analyst75

GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish The market has been showing weakness since last week (price dropped more than 1200 pips last week alone). A bullish attempt was made on February 26, but the attempt was later halted as price dived again, laying more emphasis on the recent bearish bias. Price is intent on going further southwards, and there is a possibility that the support levels at 1310.00, 1300.00 and 1290.00 would be tested. These are initial targets that could even be exceeded, when selling pressures on the market increases. The resistance levels at 1340.00, 1350.00 and 1360.00 should hinder meaningful bullish attacks along the way. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Silver is a rough but bearish market. In January, the market consolidated as bulls were making unsuccessful effort to push price upwards. In February, the market went far lower in the first few days of the month, and again, consolidated for the rest of the month. Nothing significant has been done this month, but the general outlook on the market is bearish. A movement below the demand levels at 16.2000, 16.1000 and 16.0000 (which could possibly be exceeded), should make the Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market become more conspicuous. There are supply levels at 16.7000, 16.8000 and 16.9000. Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market is bearish in the short-term. Since testing the resistance line at 1.2550 on February 16, price has gone south by more than 250 pips (now barely below the resistance line at 1.2300). This week, the outlook on EUR pairs is bullish. While the support lines at 1.2250 and 1.2200 could be tested, it is expected that a considerable rally will start before the end of the week, and that is something that could overturn the current short-term bearish bias. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish The pair is bullish in the short-term. After the support level at 0.9200 was tried on February 16, the market gained 200 pips. It tested the resistance level at 0.9400 on Thursday, and then retraced a bit. The resistance level at 0.9400 could be tested again, and even another resistance level at 0.9450. However, an eventual rally on EURUSD would force the current upwards movement to reverse, thus threatening the short-term bullish bias. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral There was no strong directional movement here last week. Since February 16 price has been going gradually lower (rendering the bullish outlook that was formed before February 16 invalid). Since the downwards movement is not strong, the market has essentially become neutral in the near-time. However, the neutrality would soon become a thing of the past, because a strong momentum is expected in the market, which would most probably favor bulls. The outlook on GBP pairs is mostly bullish for March 2018, although that does not rule out bearish corrections in certain cases. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The market was bearish in the long-term. A rally happened last week from Monday to Wednesday, but it was checked by the bearish correction that took place on Thursday and Friday. There are support levels at 106.50, 106.00 and ultimately at 105.50. These support levels will try to prevent further bearish correction, and that is something that could bring about another rally in the market, which would become considerable this time. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross is strongly bearish, going downwards in a steady manner since February 2, and losing at least, 600 pips since then. Nonetheless, the southwards journey will soon be over, as a strong rally is expected, which would eventually remove the current Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The outlook on JPY pairs is bullish for this week, and for the month of March. So, short trades are not advisable. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Neutral This trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. The market has gone bearish by 700 pips since February 2 – but it has only moved sideways in the last two weeks. Since the low of 148.00 was tested, price has failed to go significantly lower. A base has already been formed and price could be seen moving upwards, away from the base. This month, the market is expected to go upwards by at least, 500 pips, and that will effectively bring about a bullish bias. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “True trading is actually speculation (managed risk). The speculator is willing to accept the risk of price fluctuation in return for the greater leverage that comes with that risk in the hopes of earning a greater profit.” – Andy Jordan Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish Last week, this pair rose from the support line at 1.2250 and tested the resistance line at 1.2550 (a movement of 300 pips). After the resistance line at 1.2550 had been tested, price got corrected by 140 pips, closing below the resistance line at 1.2450 and now very close to the support line at 1.2400. The current bias on the market is bullish, but that can change this week, because there is a strong likelihood that EUR pairs would become very weak this week. Rallies would be contained at the resistance line at 1.2550, and price could drop towards the support lines at 1.2350 and 1.2300 this week. These targets could even be exceeded. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish USDCHF remained under strong bearish pressure last week. Price consolidated on Monday, and started coming downwards on Tuesday, to reach the demand level at 0.9200 on Friday. The upwards bounce that is in place was made possible by a sharp pullback on EURUSD. Bearish attempts would be halted at the support level of 0.9200; while price targets the resistance levels at 0.9300, 0.9350 and 0.9400. However, there could be a limited bullish movement because USD would not be very strong this week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Cable is not currently in a bullish mode. The rally that was witnessed last week might have led to a bullish bias if not for the pullback that occurred on Friday. Price rose indeed – from the accumulation territory at 1.3800, nearly reaching the distribution territory at 1.4150, but further northward journey was halted. The distribution territory at 1.4150 has already become a barrier to further bullish movement: The market is supposed to move downwards this week. The outlook on GBP pairs is somewhat bearish for this week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish USD/JPY was engaged in a smooth, clean bearish movement last week. Since January 9, the market has gone downwards by 720 pips (losing at least, 300 pips this month alone). There is a strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, it is expected that price should be able to go below the demand levels at 106.00, 105.50 and 105.00, and remain below it… The outlook on JPY pairs remains bearish. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish From the top of 137.50, this cross has nosedived by at least, 550 pips. Last week, the movement of the market was a kind of choppy and sideways (in the context of a downtrend), but bears were able to pull their weight, since price closed below the supply zone at 132.00. The outlook on the market remains bearish, and that might even be aided by a weak EUR. The demand zones at 131.50 and 131.00 are the initial targets for the week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish On February 2, the market reach the monthly high of 156.50, and it has dropped 800 pips since then, reaching a low of 148.00. Although the market movement is rough, the bearishness in the market is clearly visible. This week, the market should continue moving southwards, but not without attacks from bulls (which could cause temporary upwards bounces in). The targets for the week are located at 148.50, 148.00 and 147.50. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “A trading edge is created by a harmonious combination of choices made by each trader to exploit recurring market inefficiencies and thereby create a long-term mathematical advantage. The unique objectives, beliefs, and skills of each trader are key to all edge choices and to integrating the edge into an effective trading methodology.” – VTI Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair is bearish in the short-term, for price went southwards throughout last week, moving downwards from the resistance line at 1.2450, and nearly touching the support line at 1.2200. The support line would be breached to the downside, as other support lines at 1.2150 and 1.2100 are aimed at. The outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week, and so, the probability of a southwards movement is very high. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish The outlook on the market is bearish – even in the long term. Throughout last week, there were rally attempts in the context of a downtrend. The current bullish effort may be temporary, because price may drop from here, to test the support levels at 0.9350 and 0.9300 (this week). However, a movement above the supply level at 0.9500 could result in a nice bullish outlook on the market. