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rigel

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  1. Have a look at the link: Brooks Price Action - The Mathematics of Trading
  2. Since every market is manipulated to some extent, how does Taylor's methodology perform on CL as per your limited experience. . I want to start tracking the market and observe for myself whether or not Taylors rules apply here. Presume it is SS day as per the count here. Notice you trade from daily charts, wonder why not from 15min or less.
  3. Since every market is manipulated to some extent, how does Taylor's methodology perform on CL as per your limited experience. What was the day assigned for Friday, ie. B, S or SS. I want to start tracking the market and observe for myself whether or not Taylors rules apply here. Notice you trade from daily charts, wonder why not from 15min or less. BTW in Index futures if you find ES sluggish, TF and NQ can be alternative Dax can be positively explosive. You would ofcourse have to get up very early to take advantage of first couple of hours action:), however once the US opens, there is enough movement to exceed that in ES. Even FTSE is behaving that way recently as well.
  4. You will certainly find value in Taylor, his work is genius, he understood market manipulation like no other, was obviously a trader first and a writer last, don't think he scored much at writing essays in school:) Where most people goof up is due to designation of days as BUY,SELL, SELL SHORT days, he could have just called them Day1, Day2, Day3, it is the cycle that is of paramount importance, do not make the crucial mistake of fitting the days action into the cycle. If once you get the hang of the rules that govern each day, then the focus is on the primary play for the day, this is what the big boys do. The exact calculations of the projected levels etc are important but you don't have to get into that if you don't want to, for a very small subcription you can obtain all that plus much more from Richbois. I am in no way promoting his service for I have learnt to keep the book, albeit not to the same standard and sophistication as Richbois who obviously is adept at programming in Excel:)
  5. Yes Taylors book is certainly a very hard slog and totally worth it, have to go over each para time and again making notes drawing patterns etc but each chapter is a gem. As I said before both WHY? and Richbois have done a great job at clarifying lots of concepts on the Taylor thread, it was a shame it was hijacked by a very bellicose participant.
  6. SOME QUOTES BY WHY? "Post 101 “Keep it simple guys Taylor didn't need all that nor did he have the computer. He just sought to capture the main trend each day. He woudn't have known what you guys talking about.” Post 306 “Of course, the key in Taylor is how do you start the count and do you allow re-cycling and if so, how do you determine when to re-cycle and how long does the re-cycling last. Of course, these are keys that I won't be revealing. However, I might say this; if my explanation confuses you then simply learn Taylor well...follow his rules...keep his sequence...and I think you will be pleased with the results providing you are disciplined and can trade on facts and on what the market is doing and not on emotions. Taylor, I like to say, devised a system to "clock" price movement in the markets and it is a pretty good system in my books with a high win rate (at least for me) if one can understand it and follow it...especially the rules. Read the book and study it 50 or more times over the course of a couple of years. I have many trading books. If I were forced to keep one it would be Taylor, no if, ands, or buts about it!!” Here is one by Richbois: I had to re read the 1st 4 chapters more than 100 times just to start my trading book. Than read the rest of the book many times just to understand the stuff that is written between the lines There is lots of good stuff on that thread and as a matter of fact I copied lots of Frank's quotes in my book (with his permission of course) and he was using market profile to mix with Taylor which i had to take out as I was trying to explain Taylor not MP We all have a different tool box and what I can see is that TTT must be part of it
  7. Some of the Posts by WHY? "Post 101 “Keep it simple guys Taylor didn't need all that nor did he have the computer. He just sought to capture the main trend each day. He woudn't have known what you guys talking about.” Post 306 “Of course, the key in Taylor is how do you start the count and do you allow re-cycling and if so, how do you determine when to re-cycle and how long does the re-cycling last. Of course, these are keys that I won't be revealing. However, I might say this; if my explanation confuses you then simply learn Taylor well...follow his rules...keep his sequence...and I think you will be pleased with the results providing you are disciplined and can trade on facts and on what the market is doing and not on emotions. Taylor, I like to say, devised a system to "clock" price movement in the markets and it is a pretty good system in my books with a high win rate (at least for me) if one can understand it and follow it...especially the rules. Read the book and study it 50 or more times over the course of a couple of years. I have many trading books. If I were forced to keep one it would be Taylor, no if, ands, or buts about it!!” Here is a post by Richbois: I had to re read the 1st 4 chapters more than 100 times just to start my trading book. Than read the rest of the book many times just to understand the stuff that is written between the lines There is lots of good stuff on that thread and as a matter of fact I copied lots of Frank's quotes in my book (with his permission of course) and he was using market profile to mix with Taylor which i had to take out as I was trying to explain Taylor not MP We all have a different tool box and what I can see is that TTT must be part of it
  8. Great Post on Taylor Thales, The subject has been discussed in greater detail on this link: http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f110/taylor-trading-technique-2623.html'>http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f110/taylor-trading-technique-2623.html As you mentioned Taylor's book is not an easy read, even Angell and Linda Raschke failed to understand the core strategy:)) The heart of the problem is that vast majority make the biggest mistake to take price action of the day and then designate that as a Buy day (if prices rose on that day) and SELL or SS day(if prices dropped all day). Taylor's rules are quite clear and objective. It will take considerable effort to get your head around it at first:))) I am afraid there just are no short cuts: Study the thread on Taylor (80pages), http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f110/taylor-trading-technique-2623.html all the clarification one needs is there, focus on questions from Hakuna, Bearbull, Monad and responses from WHY?, Frank, Richbois, ignore all else especially posts by those who are trying to introduce any variations. However initial exchanges between dogpile and WHY? are worthwhile, unfortunately despite lengthy clarifications, you will observe that dogpile just did not get it:))) as he was constantly trying to fit the days action into the cycle.
