tradelab03

Any time you put money at risk for the chance of profit, there is an inherent level of uncertainty. When new threats such as war or recession arise, the level of uncertainty increases significantly as companies can no longer accurately predict their future earnings. As a result, institutional investors will reduce their holdings in stocks considered unsafe and move the funds to other sources like precious metals, government bonds and money-market instruments. This sell-off, which occurs as large portfolios reposition themselves, can cause the stock market to depreciate.

the best way to handle stress is by getting into the stock market well-prepared for what it will hurl your way. You need the right education, experience, tools and mindset for this. When we are mentally prepared for a trading day we are less likely to experience stress. Similar to the surgeon, you have to know what you will do in case the market goes against you. You have to know how you will handle yourselves throughout your trading day.

The goal when trading for a living is of course to have a reliable and consistent revenue stream, but that will take time to achieve, and having to bear the daily fluctuations of your income can be tough on the psyche, so be ready for it.

Many aspiring traders fail to become consistently profitable because they put too much time into trying to get rich from forex trading and not enough time into the actual process of trading. The paradox of this behavior lies in the fact that the more you concentrate on how much money you want to make in the forex market, the less money you are likely to make. Becoming a consistently profitable forex trader is the result of discipline, passion, and a willingness to recognize and conquer your own personal mental faults.

Trading is often viewed as a high barrier-to-entry field, but this is simply not the case in today's market. Now, anyone with ambition and patience can trade, and do it for a living, even with little to no money

The main thing that separates price action trading from all other trading strategies is that it uses “clean” or “naked” charts. There are no indicators or anything confusing on your chart, the only thing that is there is raw price displayed as candles. This makes trading simpler and easier to read.

Five Factors to Consider in Natural Gas Prices First, broad based industrial use has finally returned and exceeded pre-crisis levels. This is always the last of the main traditional demand areas to return after a recession (and the most recent was the worst in seventy years). Second, natural gas is replacing oil as a feeder stock for petrochemicals – everything from ingredients used in the production of plastics to fertilizers and widely used chemicals. This flow is actually increasing quicker than I had initially anticipated. Third, we continue to witness a move to liquefied natural gas (LNG) and compressed natural gas (CNG) as a vehicle fuel. The transition remains primarily noticeable in higher end trucks, with the emphasis on passenger vehicles still awaiting cost reductions. Nonetheless, heavy truck, bus and equipment fleets are moving to natural gas. However, it is the last two categories that are the main stimuli. Fourth is the move from coal to gas for the production of electricity, a development occurring more rapidly than even the rather optimistic predictions I made last year. The background is this. The U.S. will retire at least 90 GW of capacity by 2020, with an additional 20-30 GW likely from the imposition of EPA non carbon emission standards (mercury, sulfurous and nitrous oxides). Most of this capacity is currently fueled by coal. Last year, I estimated that for each 10 GW transferred, 1 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day would be required. Well, based on the initial figures, it's actually coming in at 1.2 billion. It sets up this startling conclusion. If half of the transition I expect from coal to gas actually takes place, it will eat up three times the current volume in storage. Certainly, some of that will be offset by increasing production. But the operators have learned that flooding the market does not help any of them. That is another lesson taught by the shale gas age. Finally, we have the advent of LNG exports from the U.S. and Canada. These are not likely to begin in earnest until late 2014, but will transform the sector. From providing none of the current global LNG trade, the U.S. will account for at least 9% within ten years.

Greed is my enemy for forex trader. Forex market is more volatile market.Everything's is possible within a hour.For that reason when we trade with forex must we need to maintain good money management system.Greedy trading without money management is harmful for any trader.

The Hindenburg omen uses the basic premises of market breadth by studying the number of advancing/declining issues, but gives the traditional interpretation a slight twist to suggest that the market is setting up for a large correction. This indicator gives a warning signal when more than 2.2% of traded issues are creating new highs while a separate 2.2%, or more, are creating new lows. The disparity between new highs and lows suggests that the conviction of market participants is weakening, and that they are unsure of a security's future direction.

