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analyst75

Market Wizard
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Everything posted by analyst75

  1. Those who take quick and payday loans and refuse to pay them back are now hooked. Normally, it is not a good thing to go into debt unless that is your last resort. We know that people are fond of borrowing and they seriously hate paying it back. Even when it comes to paying back what was borrowed, your creditor will become your enemy. Such is the nature of human beings. Debtors don’t want to return money even when they eventually have means of repayment. If anyone borrows money and returns it, it means the person has a Godly spirit in him. If people ponder the power of compound interest, they would stay away from loans. If you pay 1.33% or 1.79% interest per month on a loan, you will need to pay back roughly 16% or 20% per annum. And this will begin to compound as long as you don’t pay. Most borrowers who are now in trouble have realized that the interest rates are eventually higher than the capitals borrowed. They realize that the creditors are using an indirect way to enslave borrowers (go and work for me, bring back the capital plus profits). The banks themselves know that business environment is very tough and are now indirectly asking people to work with or spend the banks’ funds and bring the funds plus profits back to them. Many borrowers really have poor mentality and they don’t know the gravity of what they’re putting themselves into. If a bank could lend out 1 billion USD per annum, it would reap a return of 150 million USD (at least on paper). Do you think they will forget about you if you owe them even a small amount? Loans without collateral are now popular. But your collateral is your BVN – unless you don’t want to operate accounts again in the country. I have heard people saying” Don’t pay to my Access Bank account again, but pay into my UBA bank account.” “Don’t send that cash into my GTBank account again, but send it to Zenith Bank.” It’s like postponing the evil day. Ti iya o ba i tii je eniyan, iya nri nkan panu lowo ni (Yoruba adage). I literally means: If Suffering has not come to attack you, it means Suffering is currently busy with something. If you think you can avoid payment by abandoning the account you used to borrow money, you’re only postponing the evil day. They cannot come for you when your debt is small, but the debt will begin to compound and compound till it would make sense for them to come for you. BAD NEWS FOR DEBTORS CBN has given banks permission to deduct from funds a debtor has in another bank account. For example, if you borrow quick loans from FCMB and you abandon your FCMB account and you are now operating another account with First Bank, FCMB can make a request to First Bank, and the money you owed will be deducted once or gradually from your account at First Bank, without your permission. Would you now keep money at home, so that bad boys will come to you to take their dues? Borrowing isn’t a good thing, no matter how plausible it looks. Profits from games of knowledge: https://www.predictmag.com/
  2. LITECOIN (LTC) SUSTAINS RECENT RALLIES, FACES RESISTANCE AT $90 HIGH Key Highlights Litecoin rallies to the high of $90 The crypto may be range-bound between $80 and $90 Litecoin (LTC) Current Statistics The current price: $89.20 Market Capitalization: $5,900,735,267 Trading Volume: $7,953,660,011 Major supply zones: $70, $80, $90 Major demand zones: $50, $30, $10 Litecoin (LTC) Price Analysis November 24, 2020 Litecoin has continued its rallies as the coin reached a high of $89.86. LTC price has been making a series of higher highs and higher lows. The upward move has been facing resistance at $90. On the upside, if buyers can push LTC above $90, the coin will rally above $100 high. However, if buyers fail to resume the upside momentum, LTC will be compelled to a sideways move for a few days. If the uptrend is resisted the coin will be range bound between $80 and $90. LTC/USD – Daily Chart Litecoin (LTC) Technical Indicators Reading LTC price broke the resistance line of the ascending channel. This indicates a further upward movement of the coin. The crypto is at level 74 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that the coin is in the overbought region of the market. LTC/USD – 4 Hour Chart Conclusion Litecoin has made an impressive bullish run on the upside. Nevertheless, the retraced candle body on October 31 tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. It indicates that the coin will rise to a level of 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. This extension is equivalent to $70 high. Meanwhile, the price action is above the projected price level. Source: https://learn2.trade
  3. XRP/USD PULLS BACK AT RESISTANCE LEVEL OF $0.72 XRP/USD MARKET NOVEMBER 26 After the price retracement, it may resume its bullish trend and the resistance level of $0.79 and $0.88 may be reached. Below the current price, the level is found the support levels at $0.55, $0.44, and $0.39. However, the relative strength index period 14 is at 70 levels bending down to indicate a sell signal which may be a pullback. KEY LEVELS: Resistance levels: $0.72, $0.79, $0.88 Support levels: $0.61, $0.55, $0.49 XRP/USD Long-term Trend: Bullish XRPUSD is bullish in the long-term outlook; the crypto soars towards the north by the strong bullish momentum. The bulls’ momentum breaks up the resistance levels of $0.28, $0.33, and $0.36. The price has tested the resistance level of $0.79 on October 24. The price pulls back to retest the broken level of $0.61. Today, the XRP market is dominated by the bears and the daily candle is bearish. The price may increase further after the pullback. XRPUSD Daily chart, November 26 The two EMAs are located below the coin and it is trading far above 9 periods EMA and 21 periods EMA which indicate a strong bullish momentum. After the price retracement, it may resume its bullish trend and the resistance level of $0.79 and $0.88 may be reached. Below the current price, the support levels is found at $0.55, $0.44, and $0.39. However, the relative strength index period 14 is at 70 levels bending down to indicate a sell signal which may be a pullback. XRP/USD medium-term Trend: Bullish The bulls dominate the XRPUSD market. Immediately after the breakout from the consolidation zone, the bulls push the price high above the September high. It is currently pulling back at the resistance level of $0.72. The price is testing the support level of $0.55 at the time of writing this report. In case the just mentioned level does not hold, there will be a further price reduction. XRPUSD 4-Hour chart, November 26 The price has penetrated the two EMAs downside and it is trading below 9 periods EMA and 21 periods EMA. The fast-moving EMA is trying to cross the slow-moving EMA downside. The relative strength index period 14 is pointing down at 50 levels which connotes a sell signal and it may be a pullback. Source: https://learn2.trade
