Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

tmbaru

Why Successful Traders Use Fibonacci Retracements

Recommended Posts

I use Fibonacci retracement and expansion tools on a daily basis on my analysis.......I am mainly using Elliott Waves Theory and Fibonacci retracement and expansion levels are mandatory for counting waves (for example if you are looking for a flat, then the b wave should retrace more than 61.8% out of the previous a wave, or if you're looking for an impulsive move, then at least one wave should be extended more than 161.8% out of the next longest waves within the waves in the direction of the potential impulse)...........so yes, I use them all the time and yes, I find them extremely usefull.......for those that don't think that, just ask questions and I will gladly ask here using examples with Fibo on charts as explained above

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

XAUUSD

 

38.2% retracement last major swing down

 

161.8% external retracement of wave b

 

38.2% expansion of wave a

 

100% projection of wave a from wave b bottom

(in other words wave c equals wave a)

 

And for extra measure a lin reg channel.

 

Tight fib zone has kept a lid on price moving higher - so far. It might very well break through it and if it does that will be a signal of strength and probably much more significant room to the upside to come.

 

Or - as I expect the fib zone holds, price resumes downtrend which signals the 6/28/13 $1180.75 bottom will be taken out.

5aa711f3208a4_xaufibs.thumb.png.04be463ecb4e77a6dbd36954c251a264.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
True but that is like saying Barry Bonds was on steroids when he sets home run records.

 

He still would have been damn close without the "juice" though.

 

Break a rule or a law and there are consequences of course.

 

But SAC is an enormous trading firm that didn't get that way purely from insider info.

 

We can't say what Bonds would have done without the juice since we only know what he did with the juice. He apparently was not confident enough to play without steroids, so my guess is that he too felt that he wouldn't have done as well.

 

Same goes with SAC. If Steve Cohen could have done well without insider trading and breaking the law, then why bother? Again, he did it because he knew that he could not charge the fees he charged and remain as esteemed as he was without insider trading. As it turns out, Cohen is just another comedy act.

 

Oh, and there are more acts to follow. Citadel is next in line.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
We can't say what Bonds would have done without the juice .........

.

It works both ways for Bonds or Cohen. We don't how good or poorly SAC would have done without insider info.

 

Meantime since he is escaping jail time and even with a hefty fine and lifetime industry ban he will walk away with more money than either of us have. I'd take that comedy act any day of the week.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
It works both ways for Bonds or Cohen. We don't how good or poorly SAC would have done without insider info.

 

Meantime since he is escaping jail time and even with a hefty fine and lifetime industry ban he will walk away with more money than either of us have. I'd take that comedy act any day of the week.

 

If money was everything I would agree. But, to me it isn't so I can't agree. I would rather be me than him any day.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Trading with Fibonacci ratios is often incorporated into the trading plans of many commodity traders to some degree. Carolyn Boroden, who is dubbed the “Fibonacci Queen”, trades almost exclusively with the use of Fibonacci numbers, ratios and time series....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Trading with Fibonacci ratios is often incorporated into the trading plans of many commodity traders to some degree. Carolyn Boroden, who is dubbed the “Fibonacci Queen”, trades almost exclusively with the use of Fibonacci numbers, ratios and time series....

 

 

Does Carolyn Boroden even trade these days ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

As a matter of fact Carolyn Boroden does trade these days. Her work in fibonacci has been highly influential in how I trade. In my experience, melding fibonacci and other break through levels seemed too choatic for me to consistently profit so I'm not doing it anymore.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 21st February 2025.   European PMI Disappoint, Weighing on Euro Before German Elections   The Euro is the first currency to witness the volatility on this month’s PMI reports. The French, German and British PMI data have resulted in the Euro being the worst-performing currency of the European Session so far. However, will the Euro continue to decline throughout the day? European Purchasing Managers’ Indexes The French Purchasing Managers Index was the first European index to be made public. The release resulted in the Euro instantly declining 0.24%. The main concern from the French data was the Services PMI which fell from 48.2 to 44.5. Previously the market was expecting the data to remain more or less unchanged. The weak data triggered the decline which came to a halt after Germany’s PMI was released.     The German Manufacturing PMI read 0.5 points higher than previous expectations and the Services PMI was 0.2 points lower. The data from Germany was a relief for Euro investors and the price rose 0.12% higher. However, traders should note that the price of the EURUSD continues to remain 0.20% lower than yesterday’s close. The price of the EURUSD will now depend on the PMI data from the US. The value of the US Dollar will depend on its PMI release this afternoon and the Consumer Sentiment Index. Analysts expect both the US Services and Manufacturing PMI data to remain above the 50.00 level in the expansion zone. German Elections 2 Days Away Germany is set to hold a general election this Sunday, February 23rd, following the collapse of the coalition of social democrats, liberals, and greens. Given the country's highly proportional electoral system, German polls provide a strong indication of potential government formations post-election. The main concern for Germany is the AFD party who are Far-Right Nationalists. Currently, ahead in the polls are CDU (centre-right), and AFD (far right), followed by the SPD (centre-left). Traders should note that the results of the elections are likely to trigger strong volatility on Monday, but also influence volatility today. Economists may become further concerned if the far-right gains power for the first time due to uncertainty. If the government, similar to France, is unable to form a coalition, this would also be a concern for the Eurozone. Furthermore, the Euro this week is also under pressure from comments from members of the European Central Bank. ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said to journalists that officials need not slow interest rate cuts, as January's 2.5% inflation is still expected to reach the 2.0% target this year. He also advised the European economy is weaker than previously expected. EURUSD - Technical Analysis and Indicators The EURUSD is trading above the 75-bar Exponential Moving Average and 100-bar Simple Moving Average on the 2-hour chart. However, the price is moving away from the key resistance level at 1.05058 indicating the price is losing momentum. The short-term volatility is indicating the price is retracing downwards. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price is trading below the 200-bar SMA and is also forming clear lower lows and highs. Simultaneously, the US Dollar Index is trading above the 200-bar SMA on the 5-minute chart confirming no current conflicts. Currently, the US Dollar is the best-performing currency of the day attempting to regain losses from the past 2 weeks. Watch today’s Live Analysis Session for more signals as they develop!   Key Takeaway Points: Weak French Services PMI triggered an initial Euro decline, but German PMI provide a slight relief. However, EURUSD remains lower than yesterday’s close. The Euro’s direction now depends on the US PMI reports, with analysts expecting US data to stay in expansion territory. Sunday's German election could drive volatility, especially if the far-right AFD gains power or if coalition formation proves difficult. ECB official Fabio Panetta suggested no need to slow rate cuts, citing weaker-than-expected economic performance and expected inflation decline. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • BE Bloom Energy stock, watch for a range breakout, target 34 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?BE
    • APLD Applied Digital stock. nice rally, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?APLD
    • UAL United Airlines stock, watch for a narrow range breakout, target 122 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?UAL
    • WBD Warner Bros Discovery stock, watch for a range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?WBD
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.