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This market shed 300 pips last week, closing below the distribution territory at 1.3800. Price has gone downwards by over 430 pips since February 2, creating a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week (save EURGBP, which is expected to be going upwards), and thus the accumulation territories at 1.3750, 1.3700 and 1.3650 could be reached this week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish USDJPY is bearish – though the market environment is quite choppy. After several tests, price was able to go below the supply level at 108.50, and it is currently targeting the demand level at 108.00, which could be breached to the downside, as price goes further southwards. The bearish outlook would be intact as long as price does not go above the supply levels 110.00 and 110.50, which could, however, be tested. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Last week, there was a massive drop on this cross. Price went southwards by 500 pips, reaching the demand zone at 132.00. On Friday, there was an upwards bounce in the market, which should turn out to be temporary, because this cross ought to continue its southwards journey this week. The demand zones at 132.00, 131.50 and 131.00 could be breached to the downside. Rallies in the market could this be ignored. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Amid high volatility, the bias on GBPJPY has turned bearish. The bearishness started as a minor bearish correction on February 2, and later became something serious last week. Price plummeted by 600 pips, testing the demand zone at 149.00. The upwards bounce in price, which occurred on Friday, February 10, should be disregarded, because price is most likely go further southwards (owing to the weakness in GBP and a bearish expectation for JPY pairs). The market can shed another 300 pips this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “It simply doesn't make sense to trade just one market and to hope that one is going to be the big winner of the year. That's why trading multiple markets is so important and one of the key principles to successful trading in the long-term.” - Marco Mayer Source: http://www.tallinex.com

GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Gold is bearish in the short-term, and bullish in the long-term. The second half of December 2017 was very bullish, and the bullishness continued last month. On February 2, price dropped sharply, bringing about a short-term bearish signal. In spite of effort to push price upwards on February 5, bears are still able to pull their weight. It is possible that the resistance levels at 1300.00, 1280.00 and 1260.00 would be breached this month. This is something that would bring more emphasis to the short-term bearish signal. On the other hand, a movement above the resistance level at 1350.00 could help cancel the short-term bearishness and put more emphasis on the long-term bullishness in the market. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Just like Gold, Silver was also very bullish in the second half of December 2017. However, the market situation was generally choppy in January 2018. Last week, price began to come down gradually, and that became something significant on February 2, as Silver lost over 6,300 pips that day alone. On Monday, February 5, price bounced upwards in the context of a downtrend, but that has turned out to be a clean sell-shorting opportunities, as price is poised to continue going southwards, due to the Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The demand levels at 16.4000, 16.0000 and 15.6000 could be reached this month. Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This pair did nothing significant last week: It only moved sideways. However, the bullish bias on the market has been maintained because bulls have been able to their own weight, and when a breakout occurs, it would take price above the resistance lines at 1.2500 and 1.2550. Possible pullbacks may not take price below the support lines at 1.2300 and 1.2250; otherwise a bearish bias would form. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish USDCHF also consolidated last week, not going downwards significantly and not going upwards either. The bias on the market remains bearish, and there is a possibility that the support levels at 0.9200, 0.9150 and 0.9100 could be tested this week (when volatility arises). The resistance levels at 0.9400, 0.9450 and 0.9500 should hinder any serious rallies that may happen. Any breach of the resistance level at 0.9500 would result in a bullish bias. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish Cable moved downwards on Monday and Tuesday, went upwards on Wednesday and Thursday, and then went downwards again on Friday. The outlook on the market is bullish, but the current strong pullback in the market has become a kind of threat to the bias. A breach of the accumulation territory at 1.3950 would result in a bearish signal, while a movement above the distribution territory at 1.4350 would help strengthen the current bullish bias. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. A short-term “buy” signal has been generated, because price has risen by 180 pips after testing the demand level at 108.50. This could be a start of a strong bullish journey, since price may rise further towards the supply levels at 110.50, 111.00 and 111.50. This even would result in an end to the current bearish bias. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Price made some faint bearish effort on January 29 and 30, as it briefly went below the demand zone at 134.50. However, the situation changed as a strong rally began on January 30. Price gained 300 pips, bringing about a bullish signal, and ending the recent consolidation in the market. The possibility of price going further upwards is very high this week. The next targets are the supply zones at 137.50, 138.00 and 138.50. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on GBPJPY (although the market environment is quite volatile). In the first few days of last week, price took a dip, only to rally massively in the middle of the week. The pullback that occurred on Friday would turn out to be another opportunity to buy long and ride the market further north. It is important to note that the bias on JPY pairs is very bullish for this week – short trades are not currently advisable. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “...Stay calm, try your best, and accept where the markets take you. Ironically, if you can identify and control what you can (such as risk management and a sound trading strategy), and accept what you cannot (the outcome of a trade), you will feel calm and be able to trade in a peak performance mindset. And the calmer you feel, the more open you will be to seeing the markets as they are, rather than what you want them to be.” – Joe Ross (Source: Tradingeducators) Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This week, EURUSD assumed one of its strongest movements in recent times. Since December 18, 2017, price has gained 800 pips. It gained almost 600 pips in January 2108, and over 300 pips last week, almost reaching the resistance line at 1.2550 (and pulling backwards). The market may go further upwards, reaching the resistance lines at 1.2550 and 1.3000, but it would eventually start coming down before the end of this week. The outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish Since November 2, 2017, this pair has lost more than 700 pips; whereas its most serious bearish movements within the past several months occurred in January 2018. Last week witnessed the strongest bearish movement, as price went south by 300 pips, testing the support level at 0.9300 and closing below the resistance level at 0.9350. Since the outlook on USD is bearish for this week and for February; and since the outlook on CHF is bright (bullish) for February, it is expected that USDCHF would remain under bearish pressures. Only a strong bearish movement on EURUSD can cause some rally on USDCHF, which may even be weaker than normal. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish Last week price went upwards by 480 pips before the bearish correction that is currently in place. The distribution territory at 1.4350 was almost reached, before price pulled backwards. A strong bullish pressure is needed before the distribution territory at 1.4350 can be tested again, and breached to the upside. Nevertheless the 170-pip pullback that took place on Thursday and Friday, may harbinger a protracted bearish movement, because the outlook on GBP pair is bearish for this week and for February. Strong movement would be witnessed again on GBP pairs. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The trend in the market is bearish – especially in January. Since the beginning of the year, price has come down by 420 pips, leading to a huge Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Last week witnessed a movement of 240 pips, as price closed around the demand level at 108.50 on Monday. Further bearish movement may help price test the demand levels at 108.00 and 107.50. There could be instances of rally attempts this week, but they may be insignificant, owing to the weakness of USD. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral It is a surprise that EURJPY cross only went sideways last week, while most majors trended significantly. This is a sideways (neutral) market, which oscillates between the supply zone at 136.50 and the demand zone at 135.00 (though the demand zone at 135.00 was breached on Friday). Further sideways movement is possible, but there will eventually be a breakout in the market, which would favor bulls. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This is a volatile market. It has moved significantly upwards since January 11. However, there was a noteworthy pullback on January 25 and 26. Further pullback is possible, but may be contained at the demand zones of 153.00 and 152.00. Eventually, the recent bullish trend will continue because the outlook on certain JPY pairs is bullish for February, and GBPJPY is also included. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Trading requires an optimal mindset. When you are upset, tired, and emotionally distracted, you will have trouble following your trading plan. You must return to a calm, focused mindset, a mindset where you are attentive and alert, and can trade like a winner.” – Joe Ross Source: http://www.tallinex.com