  4. USD/JPY IS REACHING BEARISH EXHAUSTION, MAY REVERSE AT LEVEL 103.23 Key Resistance Levels: 111.000, 112.000, 113.000 Key Support Levels: 104.000, 103.000, 102.000 USD/JPY Price Long-term Trend: Bearish The USD/JPY pair has been in a downward move since November 12 after a rebound above level 103.30. The pair is approaching the previous support at level 103.30. The selling pressure will resume if the current is broken. The Yen will resume an upward move if the support holds. USD/JPY – Daily Chart Daily Chart Indicators Reading: The 21-day SMA and the 50-day SMA are sloping downward indicating the downtrend. The pair has fallen to level 40 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. The pair is in the downtrend zone and capable of falling. USD/JPY Medium-term Trend: Bearish On the 4-hour chart, the pair has been in a downward move after rejection at 105.00. On November 18 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This indicates that the market will fall to level 1.272 Fibonacci extensions. That is the Yen will reach the low of level 103.23 and reverse. USD/JPY – 4 Hour Chart 4-hour Chart Indicators Reading The USD/JPY pair is currently above the 25% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that the pair is in a bullish momentum. The SMAs are sloping downward indicating the downtrend. General Outlook for USD/JPY USD/JPY has been on a downward move but the selling pressure is reaching bearish exhaustion. According to the Fibonacci tool analysis, the Yen will fall and reverse at level 103.23. Source: https://learn2.trade
  5. EURJPY BEARISH MOMENTUM REMAINS TOWARD 123.00 LEVEL EURJPY Price Analysis – November 20 The EURJPY pair is attempting to close beneath the 123.37 price zone as speculative interest stays trapped between coronavirus outbreaks and vaccine hopes. The pairs selling momentum remains toward the 123.00 level. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 127.07, 125.00, 123.37 Support Levels: 122.37, 121.61, 119.31 EURJPY Long term Trend: Ranging As seen in the daily time frame, the downside pressure is expected to accelerate if EURJPY breaks below the 123.00 support, exposing the ascending trendline support and the 122.37 low. Meanwhile, the moving average 5 and 13 stays mixed for a range in the coming sessions. If the 123.00 support holds, a surge towards the 123.40 level could be expected during the following trading session. However, a barrier around the MA 13 could serve as a limitation for bullish traders within this session. Lower here a firm breach of 119.31 level will argue that the rise from 114.42 level has completed and turned the focus back lower. EURJPY Short term Trend: Ranging The intraday bias in EURJPY is staying in consolidation with the current recovery. A much more decline is mildly in consideration with 123.37 minor resistance level intact. Beneath the 122.37 level will target a test on the 121.61 low level initially. The resolute breach there may restart the trend from 127.07 level with another decline to 119.31 key support level. On the upside, though, a breach of 123.37 minor resistance level may shift sentiment back to the upside for the 125.00 level instead. Source: https://learn2.trade
  6. ANALYST BELIEVES BITCOIN IS WORKING ACCORDING TO PLAN AHEAD OF SIX-DIGIT PROJECTION The creator of the popular stock-to-flow model, PlanB, has affirmed that Bitcoin (BTC) is going according to plan like “clockwork, “ following its third halving event. PlanB, an anonymous developer, has lauded the S2FX model and believes that BTC will be trading between $100,000 and $288,000 by the end of 2021. The stock-to-flow model and other existing variations are some of the most used BTC prediction tools within the cryptocurrency community. The first version of S2FX, known as the original stock-to-flow ratio, outlined the stock of existing reserves and the flow (the annual supply of BTC in the market). The ensuing version provided more complex and comprehensive Bitcoin information. Apart from stock and flow, it also showed the different phases BTC has passed through since its creation in 2009. These phases include proof-of-concept, the payment phase, e-gold, and financial assets. The Bitcoin halving, which occurs automatically every four years, is arguably the most crucial part of the models because it cuts BTC supply in half, which decreases the flow. That said, PlanB and S2FX supporters monitor Bitcoin’s price performance assiduously after every halving. The analyst asserted that the benchmark cryptocurrency is moving like clockwork since its third halving in May. already, Bitcoin is showing some similarities with the price dynamics in 2012. BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart Key BTC Levels to Watch in the Near-Term — November 11 Bitcoin remains on a strong bullish trajectory, despite many projections that bullish steam might be running out. The cryptocurrency has renewed its 2020 high, after hitting $16,000 just a few hours ago. This is a good sign that the bullish momentum is still intact. That said, we could see BTC hit the $16,500 – $17,000 area soon. However, we could see a mild pullback towards the mid-$15,000 in the coming hours. Total market capital: $453 billion Bitcoin market capital: $291 billion Bitcoin dominance: 64% Source: https://learn2.trade
  7. ETHEREUM (ETH) PRICE ANALYSIS: ETHER HOVERS ABOVE $450 SUPPORT FOR A POSSIBLE UPTREND CONTINUATION Key Highlights Ether fluctuates above $450 support The coin has a target price of $488 high Ethereum (ETH) Current Statistics The current price: $458.89 Market Capitalization: $52,029,363,330 Trading Volume: $14,108,917,588 Major supply zones: $280, $320, $360 Major demand zones: $160, $140, $100 Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis November 11, 2020 On November 10, the altcoin rebounded but could not break the $470 resistance. The upward move was repelled as price retraced to the $455 low. The upside momentum will always resume as long as price finds support above $450 support. Presently, the coin is trading at $462 at the time of writing. On the upside, a strong bounce above $460 will propel price to break the $470 resistance. Ether will rally above $488 once the $470 resistance is breached. The upside momentum will be invalidated if the bears break the $450 and the $430 support level. ETH/USD – Daily Chart ETH Technical Indicators Reading Ethereum is trading above the resistance line of the ascending channel. The biggest altcoin will continue to trend higher as long as price is sustained above the resistance line. The coin will resume a downward move if the price breaks below the resistance line. ETH/USD – 4 Hour Chart Conclusion Ethereum bulls are close to breaking the resistance at $470. Once the resistance is broken the Fibonacci tool analysis will hold. When the coin was resisted on November 7 uptrend, the retraced candle body tested the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This explains that the coin is likely to move up to level 2.0 Fibonacci extension which is $539.17 high. Source: https://learn2.trade
