zdo

Thank you. If he's this reactive before he goes live, it probably doesn't matter whether he trades "As If Price Is Random" or not... in a week or two... ( ..."in a week or ... "... That stirs some memories... it's circa mid august 1985… demo has not been going well, only because there is no such thing yet, but… I will be going live with a real account next week… ) ... and a real mathemagician would have quickly and easily shown to those whose lives he is attempting to make a contribution to the difference between authentically random and has all the appearance (and threats) of pure random, so therefore must be treated as 'random' all my love, zdo

forexpipcatcher, Welcome to TL Mathematician? That's great. Of the linear or the non-linear variety? ie history has now also completely infiltrated mathematics… so to hold yourself up as a mathematician is virtually meaningless on its own... but If indeed you are a ‘mathemagician’ with a capital ‘M’, please explain random to us dummies out here in the lab… but, please, first expose your position on chance and telos ( only one not the other, both, neither, etc.) ... thank you in advance very much... A rather harsh welcome I know… but we seem to be hell bent on doing our best around here to run any weak posters off… whether you’ve got anything valuable to contribute or not… ( :haha: ie generally posting is restricted to 'subcriminal psychopath predators' only ie be careful not to ask any questions unless you're a brand new, raw, suffering noobie... ... also certain individual members have additional requirements... Steve46 has brutal eyes for 'infantile', Mit demands 'beyond' PLUS a golden C... and DbP will tear you a brand new one if you have any 'indicator' thoughts or questions... that's how we roll... ;) )

is this a Thinking, Fast and Slow thread or what ? :missy: :spam: Final two days to claim your $750.00 Discount on Just One Trade subscription...

… more mooey reactive stungun… …Wasn’t disagreeing with your post or making your “niece wrong”. … was just extending it a bit ( … it’s not just guns in those homes with flags… there are also other things “of value” in them… sometimes ) and offering a bit of advice for dum patriots who do make themselves a more likely target by industriously flying a flag ( you can bring the odds back down and make yourself a less likely target if you use the decals…) btw :rofl: Let me take a moment and say hi to the guys at the NSA and DHS

...bcse people with values are also more likely to have things 'of' value rephrasing, not quoting, willie sutton... yep. those dumasses who fly the flag just need to put 'These premises protected by Smith and Wesson' decals up on their windows... much as the flag attracts 'casing the joint', these signs tend to repel...criminals de-target those homes quickly... willie sutton knows why...

ironee George Tucker

…just skimmed this thread and am having issues with a thang from each side of the emergent argument... hopefully I was just absent the day they covered this in class... 1 how in the heck is Parabolic SAR a "leading indicator"? 2 how in the heck is prev SR not a "leading indicator"?

Exactly! “Scaling in an out is not for every strategy” “Scaling in an out is not for every person” “Scaling in an out is not recommended all the time” “never … touch this sort of … based on a random entry method” To partially rephrase and emphasize the above - Genuine (and modified) scaling requires generous capitalization. Genuine (and modified) scaling still requires a max risk per load / campaign comprising only a small portion of total capitalization. Genuine (and modified) scaling just simply done (“randomly”) is asking for additional trouble – more pain and trouble than most traders need or even can endure. I personally only do genuine scaling into pretty sweet looking convergences of cycles. My ‘rules’ for modified scaling are looser, but still aren’t by any stretch of the imagination done completely on a whim…and time based stops and other techs that are congruent with counter trend trading are used, etc… (even though the scaling typically continues after the trend has turned... ie rarely is the full load on before the turn). Genuine (and modified) scaling is barely ‘skills’ based … more accurately - it’s ‘virtues’ based. … I don’t know how ‘on topic’ / relevant to OP’s methods this is… but still … hth PS re: randomness so many randomness threads and arguments lately... what's up with that? Wonder if they've traversed the same crossmappring, args. and conclusions in the 'big' forums? :haha:I'm thinking we need more "randomness " threads ... wish I had time to start one...

more "crazy" ? Not …certain GOES data has accurately ‘prognosticated’ 14 out of the last 3 ‘weird' and 'really weird' trading sessions. I have ‘stochastic-likes’ that accurately ‘prognosticate’ 5 of the last 3 turns … But the ‘stochastic-likes’ are all about turns. They don't give any forewarnings about ‘weird' at all ________________________ “On the surface, the Status Quo appears stable, if not quite healthy. This stability is illusory, however, for the Status Quo has a fatal disease: diminishing return. ” CHS

"crazy" ? Not. certain GOES data has accurately predicted 14 out of the last 3 'really wierd' trading days

Voltaire Steve, I think we've discussed this before. Whether the narci,etc noise levels are high or low, your audience in here is extremely small and generally remains quite quiet. Focus on them... unless you're convinced they also are hopelessly 'gone'... "It is impossible to free someone else from the chains of ego." Vultare ...none of us are indispensible up here... ... not even the masters among us... the ones who never even react to stoopididy and the ones who can't stop themselves from gettin' all up in it. stay - it doesn't matter really except to a tiny, quiet few go - it doesn't matter really except to a tiny, quiet few All the best, zdo

What is the DSM cat. for letting narci’s interfere with one’s contributions to empower others?

