Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.
zdo
Market Wizard-
Content Count
3536 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
8
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Calendar
Articles
Everything posted by zdo
-
The KPW did it. https://www.inverse.com/article/30643-power-outage-nyc-sf-la-coincidence http://www.meoso.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/389140_413386202035790_1936011835_n.jpg “The complete lack of evidence is the surest sign the conspiracy is working” Shanti Goldstein
-
“What we’re looking for is a (false) flag large enough to overlay two states” 'Operation Gotham Shield': US government will 'simulate 10,000-ton nuke blast over New York and New Jersey' next week
-
I would like to see a poll of how many think the problem is on the far right (of the last animated graph :rofl:) Visualizing The Collapse Of The Middle Class In 20 Major U.S. Cities
-
https://capitalistexploits.at/2017/04/world-whack-absurd-unintended-consequence-abnormally-low-rates/
-
Sunday night might be fun ... just Sayin...
-
Gamera, Do you think dbP would also rate you at 7 (on a scale of 0 (not) to 10 (very)) on how congruently your method and trading mirrors the intended essence of the SLA method? Have a great weekend all
-
exactly... what I just been sayin ...
-
and trying to get out of the way early before the real posters deliver their reams of content https://jonrappoport.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/facebook-shuts-down-pro-le-pen-posts-as-french-election-nears/ MIT Expert, Fmr DoD Science Advisor Release Damning Report: "Syrian Gas Attack Was Staged" Of Two Minds - The Left's Descent to Fascism
-
...and zdo replied, “Of course I get trading signals from space. Doesn’t everybody?” https://www.quantamagazine.org/20170418-fast-radio-bursts-repeat-what-are-they-made-of/ https://www.quantamagazine.org/20150310-strange-stars-pulse-to-the-golden-mean/
-
Gamera, On a scale of 0 (not) to 10 (very) - how congruently would you say your method and trading mirror the intended essence of the SLA method?
-
Now we know where JP lives https://www.quantamagazine.org/20160927-ultra-diffuse-galaxy-dragonfly-44/ and... btw There is no deep dark spate https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/03/170330115254.htm
-
Gamera, this is not very well organized ... banged it out in just a few minutes so feel free to ask for clarifications. Assumption: you really do “know what [your] metrics are through back testing and studying swing point breaks, stride breaks, breakouts, continuations and retracements.” Assumption: you are capitalized sufficiently to size your trades in units and multiples of units Re: "Most of my rules are in the first few posts to the thread, I'm considering re-evaluating these metrics as they are often getting caught, doesn't help that I'm executing the plan as poorly as I am" And "I often find myself avoiding trades because I think something is likely to happen" And “if PA does not move quickly doubts set in and I tighten up, or I don't take the trade or the stop out rule is just tagged.” These recent things you’ve mentioned indicate limbic system / mid-brain (and even hind brain) issues and the only sure way to 'fix' that is exposure, exposure, exposure to the very things feared. There’s not much you can do cognitively to address it except to 1) learn to monitor when cns is susceptible to being sympathetically momentarily overwhelmed (which will lead to uncon start altered perceiving and breaking script to even more cautious or the opposite and truncating/changing the rules, etc, etc ) and 2) to work on coming to more conscious acceptance of the ‘uncertainty’ of every trade. re: 'changes' 'adjustments' Whatever you do change, if anything, make sure it facilitates taking signal - ideally, to the point where you take EVERY “triggered”. Assign real-time confidence levels to what you’re seeing. Clearly delineate the PA’s (or price levels) that would immediately nullify that current situation. Then - Take EVERY “triggered”. Base the size of the trade on your real-time confidence levels. We can’t not project. We can’t not “think something is likely to happen”(... and guess what something does happen - quite often :helloooo::rofl: ) Consciously calling up and acknowledging ‘bias’ beats the sht out of avoiding, denying, suppressing projections. Its influence is much greater when it operates from the background than when it is constantly held up to the light and PA’s (or price levels) that would immediately nullify that bias are clearly delineated. Assign real-time confidence levels to what you’re projecting, too. You can actually learn to use this ‘soft information’ instead of trying to throw it away (like all the 'rational at any cost teachers' advise) Whatever you change, if anything, make sure to structure it to enable your entry (and exit) decisions to slide towards ‘automatic’ ie twd an ‘unconscious competence’. You see it. You take it as it forms! Period! Your new decisions become sizing and then once in the trade, assigning real time ‘stay’ to the trade. ‘Stay’ is how commited you are to staying with the trade - ie in loss or in profit, either take all the mults off quickly, take them off incrementally, or hold them all until (near) when swing