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zdo

Market Wizard
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Everything posted by zdo

  1. My interest is in benefitting traders, not marketing. If the site allows this, many thanks. If not, so be it. ... and Rande is aware I'm doing this ... just to keep everything above board... Thousands and thousands of traders out there who put thousands and thousands of hours into method / edge / market reading... this is a chance for a few of them to complement all that work with a few hours of self development work.
  2. gosu, Rande could also offer you or others a scholarship if he likes...maybe PM him if you don't like the idea of 'jumping through my hoops' ... hope he is applying the same criteria I am - applicant's real interest and need and not the promise of a testimonial... zdo
  3. Thanks. A couple questions Why are you using the term ‘hedging’ instead of ‘spreading’? Does your work include consideration of which pair (or instrument) is leading? Example: EUR and US indexes are directionally correlated – but which one is determinant / leading? Tranfer same ? to the correlated pairs.
  4. Guest Post: The Uncredible Dog And Pony Show: Merkel And Sarkozy | ZeroHedge On an unrelated note, (see arrows on attached) I'm still confused by the 'unannounced' and so far even more effective pegging of the USD and JPY which occurred almost a full month before the 'announced' pegging of the CHF and the EUR. Insights, understanding anyone???? Thx.
  5. “a good place to start may be to demand more personal freedom while curbing the rights of multinational corporations and the government itself.” Obama and Congress ARE Wall Street, Geithner IS the Federal Reserve - Now What? - BlackListedNews.com Protest is conflict manipulation not resolution. Resolution requires a creative act (whether preceded by a destructive act or not)… so a good place to start may be to demand and create more personal freedom while curbing the rights of multinational corporations and the government itself… the previous constitution left too many backdoors available to those who would encroach on individual sovereignty... and individual sovereignty is key to humanity’s maturation out of ‘childhood’ re "How does the general population get the government motivated to make good changes?" ...several of the founders realized once statism encroached too far, a host of individuals would have to tear the existing gov’t down and create a new one.
  6. You are invited to apply for a full scholarship to participate in an upcoming 4 session trading psychology webinar with Rande Howell. If you are interested, please return to me., zdo, a 1 or 2 paragragh (ie very short) description via PM of your need to work on your trading and self at this level. Also address your level of commitment to completing the course. This offer is open to traders of all levels of experience who see value in including non trading methods work in their development as a trader. zdo Note to admin: Please allow the one duplicate post found at http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/beginners-forum/10919-webinar-scholarships.html and / or move the first thread to announcements. Thanks.
  7. You are invited to apply for a full scholarship to participate in an upcoming 4 session trading psychology webinar with Rande Howell. This offer is open to traders of all levels of experience who find value in including non trading methods work in their development as a trader. If you are interested, please return to me., zdo, a 1 or 2 paragragh (ie very short) description via PM of your need to work on your trading and self at this level. Also address your level of commitment to completing the course. All the best, zdo
  8. what shall we call it? financial crisis ? excessive debt and imbalances ? banking emergency ? currency catastrophe ? deeper double dip recession ? post crack up boom * ? worldwide depression ? How ‘bout total systemic collapse? Are you ready? References: ie light reading TraderView - Alternative Investment Specialists || Managed Futures :: Forex :: Advisor Rankings * ’07 Fingers of Instability series good starting place … (btw, it appears Ty was not ready... but ??? )
  9. Against the Institution: A Warning for ‘Occupy Wall Street’ « Andrew Gavin Marshall
  10. I used to think that too... but for me personally, I finally had to make the differentiation of investmensts as those outlays to which I would be willing to materially and actively participate in making it 'work' and everything else is just a trade, regardless of time frame / holding period. I maintain that it is an important personal distinction to 'work out' for each of us...
  11. 27akram First let me encourage you to get a clear differentiation of your own of the differences btwn investing and trading. Generally that difference is relative and usually a matter of degrees across valuation basis, ‘type’ of decision making, commitment, and holding time and, etc.… but the important question is what the threshold is for you. ie TL is a trading site, not an investing site… so beware us :helloooo: Across time, the most rewarding investments are those which 1 you have an intrinsic interest in the underlying product and 2 are not yet in favor I have a shelf of true 'investing' books but it's been years since I even looked at them... will eyeball them and if see one to refer will post All the best, zdo
  12. Also look and see if TradeStation platform is personally compatible for you ... (Platform recommendation only - it's not the best brokerage in the world but adequate for electronically traded instruments for most traders... I do give them enough business to keep the platform free... often in the first or (if I forget )last five minutes of the 'month' ) hth
  13. trelco, (it may seem like this is a smart ass answer but it isn't) The best way to find out the difference between real and sim trading is to go live and real now and find out the differences that are YOUR differences - before you get a bunch of well intended, but ultimately damaging, feedback from others about their differences!