“Trading is one of the oldest concepts on the planet and that’s an advantage to your new business. You don’t have to reinvent the wheel. What you have to do now is create a written set of instructions to your brain. Instructions that will turn your concepts into cash. Think of your business plan as Cliff Notes on “How to make money by trading!” because that’s what it will be once it is completed. Since only the best traders have the discipline to make such a plan, you’ll have one of the “edges” you need to compete alongside the top market makers and traders.” – Dr. Van Tharp (Source: Vantharp.com) Based on many years of trading and research in the markets, I’d like to share some tricks with you. I hope the tricks would help you become triumphant as a trader. NEITHER A PERMABULL NOR A PERMABEAR BE In Forex markets, it’s far better to be a trader rather than be an investor. It’s more preferable to make money when there is a strong uptrend or a strong downtrend. When an investor is experiencing drawdowns, a trader who’s good at timing entries would be raking in profits. When a permabear is being pummeled in a market that suddenly becomes bullish, going protractedly northward, a trader that has a good system, who is good at timing entries would be raking in profits. A trader goes long in a bull market and goes short in a bear market, truncating their negativity when caught in a wrong direction. On the other hand, an investor makes money only in a bull market. In the modern markets, it makes more sense to be a trader, not a permabull nor a permabear. Go short in bear markets and go long in a bull markets. Don’t buy and hold because a bear market can hold out longer than your portfolio may carry it. You can receive margin calls in the process. Strong pullbacks on Bitcoin is a good example. FIND THE MARKET THAT’S MOST SUITABLE FOR YOUR STRATEGY For example, a strategy that follows the trend would work well in a market that trends very well like, USDCNH, Bitcoin, Gold, Silver and other currencies that trend very well. It doesn’t mean that these trading instruments don’t experience consolidations, but it means they tend to trend more than other instruments like USDJPY and EURCHF. When you use a trend-following strategy on an instrument that tends to trend well, your results will improve. There are also better results when a trend follower trades on an instrument which tends to move fast. When you scalp, you would do well on trading instrument that moves slowly or tends to consolidate, just like EURCHF and EURGBP. When you’re scalping in a highly trending market, your results can be worsened. FIND THE RIGHT ENVIRONMENT FOR YOUR SYSTEMS Locate the right environment for your trading system. Some trading systems perform well on Tuesdays to Thursdays only. Some perform well on Mondays and Fridays only. Some systems perform well from October to April only, while some systems perform well on May to September only. Some perform well during Asia sessions. Please find the best months or weeks or days or times for your strategies. Find the best market conditions for your strategies and try to avoid periods and conditions that may not be favorable to you. Conclusion: Please don’t forget to use stops and risk very small per trade. Those who think they’re smart enough to avoid stop and low lot sizes, will eventually learn bitter lessons, no matter how good their strategies are. I end this article with 3 quotes from great traders: “Staying on the right side of the market is not always easy. But when it is, keep riding the easy move up while having a plan in place to protect your capital when the inevitable big pullback comes.” - D.R. Barton, Jr “The markets don’t always cooperate with you. The winning trader is the person who questions a trading plan before executing it. He or she tries to anticipate what could go wrong, and thinks of ways to work around these potential setbacks. Being a healthy skeptic can be difficult at times, but the cautious optimist usually ends up making the most profits in the end.” – Joe Ross “A losing trader can do little to transform himself into a winning trader. A losing trader is not going to want to transform himself. That’s the kind of thing winning traders do.” - Ed Seykota Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This pair consolidated throughout last week, moving between the resistance line at 1.2300 and the support line at 1.2150. The resistance line at 1.2300 was tested unsuccessfully, and it is unlikely that price would stay above it, even if it tested again. There is going to be a directional movement this week, which would most probably favor bears, for the outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for the week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish USDCHF went further southwards last week, testing the demand level at 0.9550, prior to the upwards bounce that occurred on Friday. Because of the expected weakness in EURUSD, it is unlikely that price would be able to go below the support level at 0.9550. Rather, price could continue going upwards, reaching the resistance levels at 0.9650, 0.9700 and 0.9750 within the next several trading days. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish GBPUSD went upwards last week, having gained roughly 400 pips since January 11. The market moved above the distribution territory at 1.3900 and later closed below it on Friday. There is currently a bullish bias on the market, which would be overturned once price goes below the accumulation territories at 1.3500 and 1.3450 (which would require a very strong selling pressure). The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This trading instrument is in a bearish mode. The shallow rally that was in the middle of last week, turned out to be a nice opportunity to go short. It is much more likely that price would continue going southwards this week, because there could be some weakness in USD. The demand levels at 110.50, 110.00 and 109.50 could be reached. On the other hand, a rally can meet some adamant impediment around the supply levels at 111.50 and 112.00. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The cross is bullish but it is quite choppy in the short-term. Should the demand zone at 134.00 get breached to the downside, the bias would turn bearish. In case price is able to go above the supply zone at 136.50, the next target would be another supply zone at 137.00 (and the recent bullish bias would become stronger). A movement to the upside is more likely, owing to a bullish outlook on some JPY pairs. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Despite the bearish movement that happened between January 8 and 11, this cross has been able to go upwards in a noteworthy manner last week. Between Monday and Thursday, price moved upwards by 250 pips, and then got corrected on Friday. This week, further bullish movement may enable price to reach the supply zones at 154.00, 154.50 and 155.00. There could be additional bearish corrections along the way; but they should be temporary, posing no significant threat to the bullishness in the market. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “And remember, having a working business plan will put you in the elite company of the top traders that are already living their promise.” – Dr. Van Tharp Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The market was bearish from Monday to Wednesday, and then began to make some bullish effort, which eventually paid for. From the middle of last week, price rose by 270 pips, to test the resistance line at 1.2200. That resistance line remains under siege, for it would easily be breached to the upside this week, as price gain at least, another 150 pips. The outlook on EUR pairs remains bullish. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish This pair made some weak bullish effort from January 8 to 10, almost reaching the resistance level at 0.9850. However, further bullish attempt was rejected as a bearish movement was assumed, which ended up generating a bearish signal in the market. From the high of last week, price dropped by 170 pips, closing below the resistance level at 0.9700 on Friday. The outlook on USDCHF is bearish for this week, for the market would face attacks from two fronts: CHF would gain some stamina, and a strong EURUSD would help ensure continuous bearish pressure on USDCHF. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The bullish breakout that was witnessed in this market has ended the protracted consolidation in the market, which had held out for several weeks (save the bullish attempt that occurred in the last week of December 2017). GBPUSD moved upwards by 200 pips on Friday alone, and since GBP pairs would be somewhat bullish this week, it is logical to expect the bullish movement to continue, reaching the distribution territory at 1.3750 and 1.3800. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish USDJPY went south by 214 last week, making several unsuccessful attempts to break the demand level at 111.00 to the downside. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the chart, which supports a bearish outlook on the market. That means the demand level at 111.00 would be breached to the downside, as price journeys further southwards to towards the demand levels at 110.50, 110.00, and 109.50. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral Although the market was mostly bullish within the last 4 weeks, the bullishness was challenged last week as price dropped 320 pips from Monday to Wednesday. Nonetheless, the upwards bounce that was seen in the market on Thursday and Friday was strong enough to challenge its short-term bearishness. Only a movement of 100 pips to the upside would result in a strong “buy” signal; whereas a movement to the south, even by 150 pips, would help put more emphasis on the recent bearishness in the market. Until one of these directional movement happens, the bias on the market would remain somehow neutral. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross dropped 310 pips from Monday to Wednesday, consolidated on Thursday, and bounced upwards on Friday. Generally, the bias on the market is bullish: The pullback that happened in the first few days of last week appears to be offering an opportunity to buy long at better prices. Thus, the supply zones at 152.50, 153,00 and 153.50 would be targeted this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Trading is a simple profession since it can be summed up in three ideas. If it is trending up over the time frame you are trading you buy it. If it trending down over the time frame you are trading you sell it. Don’t bet the farm. It is hardly rocket science yet despite this our very nature more often than not defeats us despite the evidence that it shouldn’t.” – Chris Tate Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The market essentially consolidated throughout last week – in the context of an uptrend. Although price did not go seriously upwards or downwards last week, that stance is going to change this week (for price would assume a directional movement). It is much more likely that price would continue going upwards, owing to bullish expectations on EUR pairs. So at least 150 pips may be gained this week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish This pair was caught in an equilibrium movement last week (although the overall bias on the market is bearish). Unlike the equilibrium phase of last week, there is going to be a strong breakout this week, which would, nonetheless, respect the ongoing bearish bias. This is because there would be selling pressures on USDCHF, except EURUSD drops sharply. At least, a southwards movement of 100 pips is expected from here, reaching the support levels at 0.9700 and 0.9650. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument went upwards last week, to test the distribution territory at 1.3600, before dropping lower. So far, the drop has been shallow and that has not overridden the bullish bias on the market, unless the accumulation territory at 1.3400 is breached to the downside, which would require a heavy selling pressure. The distribution territory at 1.3600 could be tested again. It could even be breached to the upside. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Last week, USDJPY rejected further bearish effort as it went upwards by 110 pips, thereby generating a short-term “buy” signal. Price managed to close above the demand level at 113.00 on Friday, thus making further northwards movement a possibility. This means the supply levels at 113.50 and 114.00 could be reached this week. Nevertheless, there is a present risk of a large pullback on JPY pairs. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross went upwards last week, reached the supply zone at 136.50 and ended the week in a bearish correction. Since December 15, 2017, price has gained over 400 pips; plus it would be somewhat difficult for a lasting bearish movement to occur in the market, as long EUR is strong. The targets for this week are located at the supply zones of 136.50, 137.00 and 137.50. There are demand zones at 135.00 and 134.50. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish GBPJPY experienced a strong bullish movement last week, moving from the demand zone at 152.00, to reach the supply zone at 153.50. It is possible that price would gain another 200 pips this week, as price goes further northwards. However, the more the market goes upwards, the more the chances of a bearish correction, which may be significant enough to challenge the ongoing bullish outlook. That is expected to happen anytime this month. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “…We need a strategy that produces profits on a consistent basis, the self-discipline that executes that strategy and the focus to achieve our goals.” - Gabe Velazquez Source: http://www.tallinex.com

GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bullish Gold dropped massively in the first half of last month, reaching a low of 1236.21 on December 12, 2017. At that juncture, further bearish movement was rejected, as price went upwards by 7000 pips, ending the month on a strong bullish note. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market and further bullish movement is anticipated throughout this month, although that does not rule out possibilities of temporary pullbacks along the way. Overall, Gold is supposed to gain at least, another 2000 pips in January. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bullish The movement on Silver last month was quite similar to the movement on Gold. Actually, November was flat, but a bearish movement was started in that month, which ran into December (until December 12, reaching a low of 15.6114). After the low of December was reached, the market assumed a strong bullish rally, which held out for the rest of December. Having gained 15,000 pips (before the current shallow bearish retracements), there is a strong bullish bias on the market. This means Silver would continue going upwards this January, reaching resistance levels at 17.2000, 17.5000 and 17.8000. The resistance level at 17.8000 may even be exceeded. Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the market. Price went upwards by 170 pips last week, almost managing to close barely above the support line at 1.2000. While there could be further bullish effort this week, it is not may not take price above the resistance line at 1.2100, because the outlook on the market is strongly bearish for this week, and mostly bearish for January as whole. Therefore, the days on the current bullish bias are numbered. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish This trading instrument was vividly engaged in a bearish movement last week, thus ending the short-term equilibrium phase that occurred around the middle of December. The market dipped by 160 pips last week, closing below the resistance level at 0.9750. Further bearish movement is expected this week, which could take price towards the support levels at 0.9700 and 0.9650. USD would try to amass some stamina sometimes this week, but that would not make a significant bullish difference (until EURUSD dips), because CHF itself would become strong versus many major currencies this month, and USD included. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This pair, which was mostly moving sideways in December, managed to start a bullish movement last week. A close above the accumulation territory at 1.3500 means the sideways phase is temporarily over. The bullish bias would hold out only as long as price is able to stay above the accumulation territory at 1.3450. There would be strong movements on this pair, as well as other GBP pairs, in January, and most of the movements would be bearish. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish USDJPY is bearish in the short-term, and neutral in the long-term. Price consolidated on Monday and Tuesday, dropped on Wednesday, and maintained the drop till end of the week. This is what has created the short-term bearishness in the market. Since the outlook on JPY pairs is somewhat bearish for this week, it is expected that the bearish movement would continue, thus targeting the demand levels at 112.50 and 112.00. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Unlike what USDJPY did, EURJPY managed to go upwards last week, breaching the demand zone at 135.00 and testing the supply zone at 135.50, before closing below it. One factor responsible for this is the stamina on EUR, and there is a possibility that price would be able to go above the supply level at 135.50 (even reaching another supply zone at 136.00 and moving above it as well). However, risk of a large bearish run exists, since the outlook on most JPY pairs is bearish for the week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross has been able to sustain the “buy” signal it generated in the middle of December. The upwards movement is slow and gradual, and it may survive as price gains another 100 pips this week. Nonetheless, there is a possibility of a bearish movement starting before the end of the week – or sometimes this month - for GBP could become week. Additional factor is also a possible strengthening of Yen. