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ntrader
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Everything posted by ntrader
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S&P 500 and Dow Jones - Mar Expectation
ntrader replied to Larry1234's topic in Market News & Analysis
Despite some not-so-hot economic news, we got a new all-time high in the S&P 500. The S&P 500 is now up 10.03% for 2013. The 200dma is 1436, which means that the current price is 9% above where it has traded on average over the past 200 days. -
This was gold's second-straight quarterly decline, the first time that has happened since 2001. Investors speculate that it is only a matter of time that the FED will end QE and begin to raise interest rates given the recent strength in the U.S. economy.
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Regarding euro, the banking crisis in Cyprus is just the latest indication that the eurozone is not out of the woods when it comes to its debt problems.
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Cyprus: External Debt = $106B. External Debt to GDP = 440%. Luxemburg: External Debt = $2.2T. External debt to GDP = 3,700% Now what???
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After EUR/USD hitted this week my target at 1.2775 i am expecting a rebound, i believe eur can climb to 1.2920 but at this moment I don't believe it can go higher, si i will sell euru above 1.2910.
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Understanding Greeks will let you maximize your potential gain, minimize your risk, or at least not allow you to aim for too great of a target.
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The Cyprus bailout euro rally is already over, eur/usd now down to 1.30 after hitting 1.3055 Cyprus remains at risk of default despite its EU bailout deal, which is credit negative for all eurozone countries, says Moody's.
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Cyprus bailout deal is long-term negative for the Euro
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Euro started the session very strong at 1.3036 now, after rumors about an agreement in Cyprus bailout, probably a levy of 40% on deposits above 100.000
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No forex trading untill the Eurogroup reach a decision tonight, then it will be great if somebody can jumb in the train because eur/usd will make a huge move with a lot of pips
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I am still bearish on euro, my target price 1.2775, i am waiting for high volatility this week too
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S&P 500 and Dow Jones - Mar Expectation
ntrader replied to Larry1234's topic in Market News & Analysis
I will just follow the trend... -
Eurozone governments are "essentially blackmailing" Cyprus, said Anthanasios Orphanides, former governor of the Cypriot central bank, as he warned against the "slow death of the European project".
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Unfortunately for me gold doesn't look as strong as i was expecting, maybe the markets know something that i can not see.
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Volatility wiil be very high for the euro the next days. Selling euro above 1.29 as long as there is no solution to Cyprus crisis.
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It looks like the way is clear for eur/usd to 1.2775 as i mention in a previous post and as there is no clear solution to Cyprus crisis.
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The Cyprus bailout creates risk of money being moved out of other weak eurozone banks, such as Greece, Spain, Portugal, Italy
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S&P 500 and Dow Jones - Mar Expectation
ntrader replied to Larry1234's topic in Market News & Analysis
After hitting new highs DOW and S&P i believe there is about time for correction and profit taking, and the situation in Europe is a good reason for that after the Cyoprus bailout. I have a price target for S&P at 1505 for the expected March corection. -
Euro is getting destroyed at 1.2910 at the open, down from 1.3075 Friday closing price
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I am not sure that euro will test the low of 1.19 any time soon but i believe in the short term weakness of the euro against usd and chf
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We must expect other banking systems in peripheral European countries to experience a market imposed additional risk premium after Cyprusdeposit tax.
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It is very dangerous what they have decided about Cyprus. Taking money from savers will crush the banking industry throughout the EU, first Cyprus, then Greece, Portugal, Spain, Italy etc..
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We have to watch 1.2875 on eur/usd but i believe it will not be strong support, i believe 1.27 is the next target
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Forget the technicals for Monday as fundamentals will be the main drivers of the prices at Euro, as debt crisis escalates hittting Cyprus deposits.
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Euro looks very bearish against all majors after the developments in Cyprus, as euro debt crisis starting a new more "violent" phase