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TheRumpledOne

Market Wizard
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Everything posted by TheRumpledOne

  1. "Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative. The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat." P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added) ========================= ==================== "Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis: 1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's) 2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's) They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above) They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden ============================================= 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY ============================================ WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT? Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post. One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, <insert your own adjective>), then why isn't everybody doing it?" Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people! We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise? We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway? We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods? We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that? The list is almost endless. As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise. Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students. ============================================= PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  2. Default Re: NEVER LOSE AGAIN!! - TheRumpledOne MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the Freebie Signal Alert.mq4 from FF. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  3. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  4. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Chart shows the MO REVERSAL. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  5. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  6. TradeStation had a bug and my auto trade program was losing when it should have been winning. I would watch trades fire off, see the P/L go green and then slowly turn red. Backtest worked fine. Real time, entry worked fine but the bug messed up the exits. Took their quality control people a while to figure it out. I had to remove some code to make the bug go away. Thousands of dollars down the drain...
  7. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. You can even use SQUIGGLYS for your entry trigger! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  8. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  9. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. You can even use SQUIGGLYS for your entry trigger! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  10. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  11. I have a FREE PalTalk chat room called the TWO PERCENT CLUB. You are more than welcome to join us there. It is open when forex is open unless the servers are down.
  12. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. You can even use SQUIGGLYS for your entry trigger! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  13. "Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative. The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat." P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added) ========================= ==================== "Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis: 1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's) 2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's) They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above) They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden ============================================= 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY ============================================ WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT? Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post. One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, <insert your own adjective>), then why isn't everybody doing it?" Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people! We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise? We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway? We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods? We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that? The list is almost endless. As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise. Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students. ============================================= PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  14. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  15. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  16. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  17. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  18. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  19. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  20. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY 2) Red candle closes 3) Green candle closes - note the high price of the green candle. 4) Enter long at the green candle's high price 5) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS 6) Take whatever profit you can. 7) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> "The technique is so simple that just several lessons (or a few pages of explanations) cover it all. Now what? Now the student has to practice, practice and practice again to understand what he had been taught. The teacher DOES know much more than the student, but his understanding can't be "passed", "transferred" or taught in any way -- not even by reading books." <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  21. "Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative. The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat." P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added) ========================= ==================== "Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis: 1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's) 2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's) They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above) They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden ============================================= 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY ============================================ WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT? Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post. One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, <insert your own adjective>), then why isn't everybody doing it?" Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people! We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise? We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway? We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods? We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that? The list is almost endless. As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise. Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students. ============================================= PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  22. THE RAT ADAPTS Q) What happens when you combine the DAILY BUY ZONE with the RAT REVERSAL on a daily chart? A) More cheese!! On a Daily (D1) chart. 1) Red candle closes 2) Green candle closes 3) Go long at the Daily BuyZone trigger 4) STOP LOSS is 10 pips 5) Take whatever profit you can 6) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern. Remember, the RAT only turned left because the RAT "adapted" to it's environment. That is what is happening here - ADAPTATION. Works for RED rats, too. On a Daily (D1) chart. 1) Green candle closes 2) Red candle closes 3) Go short at the Daily BuyZone trigger 4) STOP LOSS is 10 pips 5) Take whatever profit you can 6) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern.
  23. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY 2) Red candle closes 3) Green candle closes - note the high price of the green candle. 4) Enter long at the green candle's high price 5) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS 6) Take whatever profit you can. 7) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> "The technique is so simple that just several lessons (or a few pages of explanations) cover it all. Now what? Now the student has to practice, practice and practice again to understand what he had been taught. The teacher DOES know much more than the student, but his understanding can't be "passed", "transferred" or taught in any way -- not even by reading books." <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
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