The formula used for the Taylor rule looks like this: i= r* + pi + 0.5 (pi-pi*) + 0.5 ( y-y*). Where: i = nominal fed funds rate r* = real federal funds rate (usually 2%) pi = rate of inflation p* = target inflation rate Y = logarithm of real output y* = logarithm of potential output

Most traders are inclined to place a stop right at the bottom of a double bottom or top of the double top. The conventional wisdom says that once the pattern is broken, the trader should get out. But conventional wisdom is often wrong. Leaving the trade early may seem prudent and logical, but markets are rarely that straightforward. Many retail traders play double tops/bottoms, and, knowing this, dealers and institutional traders love to exploit the retail traders' behavior of exiting early, forcing the weak hands out of the trade before price changes direction. The net effect is a series of frustrating stops out of positions that often would have turned out to be successful trades.

Trading a small account has psychological issues that make it even harder to trade the account well. For example, when a trader knows that they can only afford a single losing trade before their accout becomes untradeable (because it will know longer cover its required margin), the pressure to make a profitable trade is enormous. If the trader handles ths pressure well, this might not be a problem. However, even the best traders have losing trades, and there is nothing that can be done to avoid losing trades, so this is not something that the trader has any control over, which adds to the psychological stress.

Whether a trader decides to use stand-alone options, stock futures, or a combination of the two requires an assessment of individual expectations and investment goals. One of the first questions an investor must ask is how much risk they are willing to take on in their investment strategies. Option trading provides less upfront risk for buyers given the lack of obligation to exercise the contract. This provides a more conservative approach, particularly if traders use a number of additional strategies like bull call and put spreads to improve the odds of trading success over the long term.

Leading Australian Forex broker Synergy FX (synergyfx.com.au) announced today that it is now accepting client applications for its new “SynergyHybrid ECN” account type, less than 2 weeks after the market-shaking events of “Black Thursday”. Swiss National Bank intervention that day caused independent currency traders from around the globe to begin demanding some sort of protection from the very real possibility that their account could be caught with a massive “Negative Balance” that they might be required legally to repay. For some traders, this “Black Swan” exposure has resulted in a disastrous outcome to their trading endeavors, and indeed their very financial lives in many cases. Entire institutions have been left vulnerable, and many traders are desperately hoping their broker not only survives but is kind enough to forgive negative balances. A broker product solution has rarely been more desperately sought. Only in the last week or so did a new buzzword begin to be seen across forex forums and discussion groups online. “Hybrid” became the term used to describe a trading account type that incorporates the most powerful elements of what is known as the “A-Book” and “B-Book” trading models, with the specific intent of protecting traders from any legal liability to “Negative Balances”. In response, Synergy FX proudly is now offering “Hybrid Execution” accounts. Synergy FX CEO Christian Dove had this to say: “As a result of public demand for Negative Balance Protection, we have created our ‘SynergyHybrid ECN’ account. Historically Synergy has run an agency model, as we have always believed in true, fair and transparent pricing for our clients. As we’ve seen however, this model has led to the potential of the clients going into negative equity, and this has caused disasters with some of the big boys. We at Synergy FX have the skill sets to manage the ‘edges’ of our clients exposures, which has enabled us to change the way we think about the service and the pricing we can offer you. We can now offer you the exact pricing that we receive from the market, and we simply charge you a small commission for each transaction made. So that’s spreads from 0 pips. Mr Dove continued, “For ‘SynergyHybrid ECN’ accounts any negative balance is automatically forgiven and we’ve made that GUARANTEED in our PDS and legal documentation. No other broker at the point of this writing has done this. I believe this is the future of our business and I’m proud that Synergy FX is a leader. The reason we can do it is that we have an experienced team behind us.” Mr Dove concluded: “So with the combination of raw bank spreads from zero pips and true “Negative Balance Protection” in writing, SynergyHybrid ECN is an account designed for real traders. Safety meets Performance, fully ASIC regulated. It’s all about providing you with the best possible product.” Synergy FX invites interested to parties to learn more at http://www.synergyfx.com.au

Market breadth indicators do not use information based on a single security, they use information based on every security - and all securities are treated equally. This is very different from calculating an indicator value on an index or exchange traded fund (ETF), most of which are capitalization weighted.