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “If traders cannot accept the losses that go with the trading, they do not deserve the profits. Failure is the greatest teacher only when a student is prepared to learn. If the student has forgotten previous lessons, or the dog ate his homework, he is not ready. A positive attitude has positive expectations of future events and normally precedes the success it creates.” – Andy Jordan Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This pair is bullish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. Price rose from the support line at 1.1750 and tested the resistance line at 1.1900 (a movement of 150 pips). However, price closed below the resistance line on Friday. Bulls might still be able to sustain the short-term bullishness in the market, till the end of the year. The support line at 1.1750 would resist a bearish bias from forming this week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Neutral This trading instrument did not make any significant movement last week, neither is it expected to make any significant movement this week (because volatility would thin out). Price is thus expected to oscillate between the resistance level at 0.9950 and support level at 0.9800 within the next several trading days. However, a breakout will occur early January, which would result in a directional bias, ending this current neutrality in the market. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral The GBPUSD consolidated throughout last week, forming no directional movement. The price has generally swung between the distribution territory at 1.3450 and the accumulation territory at 1.3300. Generally the current neutrality will exist as long as price swings between the distribution territory at 1.3500 and the accumulation territory at 1.3250. Such is the condition that will exist for the rest of this year. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish There is a short-term bullish bias on the USDJPY, but it is not strong. Price gained 100 pips last week, from the demand level at 112.50 to the supply level at 113.50. After the supply level at 113.50 was tested, price retraced towards the southwards, but that is not a threat to current short-term bias. This week, a big price swing is not expected unless an unexpected fundamental figure comes out from the blue. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Here, price rose up more than 200 pips (from the demand zone at 132.50 to the supply zone at 134.50). The supply zone at 134.50 was briefly surmounted before price went below it on December 22. The bullish bias is anticipated to hold out for the rest of the year, in spite of any bearish attempts along the way. The demand zones at 133.50, 133.00 and 132.50 would impede bearish pulls in the market. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The GBPJPY cross rose upwards last week, and then started to consolidate on Thursday (till the end of the week). Further sideways movement in the market, especially for a few more trading days, would result in a neutral bias. A movement to the upside (towards the supply zone at 152.50) would help strengthen the current bullish bias; and a strong movement to the downside (towards the demand zone at 149.50) would erase the bullish bias. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “One of my first jobs was at a bank working in credit risk management, and it was there that I discovered my love for financial markets and trading in general. I’ve always loved strategy games and for me, trading is the ultimate way to formulate real strategy. If a trade works well for you, you get a reward…” - Andrés Padrones Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral This pair is bearish in the short-term, and neutral in the long-term. Price has gradually come down since November 27, and it is now around the support line at 1.1750, and it may go lower to test other support lines at 1.1700 and 1.1650 this week. There would be some selling pressure on the market, which could hold throughout December. A meaningful rally would be somewhat difficult. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish Although USDCHF is bearish in the short-term (and neutral in the long-term), it is likely that price would go upwards, moving above the resistance levels at 0.9950 and 1.0000, and therefore erasing the short-term bearishness. This pair would be able to enjoy some form of bullishness as long as EURUSD is under selling pressure, and this is a situation that may hold out for most part of December. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The Cable is also slightly bearish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. A movement towards the accumulation territories at 1.3300 and 1.3250 would help strengthen the extant short-term bearishness; while a movement above the distribution territories at 1.3450 and 1.3500 would halt the bearishness. It is possible for the overall neutrality to end when the market assumes a protracted directional movement. USDJPY Dominant bias: Neutral The market went sideways on Monday and Tuesday, and then began to come down on Wednesday. If price had not closed above the demand level at 112.50, there would have been a “sell” signal in the short-term. The neutrality in the market is vivid, and will end once price goes above the supply level at 114.00; or it goes below the demand level at 111.50. This condition may not be fulfilled again this month, because the kind of volatility that would bring this about may not happen this month. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral EURJPY is currently a good example of a consolidating market. The consolidation has been in place since September 2017, and that is the how the situation would be until year 2017 is over. However, there are short-term signals that are brought about by temporary upswings and downswings in the market, which give excellent opportunities to buy dips and sell rallies as price oscillates along the way. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross is bearish in the short-term (but neutral in the long-term). Price went downwards by more than 200 pips, creating a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The bearish movement is expected to continue as price targets the demand zones at 149.50, 149.00 and 148.50, which would be reached this week or next. There could be rallies along the way, but they are not expected to bring about a bullish bias. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “When it comes to trading in the trend, you do not always have to be first, but you do not want to be wrong.” - Brandon Wendell Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market is bearish in the short-term, for price went southwards throughout last week, moving briefly below the support line at 1.1750 and then closing above that support line on Friday. Other support lines at 1.1700 and 1.1650 could be tested this week, provided there is a serious selling pressure in the market. There are resistance lines at 1.1850, 1.1900 and 1.1950, which should impede serious rallies. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This pair is bullish in the short-term, as it went northwards throughout last week, moving briefly above the resistance level at 0.9950 and then closing below that resistance level on Friday. Other resistance levels at 1.0000 and 1.0050 could be tested this week, provided there is a serious buying pressure in the market. There is also a strong possibility that the pair would plummet seriously before the end of this week, owing to a possible display of stamina in CHF. Most major currencies would drop against CHF this week (and USD possibly included). GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The bias on the Cable is bullish, but the bias is very weak, owing to some bearish attempt to pull down the price last week. A movement below the accumulation territory at 1.3250 would result in a bearish signal being generated, while a movement above the distribution territory at 1.3550 would result in putting more emphasis on the recent bullish signal. One of these scenarios would materialize this week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish From Monday to Wednesday, USDJPY went downwards; but it started moving upwards on that very Wednesday, to gain 150 pips, and to test the supply level at 113.50 by Friday (closing around that supply level). This has resulted in a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which means price would break the supply level at 113.50 to the upside, as it targets other supply levels at 114.00 and 114.50. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral This trading instrument is quite choppy and completely neutral. There are wild upswings and downswings in the market as it is completely directionless. The current market condition would continue for some more days until price is able to stay above the supply zone at 134.50, or below the demand zone at 131.50. This is a condition that requires a high volatility and a perpetual movement in one direction. The condition would be met before the end of this month. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The outlook on this cross is bullish. From November 4 to 6, the cross went downwards, and then rallied. The rally has saved the ongoing bullish outlook on the market, despite the bearish correction that took place on November 8 (which might turn out to be an opportunity to buy long at a better price). This week, price would go upwards again, reaching the supply zones at 152.00, 152.50 and 153.00. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Sometimes I wonder what would have happened if I hadn’t learned how to trade. What future would have been blocked off?” – Louise Bedford Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The bullish bias on EURUSD was challenged last week, as price was pulled towards the support line at 1.1800. However, bulls managed to push price upwards, thus saving the bullish bias. Price is currently close to the resistance line at 1.1900, and it is bent on breaching it to the upside as soon as possible. The resistance line at 1.2000 is the ultimate target; although bulls would meet a fierce opposition at the resistance line. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish From Monday to Wednesday, this pair went upwards in the context of a downtrend, testing the price level at 0.9850, going above it briefly and then coming downwards to move below it. USDCHF cannot have a meaningful rally as long as EURUSD is able to showcase its stamina. The rally that took place in the first few days of last week has proven to be a good opportunity to sell short at a better price, as price plummeted on Friday, putting more emphasis on the ongoing bearish outlook. Further bearish movement is expected this week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The persistent bullish effort on Cable - against all odds – has already paid off. The bullish upwards movement in the market has been slow, gradual, and steady. Since November 14, price has gained more than 400 pips, roughly testing the distribution territory at 1.3549. Although price has retraced lower since then, that is just a temporary thing, it would go upwards again, targeting the distribution territories at 1.3500, 1.3550 and 1.3600. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish After testing the supply level at 114.50, this trading instrument went downwards by 340 pips in November, creating a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. However, the rally that took placed almost throughout last week nearly posed a threat to the bearishness in the market. The reneging rally met a challenge on Friday and the market pulled back considerably. This week, price could possible reach the demand levels at 112.00 and 111.50. But that does not completely rule out the possibility of some rally. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross is quite choppy, showing some indecision in the long-term, and showing some bullishness in the short-term. The market went downwards on November 27 and 28, and then started going upwards on November 29 (after testing the demand zone at (132.00). The market reached the supply zone at 134.00 and then closed just below the supply zone at 133.50. It is thus possible for the supply zones at 133.50, 134.00 and 134.50 to be reached this week. As long as the demand zone at 131.50 is not breached to the downside, this short-term bullish bias cannot be rendered invalid. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish GBPJPY rallied massively last week, putting an end to the recent indecision that had held out for weeks. From the demand level at 147.00, price shot skywards by 540 pips, before the slight bearish retracement that was witnessed on December 1. This week, bulls would be able to push price further upwards. The targets are the supply zones at 151.50, 152.00 and 152.50 would easily be reached, enabling the ongoing bullish bias to become stronger. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Learning the business of trading is basically no different from learning any other business. Winning means learning major guidelines and concepts that you repeat so often in your own behavior that they become good habits. These good habits then become automatic behavior patterns, which are formed as brain pathways by the rewards you get for trading well...” – Joe Ross Source: http://www.tallinex.com

GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Gold is bearish in the short-term, and neutral in the long-term. In the long-term, price consolidated throughout November; but in the short term, the last week of November has been bearish. In the short-term, price has dropped seriously enough to generate a clean bearish bias on the market, and as price goes further southwards, a Bearish Confirmation Pattern would spread across the market. This month, upwards bounces should be temporary, as general movements in this month ought to be bearish. Thus, the current upwards bounce would end in further bearish movement, as price targets the support levels at 1260.00, 1250.00 and 1240.00 in December. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Silver is bearish, both in the short-term and in the long-term. The market essentially consolidated from November 1 to 28, and then dropped massively last week, shedding 8,000 pips from the high of the week (17.1895). There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which shows a possibility of the market journeying more and more towards the south. While there would be transitory indecisions and rallies along the way, price is expected to reach the demand levels at 16.2000, 16.0000 and 15.8000 in December. Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish This pair went upwards last week, after moving sideways on Monday and Tuesday. Price gained 210 pips, closing above the support line at 1.1900 and targeting the resistance line at 1.1950. Then another resistance level at 2.0000 (a psychological line) would be reached and possibly broken to the upside in December, as price goes further upwards. The outlook on EUR pairs is bullish for December USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish The market has come down by 220 pips in November 2017 – going downwards by 100 pips this week alone. There is a huge Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which means price could continue going southwards, reaching the support levels at 0.9750, 0.9700 and 0.9650. These targets ought to be reached within the next several trading days, for there cannot be a meaningful rally in the market as long as EURUSD is strong. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish There is a bullish signal on GBPUSD, which has come about as a result of desperate effort by bulls, to price upward against bearish forces in the market. There is a possibility that price could reach the distribution territories at 1.3350, 1.3400 and 1.3450 this week (and in December). However, price would eventually fall seriously in December because the outlook on GBP pairs is strongly bearish for that month. Long trades may not make much sense on GBP pairs in December. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This trading instrument has lost about 300 pips in November, after testing the supply level at 114.50 on November 6. The market may continue going downwards, reaching the demand levels at 111.00, 110.50 and 110.00 (providing that the selling pressure is great in the market). However, things would eventually turn bullish this week, for the outlook on JPY pairs is bullish for the week. There would be a bullish reversal that would end up generating a “buy” signal. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross is bullish in the short-term and neutral in the long-term. The cross went sideways on November 20 – 23. Since bullish movements are anticipated on JPY pairs this week, it is interesting that EURJPY has already started the journey. Price managed to close above the demand zone at 133.00 on Friday, and would gain another 200 pips before the end of the week. Once the supply level at 134.00 is breached to the upside, the bias on the market would also become bullish in the long-term. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Neutral GBPJPY is not an attractive market at the present. It has been consolidating for the past several weeks, and the consolidation would continue until there is a sustained breakout in the market. The most likely direction this week (and probably in December), would be northwards. The bias on the market would turn bullish once price goes above the supply zone at 150.00, which would not be an easy goal to achieve, since GBP would sometimes become weak in itself. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Think of patience as a primary part of your trading strategy. Don't assign it a secondary or lesser role, elevate it on the list of what you consider important. And don't be put off by it when it doesn't seem to be working — it's working.” – Andy Jordan Source: http://www.tallinex.com

