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BlowFish

Market Wizard
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Everything posted by BlowFish

  1. Optimisation can be a pretty bad thing. Look up 'curve fitting'. If One system produced particularly striking results it was likely that it was curve fitted. There is a fine art to designing winning systems, there edges tend to come and go or they only work in certain market conditions, there's a whole plethora of issues to be faced.
  2. It may be academic. When I went to their site to check out what Walt was talking about it appears they are not taking subscriptions right now.
  3. This has obviously been around for a while but new to me - some good stuff, remarkable from someone who does not have a formal psychology background. http://www.woodiescciclub.com/Lectures/mark-douglas/august-2005.htm'>http://www.woodiescciclub.com/Lectures/mark-douglas/august-2005.htm http://www.woodiescciclub.com/Lectures/mark-douglas/ I list the second first as I found it more interesting
  4. Thanks for the replies. I really like Parsons work, channel surfing in particular. Guess I should add Stevenson's book at some stage. Cheers.
  5. Im surprised no one has directly mentioned position size. If you enter at X and determine Y is a good place for your 'technical' stop based on market structure (for example above the last swing high) you are now in good shape to determine your position size based on how much you want to put at risk. The key metric (imho) is risk of ruin. My favourite site that talks about that is http://www.traderscalm.com/ Im not affiliated just thingk its a great little site and free to boot.
  6. Socrates? Did a bit of lurking in my day.
  7. I did notice a public domain 'heat map' for MT4 when searching for something else. Chances are it is a different tool but it does compare relative strength of various pairings.
  8. Hi Paul, To be honest I have not looked at stocks but I can say that things like index futures appear to be good and have been for some while.
  9. OK Im being dense looks like those features are there already!! When did that happen I wonder
  10. OAC (or anyone else) would you recommend Stephensons book. I was always of the opinion that this measured move stuff is kind of 'trivial' and fairly obvious. Thats not to say that it is not of merit of course. Thanks,
  11. Hi 333, I think you might be mistaken. IB aggregate ticks soyou might get substancially fewer however they add all the volume into those fewer ticks (if you see what I mean). Long story short fewer ticks, equal volume.
  12. First interesting thread Walt, you have obviously been busy and not just lying on a beach . I'll be interested to see where you go. There are a couple of fundamental explanations why this might 'work' despite not being able to get accurate volume data. I'll leave that up to the philosophers and mathematicians. As an example the way the tool works inaccuracies may tend to cancel each other out being applied on both sides of the equation. Noise and filters and all that sort of stuff.
  13. On the subject of marking threads I guess what is wanted is to mark threads that are of particular interest and then be able to 'filter' to show just those threads. It would probably be good to be able to mark threads that are not of interest and be able to filter those out too. It would be good to still be able to quickly get to the first new post in the threads that are showing. A mark all threads read button would be cool too. Basically that just says treat everything up until this point in time as read. Incidentally I don't know if anyone has noticed but still the forum will sometimes loses track of where the first unread post in a thread is. This seems to happen more when an old thread gets a new post. I will be taken to the first thread in the post rather than the first unread post.
  14. If it where me I would look at brokerages that can run your strategy on there servers. Strategy runner is good for this I hear.
  15. The only thing with Blogs is they tend not to get visited as much (imvho). Personally I tend to click on unread posts then go. every now and then I remember what a full featured site this is.....maybe advertise your blog with a link in your signature too?
  16. I need to sit with an English <-> Currency Trader dictionary for some threads. I guess that's not what you meant hehe. Friday afternoons are particularly challenging it seems :beer:
  17. I quite like Dennise Shull's stuff http://www.traderpsyches.com/index.htm she is a a Freudian at heart (not very fashionable) and deals with how to live in harmony with your emotions rather than to suppress them or eliminate them (not a popular notion). She has done several free presentations and papers, enough to see if her work 'jives' for you.
  18. Good post Gary - it seems clear (to me at least) that people that lean heavily on VSA (or completely for that matter, I know a couple of 'purists') don't really look at individual bars. Well they do, but build a kind of composite picture from them of who is currently in control. Sebastians videos illustrate this quite well. This is probably why some people find it 'difficult'.
  19. Mr Ed, its the magnitude of the buying/selling climax and the characteristic of the accumulation base that might indicate the magnitude of the move. (Mainly length, Whycoff used P&F to measure the base if memory serves me right). You might also add the 'importance' of the S/R - a yearly low is likely to see a good size reaction. A no demand bar, or test for that matter, is more of a 'trigger' and so is far less important than what occurred in the 'background'. Thats all imho of course and with the caveat that I am not really a 'pure' VSAer, if one at all.
  20. Yes indeed, never looked at the 250. Been wanting to go short all morning despite the direction being clearly up. <slapshead> Looks like we have finally switched from ^ to >.
  21. With just a couple of days its pretty hard especially if you have to fit business in too! I am in the country at the moment enjoying fresh air and sunshine (well until it all went to sh*t today). A shame you are only there for another couple of days, otherwise I would have happily taken you to some den of iniquity Gilligullu's suggestions are good (as are Mr Ed's). London really does have a lot going for it.
  22. Bearbull lovely chart. Hope you where all over that pull back on diminishing volume it screamed small correction. I am hearing good things about the NAS from a couple of trading buddies. Time for a change maybe, haven't traded it for donkeys years.
  23. Thanks for the table Forex. Technical analysis of stocks and commodities has a useful table of futures contracts (I don't subscribe any more) that provides this sort info along with margin and average daily movement. The market (FTSE) has been open 45 minutes and is now 2 bid 2 asked with a 3 tick spread. Just tightened up to 1 tick 6 v 1. I From the original post if you want to trade based on UK fundamentals I guess second to second gyrations will not be of much concern .
  24. I have been trading the FTSE recently - its pretty thin at times guess it depends what you are used too. Trades like other thin(ish) index futures. I noticed some sort of property based index here (UK) I meant to check it out anyone know anything about that? Maybe I dreamt it.
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