The PMI is released at 10 AM on the first business day of a month by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). This index indicates growth if the report is above 50 while it indicates contraction when the report is less than 50. Its components are: new orders, inventory levels, production levels, supplier deliveries, and the employment environment.

The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense. Every day I assume every position I have is wrong. I know where my stop risk points are going to be. I do that so I can define my maximum possible drawdown.“If you made a good trade, don’t think it is because you have some uncanny foresight. Always maintain your sense of confidence, but keep it in check.” Divorce your ego from your trading, or your money will divorce you.

Goals of Fairtrade are To improve the livelihoods and well being of producers by improving market access, strengthening producer organisations, paying a better price and providing continuity in the trading relationship To promote development opportunities for disadvantaged producers, especially women and indigenous people and to protect children from exploitation in the production process To raise awareness among consumers of the negative effects on producers of international trade so that they exercise their purchasing power positively To set an example of partnership in trade through dialogue, transparency and respect To campaign for changes in the rules and practice of conventional international trade To protect human rights by promoting social justice, sound environmental practices and economic security

How to Calculate Pivot Points There are several different methods for calculating pivot points, the most common of which is the five-point system. This system uses the previous day's high, low and close, along with two support levels and two resistance levels (totaling five price points) to derive a pivot point. The equations are as follows: R2 = P + (H - L) = P + (R1 - S1) R1 = (P x 2) - L P = (H + L + C) / 3 S1 = (P x 2) - H S2 = P - (H - L) = P - (R1 - S1) Here, "S" represents the support levels, "R" the resistance levels and "P" the pivot point. High, low and close are represented by the "H," "L" and "C," respectively. Note that the high, low and close in 24-hour markets (such as forex) are often calculated using New York closing time (4 p.m. EST) on a 24-hour cycle. Limited markets (such as the NYSE) simply use the high, low and close from the day's standard trading hours.

Support and Resistance MetaTrader indicator — as the name of this indicator suggests, it displays the support and resistance levels. It shows them directly on the chart, providing an easy help when you want to set stop-loss or take-profit level, or when you want to see the next market target. This indicator uses the standard MetaTrader Fractals indicator (by Bill Williams' method) and has no changeable input parameters. This indicator is available for MetaTrader version 4 and 5.

Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on a trading instrument's past and current price and/or volume activity. Technical analysts use this information to evaluate historical performance and to predict future prices. Indicators do not specifically provide any buy and sell signals; a trader must interpret the signals to determine trade entry and exit points that conform to his or her own unique trading style. Several different types of indicators exist, including those that interpret trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

The worldwide forex market is attractive to many traders because of its low account requirements, round-the-clock trading and access to high amounts of leverage. When approached as a business, forex trading can be profitable and rewarding. traders can avoid losing money in forex by: Being well-prepared Having the patience and discipline to study and research Applying sound money management techniques Approaching trading activity as a business

Measures of Spread A measure of spread tells us how much a data sample is spread out or scattered. We can use the range and the interquartile range (IQR) to measure the spread of a sample. Measures of spread together with measures of location (or central tendency) are important for identifying key features of a sample to better understand the population from which the sample comes from. Range The range is a measure of spread and it tells us how much a data set is spread out or scattered. Range is defined as the difference between the highest and lowest values.

JMA (Jurik Moving Average, Jurik Research) is an advanced noise elimination filter. The feature allows seeing the "true" underlying activity. Being incredibly smooth and extremely responsive to market gaps, it has very low lag .The smooth argument is a number that controls the smoothness of JMA's curve. The phase argument controls lag/overshoot aspect of JMA's curve. Jurik Moving Average is designed to be applied in trading systems of your own design.

In stock investing there are a few universal truths. One of them is that at some point, a stock's price will fall. There are myriad reasons why a stock's price falls and it is up to you as a stock investor to determine the cause. By identifying why the price is falling, you are far better equipped to decide if it is time to sell your stock position or if the fall in value presents an opportunity to purchase additional shares of a stock. The key is neither to react every time a stock you own dips, nor to become so emotionally attached to an investment that you stay with it no matter what the news.