exhausts, or trail stops, or etc etc ... Making such a transition is quite simple, but it is not necessarily easy. (It’s an act of creating a resolving structure, not removing or solving a problem, btw.) Even though I appreciated the wisdom of taking EVERY “triggered” long ago, it was not until I had automated many systems that it sunk in to where I could do it without dissonance. Once I really committed to it, I simply practiced it until I couldn’t fail at it. I don’t know how many transactions you’ve done this month in NQ, but it doesn’t seem like many . In contrast, I’ve already done hundreds in the NQ and I typically only manually trade ndx’s actively 1.5 - 2.5 hours a day. A signal forms and when it’s triggered I’m in at 2 - 4 mults if trigger is aligned with my bias and 1 mults if trigger is against my bias - period. Size is all I have to consider at entry. The statistical ‘quality’ etc ( not the‘prettiness’) of setups or triggers forms the basis for the sizing consideration. re: stays, I commit to a stay decision as early after entry as possible. Long ago when I first started this, my “stay” decisions were subject to the ‘risk averse in profits’ bias, etc. but over the years have become more and more realistically attuned to PA instead of my internal stuff... Everyone has different difficult challenges... Again, ultimately the key is practice it until you can’t fail at it. So re: “if PA does not move quickly doubts set in and I tighten up, or I don't take the trade or the stop out rule is just tagged.” Yes I too have also pulled out early more than once and also been just barely stopped out a few times, but I have also taken EVERY trade. ie I have also participated in every good, medium, and great swing - which vastly offsets the occurrences of the other two outcomes you mentioned (and also other possible outcomes you didn’t mention.) Sugg: some traders find improvement re: those “avoiding trades because I think something is likely to happen” and “if PA does not move quickly” issues by placing stop order first before placing entry order. Sugg: Btw if you have an unusually high incidence of “stop out rule is just tagged” then consider waiting to put on your size where you would have previously placed your stops. Sugg: If you are not actively utilizing all 5 time frames you have been posting, something to consider would be to drop all frames you do not actively utilize. “utilize” is the key word here. How much real utility to YOU do each of your ‘duration shots’ ( time frames ) have? Other than that, notice that I have not advised or even suggested you change your representations of the markets/ data forms, your perception modes, or your trading methods at all. Wishing you all the best
-
On the ‘medium’ time frame (1 hr? 10 min ? ... 10 min) frame charts you utilize, do you know the percentages over time of how accurate ‘what you see’ is? Are you able to assign real-time confidence levels to that accuracy?
-
mentioned this some time ago, but ... for trading paper gold, it's worth repeating http://themacrotourist.com/images/2017/04/JPYApr1217.png http://themacrotourist.com/images/2017/04/RegressionApr1217.png How long has it been like this? When will it break? When it does, ... ? Have a great holiday all.
-
No. and We've discussed quite some time ago that even if he 'kept his promises' he still couldn't fix this mess... However, what does surprise me, jp, is why - omg WHY? - you keep harping on the deep state? https://jonrappoport.wordpress.com/2017/04/13/want-to-understand-the-deep-state-here-is-your-deep-deep-state/
-
On the longest time frame charts you utilize, do you know the percentages (over time) of how accurate ‘what you see’ is? Are you able to assign real-time confidence levels to that accuracy?
-
Trump Flips On Five Core Key Campaign Promises In Under 24 Hours
-
Facebook's new guide to spotting fake news http://thehill.com/policy/technology/328587-fcc-has-received-40-complaints-about-fake-news-since-october
-
Origin And Danger Of Fractional-Reserve Banking - KELSEY'S GOLD FACTS we now fully return you to this is a dollar thread
-
?? re: http://cdn3.traderslaboratory.com/forums/attachments/131/41217d1491916886-testing-times-nq11042017multiprep.png Gamera, How are you able to garner any different information from (or more information) between your 10 minute charts and your hourly charts?
-
https://www.thenation.com/article/donald-trump-goes-all-in-for-the-military-industrial-complex/ hm... James Madison ... Dwight Eisenhower https://www.rutherford.org/publications_resources/john_whiteheads_commentary/beware_the_dogs_of_war_is_the_american_empire_on_the_verge_of_collapse lesbians in love... millennials at war - just sayin...
-
and / or Of Two Minds - The Media's Missing the Point: Syria, Empire and the Power of Signaling + especially prepared for the easily offended, haters, and infidels Doug Casey On The Coming Holy War | Zero Hedge
-
Use Stops. just sayin’ :rofl:
-
More expound on That is the “smelly little orthodoxy” (Orwell) that we can be nothing be a we... Jon Rappaport
-
Here we go again - showing just how stoopid ancient prophesies are Are Toxic Chemicals Turning Boys Into Girls? : Waking Times troubled... and symbolic... Moonbattery » The Difference Between Sex Change Operations and Severing Spinal Cords