  9. Folks come across Wyckoff via forums, from other traders, internet search , VSA etc, Here Dbphoenix has been largely responsible for establishing the Wyckoff forum and his contribution has been invaluable. VSA/Traderguider unfortunately start with Wyckoff talk and then steer you onto their own take and exorbitantly priced software/seminars/VSA club, DVDs etc, whereas you can pick up most of wyckoff principles/concepts freely on the forum her:))
  10. Interesting and accurate Thales Looks like lots of folks in these markets are employing fib numbers. BTW are the exit targets (green lines) fib values i.e 1.68, 2.68 of the range between the 2 blue lines? If you had traded this, where would be your entry and stop loss?
  11. You are right, there are many variations to 1-2-3 setup under different names depending on whether it is being employed to identify a trend reversal or trend continuation. e.g. Humphrey Lloyd (Traders Press- Trading S&P futures, 1997) used this pattern in conjunction with Bollinger Bands, Joe Ross has also done the same as well as introducing his version with Ross Hook , Trader's trick Entry etc. Then there is Vic Sperando ofcourse with his 1-2-3 and 2b or not 2b:) Others (see attached word document) have introduction terms such as SNAPBACK and other modifications with trendlines etc to gain better entry. Recently Al Brooks combined that pattern with Wedges, Trade Channel Breakout and reversal etc. Once again demonstrating, "There is more than one way to skin a cat;) A Pattern you can trade using nothing but a Price Chart.doc
  12. Thanks thalestrader for your response, yes there are as many trading styles as number of traders out there, your simple approach based solely on PA is pretty effective and very much consistent with TraderVic method, Al brook also mentions it as one of the most reliable in his book. However noticed that you defined 1, 2, 3 as per TraderVic ie. 1-Trendline Break, 2, Test of swing high, 3, Break of swing low and then when you marked those on your charts , the 2 appears to be on swing low and 3 as test of swing high. Any reason for that, or have I got it wrong:)))
  13. thalestrader, received this from a colleague, any views on this pair EUR/AUD "The EUR/AUD is an important forex cross in the realm of risk appetite/aversion. The Aussie's high yield and aggressively growing commodity-linked economy offers a nice play for emerging market risk chasers, while the Euro's liquidity make it a relative safe haven (though in the longer term, the irony is that global competitive debasement will lend commodity-linked currencies more bullish credence than the Euro's Eastern Europe-linked toilet paper). During the liquidity crunch of fall 2008, the EUR/AUD surged from the 1.6000s to the 2.1000s and during the QE liquidity-fueled risk asset rally from March 2009, the cross tanked back. It is now sitting at summer 2007 levels, at multi-year support around 1.55, well below pre-Lehman levels. Meanwhile, the descending channel that has defined its descent since spring of last year is growing tired, and a reversal centered around 1.55 support may be at hand. Some consolidation around this area with an eventual breakout through the descending channel trendline may confirm a reversal at hand. And such a reversal would indicate a return to a rush to liquidity, long overdue yet delayed by various black hole-engendering liquidity infusions from central banks. This is an important cross to watch, especially in the context of the carry trade-fueled risk asset bubble that exists today, and a reversal could indicate a sharp mean reversion back to reality. I personally was short the EUR/AUD from around 1.97 from the symmetrical triangle breakdown and had covered most of my position (admittedly prematurely) by around 1.87 when the cross hit its 200DMA. My entire position was fully covered at around 1.60 and I am looking to get long once the charts confirm a reversal at hand. This will also be an important indicator for my short triggers in other risk assets, including equities.
  14. Check out the following link: Amazon.com: Reading Price Charts Bar by Bar: The Technical Analysis of Price Action for the Serious Trader (Wiley Trading) (9780470443958): Al Brooks: Books There is also a thread on price action with Al Brooks here on Traders Lab, couple that with all the free info. on Wyckoff in the wyckoff forum here, ie. reading price along with volume
  15. Thanks to you and thalestrader, actually I should have clarified, I was thinking of Nasdaq futures as here you have the nickname EminiNQtrader. So 1pt =$20 was in reference to that instrument, If you trade that, do you find liquidity good enough and do you encounter much slippage???
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