  14. Well put - especially "Given most traders cannot seem to master one style its seems an extra leap to ask many to try and master many." btw and fwiw - neither 'trending' and 'reverting' as concepts or terms are part of my MarketTyping model... It must be David Varadi's day! (highlights mine)
  15. negoc8r Sure, __ ___’_ _______? ____ __________ ___ ______ ____ ____ setup ___ _ post? zdo
  16. Thanks. Your contribution reminded me of Research Synthesis: The VIX as a Moderator of Small vs Large Cap Performance and the “Generals Lead the Troops” « CSS Analytics "… one thing that experienced researchers understand both consciously and intuitively is that combining uncorrelated variables/indicators leads to superior results that are also more robust” David Varadi All the best, zdo
  17. "The best way to control the opposition is to lead it ourselves." - Vladimir Lenin “Alex Jone’s” checklist > Organize the organized – chk > Organize the unorganized … :cheers:
  18. Currency: The Hidden Portfolio Risk | Peter Schiff | Safehaven.com The Sceptical Inflationist | Steve Saville | Safehaven.com
  19. :haha: Don’t you just love it when a poster says you can’t blame 4 men and recent history, then comes along a little bit later and turns right around and blames even more recent history and just one 'useful idiot' for bringing us down 11 Reasons Why Occupy Wall Street Protesters Are Hypocrites If They Do Not Call For Barack Obama To Resign
  20. Safe haven's of the month - USD, UST, dividend eft's???? (Whatever happened to Gold, Oil, etc as safehavens?) I have been open to the possibility of a USD rally for some time now… but somehow just can’t get to the ‘dollar as safehaven’ threshold… …also having a similar issue with the longer end of US treasuries… A story – In March of ‘87 the bonds just flatlined for two weeks. This was the exception, to say the least, because for years before they often had routinely put in 2 – 4+ full point daily ranges… When they finally broke down, I picked a number - 76.16 ( using eWave, fibs, and ‘beginners’ intuition) … ecstatic and wretched trading months passed... … On Tuesday, Oct 20, 1987 during the (new) evening session got filled… sheer luck ... ‘suffered’ a few minutes of 4 tick adversity to 76.12 (actually we need a scared Smilie) then USZ7 rallied overnight to over 85 … got out next morning with over 8k per car… time fkn flies ppl … fast forward to Oct. 2011... USZ11 futures playing in striking distance with double that 76.12 = 152.24… No, 152.24 is not a Magic Number for me now like 76.16 was then :missy: … I’m not a noob anymore… and I’m not nearly as ‘superstitious’ as I was then…:helloooo: …nevertheless I have some serious decisions re the long end of treasuries coming up… be trailing some entry stops up under that shit at least... >On to gold, etc ... Gold Versus Paper: The Dow to Gold ratio - the aha! moment ...still clinging to my Silver/Dow spread and itching to lift hedges on PM holdings... >Back to the dollar "...The Fed's philosophy - a resolute faith in central planning and debasement - has been unchanged since Paul Volcker stepped down as Chairman in 1987. Rather than considering any change of direction, the Federal Reserve Board is likely asking itself: "Should we print $50 billion or $500 billion in our next round of stimulus?" "Can the ECB bailout Greece now or do we first need to bail out the ECB?" "Should we call our money-printing 'liquidity assistance' or 'quantitative easing'?" Or perhaps, "Do we have enough ink refills for all those printing presses?" Peter Schiff off color green:- recycle all those brown toilet paper cores - issue new dollars on rolls... a dollar is a debt http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/prophets-doom-12-shocking-quotes-insiders-about-horrific-economic-crisis-almost-here
  21. Overnight, what if they threw every country out of the EUR except for Germany, France, Italy, Netherlands, and Belgium? Or… what if, overnight, Germany pulled out of EUR and re - issued the DM… ???
  22. Germany must hit the eject button | Stratfor | Commentary | Business Spectator
  23. re "What do you guys think?" I think you are at one of those opportunity crossroads Typing the market and then applying the appropriate system to the current conditions is at the very core of my work to master trading “Switching seamlessly” is a lifetime ideal I shoot for. It is literally a life passion for me. I go through times when it just flows, simply, elegantly … and times when I end up almost bloody head banging bloody … Biases… the bias that a trend will continue can be very strong when it’s around ‘in there’ … when that bias is absent it looks like the end of every trend is immediately imminent. I’m not an evangelist for others to take this path. Actually, I can’t really say much at all about this for you and other traders any more – it is more my own personal struggle and if you take it up it will be your own very unique challenge. I meet other traders who obviously have better nature and nurture in the ‘psychological’ docility it takes, but mentally either don’t have the inclination or a clue. I meet others who have the mental robustness but don’t have the emotional flippancy required. Both those are exceptions though, most traders I meet about this just return a blank stare Going full blown “Switching” is best done on short time frames. As others have alluded to, on longer time frames you can be way past your stop point before being able to identify that conditions have changed – :haha: then suddenly nothing is ‘seamless’ is it? In real time categorizing, the closer to the tick your sampling is the better, at the tick level is best!!!! The following makes things considerably more complicated than I would like especially in 'quantification' work but ---I have wrastled with this stuff for 80% of my career and after much resistance, I had to concede and acknowledge the presence of multiple concurrent auctions in our modern markets... hth sorry to cut it short but I gotta scoot. all the best, zdo
  24. Tradewinds, Nor did I…it started as a funny. I think Krasting was just having some fun too. But seriously - while Rande made a good point differentiating 'family guys' from 'wall streeters' (broad stroke generalizations of course), I have found I do my best trading when I stop to consciously click into a ‘predator vs predator’ identity and state… also, I always trade in my office and never trade from home / ie I have also had to put considerable work into clicking back out the instant I leave the office and not carrying those energies into our home, etc. Have a great weekend all.
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