  8. LITECOIN (LTC) IS LIKELY TO SINK BELOW $51 AS BULLS AND BEARS TUSSLE FOR PRICE POSSESSION Key Highlights Litecoin plunges to $51 low and corrected upward LTC risks further downward move as price reaches overbought region Litecoin (LTC) Current Statistics The current price: $52.49 Market Capitalization: $3,453,939,467 Trading Volume: $2,849,880,504 Major supply zones: $70, $80, $90 Major demand zones: $50, $30, $10 Litecoin (LTC) Price Analysis November 3, 2020 Litecoin has been on a downward move. Today, the bearish impulse reached a low of $51 and corrected upward. Presently, it is facing another rejection at the $53 high. There is a likelihood of a further downward move. On the downside, if price retraces and breaks below the $51 support, the market will drop to $46 or $47 support. The coin will resume an uptrend if the price finds support above $51. The $51 support is where the coin resumes upside momentum. LTC/USD – Daily Chart Litecoin (LTC) Technical Indicators Reading The coin is below the 60% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that it is in the bearish momentum. The selling pressure of the coin will persist once the price breaks below the SMAs. The coin is at level 50 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that there is a balance between supply and demand. LTC/USD – Daily Chart Conclusion Litecoin is likely to further decline as price retests the $56 high. On October 30 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level. This indicates that the market will further depreciate to level 1.618 Fibonacci extensions or $47 low. Source: https://learn2.trade
  9. WILL THE 2020 UNITED STATES PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION UPHEAVE THE MARKETS? The 2020 United States presidential election is here and traders are expecting high volatility in the markets. My Take Nothing unusual and nothing extraordinary will happen in the markets. The markets don’t surprise people when they’re looking out for such; surprises come only when people don’t expect them. An informational traffic sign post indicating a financial market business concept – a clipping path is included to separate sign from bkg. Canon 5D MarkII and composition in Photoshop. Let’s use an example of an eye that has seen the ocean and the sea. When that same eye observes a pool of water in the bathroom, it would be as though it has seen nothing; when compared to the ocean and the sea. The effects of the election on the markets might turn out to be a pool in the bathroom. I forecast that the elections might bring a measure of volatility, but the volatility would pale into insignificance when compared to what happened as recent as March 2020. Those March events caught the world by surprise. There are many examples like that. So elections are being held in the US, and you’re expecting something extraordinary? Sorry, the market has a knack for going against the expectations of the public. Because you expect storms in the markets; the storms won’t be as extraordinary as you currently imagine. We may see a continuation in the current market directions or spikes in opposite directions, followed by trend continuations. It may even be complete and sustained changes in trends. But whatever happens, it is not going to be anything new or unusual. American flag waving with the Capitol Hill in the background What I Will Do That is why I hold some positions. If things go against me, I can’t lose more than say, 1.5% per trade (perhaps huge slippage and spreads factored in). In case things move in my favor, then I would be grateful for whatever the markets give me. After all, my rewards are always higher than the risk. What can you do if you disagree with this post? The answer is simple. Stay out of the markets. But you will realize later that there is no big deal after all. Source: https://learn2.trade
  10. EUR/CHF IS IN AN UPTREND, MAY REACH LEVEL 1.0730 Key Resistance Levels: 1.0800, 1.0900, 1.1000 Key Support Levels: 1.0600, 1.0500, 1.0400 EUR/CHF Price Long-term Trend: Ranging EUR/CHF has been on a downward move since September 25. On October 15 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested 78.6 % Fibonacci retracement level. This indicates that the pair will fall and reach a low of 1.272 and later reverse. EUR/CHF – Daily Chart Daily Chart Indicators Reading: The pair is at level 41 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It implies that the market is in a downtrend and below the centerline 50. The 50-day SMA and 21-day SMA are sloping horizontally. It indicates the sideways trend. EUR/CHF Medium-term Trend: Bullish On the 4-hour chart, the pair is also rising. On October 20, a retraced candle body tested 50 Fibonacci retracement level. This also indicates that the pair will rise and reach level 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is the low level of 1.0730. EUR/CHF – 30 Min Chart 4 Hour Chart Indicator Reading The 50-day and 21-day SMAs are sloping sideways indicating the previous trend. The pair is below the 30% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that the market is in a bearish momentum. General Outlook for EUR/CHF EUR/CHF is rising after breaking the initial resistance. The price rebounded at level 1.0714 to resume the upward move. According to the Fibonacci tool, the market will reach level of 1.0730. Source: https://learn2.trade
  11. EURUSD RISKS DEEPER DECLINE AT 1.1800 LEVEL ON SURGE IN EUROPE COVID-19 CASES EURUSD Price Analysis – October 26 Growing fears of a surge in Europe Covid-19 cases may slowdown economic recovery as new infections trigger stricter measures and prompt investors into safety. EURUSD risks a deeper decline at the 1.1800 level as buyers repeatedly failed to make a sustained break above the daily cloud top around the 1.1850 level. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 1.2150, 1.2011, 1.1917 Support Levels: 1.1807, 1.1612, 1.1422 EURUSD Long-term Trend: Ranging EURUSD is under pressure, trading near the 1.1810 level, and is in danger of further falling. The EURUSD rally appears to have hit a decent barrier at recent highs around 1.1880. A break of this area is expected to push the pair higher towards the 1.1917 area as the bullish trend is expected to resume at the key level. In a broader context, the rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third phase of the pattern from 1.0339 (low). A further rally towards the cluster resistance at 1.2011 can be seen. This will remain a preferable case as long as the resistance at 1.1422 is held and turned into support. EURUSD Short-term Trend: Ranging EURUSD intraday trend stays neutral as consolidation from 1.1880 regions continues. Nevertheless, further growth stays in favor while maintaining the support level of 1.1685. The break into 1.1880 regions will be a test at the 1.2011 high. The 4 hours chart shows that the pair is developing below the moderately bearish 5 and 13 moving averages. A move below 1.1800 is needed to mark an immediate (minor) high for a pullback to the bottom of the short-term channel seen at 1.1725. On the other hand, a breakout of 1.1685 is likely to extend the corrective pattern from 1.2011 by one more phase. Intraday bias will return to the downside towards 1.1612 and below. Source: https://learn2.trade
