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zdo
Market Wizard-
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Everything posted by zdo
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tradingwolves, Capitalize and (or) De-leverage and (or) PositionSize to the point that your account can accommodate 100 losing trades in a row and it would still be only in a 40% drawdown and start trading LIVE!!!! In this LIVE, forward testing mode, explore methods, instruments, timeframes, platforms rapidly and playfully – like you’re a freakin’ Percival with ADHD (and ADD too). When you find sets of those that are true to your nature then, and only then, mature out of grail search mode and train intensively on sim in 2 to 4 per day 90 minute max length sessions for at least 3 weeks. In training, focus as much on training your mind and body as you do on ‘understanding’ and ‘mastering’ your methods, instruments, timeframes, platforms … in things like getting back in the correct ‘state’ as efficiently as possible – whether the last trades were winners or losers, etc. And when you go back live expect / be ready to be confronted by some unforeseen challenges. Summons the courage to “get up in your own face…”, to ask and answer questions that can’t be answered ‘analytically’, to carry the tension of the discrepancies btwn the trading you do and the trading you know you can do… and also learn how to really care for and take care of yourself... In performance work, we are always either in prehab or we are in rehab! ”The essence is the idea of learning to be comfortable being uncomfortable and having something to go to when the garbage hits the fan, because the garbage will hit the fan and let's be ready for it” ... the theories of Ken Ravizza, a professor of Kinesiology and author of several books on sports psychology.Mental Preparation in Baseball and Trading all the best, zdo
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In TL, be sure to skim through the thread and discussions at http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/candlestick-corner/4461-20-ema-patterns-18.html couple extra ideas on posts 140 and 141 … etc, etc. For using volume with pullbacks, check the contributions of dbPheonix herein. Note: For him they were not conceptualized as ‘pullbacks’, but his lessons of volume bhvrs. in these areas can be transferred to ‘reversions’ (…also a more ‘spacee’ discussion at http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/technical-analysis/10474-your-mean.html I can save you some reading that nonsense with these two ‘digests’ – >Find your own multiple ways of for “trading pullbacks intraday”. > In upswings, the angle of ascent is one of the best ways of typing / assigning probabilities to the nature of and extent of a 'pullback'. (v v descent for dnSwings) Also, fwiw, I trade ES instrument while using YM charts (with ES volume) a large percentage of the time. YM charts are more 'charty' to me - especially in the sub 30 minute time frames. Directional correlation is sufficiently 'perfect' for me... fwiw hth
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How Do You Know the Markets Aren't Random?
zdo replied to dangermouseb's topic in Technical Analysis
reread this thread?! by a small clustrfk of posters who are somehow not “fooled by randomness” ?! or by correlation :snicksnick: … just shoot me better to wait a while and open a totally absurd new thread… and hope… “…just breathe…life’s like an hourglass glued to the table…” [ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTb1jy-Vkmw&feature=related]Anna Nalick - Breathe - YouTube[/ame] -
In TL, be sure to skim through the thread and discussions at http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/candlestick-corner/4461-20-ema-patterns-18.html couple extra ideas on posts 140 and 141 … etc, etc. For using volume with pullbacks, check the contributions of dbPheonix herein. Note: For him they were not conceptualized as ‘pullbacks’, but his lessons of volume bhvrs. in these areas can be transferred to ‘reversions’ (…also a more ‘spacee’ discussion at http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/technical-analysis/10474-your-mean.html I can save you some reading that nonsense with these two ‘digests’ – >Find your own multiple ways of for “trading pullbacks intraday”. > In upswings, the angle of ascent is one of the best ways of typing / assigning probabilities to the nature of and extent of a 'pullback'. (v v descent for dnSwings) Also, fwiw, I trade ES instrument while using YM charts (with ES volume) a large percentage of the time. YM charts are more 'charty' to me - especially in the sub 30 minute time frames. Directional correlation is sufficiently 'perfect' for me... fwiw hth
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Progress Report: Implementing Session 2 – mindfulness work OMG! – “adapted voices” (did you originate that term Rande?). They chatter on even when neither ‘I’ or nobody else either is listening! … and watching a chorus of polarities running on unconsciousness (too bad they ain’t runnin’ on fumes… ). Without intention, the players that show up is like selecting by cutting the deck. Sometimes voiceless, they show up unannounced to mess with what are more than adequate, time tested, objective measures… among them…wizard may show up, gambler may show up. And btw, as long as one is at choice even gambler can be ok, but is disastrous, though, if that is your default option (ie ‘I’ choicefully gambled three times in the last week or so by holding fx overnight with no stops – 'won' twice, 'lost' once… ‘I’ also did ‘crowd seer’ once and 'won'.) Speaking of gambler, ever notice how the desire to use chance to cheat/outrun time is what initially attracts so many to trading (and gaming, lotto’s, etc) RH has a good quote about that… I can’t remember it verbatim right now… maybe he can share it… must also mention … slipping back into mindlessness for hours at a time… how do you spell artiztik addik? Addicted artist? :haha: at this point though, I guess I’d rather be an addicted (to trading) artist than a drunk economist or even a drunk engineer... just some blurbs… yes it has sort of a wry, incoherent, shadowy spin for the readers … but here, the job continues to be to see things as accurately and as nonjudgmentally as possible... /// (not so) light reading - Eckhart Tolle Do you believe his thoughts on the individual and collective ‘pain body’?
