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stillingame

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Everything posted by stillingame

  1. Hi,

     

    My name is Andre. I have been reading your posts, and would really like to know how you trade. You appear to be successful with your trades. What your setups are. You know the world is so full of people talking about things they don't know about and it is easy to get information overload. I think the only way to overcome this is to talk to learn from someone who isn't selling anything. If a trader is really successful trading, then he doesn't need to sell anything to other traders. However, I would pay you a lot if you would tell me what you do.

  2. I'm sorry but you both are incorrect. It is not a simple return calculation it is a compound return calculation that always measures its relation to the first 1% non-compounded gain. I agree that it is simple to understand and simple to calculate but the value of the ratio is that it keeps you aware of how your next trade gains compare to your original principal. The real reason you dismiss the scar ratio is because you are too "smart" to see the forest. According to your comments it has to be complex to have value. Tell me what does a 2.15 scar ratio tell you? It tells you that a 1% return gives you a 2.15% return in relation to your original principal. Are you telling me that knowledge isn't important in a trading methodology? Telling yourself you made 115% doesn't give you that information. You both have completely missed the point because of your (not invented here) superior intelligence. I've read the book (which is now free on the author’s web site) and this guy had made 82% in the last 12 months with a full 15% of that 82% because of the scar ratio concept. Have either of you made 82% in a 12 month window? I know I haven’t.
  3. hmmmm. Well you are right in that it's not fancy. In fact I think the author stated in his book that it was very basic and wasn't fancy. However if it was simply another way of calculating loss (or gain for that matter) then in my case my scar ratio would be 15. However my scar ratio was .85 so... clearly there is something more here. Hyder says it's always the "current value of a 1% trade gain in relation to my principal of one year ago." So I’m going to go ahead and disagree with you about what this is and agree with you that it's not complex. I'm not a rocket scientist (I’m sure some of you here actually are) lol. But I think we as investors have a "can't see the forest for the trees" situation about this. Which is why I thought the ratio was so interesting. Yes clearly it’s simple, even Hyder says it is, but I think the point is to look at your trade methodology in a new way as it relates to the acceleration of the compounding effect. For example, I've made several good trades this year and it changed my scar ratio because at the same time old losing trades are dropping off. This is what I think the author was attempting to make investors aware of... the style of trading as it relates to your daily advancing year old principal. For what it’s worth...
  4. Yes thanks. In my case I actually bought the book first then learned about the scar ratio. Yeah I think you are right about it being a simple measure, which is exactly what I thought until I started to think about what the measure told me about my trade losses. I actually lost 11% in 2008. So my scar ratio is .85 which I guess means that I’m still suffering the effects of my previous losses in my current trades, it being a measure of the previous 12 months. Oh yeah they did try to sell me a tee-shirt lol.
  5. Hi People, I just ran across the Scar Ratio in a book I just read. Scar stands for "Simple to Compounded Accelerated Returns" Ratio. Anyone have any experience with this? The book is entitled "Investment Catch-Phrase Fallacy: The New Risks of Traditional Investing". The author is apparently a top hedge fund manager. This is a quant guy whose fund uses the formula because of the frequency of the exits of their trades which invokes a substantial compounding effect. I just ran my SCAR ratio using their excel download http://www.scarratio.com and it was interesting because it does kind of make you keenly aware of the impact of the compounding effect in your trading methods. BTW my scar ratio wasn't very good :-( Anyone else using this? Todd
  6. The Author Andrew Dean Hyder runs a hedge fund (unnamed) that did an amazing 58% in 2008. It was a very insightful book that struck a chord with me because of my increasing aversion of traditional investment philosophy. This book beats down many of those investing ideas that we believe just because we hear them a lot. I found this book on lulu.com and although it is only 60 pages it was well worth the $14. Actually the download was only $6. While I lost probably as much as anybody in 2008 this guy uses a "cost-average hedge" combined with a "qubitrage" (forecasting) methodology that really seems to be working for the fund. Also the author introduces the "Scar Ratio" which is the Simple-to-Compound-Accelerated-Returns of a portfolio or investment style. Not a bad read in my opinion, especially for the money.
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