  12. BITCOIN PRICE ANALYSIS: COULD CBDCS BE THE END OF BITCOIN? Ever since Facebook publicized its plans to develop a digital currency called Libra, central banks across the globe have tried to counter it with their cryptocurrency. While Facebook’s Libra has come under heavy scrutiny and regulatory obstacles, more than 80% of the world’s central banks are working assiduously to develop a central bank digital currency (CBDC). Meanwhile, the foundational basis of a CBDC is fundamentally disparate to what Bitcoin (BTC) is about. That said, the cryptocurrency community has begun speculating what the effect of a government-issued digital currency would have on the benchmark cryptocurrency. Below are some of the possible outcomes of CBDCs on Bitcoin: Plot A The common expectation is that CBDCs will be bad for Bitcoin and the crypto industry at large, considering that world governments will place their weight behind CBDCs giving it a higher adoption rate compared to BTC. Plot B The next popular opinion is that CBDCs could give Bitcoin better widespread use and adoption, as it could spark heightened interest in digital currencies. Plot C Assuming that Plot A comes into fruition, there would be no use for Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer payment system. However, this doesn’t mean BTC becomes useless, instead, it becomes an excellent store of value. BTCUSD -4-Hour Chart Key BTC Levels to Watch in the Near-Term Bitcoin, against popular belief, doesn’t seem to be slowing down any time soon. The cryptocurrency just recorded a new YTD high at $13,357 in the past 24 hours. BTC has been trading within a consolidation range between $13,300 and $12,895 for the past four days, as traders expect a fresh bull wave. That said, as long as Bitcoin maintains its stance above the $12,895 support, we could see a fresh bull wave in the coming days. A sustained fall below the aforementioned support could trigger an extended retracement for the cryptocurrency. Total market capital: $395.4 billion Bitcoin market capital: $241 billion Bitcoin dominance: 61% Source: https://learn2.trade
  13. ETHEREUM (ETH) PRICE ANALYSIS: ETH FACES REJECTION AT $420, FLUCTUATES BETWEEN LEVELS $400 AND $420 Key Highlights Ethereum battles resistance at level $420 high The coin is likely to reach another high of $434 Ethereum (ETH) Current Statistics The current price: $415.57 Market Capitalization: $47,020,287,242 Trading Volume: $12,506,980,622 Major supply zones: $280, $320, $360 Major demand zones: $160, $140, $100 Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis October 25, 2020 Following the breaking of the $395 overhead resistance, Ethereum resumed upside momentum. However, the coin rallied to a high of $420 and was resisted. Since October 22, the upward move has been resisted as the coin resumed a sideways trend below the resistance. On the upside, if the price breaks the current resistance, the coin will resume the uptrend. However, Ether will face another resistance at $440. The coin will rally to $480 if the current resistance is broken. ETH/USD – Daily Chart ETH Technical Indicators Reading The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping upward indicating the uptrend. Ether has risen to level 65 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that the market is in the bullish trend zone. The coin is approaching the resistance line of the ascending channel. A break above it will push the coin upward. ETH/USD – Daily Chart Conclusion Ethereum will rise after breaking the resistance at $420. The Fibonacci tool analysis has indicated an upward move to level 1.618 Fibonacci extensions. The market will reach another high of $434.55. Source: https://learn2.trade
  14. EURJPY UPSIDE TRACTION OVERPOWERS BEARS, EYES 124.00 LEVEL EURJPY Price Analysis – October 16 EURJPY is accelerating from a low of around 123.00 as upside potential prevails over sellers for another session on Friday. The cross has so far managed to hold above the 123.00 level. Given the uncertainty, it would be a mistake to set an end date for the response to the pandemic, European Central Bank (ECB) governing board member said on Friday. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 127.07, 126.46, 125.00 Support Levels: 123.00, 122.37, 119.31 EURJPY Long term Trend: Ranging As noted on the daily chart, if selling momentum picks up additional pace, then the pair is expected to continue to the next relevant area around 123.00, where it sits low in October. Further south, there is critical horizontal support just above the 122.37 level. While the RSI recovery from the near oversold area suggests a further recovery in the pair, a clear break of the 124.00 marks becomes necessary for the EURJPY bulls ahead of the 124.43 level and the weekly high near the 125.00 level. EURJPY Short term Trend: Bearish EURJPY intraday bias remains bearish, with 38.2% retracement from 114.39 to 127.07 at 122.37. A solid break there would confirm a resumption of the entire corrective fall from 127.07 and aim a 61.8% correction at 119.25, close to the pivotal support at 119.31. On the other hand, however, a break of the 125.00 level will bring the upward trend back to retest the 127.07 level. Conversely, a clear dip below the 123.00 level could plummet towards the 120.00 psychological magnets. Source: https://learn2.trade
  15. When emotions get in the way of trading success – Part 2 Veterans of the markets generally agree that trading is largely psychological. That is one of the reasons why a trader with suboptimal strategy will trade profitably and another trader with a good strategy will be making losses. The method one trader uses to trader their way to financial freedom is what another trader uses and experiences pecuniary ruin. Why are some people, who have access to excellent trading tools and strategies still struggle with the markets? It boils down to the mindset of the trader. To throw more light on this issue, you can read below a section from an article by Dr. Van K. Tharp, titled “Mental Strategies Versus Trading Systems.” “One of the best traders in the world told me once that he traded a simple trend-following system. He taught other traders how to trade that way and in the process, he claimed that often they developed systems that were more profitable than his! Yet he feels comfortable following his system so he sticks with it. What about the traders he has trained? Most never completed his training but a few found some success — yet none of his students has ever achieved the many years of consistent profits that he has. Why not? Great trading systems do not produce success; great traders produce success! Years ago, I visited the office of another well-known trader to profile him and his colleagues. What struck me was that several of the people in his office were not very successful — even though they were trading the same exact methods that he had used to make hundreds of millions of dollars. Why? In part, his mental strategy was quite different from those of his colleagues. How you trade relates more to your mental strategies than to your trading system. Would you disagree? Then how do you explain the lack of success of some of the people in his office trading the same great system as that top trader… Another well-known trader actually wants to teach people to be as successful as he has been. Thousands of traders have gone through his training yet he claims that only about 10% of his trainees will actually be successful using his methods. And the record seems to support his claim — people go through the training, but few come close to his level of success. Again, we have examples of people who know the rules of a winning system yet aren’t that successful. The reason that these top traders make money while others who use the same systems do not is — systems don’t make money, traders do. Then Do You Need a Trading System? Since the trader, not the system, is responsible for success, do you need a trading system? Top traders use systems so yes, you still need to use a trading system. What then is the purpose of a trading system? My research indicates that trading systems are an essential shortcut for human decision making. You have probably discovered that most human decision-making strategies are