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Everything posted by Marko23
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ACD-method test on 5m chart. Yesterday I oberved that my test of mildness may be too coarse on a 15m chart. A 5m chart gave no up signal yesterday. Setup for today
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EUR/USD down into May 2009
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EUR/USD is came back to the open interval. If this is not a pullback, today will become a -2R day. There it is, stopped twice today. I'll switch off.
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EUR/USD consolidates above the Long level. After that a higher high will get me long. Waiting for hh
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New setup for long When the Long level is crossed mildly, I'll buy with a stop of 1 tick below the low of the opening interval This chart drastically shows, why there is a stop in the ACD-method, which must be followed. The Thales method was much more profitable today than the ACD-method.
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Short stopped, could be anticipated from the measured move down
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A (rather complicated) statistical model generates the numbers, they are not from thin air. If all goes well, it may be reduced to something similar to your suggestion. That takes time. It needs a minimum of a month to get some idea of expectancy. ------------------------------------ EUR/USD came back to start of Short.
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EUR/USD is back at Short level
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123 signal wins, but I never mix systems
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Nearly, this to correct version: To the high of the interval I add 16 tick, from the low I subtract 16 tick.
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Interesting situation: 123 up signal below ACD short level: Wait and Watch Short with lower low, will update the chart soon Short at 1.3550 at lower low, 5m chart had a better entry at 1.3557. Stop 1 tick above the high of the 15m open interval, yes that's huge. Target 2R or price at 17:15 German time when I normally switch off. Just wait!
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Yesterday's good start for an ACD-like trade was pure luck in my opinion. But I'll give it a try for the next days This is my setup for today Open intervall 08:00 ... 08:15 German time, EUREX Open To the high of the interval I add 14 tick, from the low I subtract 14 tick. These are magic numbers, which will be adjusted during the test. A short or long is taken, when the levels are crossed mildly. What that means, will become clearer soon. Currently no Short, level crossed too fast Price consolidates as expected, a lower low below the short will be sold. Normally I use a 5m chart for the entry, let's see what can be done with a 15m chart.
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Sure, I'll explain the details during the coming days. From your questions I can look forward to interesting discussions.
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Would be out now at 2R First test with much luck
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This is my first shot for an ACD system for EUR/USD, based on an opening interval 02:00 to 02:15 EST Just to have a look at it.
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Selling? How come? Fisher published ACD several years ago. There is nothing to sell at all.
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Still long with FDAX For this system one has to be as stubborn as a mule.
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EUR/USD Stop at break even Stopped at break even.
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LSE opens at 09:00, XETRA at 09:00 German time; LIFFE opens at 08:00, EUREX at 08:00 German time. What would you suggest as an "open" time for EUR/USD ?
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With an up bias today, I missed that opportunity 2nd chance for Short Tight stop after pullback
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Here it is with Thales standard colors and floor pivots; system is long.
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EUR/USD Took the other route!
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Most people trade currencies here, so it would be off topic when I give FDAX examples.
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Double yes! That's the essence of Fisher's ACD methode, which I often use with FDAX. Currencies trade around the clock, so the method cannot be applied to them.
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EUR/USD may do an in-time upmove 4h, 60m, 12m charts attached.