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Vinayak
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Everything posted by Vinayak
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Sounds like I will have to eat my words. Never expected this, but I am no sore loser. Here is my latest take: http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/stock-trading-laboratory/15256-tech-picks-valley-trader-4.html#post178540
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Short idea: APPL has been tumbling since the iPhone 5 launch Apple Drops Below $400 for First Time Since Dec. 2011 Source: Investoraide The AAPL stock decline seemingly has been set off by a substandard sales forecast from one of the tech firm's foremost suppliers. Investors have started to fear that the demand for Apple’s signature iPhone and iPad products going down considerably. This actually is reflective of the underperforming global electronics market. Apple will have to innovate and do something great because there is now a lot of negative sentiment on Wall Street for the large cap tech stock.
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Citigroup Earns Adj. $1.29 a Share in Q1, Beating Estimate of $1.17 Thermo Said to Agree to Buy Life With Cash Bid of $76 per Share Kuroda Says BOJ Has Made All Possible Monetary Moves For Now Stocks Climb With S&P 500 Futures as Yen Pares Drop Obama Proposes $3.77 Trillion Budget to Revive Debt Talks Dish Offers to Buy Sprint Nextel for $25.5 Billion in Cash, Stock
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Gold Futures Fall $100 an Ounce to $1,401 in New York Trading
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Gold Futures Fall $100 an Ounce to $1,401 in New York Trading Thermo Fisher Said to Be in Talks to Buy Life Technologies for more than $70 a share. China's economy grew less-than-estimated 7.7% in Q1
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Gold Nosedives Below $1,500 As ETF Holdings Free Fall, Fueling Panic Selling There is no end in sight to the gold ETF liquidation. Gold prices crumbled today falling $60, or 4%, to stand near $1,500 after briefly touching $1,492 -- the lowest level since July 2011. Since peaking in September 2011 above $1,921, gold prices have essentially been range-bound between $1,525 and $1,800. Today's move pushes gold out of that range. Thus, from a technical perspective, the yellow metal is considered to have "broken down."
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Gold Nosedives Below $1,500 As ETF Holdings Free Fall, Fueling Panic Selling There is no end in sight to the gold ETF liquidation. Gold prices crumbled today falling $60, or 4%, to stand near $1,500 after briefly touching $1,492 -- the lowest level since July 2011. Since peaking in September 2011 above $1,921, gold prices have essentially been range-bound between $1,525 and $1,800. Today's move pushes gold out of that range. Thus, from a technical perspective, the yellow metal is considered to have "broken down."
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SAP AG: Smart Money Loves It SAP AG (SAP) has many hedge funds enthusiastic about its stock and I want to see why. My analysis here is based on the common stock valuation ratios in the financial statements of SAP AG over the last five years. An investor looks at valuation ratios to gain an estimate of valuation to ascertain the attractiveness of a potential or existing investment. The valuation numbers that I came across for SAP were very encouraging. The German technology firm recently announced that it would increase its annual shareholder distributions for the upcoming quarter. SAP AG will raise its dividend 85 euro cents (U.S.$1.11) per share. The P/E and P/OP ratios numbers are higher than its closest competitors over the last five years. SAP had gross revenues of about $21B and its revenue projections are also very good. SAP AG has a high P/S ratio compared to other firms in the industry and this actually makes it a less attractive investment. However, it must be remembered that the P/S ratio only offers another perspective that complements the other valuation indicators. SAP has become the most precious German firm despite revenue that's 20% of Siemens AG (SI) and one-tenth that of Volkswagen AG (VLKAY.PK). It must be stated here that SAP is the world's ninth most valuable technology firm and the only European one in the top 10. Large-cap tech companies are always a great investment idea. After all, innovation drives the global economy. Read more here: SAP AG: Smart Money Loves It - Seeking Alpha
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Troika concludes Greek bailout review, next aid tranche soon An inspection team of international lenders has finished its review of Greece's reform progress, paving the way for another 10 billion euros aid payment, a source with knowledge of the talks said on Saturday. Analysis: JPMorgan's lukewarm results put Dimon under more pressure JPMorgan Chase & Co Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon, who came through the financial crisis relatively unscathed, is suddenly looking a little less secure. The top U.S. bank by assets reported tepid first-quarter results on Friday. Income in its biggest businesses - investment banking and consumer lending - fell, excluding accounting adjustments. Outstanding loans grew by just 1 percent, and profit margins on lending narrowed. Stock and bond trading revenue fell. United States puts Japan on notice in currency report The Obama administration on Friday put Japan on notice that it was watching its economic policies to ensure they were not aimed at devaluing the yen to gain a competitive advantage.