complex and slow. For example, think about the last time you bought a car and had to decide on the make, model, color, dealer, price, etc. You probably took several days at minimum to decide. Traders cannot afford that kind of time to make a decision. They need a shortcut or system in order to make quick decisions. Ideally, your trading system should signal an action and you should go through a quick “see/recognize/feel/act” strategy and take the trade. That is, you see the signal, recognize that it is familiar, and because it matches what you are looking for, you feel good about it and act on it. This is the simple mental strategy for action mentioned in the tasks of trading — but most traders cannot do that! They were successful in some domain (engineering, business, medicine, etc.) using a particular decision strategy and they want to continue to use that strategy in the market. As a result, when they see a signal to trade, they use their well learned decision-making strategy to decide if signal is valid and whether or not to act on the signal. Their “normal” strategy that worked well for them for so long does not work well at all in the markets. They end up feeling some emotions when they trade and they lose money…. ….I believe that any trader or investor can win in the markets if he or she uses his or her mind properly. Nothing in my experience to date has given me any reasonable counter examples. Some people just operate at a level that requires a much greater degree of change in their mental strategies than other people. Mental strategies are not the kind of things most traders are interested in normally. They’d much rather learn a new indicator or system. Understanding that mental strategies are a huge edge, however, directs your attention away from external factors and leads you to explore your internal processes. Understanding and leveraging those processes can help you turn any good system into trading success…. Source: Vantharp.com Note: What are the solution? You need to work on your trading mindset and mental strategies. We will explore how to do this in the coming articles. Source: https://learn2.trade
  16. THE TECHNICAL ANALYST HAS BECOME AN ENDANGERED SPECIES According to Investopedia.com, technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate investments and identify trading opportunities by analysing statistical trends gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume. Unlike fundamental analysts, who attempt to evaluate a security’s intrinsic value, technical analysts focus on patterns of price movements, trading signals and various other analytical charting tools to evaluate a security’s strength or weakness. Given the definition above, you can see the important of technical analysis as far as trading is concerned. However, many people do not understand what it is, not to mention how to apply it in their trading. Most readers and visitors to shares, cryptocurrencies, forex, commodities, etc, news websites, do not understand technical analysis, and so they prefer to ignore it and read the articles they understand instead (such as those about fundamental market news and briefs). Even in the nascent cryptocurrency industry, demand for the technical analyst is drying up, especially amid crypto winters, as well as protracted bear markets. No wonder the technical analyst has become an endangered species, because most members of the public do not understand our work and therefore are not interested in our analyses. This is one of the reasons why the technical analyst’s career is threatened. When the general public know more about technical indicators, they will be inclined to read technical analysis of the markets, whenever they come across such online. They will appreciate what the technical analyst does and the effort behind those technical productions. They will be able to understand what the technical analyst has in mind and how their thoughts can be applied to financial instruments. More importantly, people will be able to apply technical analysis to their own speculation and investment, with satisfactory results. The truth is, when applied correctly and objectively, technical analysis works. This book is also for those who want to consider a career as a technical analyst. It is very easy to use and understand; very easy to familiarize oneself with. It contains step-by-step explanations and it will launch you into the fascinating world of technical analysis. The content of this book were originally published in TRADERS’ (https://www.traders-media.de/), and have been reproduced by their kind permission. Teach Yourself Technical Analysis: https://www.advfnbooks.com/books/techanalysis/index.html Teach Yourself Technical Analysis. UK Kindle: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B08GPGS5GJ Teach Yourself Technical Analysis. US Kindle: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08GPGS5GJ Teach Yourself Technical Analysis. UK paperback: https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/1912741067 Teach Yourself Technical Analysis. US paperback: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1912741067 Teach Yourself Technical Analysis, Kobo: https://www.kobo.com/gb/en/ebook/teach-yourself-technical-analysis Teach Yourself Technical Analysis, Apple: https://books.apple.com/us/book/teach-yourself-technical-analysis/id1534690445?ls=1
  17. SILVER PRICE: BULLS TO RE-ATTEMPT THE PRIOR WEEK’S HIGH AT $24.40 LEVEL FOR NEW ENTRIES XAGUSD Price Analysis – October 5 Silver (XAGUSD) price prints a $24.04 intraday high level with 0.50% gains during Monday’s session. Buyers may re-attempt the prior week’s high at $24.40 level for new entries. Traders also resumed accumulating Silver on price correction as safe-haven demand reemerged amidst the second wave of coronavirus outbreak in Europe, and political uncertainty in the US. Key Levels Resistance Levels: $28.90, $26.50, $24.50 Support Levels: $23.50, $21.38, $19.65 XAGUSD Long term Trend: Ranging Silver (XAGUSD) has staged a dramatic decline to $21.66 low level and rebounded to trade at $24.40 level prior week high but still failed to close above the daily moving average 13. The failure to close beyond the MA 13 could increase that level’s importance as resistance going forward. Although the overall daily market trend is currently in a near-term downtrend, this might just be a correction, as both the medium and long-term trends are still bullish. Buying could accelerate should prices move above the close-by swing high at 24.50 level where further buy stops might get triggered. XAGUSD Short term Trend: Ranging The momentum indicators are painting an optimistic short-term picture as well. The RSI has extended its rally into the positive area, while the moving average 5 and 13 are forcefully stretching towards the continuation of the rebound. Should the $23.50 level give way, the bears may need to remove the $22.83 support level to pick up steam towards the $21.38 key area. In brief, silver may remain under consolidation control in the short-term if it fails to break past the $24.50 level, with the sell-off expected to gain fresh momentum beneath the $23.50-21.83 region. Source: https://learn2.trade