I am with zdo. [needs 7 more characters]

my thoughts - to present this as “new” is taking an ax to its own credibility legs. for example, I have publications, documentation, and work predating 1990 on this… and I was way behind the curve then... gann and, more importantly, 'gannlike beyond ganns' go way back … also have another more formalized/programmed cluster of work from circa 2004 … and another iteration from circa 2006 … additional my thoughts – if your ‘paradigm’ is that we are outside the sun then… however, if your ‘paradigm’ is that we are (quite deep) INSIDE the sun, then…

...someone theorized this whole sell down ...which may not be over by any stretch... is to entice holders of the physicals to spread arb (ie exchange/dishoard their long physicals for long paper pm’s) Anyone buying physicals right now ?… premiums over spot are frkn astounding!… gives some credence to that theory… ... :off topc: re "That may now be changing" "That" has a long way to go before it really changes. Using post counts as an estimate, the percentage of posts that address gold in terms of dollars (or one's local fiat) runs at around 99.99%... "That" will not really have changed until it shifts to a preponderance of posters really concieving of it and communicating about fiats in terms of gold... right now, most literally can't even conceive of such...gold bugs or not... We now return you to your regularly scheduled posting

:haha: guys, this thread has been turned over to the eunuchs, so unless you are a ... ... and you eunuchs (wtf is a eunuch anyways?) out there - please! not everyone at once!

This nobody argues that, even in nominal terms, the markets have not seen considerable appreciation since QE 66 was implemented, then announced...

posts like these most recent two amaze me and remind me 1 how widely humans’ beliefs can diverge from reality - and we still somehow survive And 2 how widely our beliefs can diverge from others’ beliefs - and we still survive somehow Update on the content I’m working on… I have been too busy to even think about it. I know - excuses, excuses As I mentioned earlier, I have two atypical projects going this spring. In trading, working with a programmer/partner to finish up an automation project to capture more of the action btwn 2 and 8 AM ET… it’s actually partially implemented now but I’m still spending just as much time with it and my offshore programmer as I was during raw development . Also, I finally talked my wife into moving back out to the farm so I’m self contracting a new building – a ‘barn’ (outside) / office (inside)… so after a slightly shortened day trading session, I feel compelled to go out there and check on ( micro-manage to exasperation ) the subs and labor almost every afternoon … and several days a week I stay until dark working too … pulled rough electrical and cabling this week… Throw in tennis league and contract play and I’m slam booked daylight to dark….Also, will be shutting down for 6 weeks instead of 4 this year and that’s coming up in less than a month…plus on the actual material itself, I’m struggling in certain parts with coming up with english for traders/those who don’t ypically run close to a ‘physical culture’ (like myself, btw)… …so, someday… haven’t forgotten… Have a great weekend all.

MMS, Yes using this “dip” as a buying opportunity (and by dip I’m thinking you mean the downdraft that started back in early Oct 12)… but certainly I’m not doubling up. I’m buying incrementally more PMs when SI goes below .67… so far only two fills – one at 23.67 and one at 22.67 for an avg price of around 23.10 SI (and equivalent AU). For a lot of such campaigns, I scale in in a manner I’ve described elsewhere… shorting USDINR, etc. (somewhat similar to the process 1a2b3cp4pp has been describing - sans options, btw) but in this particular case, I’m using stops. … and in this particular case I’m using a tight stop at ~22.30… and may move it to b.e. as early as this coming Sun night. If I get stopped out I will just start over with three loads at 21.67 and proceed from there…( and also be prepared to stop back incrementally in if it goes back up.) ie i'm projecting high probs of lower prices

Indeed - he will get me … unless they quickly pass a ban on assault backpacks and close that garage sale loophole on pressure cookers… One more time, bob b… what do PM’s do around the full moon ? (2 people are spying on you) View Now

"The scoreboard lies."

bobc :rofl: what do PM's do around full moon? ( what I have read and what actually happens is different... )

Now it's my turn What does that have to do with whether China is a 'bubble' or not? offtopic completely... :haha: are you all seeing that OANDA ad with the bluegoldgreen circlejerk threesome?... that is just wrong

With this kind of price movement in such a low vix world, I would guess ‘unable of interest’ describes it a little better than ‘lack of interest’ … More db twipping … instead of ‘that is of course of no interest here’ let’s say ‘that is of course of little interest here’ because at least one person, me, used such a level to set handles for the cautious limit pyramiding. I didn’t go to ‘exactly’ the middle of the range like you (used to – still do ???) talk about… I glanced at the mid Oct 2010 to mid Mar 2011 in AU to set .67 handles for AG limit entries. If you haven’t talked about that lately and if you have time, maybe some could benefit from a review or real time chart examples…thx SunTrust, re ‘trend down yet’, what time frames are you referring to? And what are you using to demarcate a trend? For example, when I glance at the weekly PMz, I only see corrective action – more so in AU than in AG, but still… (… and not to say it couldn’t ‘correct’ a LOT further…) (... and not to say that one can't see any 'wave count' they 'want' to see on any chart of any time frame...) thx [EDIT MY QUESTIONS WERE ANSWERED IN POST 305 Thanks.]

Expounding for potential or budding 'gold bugs' … I mentioned yesterday that I was a gold bug until ‘93 and then got over it - as if it were something to recover from. From a mental perspective, it really is something to ‘recover from’. But in real life, acting in accordance with a ‘gold bug’ perspective is best seen as a necessary stage for (almost) all wealth builders. Properly accomplished, it is the stage of managing the PM/currency relationship to accumulate sufficient inventories of PMz… so one can then actually implement ‘beyond gold bug’ campaigns and strategies. Fortunately, the practical and the mental stages don’t have to coincide that precisely… Personally, in my various acts along the way, some lagged and some lead my ‘understanding’ by sometimes years… Most of you are a lot brighter than me so you can synch it up well and not have to go through such phase 'delays', etc… One major challenge – the fiat spell on the collective is much more pervasive than it was then… the hypnosis is much deeper. Meanwhile, on the plus side, if you can break the spell, the actual facts are multiples more obvious than they were back then… :missy: we now rtn you to your regularly scheduled posting...