addchild

I have heard of jaffray woodriff, but only to the extent which he was covered in Hedge fund market wizards.

Well, its not so much the "analysis" that I feel is archaic, it's the raw data being analyzed, specifically tick data aggregated by time. Econometric tools can be very useful, but in the same light, there are quite a few technical indicators that are actually very useful when you use them in a more realistic, and controlled manner. Data snooping is something I know very little about. It's not an avenue I choose to explore, mainly because for me, I like to build the trading process up from the concept, while data snooping is more like building the process and trying to work backwards to determine a concept.

Suby, Sorry to see your having trouble carving out your niche. So I'll offer up some of my thoughts on your statements above,

My thoughts on your thoughts.

From my (limited) experience, random data is largely used to gauge the statistical significance of results. It might also be used for theoretical market participants in building limit order book models. Also, testing an idea against random data to verify results would imply the tester believes markets are not random.

( I have a feeling this is a factorial question but I'm feeling lazy) if they are all rational in the economic sense, then they are self serving. Everyone would vote to kill the oldest for a larger share, until only the two youngest brothers are left and they split it 50m/50m but if they were smart the three eldest brothers would realize this, and sacrifice some of their gains to keep their lives. these arnt exact because im too lazy to do the math during the trading day but 1. the oldest would take around 7.5m and divide the rest up roughly 2 would receive around 12.5m 3 would receive around 20m 4 would receive around 30m 5 would receive around 30m (also 5 would receive the same amount as 4, because in the greedy situation where the 3 eldest are killed, the youngest doesn't have greater than 50% of the vote, 4 would except no less than 5).

Choose anyone that is better than you, and willing to teach/ help/ guide you for free. Even if they are not profitable, hopefully they can serve as a rung on your ladder.

You have your concepts a little backwards, First, $100 binary trade doesn't exist, that would be a trade with 0 probability of closing out of the money. The neat thing about the fixed scale of 0-100 is that: Probability ITM= total cost - fees This means as long as your buying OTM (out of money) your risk reward is always in your favor. So if you add any sort of reasonable unfair coin of an edge, you can make money fairly easily.

Agreed, so here is a quick one to get us back on track. A mother is twenty one years older than her son. In exactly six years, the mother will be exactly five times older than the son. Where is the father?

Bowl 1: 50 black marbles and 40 white marbles Bowl 2: 10 white marbles Choose the bowl that contains the least amount of marbles, (weighs the least), as that bowl has only white marbles.

He rode the train, which goes around by crossing under.

Is the game always played the same? meaning will the host always open a second door? Assuming the game is played the same every time, it would be neither to your advantage or disadvantage to switch your choice. But your odds of winning are greater.

Only open the doors with the lily and the fox. You need to prove that a bird IS on the other side of the lily, and that a flower ISN'T on the other side of the fox.

There isn't much that is concrete in trading. But if you are just trading intraday, a decent strategy would be entry on a "stop run" But you still need to be cognizant of trend days, because lots of trends are just fueled by people calling tops and bottoms. My advice would be to catch in on the way back up, not the way down.