  18. XAU/USD PRICE ANALYSIS — OCTOBER 7 Gold (XAU/USD) has refreshed its daily highs around $1898 and is currently trading at $1891 (+0.5%) in the early European session. The precious metal regained bullishness following reports that US President Donald Trump was willing to give aid to airlines and small businesses. However, charters concerning the European Union’s steel tariff on several Asian countries are starting to contend with the risk-on market mood. Meanwhile, President Trump has recently rejected the proposed $2 trillion stimulus package, following his return from Walter Reed military hospital. However, the president has proposed a $160 billion collective help. The news helped the S&P Futures pare back its previous losses. The ongoing rift between the EU and Asia, the ever-increasing worries over the Coronavirus, and the Brexit tensions are the major fundamental factors dictating trading sentiment across markets. Moving on, the markets’ dynamics will be heavily influenced by updates from Trump—either relating to either his COVID-19 infection or the stimulus—as the markets look for clues. Also, traders will be focused on speeches from US Fed policymakers and the ECB’s Chair Christine Lagarde for additional clues. XAUUSD – 4-Hour Chart Gold (XAU) Value Forecast — October 7 XAU/USD Major Bias: Bullish Supply Levels: $1917, $1923, and $1939 Demand Levels: $1876, $1849, and $1813 Gold has reacted aggressively to the $1923 resistance, after reaching a $1921 high yesterday. The commodity fell by $45 over a few hours but was strongly supported by the $1876 line. Currently, the XAU/USD has rebounded from that level and is going to attempt to take the $1923 barrier again. Yesterday’s fall was strongly aided by some fundamental factors (as mentioned in this article), which means scaling the resistance this time should be easy. Meanwhile, gold has to break back into our expanding channel for this to be possible. Source: https://learn2.trade
  19. WHEN EMOTIONS GET IN THE WAY OF TRADING SUCCESS – PART 1 Guinness World Records documents a chimpanzee named Raven (Raven the chimpanzee), who became the 22nd most profitable funds manager in the United States. She picked her stocks by throwing darts at 133 online companies. According to the Records, the chimp created her own index, dubbed MonkeyDex, and in 1999 delivered a 213 per cent gain, outperforming more than 6,000 professional brokers on Wall Street. The animal, who was aged 6, was dubbed the most successful chimpanzee on Wall Street. Male chimpanzee in business clothes using a digital tablet It was noteworthy that a chimp outperformed even highly intelligent and highly educated traders that year… That makes me also to remember Paul the Octopus, a sea animal which outperformed great sports analysts at predictions. Wikipedia states that Paul’s keepers at the Sea Life Centre in Oberhausen, Germany, mainly tasked him with predicting the outcomes of international matches in which the German national football team was playing. Paul correctly chose the winning team in four of Germany’s six Euro 2008 matches, and all seven of their matches in the 2010 World Cup—including Germany’s third place play-off win over Uruguay on 10 July. He also correctly chose Spain as the winner of the 2010 FIFA World Cup final (Source: Wikipedia.org). Overall, the octopus won 12 out of 14 forecasts – a hit rate of 85.7% Figuratively, even an animal can make money by pressing a computer keyboard, while human beings ruin their own trading by trying to overreach themselves. The rules for successful trading are too simple; but they are extremely difficult to follow faithfully, because we are often made helpless by irrational emotions. Humans are remarkable for violating laws and rules, in spite of penalties that will follow that. In trading, we can do anything we like, as often as you want, within the limits set by your broker. We can violate principles of safe trading as much as we want to satisfy our emotions. Anything we get in trading is the result of our own doing. Why do most humans find trading to be difficult while even certain animals are achieving excellent results? The second part of this article would address the issue. Source: https://learn2.trade
  20. THE ULTIMATE SECRET TO EVERLASTING SUCCESS IN THE MARKETS WHEN THE MARKET BECOMES INTRACTABLE Especially in the short-term, anyone can make money in the market. However, beating the markets consistently and for the long-term is what most traders find difficult. While trading management and risk control tools are present for prudent traders to employ, they are not the ultimate secret. You can use a good strategy plus good risk management tools to play the markets, but you will get frustrated from time-to-time if you ignore the secret mentioned in this article. Please mark my word and write today’s date down. I have been in the markets for around 13 years and I have tested more than 600 strategies and methodologies, mechanical or discretionary (whether manual, semi-automated or fully automated). I have traded various types of financial markets. I can tell you that it is completely impossible to beat the markets consistently with only one strategy. There are times when you make money by buying at support levels and selling at resistance levels. There are times when you thrive by going long in oversold markets and going short in overbought markets. Sometimes, doing this does not work, as the markets may later defy demand and supply levels and continue dropping in an oversold condition (or continue rallying when the market is already overbought). Sometimes, you just see a direction the market is going and simply follow it and make money. For instance, you see a very weak market and open a sell order and you make money. Nonetheless, after days, weeks or months (or even years), you will see that most of the positions you open in the direction of the market turn negative and never come to positive regions again. What most traders would have noticed is that they make money, then lose money and make money again, only to lose again. This vicious circle goes on and on, and most will eventually lose more than they gain. When a particular market condition is no longer in favor of your strategy, the more you trade that strategy the more losses you sustain. IS THERE ANY SOLUTION? For many years, veterans of the markets like Dr. Van K. Tharp, have been emphasizing the need to develop different strategies for different market types, since a single system cannot work in all market types. Recognize the current market type and then switch to an effective strategy that is OK for that market type. Failure to accept this reality is the main reason why majority of traders end up being frustrated. A method that works well in ranging markets may perform poorly in volatile bear markets. A method that works well in strong bull markets will fail if used in ranging markets. A scalping method may work well in a ranging market, but fail ignominiously in a trending market. A trend-following system can suffer seriously in choppy markets. While there are many market types, a market will either be trending or ranging. A trend may be transitory or protracted; a sideways market may also hold out longer or play out temporarily. How do you survive all these without being completely sure of what can happen next? HERE IS THE SOLUTION As mentioned earlier, no single system can work in all market condition, because markets dynamics change from time to time. What I have figured out: I have 2 strategies. One works well in a trending market and another one works well in a trendless market. I use the one that works