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish A bullish signal was generated on this pair last week, as the market gained 200 pips, to test the resistance line at 1.1850. After that, price began to experience some bearish correction, which made it close below the resistance line at 1.1800 on Friday. The bullish signal in the market remains valid, and it cannot be invalidated unless the market goes down by 200 pips from here. This week, the resistance lines at 1.1800, 1.1850 and 1.1900 could be reached. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish This pair went downwards from Monday to Wednesday, jumped upwards on Thursday, and then went downwards again on Friday, closing at 0.9883 (on that very day). There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and the support level at 0.9850 may be tested easily, breached to the downside, as price goes further downwards towards other support levels at 0.9800, and 0.9750 (the last target of the week). GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral The bias on Cable is essentially neutral, for price has not gone in a strong directional mode in the past 4 weeks. There is a distribution territory at 1.3300 and an accumulation territory at 1.3050 (as space of 250 pips). These distribution and accumulation territories have proven to be able to withstand bearish and bullish pressures in recent times; and as long as price remains within them, the ongoing neutrality would remain. Once either of the territory is breached, a directional bias would occur. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish USDJPY went sideways on November 13, and began to come down from November 14. Price went down by 160 pips last week, testing the demand level at 112.00 on November 17 (before the close of the market). This week, it is possible that price would go beneath the demand level at 112.00, and aim for another demand level at 111.50. Nonetheless, there would possibly be a strong bullish reversal before the end of the week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral The fact is, the EURJPY cross has been consolidating since the beginning of October (in the long-term). In the short-term, there are short-term bearish and bullish swings in the market, with no directional bias. For example, price went upwards last week, on Monday and Tuesday; but the bearish movement of Wednesday, Thursday and Friday has rendered the bullish movement of Monday and Tuesday invalid. The current neutrality would continue until price goes upwards by at least, 300 pips; or until it plummets by at least 300 pips. Any pip movement below that would not be sufficient to end the current neutrality. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This is also a choppy and equilibrium market, for things have gone slightly bearish. The market would need to reach the demand zone at 146.50, for the bearish signal to become stronger in the market. On the other hand, a breach of the supply zone at 150.00 would swiftly bring an end to the bearish bias. A movement to the upside is more likely this week, since the outlook on some JPY pairs is bullish for the week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Building a Forex trading strategy is much like building a house. You need layers and a good foundation.” – Jarratt Davis Source: http://www.tallinex.com

THE WAYS WE CON OURSELVES I support a particular hospital charity that each year or so runs a home lottery and every year I enter. To date I have won a digital camera, an iPod, an Apple TV, a tonne of chocolate, wine (brilliant for a non-drinker but good for presents) and a host of other goodies. In fact I have never had a time when I have entered and not won something. Whilst my expectancy is not quite positive it’s not bad. If I were a news agency that sold lottery tickets and I had this many winning entries bought via my store people would be clambering over me thinking there was something special about my store. One of the things we ignore in life is that we are subject to the same harsh statistics as everyone else – we have what I call the myth of individual specialness. Our basic narcissism leads us to believe that the laws that apply to the universe don’t really apply to us, as a result we spend a lot of time fooling ourselves into think there is something special or magical about what we do. My capacity to win this particular lottery has nothing to do with me other than the fact that I enter, I am simply subject to the laws of large numbers as is everyone else. If you get enough people doing the same thing over a long period time then the probable drifts into the realm of the inevitable. It is no wonder some people win the lottery twice. But because we are such poor natural statisticians this seems like magic to us and we ascribe some special quality to ourselves and this is apparently a well-known phenomenon in both lottery winners and those who have inherited wealth. They believe that something divine about themselves means that they were meant to win – they cannot accept that it was blind luck. My wife has a friend who received a very large inheritance from her parents, she has now divorced herself from all her friends of many decades because she believes that there is something superior about herself other than being the lucky product of the sperm sprint derby that we all undergo. Sometimes you land in the right spot and sometimes you don’t. The central issue here is that even in trading we are subject to the ruthlessness of statistics and this ruthlessness is often at odds with our own emotional endurance. For example if you have a system with a positive expectancy this means that on average and over time your system will make money. But note there are two presumptive phrases involved in this definition – on average and over time. You need to have the resilience to ride out the times when the system is not making money. When traders first encounter the notion of expectancy they assume that is means that every trade they take will make $X and are surprised when this does not happen. All trading systems will experience runs of losses, this is the natural order of things and you can experiment with this for yourself by looking at a coin toss simulator. If you click here you can see how streaks of either heads or tails form – this is a good example of what can happen in trading systems. Despite trading being a basic exercise in statistics at its core it is an exercise in resilience because we have to find ways of dealing with brutality of statistics and even when we know our system is sound it is still hard to take a continual series of losses. Inevitably we come back to the notion of courage as a central tenet in the success of any trader. Author: Chris Tate Article reproduced with kind permission of: Tradinggame.com.au This article is concluded with the 3 quotes below: “Every time you have a hunch that the market will reverse, jot it down on paper. After 30 attempts, look back at how accurate your prediction is. You may be surprised by your results.” – Rayner Teo “Defeats in trading are not really defeats, anyway — they are more like trial balloons we keep sending up, knowing in advance that a certain number of them are going to get shot down. Therefore, trading is really a process of two steps forward and one step back. The one step back part will always seem like a defeat, will always feel like a defeat, but is not a defeat – simply part of the process.” – Andy Jordan “A large population of traders consider themselves to be much more effective than they really are.”- Chris Tate

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market consolidated last week, and made some bullish effort on Thursday and Friday (in the context of a downtrend). There is a bullish signal in the short-term, and once the resistance line at 1.1750 is breached to the upside, the bias would turn bullish. The outlook on EUR pairs is bullish for this week, and thus, other resistance lines that would be reached are located around 1.1800 and 1.1850. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This pair is bullish in the long-term, but it is becoming bearish in the short-term. Basically, price moved sideways from Monday to Wednesday and then moved lower on Thursday. Further bearish movement is possible this week, and the targets are the support levels at 0.9950, 0.9900 and 0.9850. However, there would not be a very serious bearish movement this week because USD would retain some of its stamina this week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral GBPUSD is quite choppy and volatile, characterized by short-term upswings and downswings with no directional movement. This week or next, it is possible for price to either go above the distribution territory at 1.3300 (creating a strong bullish bias); or it would go below the accumulation territory at 1.3050 (creating a strong bearish bias). Strong directional movements are anticipated on other GBP pairs this week USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This pair is bullish in the long-term, but bearish in the short-term. As soon as price tested the supply level at 114.50, it went downwards by 100 pips (throughout last week), closing slightly below the supply level at 113.50. Should price move southwards this week, the demand levels at 113.00 and 112.50 would be reached. A northwards movement above the supply levels at 114.00, 114.50 and 115.00 would help strengthen the recent bullish bias. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral This is a neutral market. Price went downwards last week, testing the demand zone at 131.50, before bouncing upwards by 100 pips, to test the supply zone at 132.50. As long as price oscillates between the supply zone at 133.00 and the demand zone at 131.50, the neutrality in the market would be valid. Once the aforementioned supply zone or demand zone is breached, a directional bias would form. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Neutral This cross has been performing what can be called downswings and upswings for several weeks, with no perpetual trending movement. In October price reached a high of 151.38 and a low of 146.93. The current neutral phase in the market would not be over until the supply zone at 151.50 is breached to the upside; or until the demand zone at 146.50 is breached to the downside. Until then, strategies that take advantage of short-term swings in this market would thrive. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “No matter where you live or what your situation is, if you are willing to put the time and effort in, just about anyone can become a successful trader.” – TradingEducators

