POP & Reversal Setup

[Soultrader 12]

The chart below shows a fakeout at the R1 pivot line. Notice the long wick... price lifted because of the few bulls that held their mark at the 12470 level. As sellers stepped off the ask, price popped for a quick 20 points and then REVERSED. The last bulls became trapped in a false breakout move. Notice the lower volume on that test of high/new high. A complete rejection in price and lack of demand. These patterns are extremely powerful to trade in the opposite direction.

 

[ckait 10]

Great set up, I went short on the previous bar only to be stopped out . Do you typacally try catch the the top or wait until the close of the following bar?

[Soultrader 12]

Great set up, I went short on the previous bar only to be stopped out . Do you typacally try catch the the top or wait until the close of the following bar?

 

Very interesting that you mention that since the pop was also a stop run as well. With pivot point plays most of my entry is based on tape. Although candlestick patterns (entry after the close) produces strong signals, price may runaway from an ideal entry. I like to see sellers stepping in on tape... multiple 10+ lots on the sell side. I interesting pattern is when the tape tries a certain price level 2-3 times just to see sellers step in... in other words you will see alot of prints on the same level but without any price advancement. That information tells me that sellers are not wanting price to lift beyond it. Once the buy side disappears, reversals are often quick. Also look for who is supporting the buy side on tape. Is it small lots? Big lots? Rallies caused by small lots are often rejected swiftly leading to a swift reversal.

[ckait 10]

Good advice thanks for reply soltrader.

[weiwei 10]

Thanks Soul, will start to look for that on tape.