well in a trending market as long as I make money and I do not go down by 10% maximum (I risk 1% – 2% per trade). Once I get a roll-down of 10% or less (that is several losing trades), I know the strategy does not work again and I change to my mean reversion strategy, which works well in a trendless market. I use the mean-reversion system as long as I do not go down by 10% loss or less. I do not change strategies blindly; I ensure that the present market type is also in favor of the strategy I switch to. That is how I make sure that I make profits on monthly basis – no matter what happens in the markets. The profits in some months are smaller than expected and the profits in some months are bigger than expected. The bottom line: There is no month in which I do not make profits. It is very childish and illogical to predetermine your profits in advance when you cannot control the markets. Thinking in that way is a recipe for eventual frustration. In December 2019, airlines could as well predetermine their profits in 2020 based on historical returns, not knowing there was going to be a worldwide lockdown Yes, I cannot know in advance how much I will make on a monthly basis. That is revealed only in hindsight, (unless I want to dwell in a fool’s paradise, as most traders do). But I know full well that every month will be profitable for me, no matter the profits in terms of percentage. Source: https://learn2.trade
  21. BITCOIN STRENGTHENS CORRELATION WITH STOCK MARKET Over recent days, Bitcoin (BTC) has been forging a strong correlation to the equities market once again and it has been observed that this occurs usually when global uncertainty is rife. Currently, investors are wracked with fears over the dwindling prospects of second domestic stimulus measures in the US, coupled with the weaning possibility of a sharp economic recovery. Also, the upcoming US presidential elections are adding to the growing uncertainty surrounding the markets. These fears will likely remain unsolved in the near-term, making further choppiness in the equities market very possible. That said, Bitcoin will likely get caught up in the mix, giving its correlation to the stock market. Meanwhile, an On-Chain analyst has said that he expects the Bitcoin-Equities correlation to fade in the coming months. He explained that subsequent sharp declines in equities will eventually stop pulling Bitcoin lower as the crypto reaches its lowest technically possible levels. BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart Key BTC Levels to Watch At press time, Bitcoin trades at $10,511, about 0.8% increase in the day. However, it remains trapped in its weekly consolidation range. Last week, bulls attempted to pull the benchmark cryptocurrency out of its downward spiral and ended up taking the price to highs of $11,200. The rejection from that level was decisive and sharp, causing Bitcoin to fall to the level it currently trades at. Meanwhile, the equities market was able to post a modest recovery today, which, as an extension, has given Bitcoin a reprieve for the near-term. Still, the absence of any significant positive development around the US stimulus program or the pandemic-induced economic crisis may continue to burden the cryptocurrency market from rising in the near-term. Total market capital: $333.6 billion Bitcoin market capital: $194 billion Bitcoin dominance: 58% Source: https://learn2.trade
  22. ETHEREUM (ETH) PRICE ANALYSIS: BATTLES THE RESISTANCE AT $390, EYES THE HIGH AT $420 Key Highlights Ethereum has a fresh target price of $420 The coin is still battling the resistance at $390 Ethereum (ETH) Current Statistics The current price: $381.78 Market Capitalization: $43,016,171,550 Trading Volume: $12,067,100,125 Major supply zones: $280, $320, $360 Major demand zones: $160, $140, $100 Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis September 20, 2020 From the rejection at the $390 resistance, Ether is falling to the previous low at $378. Each time the market falls it will retrace to the low of $378 and $381. ETH will rise again to retest the $390 resistance. The coin is rising and it has reached $381 at the writing. The crypto has resumed an upward move as it found support above $380. On the downside, if price has retraced and broken below $350, the selling pressure would have persisted. ETH/USD – Daily Chart ETH Technical Indicators Reading The price has earlier broken above the resistance line of the ascending channel. This assures that the rise of the coin will continue. Another aspect is that price has remained above the EMAs. This also indicates that the coin is rising. ETH/USD – 4 Hour Chart Conclusion From the price action on the 4-hour chart, Ethereum is likely to rise if the current resistance is breached. On September 17, the coin was in an upward move. It was resisted at $390 but the last retraced candle tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This indicates that the market will rise and reach a high of 1.618 Fibonacci extension level or $420 high. Source: https://learn2.trade
  23. IS THERE ANYTHING GOOD ABOUT LOSS? We trade to make profits, and therefore we hate losses and like profits. However, when we put losses in proper perspective, we would see it as occasional blessings in disguise. Losses can be a good thing if they make you evolve into a better and more effective trader. You will then be able to trade with peace of mind, knowing full well that risk is under control and you will gradually move ahead regardless of any temporary setbacks (loss trades) along the way. The notes below are taken from comments of Joe Ross’ clients, who are traders themselves. Joe Ross has been trading for more than 60 years, and he is the founder of Trading Educators, Inc. Please read and get enlightened. May your pips be green! WHAT EXPERIENCED TRADERS THINK ABOUT LOSS “The reason they lose is due to sloppy trading habits. Traders lack discipline and self-control. That is what is so upsetting. We look at our trades and know we shouldn’t be in them, or we should be getting out, but we don’t. When we lose, we know we have only ourselves to blame. It’s as if the market is holding up a mirror of our trading behavior. I discovered by keeping a log of my trades and analyzing my losses, the majority of them come from my impulsive behavior and lack of self-control.” “Overcoming oneself, impatience, greed, and insecurity are the biggest problems. That’s why, with almost every losing trade, it’s such a big deal. We end up saying to ourselves, ‘Oh no! Here I go again not sticking to my trading plan’ yet again! Our compulsive reactions are much like the smoker who can’t quit, or a dieter, who has that one last chocolate ……” “Trading quietly, patiently, and detached would make most traders profitable, myself included. Thanks again for focusing on the real issues in trading.” “What you wrote about losses, is an issue every trader has to come to terms with. I have an additional thought I’d like to pass on to those who might be interested. I know from doing some self-searching that what I discovered affects me. “First of all, the money traded has a value; I worked hard for my money. Because I worked hard for them, they have a ‘sweat’ value, and a ‘time’ value. It might be only a USD 100 loss, but it has value. Secondly, and I’m not certain how best to explain this, but the risk of loss factor has an emotional component related to the