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…finally QE x.28… not announced as such, of course… Michael Snyder Also see 22 Reasons Why We Could See An Economic Collapse In Europe In 2012 so Fly little euro Fly! Don’t worry - just FLY high… will have stops underneath for when you come back down (and will also start resisting your little uptrend from above within the next 12 hours...)
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How Do You Know the Markets Aren't Random?
zdo replied to dangermouseb's topic in Technical Analysis
One more time How and why is random, not random ("random-like") even an issue? -
How Do You Know the Markets Aren't Random?
zdo replied to dangermouseb's topic in Technical Analysis
TheNegoc8r Post 30 http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/technical-analysis/10728-question-randomness-4.html Let’s go up context a little bit – ... “dumb”, "obvious" questions, but in that spirit that I might learn something… Why do traders even care about random / not random in streams? Why do traders even care about random / not random in trade outcomes? -
How Do You Know the Markets Aren't Random?
zdo replied to dangermouseb's topic in Technical Analysis
:helloooo: While you're at it, please report me and have me barred also... and banned too...I "have the wrong attitudfe" Thanks. -
How Do You Know the Markets Aren't Random?
zdo replied to dangermouseb's topic in Technical Analysis
Playing The Probabilities – Blackjack, Shuffles, And Residual Correlations so for in our world, does a market reshuffle???????????? ... and if so, how ???????????????????????? -
charles hugh smith-Unleashing the Future: Advancing Prosperity Through Debt Forgiveness (Part 1) re “Debt that cannot (vs. “will not”) be practically paid is not a debt in its classical sense. It’s a default” So while “Italy is Going to Be Next” may not be next Italy is on that same list as Greece of states whose debts cannot be practically paid Spain…. list goes on and on and the list includes the U.S. … we are already in default :7x!: Are we in denial too? The only way any of these debts get “paid” is if the many countries on the list find a way to repay the debts with counterfeit money… ie the "debt" is never really going to get paid.
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Thanks. :stupidquestionsmilee: Why?
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Moody's: "The Probability Of Multiple Defaults By Euro Area Countries Is No Longer Negligible" | ZeroHedge :curiousgeorge: ... and what do you think will happen to GBP if the EUR poofs / collapses?
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How Do You Know the Markets Aren't Random?