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Wholesale Prices in US Drop 0.6% in March, Estimate was for a Drop of 0.2% Retail Sales in US Dropped in March by 0.4%, the Most in Nine Months Wells Fargo Earns $0.92 a Share in Q1 Beating Estimates of $0.89 a Share JP Morgan Earns $1.59 per share for Q1, Beating Estimates of $1.39; Intends to Raise Q2 Dividend to $0.38 Per Share.
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Futures signal lower Wall St open Stock futures pointed to a weaker open on Wall Street on Friday after four straight days of gains, with futures for the S&P 500, the Dow Jones and the Nasdaq 100 falling 0.1 to 0.2 percent. BOJ's Kuroda: have taken all steps needed for inflation goal The Bank of Japan has taken all necessary steps to meet its 2 percent inflation target in two years and will try to minimize the market disruption from its massive bond buying, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Friday. Analysis: Yuan speculators muddle China's exports, complicating reform Companies gambling on yuan appreciation are distorting Chinese trade statistics, creating a monetary policy headache for Beijing officials and complicating government plans to liberalize the capital account.
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IMF Draft Report Cuts U.S. 2013 Growth Outlook to 1.7% From 2% BOJ Said to Mull Raising Inflation Forecast Showing Confidence in 2% Goal Infosys Shares Plunge After Fourth-Quarter Sales Miss Estimates Singapore First-Quarter GDP Shrinks 1.4%; Economists Estimated 1.7% Gain
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Great stuff Larry! Thanks for your input on this thread.
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Toyota to recall 1.73M cars worldwide due to fears airbag inflator could malfunction and catch fire, company says. Honda Recalls About 1.14M Vehicles Globally to Fix Airbags U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fell 42,000 Last Week to 346,000. Estimates Called for a Drop to 360,000.
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Barclays, Goldman Sachs Among Recipients of Early Fed Release Deutsche Telekom Said To Ready Sweetened Bid for MetroPCS Today
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Warsaw Exchange Said to Hold Merger Talks With Vienna Bourse China Exports Rise Less Than Forecast 10% as Imports Jump 14.1% President Obama to Propose $3.77 Trillion Fiscal 2014 Budget FOMC Minutes Show Several Members Saw QE Ending by Year-End S&P 500 at Record Intraday, Tops 1576.09 Set Oct. 11, 2007
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J.C. Penney Names Mike Ullman III CEO, Succeeding Ron Johnson Alcoa Kicks Off Earnings Season by Reporting Better Than Expected Earnings of $0.11 a Share Asian Stocks Rise as Commodity Firms Gain Asian stocks rose, led by commodity producers, as Chinese inflation rose less than economists forecast, damping concern that the nation’s central bank will need to tighten monetary policy. China Export-Data Skepticism Deepens From Goldman to Nomura China’s unprecedented run of better- than-forecast export growth has spurred deeper skepticism of the data at banks including Goldman Sachs, casting doubt on the strength of the recovery.
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Oil prices have reduced considerably in international markets over the past week. In London, Brent Crude was selling at US$ 104.12 at the close of trading yesterday. Meanwhile, in the US, a barrel of WTI crude oil, which commenced the week priced at US$ 97 saw the price decline to US$ 93 by the end of the week.