results of previous trades.” “My angle is slightly different from what Joe wrote, due to the inability to expect a profit. I mean that Joe and others trade with the knowledge they are right 60% or 80% or whatever it might be, so it is more easily possible for them to trade with positive expectations. Unless they’re screwing up their process, it is a numbers game, so make another trade. I’m not at that point of confidence which is perhaps necessary. I don’t know if the question was really asking for an answer, and I don’t offer my response as my excuse. The value in Joe’s writing is his providing evidence that there is possibly a more detached view separate from the specific outcome of any one trade, or even a small group of trades. I recall this discussion in one of his books. (Some trading things need constant reminding.) This perspective can assist with getting on with the next trade when it appears, with a better expectation that is not related to the previous trade’s result.” How should you feel about losses? I once read somewhere that you are supposed to love losses. Does that make sense to you? It doesn’t to me. The worst aspect of losing is that it tends to create pessimism. Traders should feel bad when they lose only if they fought the market trend, or violated their own trading strategies. The best traders have a healthy ‘so what, big deal!’ attitude that maintains a sense of humor about losses. There is no reason to feel bad about losses if the trading discipline was correctly used. On the other hand, there is no reason to learn to love them either.” “Analyze losses, learn from them, and then let them go; move on, that’s the best thing to do. Understanding man’s relationship to time is one of life’s most important challenges. When man becomes free of time’s constraints, he lives life to the fullest and achieves goals on his own terms. Pessimism traps traders in the past, destroys their present, and robs them of the future. Imagine a world without time where the thought of death is not a finality of existence. If profits were not the reason for your work-related behavior, then who are you? Where are you and what are you doing? Who shares this existence with you? In the philosophical sense, man creates himself and his existence when he takes responsibility for his actions and his time. Think how various individuals create order, structure and discipline in their lives. How will you allow a trading loss today affect your life five years from today? Thinking the wrong way can become self-fulfilling. The trouble with self-fulfillment is that many people have a self-destructive streak. Accident-prone drivers keep destroying their cars, and self-destructive traders keep destroying their accounts. Markets offer unlimited opportunities for self-sabotage, as well as for self-fulfillment. Acting out your internal conflicts in the marketplace is a very expensive proposition. Traders who are not at peace with themselves often try to fulfill their contradictory wishes in the market. If you do not know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere you never wanted to be. Every business has losses. I cannot think of any that don’t. Shoplifting, embezzlement, internal pilferage, lawsuits, bad debts, spoilage, etc., I’m sure you can think of even more. You name it and businesses have one or more of the many ways to experience losses. Most businesses expect and accept such losses as part of doing business. Why, then, is it such a big deal when you have a loss in trading? If you know the answer to that, please let me know. The way I handle a loss is this: I examine it, make every attempt to learn from it, and ascertain whether I had the loss by straying from my trading plan. If I have strayed, I reinforce my resolve to stick with my plan. If I have not strayed, then I learn from it what I can, and shrug it off as a cost of business. It is not an expense, it is a cost, and if you don’t know the difference, you need to take a course or read a book on the basics of accounting.” Source: https://learn2.trade
  24. CHAINLINK (LINK) PRICE ANALYSIS: LINK CONTINUES ITS BEARISH PATTERN, MAY DROP TO $4 LOW Key Highlights LINK price making a series of lower highs and lower lows The market may fall to $4 low if the support at $9.50 is breached Chainlink (LINK) Current Statistics The current price: $11.01 Market Capitalization: $3,853,295,393 Trading Volume: $1,244,310,906 Major supply zones: $18.00, $20.00,$22.00 Major demand zones: $8.00, $6.00, $4.00 Chainlink (LINK) Price Analysis September 18, 2020 Since August 15, LINK price has been making a series of lower highs and lower lows. This explains that the coin is in a downtrend. It will continue to fall except the bearish pattern is interrupted. Today, LINK is trading at $11 at the time of writing. On the upside, if buyers push LINK above the $14 high, the coin will resume upside momentum. However, if buyers fail to sustain the upward move, the downtrend will continue. On the downside, the market is falling to the lower lows. LINK/USD – Daily Chart Chainlink Technical Indicators Reading LINK is now in a descending channel. The coin will resume uptrend if price breaks and closes above the resistance line of the descending channel. In the same vein, the crypto will further decline, if price breaks below the support line of the descending channel. Meanwhile, the price action is indicating a bearish signal. LINK/USD = Daily Chart Conclusion On September 5, the coin has earlier fallen to the $9.50 low before making an upward correction. On September 5 downtrend, the retraced green candle body tested the 61.8 % Fibonacci retracement level. This implies that the market will fall to the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That is a low of $4. Source: https://learn2.trade
  25. USDCHF SUSTAINS SELLING BIAS TOWARDS SUB 0.9100 LEVEL AS THE US DOLLAR STAYS UNDER PRESSURE USDCHF Price Analysis – September 11 USDCHF drops beneath 0.9100 level, down 0.25% on a day, during the European session on Friday. The USDCHF pair sustains selling bias falling sharply for the third day in a row. The Swiss franc holds onto recent strength after the ECB meeting as the US dollar stays under pressure. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 0.9902, 0.9467, 0.9200 Support Levels: 0.9050, 0.8845, 0.8639 USDCHF Long term Trend: Bearish As seen on the daily, USDCHF extended weakness below the moving average 5 and 13 while sellers are likely to keep the reins and target a retracement level of 0.9075 level during the immediate declines. The 0.9050 area is the immediate support, and a break lower would expose the 0.8998 level that registers as the multi-year low. On the upside, now 0.9116 level is the immediate resistance followed by 0.9181 and 0.9200 levels. USDCHF Short term Trend: Ranging Intraday bias in USDCHF stays slightly on the downside for validating the 0.8998 thresholds. A dip may restart a larger downtrend. Even so, the 0.9200 level break may revive the turnaround from 0.9902 to 0.8998 at 0.9321 levels to 38.2 percent retracement. Continuous selling underneath the 100% forecast of 1.0342 to 0.9181 from 1.0231 at 0.9075 levels sets the stage for a forecast of 138.2 percent at 0.8639 levels. To be the first sign of short-term bottoming, a breach of the 0.9370 resistance level is required on the upside. Source: https://learn2.trade
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