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TheRumpledOne

Market Wizard
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Everything posted by TheRumpledOne

  1. "Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative. The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat." P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added) ========================= ==================== "Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis: 1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's) 2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's) They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above) They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden ============================================= 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY ============================================ WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT? Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post. One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?" Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people! We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise? We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway? We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods? We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that? The list is almost endless. As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise. Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students. ============================================= PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  2. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> DRAIN THE BANKS - LIKE A RAT 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY 2) Red candle closes 3) Green candle closes - note the high price of the green candle. 4) Enter long at the green candle's high price 5) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS 6) Take whatever profit you can. 7) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  3. ========================= ==================== "Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis: 1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's) 2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's) They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above) They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden ============================================= 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY ============================================ WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT? Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post. One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?" Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people! We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise? We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway? We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods? We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that? The list is almost endless. As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise. Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students. ============================================= PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  4. Someone asked about trading time frames other than M5. PRICE IS THE SAME ON ALL CHARTS. You are NOT trading charts, you are trading price. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> DRAIN THE BANKS - LIKE A RAT for H1 (60 MINUTE) CHARTS. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY 2) Red H1 candle closes within 20 pips of the current daily low 3) Go long when current H1 candles is green 4) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS 5) Take whatever profit you can. 6) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  5. 1) I am not coding for TS 2) That's what this thread does.
  6. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the MO REVERSALS indicator that I coded. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  7. Someone asked about trading time frames other than M5. PRICE IS THE SAME ON ALL CHARTS. You are NOT trading charts, you are trading price. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> DRAIN THE BANKS - LIKE A RAT for H1 (60 MINUTE) CHARTS. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY 2) Red H1 candle closes within 20 pips of the current daily low 3) Go long when current H1 candles is green 4) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS 5) Take whatever profit you can. 6) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the MO REVERSALS indicator that I coded. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  8. Someone asked about trading time frames other than M5. PRICE IS THE SAME ON ALL CHARTS. You are NOT trading charts, you are trading price. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> DRAIN THE BANKS - LIKE A RAT for H1 (60 MINUTE) CHARTS. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY 2) Red H1 candle closes within 20 pips of the current daily low 3) Go long when current H1 candles is green 4) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS 5) Take whatever profit you can. 6) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the MO REVERSALS indicator that I coded. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  9. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> 1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch. 2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  10. Someone asked about trading time frames other than M5. PRICE IS THE SAME ON ALL CHARTS. You are NOT trading charts, you are trading price. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> DRAIN THE BANKS - LIKE A RAT for H1 (60 MINUTE) CHARTS. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY 2) Red H1 candle closes within 20 pips of the current daily low 3) Go long when current H1 candles is green 4) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS 5) Take whatever profit you can. 6) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the MO REVERSALS indicator that I coded. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  11. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> 1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch. 2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  12. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the MO REVERSALS indicator that I coded. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  13. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  14. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb How We Decide by Jonah Lehrer Animals in Translation: Using the Mysteries of Autism to Decode Animal Behavior by Temple Grandin and Catherine Johnson Trading in the Zone: Master the Market with Confidence, Discipline and a Winning Attitude by Mark Douglas The Disciplined Trader: Developing Winning Attitudes by Mark Douglas Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes And How To Correct Them: Lessons From The New Science Of Behavioral Economics by Gary Belsky and Thomas Gilovich Your Money & Your Brain by Jason Zweig The New Drawing on the Right Side of the Brain by Betty Edwards
  15. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  16. "Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative. The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat." P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added) ========================= ==================== "Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis: 1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's) 2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's) They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above) They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden ============================================= 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY ============================================ WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT? Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post. One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?" Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people! We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise? We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway? We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods? We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that? The list is almost endless. As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise. Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students. ============================================= JANUARY 2011 MT4 MOTHERLODE HAS BEEN POSTED. ============================================= PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  17. Why do people make things so complicated? First you must have a trading "playbook". Just like the football coaches have there playbook on the side line. They have the plays mapped out for all possible events AHEAD OF TIME. Your entry rules must be in the form IF X THEN ENTER. X should be simple. Example: IF the 5 Minute candle crosses and closes above the EMA(5) THEN enter long on the open of the next candle. That is simple. I am sure a quick search of this forum will give you examples of overly complicated entries. Your exit rules should simple, too. After entry, set stop loss to entry price - 50 cents. If price moves to entry + 10 cents move stop loss to entry + 5 cents. If price moves to entry + 25 cents, move stop loss to entry + 15 cents. If price moves to entry + 50 cents, exit 1/2 position and set trailing stop of 25 cents. Now all you have to do is execute according to your play book. Either you do or you don't. It is that simple. You must FORCE yourself to execute the plan and STOP second-guessing - IT IS THAT SIMPLE. All the rest is MUMBO JUMBO. If you want to know WHY YOU LOSE AT TRADING or HOW TO WIN AT TRADING, use your favorite search engine.
  18. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  19. WILL GROUNDHOGS EAT CHEESE? LOL!!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the MO REVERSALS indicator that I coded. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  20. HAPPY GROUND HOG DAY! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  21. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the MO REVERSALS indicator that I coded. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  22. 1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
  23. MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE. STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD) POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS. This is how you make 2% per day. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method. Today, I am using the MO REVERSALS indicator that I coded. <--------------------------------------------------------------------> Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS. THINK ABOUT IT!! <--------------------------------------------------------------------> PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
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