%-8% over a three-week period before recovering in a similar timeframe. China’s Growing Gold Reserves and Market Influence China’s central bank expanded its gold reserves for the third consecutive month in January, signalling an ongoing commitment to diversifying its holdings despite record-high prices. In addition, China introduced a pilot program allowing 10 major insurers to invest up to 1% of their assets in bullion for the first time. This initiative could translate into as much as 200 billion Yuan ($27.4 billion) in potential gold investments. Key Market Events to Watch This Week Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s semiannual testimony before the Senate Banking Committee today Speeches by Fed officials Beth Hammack, John Williams, and Michelle Bowman today US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, Wednesday As global markets continue to navigate economic uncertainties, investors remain watchful of trade developments, monetary policy signals, and inflation trends that could shape the financial landscape in the coming weeks.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Andria Pichidi HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • KAR Openlane stock breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?KAR
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.