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Yen weakens to 99 Per Dollar for First Time Since May 2009
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U.S. Stocks Fall as Payrolls Rise Less Than Estimated U.S. stocks fell, capping the biggest weekly decline of the year for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, after data showed the nation added less than half the number of jobs economists forecast in March. Hiring Cools Even as U.S. Jobless Rate Falls to Four-Year Low Payrolls grew by 88,000, less than the most-pessimistic forecast in a Bloomberg survey, after a revised 268,000 gain in February, Labor Department data showed yesterday in Washington. Unemployment dropped to 7.6 percent, the lowest since December 2008, from 7.7 percent. Employers in March added the fewest workers in nine months and the jobless rate fell to a four-year low as the share of Americans in the labor force slumped, marking a pause in the job-market recovery.
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BP's Rise To Profitability And Beyond I have been analyzing big oil stocks that offer a good return on investment for a value investor. My analysis here is based on the profitability ratios in the financial statements of BP PLC (BP) over the last 5 years. When a firm has strong profitability ratios, it portrays to an investor that it provides a good return. The profitability numbers that I came across for BP were very encouraging. Keep in mind, however, that this is just one of the many ways to analyze a stock. Individual project risk is something that can do severe damage to an energy company. BP and its Gulf of Mexico oil spill is a prime example of just how bad it can get. As a result of the disastrous oil spill, BP had to fight just to stay in business by shedding assets and changing its structure and outlook materially. The Return on Investment ratios also aren't as impressive when compared to the industry as a whole. BP is now completely exiting the renewable energy sector and this could help boost profit margins and return on investment ratios. It is the high-margin oil and gas projects that BP is hoping will generate higher returns. BP shares are trading at 5 times 2013 EV/EBITDA and 8.5 times 2013 P/E. Equity analysts agree that BP is undervalued. I am going to have to agree with this sentiment even though the profitability ratios aren't particularly impressive and the price action is bearish. Read more here: BP's Rise To Profitability And Beyond - Seeking Alpha
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The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) came out with a report that outlined how India and China will emerge to eventually become larger economies than the United States. In China's case, it will happen in the next 5 years, and for India, it will take another 40 years. The United States will also continue to grow with the GDP per capita expected to double over the next 50 years from about $43,000 right now to $92,000 in 2060, according to the same OECD report. These higher incomes and living standards will increase the demand for energy. That is why I am loading up on oil stocks and you should too. This thread will give you all the information on oil stock investing.
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Great point, Bob! I will try to incorporate some of that as well in my daily Bloomberg updates. The reason why I wasn't already doing so was that I wanted to deliver "instantaneous" news and when trying to explaining why traders should care it could make it a late update. But I will definitely try doing so now that you've mentioned it.
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04/01/2013 President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Dennis Lockhart Says Fed Needs to Prepare Markets for Policy Changes
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Royal Dutch Shell: A Look At Profitability When a firm has strong profitability ratios, it portrays to an investor that it provides a good return on his or her investment. The profitability numbers that I came across for Royal Dutch Shell weren't the best. Keep in mind, however, that this is just one of the many ways to analyze a stock. Royal Dutch Shell's dividend yield is roughly double that of industry giants Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) and Chevron Corporation (CVX). But the trouble that Shell is having is finding new reserves. Shell's proved reserves were 13.6B barrels of oil equivalent in 2012, down from 14.25B in 2011. The declining operating profit margin is rather concerning and energy investors will most likely prefer Chevron or Exxon as they have stronger numbers in this regard. The net profit margin has also stayed below the industry average in the last five years. The Return on Investment ratios are also not as impressive as the rest of the industry, but Shell's closest rivals like BP Plc (BP) and TOTAL S.A. (TOT) have similar values. I must mention here that Chevron and Exxon are far ahead in this avenue too. The Return on Equity [ROE] ratio is arrived at by dividing the net income by the shareholders' equity. The ROE has gone up from 2010 to 2011, but then declined from 2011 to 2012. All the major integrated oil companies have not been able to replicate the impressive 2008 levels. In the short to mid-term horizon, Shell is a short idea. Read more here: Royal Dutch Shell: A Look At Profitability - Seeking Alpha