zdo replied to dangermouseb's topic in Technical Analysis
Over half of the posts on the pages of this thread are specious arguments. “Proving” that market participants’ returns are or are not random does nothing to prove that market action is or is not random… like "proving" the randomness or non randomness of local snow accumulation does nothing to "prove" that snowflake shapes are random or not random… and "proving" or "disproving" zero sum will take you no where in determining if the market streams are random or not either… talk about gaming our own minds, good lord… How many of you have considered that NOTHING is random – not even gaming streams, deals, spins, rolls, etc. … nor are streams that utilize ‘random generators’ … nor are particle, quark, and nuon behaviors…or multiverses, etc ? No process is random, but all of these streams are “random-like” – some more than others... Stick around a few years, you’ll see the new paradigm will be ‘market price streams are (only) random-like” zdo (and you can quote me.) Also, consider that the degree of market streams “random-like-ness” ultimately has almost nothing to do with determining whether one can extract returns from the game or any other game… I'd bet that last little bit of heresy will fire up some 'clinging to belief' reactions, too… ... so Horace, in simple terms... Binary option - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia... sadly it has no relevance to the topic at all... unless one is still trying to work out if a stream is either random or not... -
I was just messing with Rande about the ‘geek’ work, but seriously there is the same type of ‘archetypal bringing forth’ potential in discoveries and development in our trading methods, systems, etc. work as there is in high performance execution capacities work. To prevent development and further entrenchment of limiting habit patterns, etc, it’s recommended that most traders focus on clearing the ‘fear’ based challenges first ie the level and type of work Rande specifies in his documentation and courses, etc… but… In essence, it’s also worth noting that ‘trading troubles’ is not the only area the growthful / non pathological aspects of this modality can help with… An "activate four" example at Innovation in Practice: Innovation Archetypes cc: Tradewinds
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Rande, We need to do some "Mm. 'Nrichmnt" work for your 'orphend inner computer geek' re the yahoo group. First make sure you are signed in to your Yahoo account - either when you get to the page or before. Set your sign up options to let it sign you in automatically and when you get in the group save the group home page to your favorites, then you can just click that and it goes right to it.
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"Call me a cynic, but there is something not quite right with the way the Eurozone are being squeezed." OP, The Negotiator …it’s SO-O-O not Italy And TN, why would we call you a cynic? You're just being realistic. What amazes me right now is the intractibility of the many to step and acknowledge real bear troubles... It feels like I'm living in a world of zombies sometimes... As the World Crumbles: the ECB spins, FED smirks, and US Banks*Pillage - Thoughts - Nomi Prins
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Progress Report Just starting now to get some traction with applying the methods taught in the first session of the course. Finally got a personal, high quality, widely applicable 'safe place' established. First incident of ‘just doing’ the b. breathing and s. place without fishing around for reminders, etc. came early one morning middle of last week when I awoke around 4:30 am to a tug of nonspecific, in the moment at least, anxiety. This anxiety clarified a tiny bit to “something’s going to happen ‘out there’” and then I realized that I didn’t have at least an adequate mix of figures/emotions ready to meet it. Did doing the intervention method help? Yes. …not perfectly though as the results of the actual day unfolded… but still… Next step – improving mindfulness at the trade station. To my classmates, this will be a ‘non theatre’ (you had to be there) mindfulness … Light reading: Hal Stone, Sidra Winkelman, Robert Stamboliev, Tara Bennet Goleman (wife of the EQ Goleman guy?) Is this true? The ‘council of selves’ can be as unpredictable, uncertain, and inconsistent as the market’s price?
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Excellent question. Thx Raises an even broader question - how can 'fractals' accurately be applied anywhere? PS ...sure would appreciate if johnw would show us what he was talking about to begin with...
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Solution thread coming... More unbridled optimism… Epic Failure: The Supercommittee Was A Super Joke - BlackListedNews.com Wall Street Analysts Everywhere Are In Agreement: THE WORLD IS ENDING - BlackListedNews.com :haha: the biggest joke is that risk is off and 'they' are buying USD
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What is anxiety? Different from fear...
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Forget Gold ... Are You on the Silver Bullet Train?
zdo replied to MadMarketScientist's topic in Market News & Analysis
re this downdraft… any time many ‘own’ an asset they really can’t afford to own… AG, you ready to get bulletized again? -
Neither Is Trading Forex For all (2 of) you readers out there who are getting fed up with what could be interpreted as raw pessimism – well, here’s some unbridled optimism for you… 1 Through 30 – The Coming U.S. Financial Crisis By The Numbers btw, This coming Sunday, 11/20/11, I will be ‘celebrating’ my 4th year (and about 1000 posts too many) here on TL http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/volume-spread-analysis/1369-volume-spread-analysis-volume-spread-analysis-103.html#post25296
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How to Determine When the Market is Really Trending
zdo replied to tradingadvantagetm's topic in Futures
… continuing… (In my own experience…) The third best way to Determine When the Market is Really Trending is to measure if and how closely price is moving in phase with (a properly selected and constructed summation of activated) cycles. :wtf? smilee:- 23 replies
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Why the Sovereign Debt Crisis Began in Europe | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com