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market went sideways from Monday to Wednesday and moved further south on Friday (in the context of a downtrend). The bearish movement would continue this week, owing to a bearish outlook on EUR pairs for the week. Thus, price would test the support lines at 1.1600 (which has been nearly tested), 1.1550 and 1.1500. The resistance lines at 1.1700 and 1.1750 ought to do a good job limiting rally effort. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish Although this pair did not move seriously last week, it was able to maintain its bullishness. On Friday, price closed above the psychological level at 1.0000 - ready to go higher from there. The outlook on USD pairs is bullish (most USD pairs would move slightly or significantly upwards) this week, and this is what enable the pair to go further upwards; as well as the expected weakness in EURUSD. Thus the resistance levels at 1.0050, 1.0100 and 1.0150 would be tested this week and next week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This instrument went upward from Monday to Wednesday, gaining 160 pips and testing the distribution territory at 1.3300. Further bullish movement was rejected at that distribution territory, as price plummeted on Thursday, losing 250 pips and reaching the accumulation territory at 1.3050. The accumulation territory (though it has done a good job to prevent further fall), would give way as price aims for other accumulation territories at 1.3000 (a strong territory), 1.2950 and 1.2900. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish On October 30, USDJPY went downwards, but it rallied on October 31 and then consolidated for the rest of the week. There are demand levels at 113.00 and 112.50, which should try to impede a bearish bias from forming. The market could go upwards this week, reaching the supply levels at 114.50 and 115.00 (and even exceeding that). As long as USD is strong, a vivid pullback may not happen on the market. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish In the context of a downtrend, this cross rallied 160 pips, after testing the demand zone at 131.50. The rally has turned out to be a good opportunity to sell short at slightly higher prices, for price has started coming downwards from the high of last week (133.13), closing below the supply zone at 132.50 on November 3. As long as EUR is weak, this cross would be having difficulty going upwards. In fact, price may go southwards more than 150 pips this week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Price is bearish in the short-term, and neutral in the long-term. Just like GBPUSD, it went upwards by 270 pips from Monday to Wednesday, topped at 151.92 on Thursday, and then dropped like stone (310 pips). There is now a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and given the bearish outlook on GBP pairs, GBP/JPY is more likely to drop further than to rally significantly this week. The next targets for bears are the demand zones at 149.00, 148.50 and 148.00. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “The elite trader develops a serious approach to the financial markets, weighing risk against potential reward at all times. They hone their craft through detailed recordkeeping, carefully chosen data sources, well-defined trading edges.” - Alan Farley

GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Gold is a choppy market, though movement has generally been bearish. Last month, price went upward to test the resistance level at 1305.78, before dropping thousands of pips. Any rallies that are seen on Gold would be in the context of a downtrend, and as such, would not invalidate the current bearishness in the market, unless the resistance level at 1300.00 is breached to the upside, which would require exceptionally strong buying pressure. This month, the support levels at 1260.00, 1240.00 and 1220.00 may be reached. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Since Gold and Silver are usually correlated, Silver moved upwards in the first half of October, gaining 9,000 pips. The market reached the high of the month at 17.4594 (October 15), and then began to move southwards, underlining the recent bearishness in the market. This month, any rallies should be taken as opportunities to seek short trades, because the current bearishness in the market cannot be ended until price is able to go above the high of October (17.4594). In November, at least a southwards movement of 6,000 pips is expected. BITCOIN (BTCUSD) Dominant Bias: Bullish There is a very strong Bullish Confirmation Pattern on Bitcoin. In October, price reached a low of 4143.64 and a high of 6460.62. Price gained more than 210,000 pips in October, and it started November on a strong bullish note. Another 100,000 pips have been gained this week, as price topped at 7438.49 on November 2, before retracing downwards. Nevertheless a large pullback of 50,000 – 100,000 pips is anticipated this month, after which price would assume its journey to the north. The main target for the month is the distribution territory at 7500.00, although there is a high probability that the main target would be exceeded.

Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market consolidated from Monday to Wednesday and then dropped sharply on Thursday and Friday. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which makes further drop a possibility. Since the outlook on EUR pairs remains bearish for this week (just as it was bearish for last week), the support lines at 1.1550, 1.1500 and 1.1450 are the next targets. However, the market would start rallying sometime in November, for the outlook on EUR pairs is bullish for November (especially starting from next week). USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish USD/CHF gained 200 pips last week, moving briefly above the strong resistance level at 1.0000, but closed below it on October 27. The parity that was briefly achieved by USD and CHF would be achieved again this week, because the outlook on the pair is bullish for this week. USD is supposed to remain fairly strong, and thus, price would reach the resistance levels at 1.0000, 1.0050 and 1.0100 this week. But the bullish domination would not hold out very long in November, because it is expected that EURUSD would rally in that month, and this would cause a selling pressure on USDCHF. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This trading instrument is slightly bearish. It has been engaged in short-term upswings and downswings for about two weeks – a condition that is expected to continue until a strong volatility arises in the market. The volatility would propel price above the distribution territory at 1.3300 or below the accumulation territory at 1.3000. In November, there would be strong movements on GBP pairs, which would be bullish in most cases. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Although there was no strong northwards movement last week, this pair is bullish. Effort to stay above the supply level at 114.00 has been thwarted, but a lot of activity remains around that supply level. A closer look at the market reveals that bulls are still strongly determined to push the pair upwards, and that is what they will likely achieve this week, for the outlook on certain JPY pairs is bullish for this week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish EUR pairs became mostly bearish in the last few days of last week, and EURJPY was not spared either. The market initially made some bullish effort, but further bullish movement was rejected at the supply zone of 134.50 (which was tested several times, without being breached). From that supply zone, price plummeted below the supply zone at 132.00 (about 260 pips). The demand zones at 131.50 and 131.00 could be tested before price begins to rally this week. The rally would continue until a fresh opposition is met at the supply zone of 134.50. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross is bearish in the short-term, and bullish in the long-term. From October 23 to 25, some bullish attempt was made, but price came down in October 26 and 27. The outlook on the market is bullish for this week and for most of the month of November. Therefore, price would eventually rally, gaining at least 400 pips in November. There are demand zones at 148.50, and 148.00, which could be tried before price rallies eventually. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “One thing is true in trading: when things are going so well that it is hard to believe what is happening, don't change the disciplines and behavior that are working for you!” – Andy Jordan Source: http://www.tallinex.com